Hurricane Iota Nicaragua 15 November 2020

Mapbook: Hurricane Iota Nicaragua 15 November 2020

(PDC Mapbook) Hurricane Iota - Nicaragua: 15NOV20

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Date Description Version

15NOV20 Original Document 1.0

(PDC Mapbook) Hurricane Iota - Nicaragua: 15NOV20

Contents:

• PDC-UNOCHA Joint Hurricane Winds Exposure Analysis - Nicaragua, Adv. 10 15NOV20 2100UTC / 1500CST • TAOS Estimated Impacts Product, Adv. 10 15NOV20 2100UTC / 1500CST • Nicaragua COVID-19 Planning Profile • Nicaragua COVID-19 Cases, 15NOV • Nicaragua Multi-Hazard Risk Index • Nicaragua Resilience Index • Nicaragua Vulnerability Index • Nicaragua Coping Capacity Index • Nicaragua Vulnerable Health Status Index • Nicaragua Infrastructure Capacity Index • Nicaragua Health Care Capacity Index

Hurricane Iota - Nicaragua: Estimated Wind Impact Analysis Advisory 10 – 15 NOV 2020 1500 CST (2100 UTC)

MAXIMUM POTENTIAL POPULATION EXPOSURE 202,000 people exposed to potential tropical cyclone winds (Widespread Damage and above)

adults 15-64 yrs children <15 yrs elderly >64 yrs

33% 67% 67,000 135,000 URBAN RURAL

TOTAL CAPITAL EXPOSURE $1.2 billion

Capital exposure represents existing infrastructure (residential, hospital, industrial, school, service sector) exposed to hazard impacts and is not an estimate of losses.

BREAKDOWN OF POTENTIAL NEEDS Catastrophic Moderate Damage Branches Breaking Estimated Damage 5% of value Severe Minor Damage; Large Trees Wind Damage Power out Sway Impacts Widespread Trees Down; Small Trees Damage Some power loss Sway 425.9 606,393 3,651 699,684 million liters of water 100-liter square metersof Hurricane Track > 150 mph (240kph) Forecast kcals per day per day waste bins shelter Hurricane Track > 74 mph (120kph) Track Tropical Storm

© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected] │ [email protected] │ Population and capital exposure calculated using PDC’s All Hazards Impact Model (AIM) (experimental). Key needs based on The Sphere Project │ Data: PDC, NOAA NHC, KinetiCastTC (TAOS Model), ESRI. Hurricane Iota - Estimated Impacts Advisory 10, 15 November 2020 1500 CST (2100 UTC) PDC-31A-10A NWS Summary: At 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Iota was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 79.3 West. Iota is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected through landfall. After landfall, a westward to west-southwestward motion is forecast. On the forecast track, the core of Iota will pass near or over Providencia island late tonight or Monday, and approach the coasts of northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras Monday, and make landfall within the hurricane warning area Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and Iota is forecast to be an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane when it approaches Central America. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).

BEelsizteimated Wind Impacts Trop ical Cyclone Pos itions Ï Hurricane/Typhoon >150 mph

Ï Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph

Ï Tropical Storm: 39-73 mph

Ï Tropical Depression: <39 mph )"Ï Current Cyclone Position Guatemala Es t Wind Im p acts (TAOS) ! San Pedro Sula Small Trees Sway 22SEP13 - 1800UTC Large Trees Sway 22SEP13 - 0600UTC Honduras 21SEP13 - 1800UTC Branches Breaking 2020 NOV 18, Trees Down; some power loss 12:00 CST Ï 21SEP13 - 1800UTC TegucigaÏlpa Ï Minor Damage; power out Ï ! 2020 NOV 17, Ï 2020 NOV 16, 21SEP13 - 0600UTC Moderate Damage 5% of value 12:00 CST 00:00 CST 2020 NOV 16, Widespread Damage El Salvador 12:00 CST Ï Severe Damage )"Ï Ï Catastrophic Damage 2020 NOV 15, Nicaragua 15:00 CST

Colombia 0 40 80 160 Miles Managua !

