Bayside City Council Part C16 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management

RISK MANAGEMENT

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 1 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C16 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management

RISK MANAGEMENT ARRANGEMENTS 1 INTRODUCTION The application of risk management principles and procedures enables Council and all stakeholders in the MEMP to understand the threats that impact on community safety and to develop control strategies to mitigate or eliminate the identified risks. The MEMPC agreed to use the State Emergency Service’s Community Emergency Risk Assessment (CERA) Guidelines as the methodology for this process. It is based on the International Standard ISO 31000 Risk Management.

2 AIM The Community Emergency Risk Assessment (CERA) process is designed to systematically identify hazards, determine risks and prioritise actions to reduce the likelihood and effects of an emergency.

3 COMMUNITY PROFILE

3.1 Geography The is located in 's middle-southern suburbs, between 8 and 20 kilometres south of the Melbourne CBD. The City of Bayside is bounded by the City of and the in the north, the in the east, and the Port Phillip Bay foreshore in the south and west. The City of Bayside's boundaries are Head Street, St Kilda Street and Glen Huntly Road in the north, and the , North Road, Thomas Street, the and Charman Road in the east. In the 2016 Census, there were 97,087 residents living in the Bayside Municipality. 3.2 History of Emergencies The majority of incidents in Bayside are localised and not significant. These include structure fires causing resident displacement, traffic accidents and service authority issues. In the early 20th Century there was a tornado that caused significant damage in Brighton. In recent times there was a siege in Brighton that led to two fatalities and other injuries, and a fairly significant open space fire in Cheltenham. Both incidents required a multi-agency response. 3.3 Infrastructure There are two public train lines, Frankston and Sandringham. There is also the WAG pipeline. 3.4 Community Capacity Bayside City Council is committed to meeting its obligations under the Emergency Management Act 1986. In doing so Council acknowledges that the development and implementation of

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 2 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C16 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management preventative actions require the allocation of resources (human and financial), multi-agency support and broad consultation to ensure a co-ordinated and well-planned approach and outcome. In 2016, nearly 24,000 persons (both residents and non-residents) were working in the City of Bayside. Overall, 21% of the population report performing voluntary work, compared with 16% for Greater Melbourne. The municipality is predominantly residential in character, with some small pockets of industrial and commercial activity in specific areas. 3.5 Industry The most common industries located in Bayside are health care and assistance, retail trade, professional services and education and training. The majority of business/commercial activity in Bayside is located in and around local activity centres. Bayside supports a range of activity centres providing local convenience shopping through to higher order community level centres. The largest shopping centres in Bayside are: - Hampton Street, Hampton (330 businesses) - Church Street, East Brighton (237 businesses) - Medium sized centres include: - Bay Street, North Brighton (196 businesses) - Sandringham (115 businesses) - Martin Street, Gardenvale (90 businesses) - Beaumaris Concourse (87 businesses) - Black Rock (86 businesses). Areas of industrial activities are south of Bay Road in the Cheltenham area of the City.

3.6 Municipal events and facilities Municipal events include Farmer’s Markets, Carols in the Park, Brighton Sandy Festival, Triathlons and The President’s Cup. Public facilities (untenanted) include the Brighton Town Hall, Beaumaris Community Centre and Meeting Room, and the Black Rock Civic Hall and Meeting Room.

3.7 Demography Bayside is a relatively affluent area. Analysis of individual income levels in Bayside compared to Greater Melbourne shows that there is a higher proportion of persons earning a high income and a lower proportion of low income persons. This is also reflected in household income levels. Approximately 96% of the population is employed in either full time or part time capacity. In comparison to Greater Melbourne the City of Bayside population is highly educated, skilled and lower proportion of people with no formal qualifications. Approximately 45 per cent of the population have completed an Advanced Diploma / Diploma or above and in comparison to Greater Melbourne, Bayside has a higher proportion of people holding formal qualifications and a lower proportion of people with no formal communications.

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 3 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C16 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management

Professionals, managers and clerical and administrative workers account for 67% per cent of the population.

3.8 Older persons Refer to Part 10 Vulnerable Establishments DOC/19/185579. Bayside City Council is home to 34 nursing homes and/or aged care facilities and 7 supported residential services.

Older workers and pre-retirees 14,427 14.9% of population (50 to 59)

Empty nesters and retirees (60 11,157 11.5% of population to 69)

Seniors (70 to 84) 9,661 9.9% of population

Elderly aged (85 and over) 3,624 3.7% of population

3.9 Infants and young children

Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 5.1% of population 4,994 4)

Primary schoolers (5 to 11) 9,382 9.7% of population

Secondary schoolers (12 to 17) 7,968 8.2% of population

3.10 People with an illness A 2016 face-to-face survey of residents conducted by Bayside City Council asked residents to rate their level of physical and mental health on a five-point scale of poor to excellent. The majority of Bayside residents rated their physical (65.6%) and mental health (75.9%) as ‘very good’ to ‘excellent’.

