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158% Population Growth Photograph courtesy of the New Braunfels Chamber of Commerce and Aero Photo. AT A GLANCE 158% 37 RESIDENTIAL $6K INCOME POPULATION YEARS LOW DENSITY INCREASE PREDOMINANT LAND USE PROJECTED INCREASE GROWTH MEDIAN AGE BY YEAR 2020 SINCE YEAR 1990 GROWTH AND FUTURE LAND USE EXISTING CONDITIONS 34 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE 35 HOUSEHOLD INCOME 36 ETHNICITY 37 EXISTING LAND USES 38 LAND USE VISION (2006) 38 RESIDENTIAL GROWTH 40 COMMERCIAL GROWTH 42 PLAN ELEMENT ADVISORY GROUP RECAP 46 STRENGTHS 46 OPPORTUNITIES 46 PRIOR GOALS (2016) 46 GROWTH AND FUTURE LAND USE GOALS 47 33 EXISTING CONDITIONS The Growth and Future Land Use Plan Element relates to population, demographics and land use patterns that accommodate growth and encourage reinvestment. It also addresses topics related to walkable The West and South Lead the Way mixed-use neighborhoods, housing, annexation and ETJ policies. New Braunfels ranked as the second-fastest growing city in the nation Average Percent Population Change in (population of 50,000 or more, U.S. Census Bureau, 2016-2017). Cities and Towns Since 2010 Northeast -2.0 Northeast -0.1 The 15 Fastest-Growing Large Cities and Towns (Percent increase, populations 50,000 or more, 2016-2017) Midwest -1.4 Midwest 1.2 9.0 South 1.3 South 6.1 8.0 7.0 West 7.8 West 8.3 6.0 5.0 Population less than 5,000 Population between 5,000 and 9,999 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 Northeast 1.1 Northeast 2.2 0.0 Midwest 2.1 Midwest 3.0 South 7.6 South 10.0 West 8.1 West 7.8 Population between 10,000 and 49,999 Population of 50,000 or more Note: These numbers reference the average percent population change of all cities and towns in a region. The city’s population is estimated at 80,000 people, up from 58,000 in A negative value does not indicate that all places are declining. 2010, and this growth is projected to continue. “Since the 2010 Census, large cities in the South and West have led the nation in population growth, Source: Vintage 2017 Population Estimates www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest.html with an average increase of 10.0 percent (16,206) and 7.8 percent (12,256), respectively.Year By comparison,Frisco, TX thoseNew in Braunfethe NortheastPflugerville, and TAnkeny, Midwest IA Buckeye,grew AZ Georgetown, onPercent average Increase by 2.2 percent (9,104)8.2 and 3.08.0 percent (3,942)”6.5 (U.S.6.4 Census 5.9 Anticipating5.4 Future Growth in New Braunfels Bureauhttps://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2018/estimates-cities.html, 2018). Texas is home to seven of the 15 fastest-growing cities, Population 2017* 79,152 andTable New 2. Braunfels is the county seat of Comal County, the second-fastest growing county in the nation. Projected population 2020** 94,271 The 15 Fastest-Growing Large Cities and Towns Between July 1, 2016, and July 1, 2017 (Populations ofProjected 50,00 population 2030*** 154,893 Rank Area name State Percent 2017 total population increase Projected population 2040*** 208,163 1 Frisco city Texas 8.2 177286 Total projected population growth 2020-2040 113,892 2 New BraunfeTexas 8 79152 Average people per household 2.78 3 Pflugerville c Texas 6.5 63359 Estimated new homes needed to accommodate growth 54,109 4 Ankeny city Iowa 6.4 62416 * U.S. Census Bureau May 24, 2018 population estimate: https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2018/estimates-cities.html. 5 Buckeye city Arizona 5.9 68453 ** Six percent annual growth rate for the next 10 years. Assumes regional growth trend continues. Benchmarks for New Braunfels * include communities of Round Rock, San Marcos, and Georgetown, Texas. 6 Georgetown Texas 5.4 70685 *** Assumes three percent annual growth rate years 2027-2040. Note: Projections should be updated with 2020 Census results. 34 | Growth and Future Land7 Castle Use Rock t Colorado 5.1 62276 8 Franklin city Tennessee 4.9 78321 9 McKinney cit Texas 4.8 181330 10 Meridian cityIdaho 4.7 99926 11 Flower MounTexas 4.3 76681 12 Bend city Oregon 4.3 94520 13 Cedar Park ciTexas 4.2 75704 14 Doral city Florida 4.2 61130 15 Fort Myers ciFlorida 4.2 79943 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE The City of New Braunfels and its ETJ has a balanced distribution of population across the four major age segments, with the largest age segment being the 35-54 age group. Currently, this age segment represents 26.3% of the population, which is slightly larger than the second most populous age segment (55+). The smallest is the 18-34 age segment which constitutes 22.1% of the population. The 55+ age population is expected to see the most growth over the next 15 years; increasing to 28.2% by 2031 as similar to communities nationwide. An Aging Nation Projected Number of Children and Older Adults For the First Time in U.S. History Older Adults Are