Pricing and Dynamic Hedging of two Oil-Linked Structured Products Master Thesis Chantal Bernet 1 University of St.Gallen Master of Arts in Banking and Finance Referee: Prof. Dr. Karl Frauendorfer Wallisellen, 14th of November 2009 1Email:
[email protected] Pricing and Dynamic Hedging of two Oil-Linked Structured Products Chantal Bernet Abstract Several objectives are pursued along this thesis. Firstly, to give a ge- neral understanding about structured products and their main building blocks. Therefore, the pricing and hedging of vanilla options, digital options and barrier options will be briefly described. Secondly, the characteristics of oil prices and existing spot price models and forward price models on oil will be dicussed. Finally, in the practical implementation, two structured products: a bar- rier reverse convertible and a win-win (a capital protected certificate with knock-out) will be priced and delta hedged from the issuer's point of view. Therefore two implied volatility "worlds"will be used: on one hand, a flat volatility world where the simple Black model is used and on the other hand, a term structure of implied volatilities where Clew- low's and Strickland's two-factor model is applied. As the issuer, we are interested not only in risk managing these products (delta hedging) but also in observing the hedge performance through the final profit and loss distribution. keywords: Risk, Risk Management, the Greeks, Option Pricing, Hedging, Hedge Performance, Profit and Loss Distribution, Stochastic Modelling, Oil, Barrier Reverse Convertible, WinWin, Black, Gabillon, Schwartz, Clewlow and Strickland . Acknowledgment I would like to thank Prof.