0 40 80 160 Kilometers

Costa Rica San Jose ! ¯ Estimated Still Water Storm Surge Estimated Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Cuba

Cayman Is.

Mexico Jamaica Belize

Honduras Guatemala Honduras Ï Nicaragua Ï Ï Ï Ï Ï El Salvador Ï ÏÏ Ï )"Ï Ï Ï Ï Nicaragua Ï Ï < 1 in Ï 1-3 ft Ï 1-3 in 3-6 ft 3-6 in 6-9 ft Ï 6-9 in 9-12 ft Costa Rica 12-15 ft 9-12 in 15-20 ft 12-24 in Panama Colombia >20 ft > 24 in

Pacific Dis as ter Center | 11/15/2020 | http ://w w w .p dc.org | res p ons e@p dc.org |Data: NOAA, KinetiCas tTC, ESRI. © 2015-2020 Pacific Dis as ter Center (PDC) – All rights res erved. Com m ercial us e is p erm itted only w ith exp licit ap p roval of PDC. The delineation of p olitical b oundaries , and as s ociated data s how n here do not im p ly endors em ent b y PDC. COVID-19 LAC PLANNING NICARAGUA

Key demographics snapshot 6.6 MILLION 575,438 TOTAL POPULATION (2020) ELDERLY POPULATION (60+)

PDC Risk and VulnerabilityHighlights

9 out of 28 25 out of 30 LAC Vulnerability LAC Coping Capacity Ranking Ranking

5 out of 29 21 out of 27 LAC Vulnerable Health LAC Resilience Status Ranking Ranking

LAC Healthcare Capacity Ranking: 23 out of 31

PHYSICIANS NURSES / MIDWIVES HOSPITAL BEDS 10.06 13.8 9 per 10,000 per 10,000 per 10,000

© 2015 - 2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) - All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC| 06/09/2020|www.emops.pdc.org|[email protected]|Data: PDC Global Risk and Vulnerability Index. LAC refers to 33 nations in Latin America and The Caribbean. COVID-19: Nicaragua 15 NOVEMBER 2020

New Confirmed Cases Nicaragua Summary In Last 24 Hours

CASES SUMMARY 5,661 Confirmed Cases* 147 Cases (last 7d)* 158 Deaths* 2 Deaths (last 7d)*

Doctors / Hospital Beds Country Cases Deaths Population Age 60+ Nurses per 10k per 10k Persons Persons

6.6 Million Guatemala 114,885 3,932 17.9 Million 1.3 Million 6 3.55 / 8.6 TOTAL POPULATION El Salvador 36,358 1,044 6.5 Million 782,086 13 15.69 / 4.1

Honduras 102,079 2,820 9.9 Million 729,876 7 3.14 / 11.3

575,438 Costa Rica 123,223 1,546 5.1 Million 766,611 12 11.5 / 8 ELDERLY POPULATION (60+) Nicaragua 5,661 158 6.6 Million 575,438 9 10.06 / 13.8

© 2015 - 2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) - All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC | 11/15/2020 | www.emops.pdc.org | [email protected] | Data: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, Johns Hopkins University. *Country data was last updated on 10NOV. Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Multi-Hazard Risk Index 15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)

2020NOV16 12:00 CST

© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org│ [email protected] Data: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15239 Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Resilience Index 15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)

2020NOV16 12:00 CST

© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org│ [email protected] Data: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15240 Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Vulnerability Index 15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)

2020NOV16 12:00 CST

© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org│ [email protected] Data: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15241 Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Coping Capacity Index 15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)

2020NOV16 12:00 CST

© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org│ [email protected] Data: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15242 Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Vulnerable Health Status Index 15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)

2020NOV16 12:00 CST

© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org│ [email protected] Data: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15243 Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Infrastructure Capacity Index 15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)

2020NOV16 12:00 CST

© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org│ [email protected] Data: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15244 Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Health Care Capacity Index 15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)

2020NOV16 12:00 CST