Projected to Outnumber Children by 2035 23.5% Projected 22.8% Adults 65+ percentage of population Children under 18 19.8% 15.2% Projected 94.7 number 73.6 78.0 76.4 79.8 (millions) 49.2 2016 ‘20 ‘25 ‘30 2035 ‘40 ‘45 ‘50 ‘55 2060 Note: 2016 data are estimates not projections. Source: City of New Braunfels Parks and Recreation Strategic Master Plan (2017) Source: National Population Projections, 2017 www.census.gov/programs-surveys /popproj.html 35 KEY FACTS EDUCATION 76,106 37.0 Population 11% Median Age No High 32% School 2.7 Some College $61,793 Diploma 26% 31% Average Median Household High School Bachelor's/Grad/Prof Household Size Income Graduate Degree KEY FACTS EDUCATION BUSINESS EMPLOYMENT 76,106 37.0 62% Population 11% White Collar Median Age No High 32% 21% 4.0% School 2.7 Some College $61,793 Diploma Blue Collar 2,95226% 36,79731% Unemployment Average Median Household High School Bachelor's/Grad/Prof 18% Rate Household Size Income Total BusinessesGraduate Total EmployeesDegree HOUSEHOLD INCOME Services The median household income for New Braunfels was $61,793 (2017) with the largest group of homes earning $50,000 - $74,999 (19.7 percent). These numbers are indicative of an upper middle income community, with 3.9 percent exceeding BUSINESS EMPLOYMENT Households By Income $200,000 of annual income. By 2021, NewINCOME Braunfels median and average household incomes are projected to increase. The largest group: $50,000 - $74,999 (19.7%) The smallest group: $200,000+ (3.9%) 62% Indicator Value Difference White Collar <$15,000 7.1% -3.5% $15,000 - $24,999 7.8% -2.3% 21% 4.0% $25,000 - $34,999 10.9% +0.9% $35,000 - $49,999 13.0% -0.4% Blue Collar $50,000 - $74,999 19.7% +1.6% 2,952 36,797 Unemployment $75,000 - $99,999 16.2% +4.1% $61,793 $29,179 Rate 18% $110,873 $100,000 - $149,999 16.5% +2.7% Total Businesses Total Employees $150,000 - $199,999 5.0% -0.7% MedianServices Household Per Capita Income Median Net Worth Income $200,000+ 3.9% -2.4% INCOME Households By Income The largest group: $50,000 - $74,999 (19.7%) HOUSEHOLDS BY INCOME HoTheus esmallestholds By group: Inco $200,000+me (3.9%) Bars show deviation from TheInd largesticator group: $50,000 - Va$74,999lue (19.7%)Difference Compared to Texas Texas The<$15,000 smallest group: $200,000+7.1% (3.9%) -3.5% $15,000 - $24,999 7.8% -2.3% Indicator Value Difference Average Household Size <$15,000$25,000 - $34,999 7.1%0.9% -0.1%+0.9% $1$5,30005,000 - $24,999- $49,999 7.81%3.0% +0.8%-0.4% for this area $2$5,50000,000 - $34,999- $74,999 101.9%.7% +3.5%+1.6% $61,793 $29,179 $110,873 $3$5,70005,000 - $49,999- $99,999 131.06%.2% +0.6%+4.1% 2.72which is more than the average for United States $5$0,100000,000 - $74,999 - $149,999 191.76%.5% -1.1%+2.7% Area Value 0.00 4.00 $7$5,100050,000 - $99,999 - $199,999 165.2.0%% -0.8%-0.7% Median Household Per Capita Income Median Net Worth Guadalupe County 2.86 Income $1$00,000200,000+ - $149,999 163.5.9%% -1.7%-2.4% Texas 2.78 $150,000 - $199,999 5.0% -1.2% This area 2.72 $200,000+ 3.9% 0 Comal County 2.63 Households By Income 36 | Growth and Future Land Use Bars show deviation from United States 2.59 The largest group: $50,000 - $74,999 (19.7%) Texas The smallest group: $200,000+ (3.9%) Bars show deviation from Indicator Value Difference Average Household Size Guadalupe County <$15,000 7.1% -0.1% $15,000 - $24,999 7.8% +0.8% for this area Households By Income $25,000 - $34,999 10.9% +3.5% Race and Ethnicity The largest group: $50,000 - $74,999 (19.7%) $35,000 - $49,999 13.0% +0.6% 2.72which is more than the average for United States The largest group: White Alone (84.00) The smallest group: $200,000+ (3.9%) $50,000 - $74,999 19.7% -1.1% The smallest group: Pacific Islander Alone (0.05) IndicatorArea Value DifferenceValue 0.00 4.00 $75,000 - $99,999 16.2% -0.8% Indicator Value Difference <$15,000Guadalupe County 7.1% +1.2%2.86 $100,000 - $149,999 16.5% -1.7% White Alone 84.00 -3.02 $1Texas5,000 - $24,999 7.8% +1.2%2.78 $150,000 - $199,999 5.0% -1.2% Black Alone 2.64 +0.28 $25,000 - $34,999 10.9% +1.7% This area 2.72 American Indian/Alaska Native $200,000+ 3.9% 0 0.78 +0.09 $3Com5,000al County- $49,999 13.0% +1.7%2.63 Alone $5U0,nited000 States- $74,999 19.7% +2.6%2.59 Asian Alone 1.33 +0.25 $75,000 - $99,999 16.2% +1.5% Pacific Islander Alone 0.05 -0.01 Bars show deviation from $100,000 - $149,999 16.5% -1.2% Other Race 8.48 +2.29 Guadalupe County $150,000 - $199,999 5.0% -2.9% Two or More Races 2.71 +0.12 $200,000+ 3.9% -5.6% Hispanic Origin (Any Race) 38.45 +10.47 Households By Income Race and Ethnicity The largest group: $50,000 - $74,999 (19.7%) The largest group: White Alone (84.00) The smallest group: $200,000+ (3.9%) Bars show deviation from The smallest group: Pacific Islander Alone (0.05) Bars show deviation from Indicator Value Difference Comal County Indicator Value Difference Comal County <$15,000 7.1%
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