Females and adults aged over 55 years were more likely to rate their physical and mental health as ‘fair’ or ‘poor’ when compared to males and other age structures. In addition, those with a disability or long term illness rated their overall health status as significantly lower than that of other respondents. The VicHealth Indicators Survey 2015 also reported that Bayside residents reported an average wellbeing score of 78.4 out of 100. This was higher than the Victorian average of 77.3. 3.11 People with a disability 4,213 people or 4.3% of the population in the City of Bayside in 2016, reported needing help in their day-to-day lives due to disability. 2016 census

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 4 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C16 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management

3.12 People living alone and social isolation There are 24.4% single person households. 6.1% of residents are widowed compared to 5.2% in Victoria. 2016 census 3.13 Housing Tenure Analysis of the housing tenure of households of the City of Bayside in 2016 compared to Greater Melbourne shows that there was a larger proportion of households who owned their dwelling; a smaller proportion purchasing their dwelling; and a smaller proportion who were renters. Analysis of the housing tenure of households of the City of Bayside in 2016 compared to Greater Melbourne shows that there was a larger proportion of households who owned their dwelling; a smaller proportion purchasing their dwelling; and a smaller proportion who were renters. Overall, 39.1% of households owned their dwelling; 31.6% were purchasing, and 22.3% were renting, compared with 29.0%, 34.3% and 28.8% respectively for Greater Melbourne.

3.14 Culturally and linguistically diverse backgrounds In the City of Bayside, a comparatively low rate (6.1%) moved from overseas. 80.2% of residents speak only English, 14.6% Speaks another language and English well or very well, 5.2% not stated. Only 1.8% of residents reported that they did not speak English at all or did not speak English well. An analysis of the year of arrival for the overseas born population of the City of Bayside in 2016 compared to Greater Melbourne shows that there was a larger proportion of people who arrived before 2001, and a smaller proportion of recent overseas arrivals (those who arrived between 2011 and 9 August 2016). The majority of LOTE languages spoken at home for the population of the City of 2016 were: • Vietnamese at home 0.2% • Mandarin at home 2.1% • Arabic at home 0.3% • Cantonese at home 0.4%

3.15 Health The municipality of Bayside has four hospitals; Cabrini Brighton, Epworth Rehabilitation, Linacre Private and Sandringham Hospital.

42.3% Residents in Bayside considered overweight (pre obese) or obese.

Just under 3,000 residents have healthcare cards

Life expectancy for males is 84 years and 87 years for females, which is above the Victorian average.

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 5 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C16 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management

3.16 Climate and Weather Over the next decade bayside is likely to experience the impact of climate change through: • An increase in average temperatures and the number of very hot days • A reduction in average annual rainfall and an increase in the number of dry days • An increase in the frequency and intensity of storm events • Sea level rise and an increase in the frequency and intensity of storm surge events • An increase in the annual number of very high or extreme fire danger days. • These climatic events will have impact on Bayside’s natural features, local economy, community infrastructure and social environment. Council’s environmental sustainability framework 2016-2025 has identified climate change as a key driver for environmental change and highlights the need to act now to reduce the severity of climate change whilst also preparing for its impacts. Short term actions for Council are to promote programs and services that support good community connections and promote community resilience, and to review hot spots and develop localised solutions for flooding as part of the Bayside Flood Management Plan. Longer term actions for Council are to undertake a coastal vulnerability assessment, to ensure the community is informed adequately to develop plans to respond during extreme weather events.

3.17 Hazardous Sites Bayside does not contain any sites that are considered hazardous.

4 CERA PROCESS The CERA process comprises of a five-step framework, which includes Risk Assessment and Risk Treatment. The CERA process will replace the Community Emergency Risk Management (CERM) Plan. The CERA process underpins the MEMP by providing a mechanism for the identification of hazards, the determination of risks associated with those hazards and how those risks are to be managed. The CERA process aims to reduce the incidence and impact of risks within the community by identifying the risks that face the community, assessing the vulnerability of those at risk and providing options, treatments and/or elimination of the risks.

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 6 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C16 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management

Step 1 - Establish the Content • Establish the objectives of the CERA process. • Define how CERA will benefit and respond to the needs of community, regional and state level stakeholders. • Define the approach and identify key participants. • Define the risk assessment criteria that will be used. • Develop a municipal profile. Step 2 - Identify Emergency Risks • Through primary and secondary sources, identify and review the universe of potential emergency risks. • Based upon historical data, loss events and other relevant analysis (Urban Fire Risk Profile) select a short list of risks for further assessment relative to the municipality. Step 3 - Analyse Emergency Risks • Estimate ratings of consequence, likelihood and mitigation/preparedness for each risk. • For each risk - determine high-level changes required, if any, in collaborating with other municipalities and state-level agencies. • For each relevant share attribute group, facility and/or location - estimate the level of action, if any, relative to emergency risks. Step 4 - Evaluate Emergency Risks • Review the preliminary analysis to determine the extent of actions to be taken relative to risks and/or shared attribute groups. • Determine if further, in depth analysis is required for certain risks and/or shared attribute groups. • Determine best approach, resources and participants required to develop specific actions relative to each risk. Step 5 - Treat Emergency Risks • Determine specific actions for improving controls and preparedness, generally. • Define specific actions to enhance collaboration with other communities and/or state level agencies. • Determine specific actions to better control/mitigate the risk and related impacts, particularly across shared attribute groups. • Leverage the results of the CERA to inform your MEMP and other related documents and processes. The outcome of this process has identified the following risks to the community of Bayside and their respective ratings.

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 7 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C17 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management

4.1 OUTCOMES OF THE CERA PROCESS Dashboard

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 8 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C17 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management Heat Map

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 9 of 10 Review by: August 2021 Bayside City Council Part C17 Municipal Emergency Management Plan Risk Management Consolidated Actions

Warning – Uncontrolled when printed! For a current electronic version contact Bayside MEMO.

Authorised by: Municipal Emergency Management Officer Current Version: September 2020 Page 10 of 10 Review by: August 2021