2018 Seoul Initiative (SI) Pilot Project

Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventory in Valley Region: Case Study Outline of Presentation:

1. The NEDA 2. Introduction 3. SI Business Overview 4. Development of the GHG Inventory System 5. GHG Reduction Project Opportunity 6. Success Factors and Challenges 7. Moving Forward: Expansion of the Philippines Project NEDA: WHAT IT IS AND WHAT IT DOES? What NEDA is? • The government’s central planning agency through Presidential Decree 107. The law mandated NEDA to exercise the functions that vested in the National Economic Council (NEC) and other economic bodies

• The independent planning agency (according to the 1987 Constitution) headed by the President

• Executive Order 230 – reorganized the NEDA in 1987 which reaffirmed NEDA as Socio-economic development planning agency

• NEDA Region 02 was set up in 1975 as one of the regional offices of NEDA and serves as the technical and administrative arm of the Regional Development Council Philippine Development Plan 2017-2022 Executive Order No. 5: The Long-term Vision

The Philippines in 2040: LONG-TERM GOALS: A prosperous, middle-class society Triple real per capita income. Zero hunger. where no one is poor Zero poverty. A healthy and resilient society A smart and innovative society A high-trust society.

6 PDP 2017-2022 Strategic Framework

MATATAG, MAGINHAWA AT PANATAG NA BUHAY

TO LAY DOWN THE FOUNDATION FOR INCLUSIVE GROWTH, A HIGH-TRUST AND RESILIENT SOCIETY, AND A GLOBALLY COMPETITIVE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY

“MALASAKIT” “PAGBABAGO” “PATULOY NA PAG-UNLAD” Enhancing the social fabric Inequality-Reducing transformation Increasing growth potential

Expand Increase access Promote Stimulate Ensure people- economic to economic technology innovation centered, clean, and opportunitie opportunities adoption efficient governance s

IMPLEMENT STRATEGIC TRADE AND FISCAL POLICY, MAINTAIN Pursue swift and fair administration of MACROECONOMIC STABILITY, PROMOTE COMPETITION justice

Reduce Promote Philippine Accelerate Maximize demographic human vulnerability of culture and values dividend capital individuals development

Ensure ecological Accelerate Ensure safety integrity, clean Ensure peace strategic and build and security and healthy infrastructure resilience environment development SI Project Business Overview

8/23/2019 Background

With the Conclusion of 2015 Paris Climate Change Agreement, not only the developed countries, but also the developing countries were given GHG reduction obligations, and are trying to respond to the climate change internationally (CDM, Emission Trading System, GHG Inventory Development)

• Developed country should reduce the GHG • Division of responsibility for GHG emissions to an average of 5.2% compared to reduction in developed and developing 1990 level until the first commitment period countries (`08~`12) • Establish national reduction targets(INDC) • Reduce effective GHG emissions through the and raise target every five years Kyoto mechanism(JI, CDM, ET)

`97, KYOTO PROTOCOL Adopted(Enacted in `05) `15, Adopted Paris Agreement (`20 Enactment)

International

Philippines

` 09, Enacting Climate `10, Community-level `15, INDC submission Change Law inventory Development •Set target to reduce 70% •Establishing Climate Change compared to BAU (2000 Committee to 2030) Global and Philippines’ GHG Emissions

Figure 2. Global and Philippine GHG Emissions, MtCO2, 1990-2010

60,000 300 49,329 50,101 50,000 47,269 48,748 , 39,028 40,234 40,000 38,258 200 159 30,000 150 153 154 140 146 125 20,000 96 100

10,000

0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010

Global Philippines

Source: European Commission JRC/PBL, EDGAR. 10 Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions by Sector

Source: USAID Brief Profile on Philippine GHG Emission, 2016 Analysis of Current Situation

GHG Emissions Status of Asia-Pacific Region In 2016, the total GHG emissions of the Philippines were 128.37 million tCO2eq, GHG emissions per person were 1.24 tCO2eq

18

Austrailia 16

14 Sinagapore Korea Japan 12

10

Newzealand Malaysia

8 person(tCO2/capita)

per 6 Philippines Thailand Vietnam

4 emissions emissions Nepal Pakistan Indonesia

GHG 2 Cambodia 0 Bangladesh - 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 Total GHG emissions(ktonsCO2)

※Source : GHG emissions by countries (https://ourworldindata.org, 2016년) Philippine Climate Change Policies

1991: IACCC Established (A.O.220) 2010: National Framework Strategy on 1994: UNFCCC Ratified Climate Change 2000: Initial National Communication 2010: Philippine National REDD+ Strategy Submitted 2011: Cabinet cluster on Climate Change 2003: Kyoto Protocol Ratified Adaptation and Mitigation (EO43) 2004: DENR as Designated 2011: National Climate Change Action Plan National Agency (EO 320) 2006: Creation of the Inter-Agency 2011: Philippine Development Forum Working Group and Program Climate Change Technical Working Group Steering Committee for the 2012: Peoples’ Survival Fund (RA 10174) Adaptation to ClimateChange 2013-2014: JMC on Climate Change 2007: Presidential Task Force on Climate Expenditure Tagging (Nat’l and Change created . (Amended with Local) PTFCC Chairmanship transferred from DENR toDOE. 2014: Institutionalizing the Philippine Green House Gas Inventory 2009: Climate Change Act of 2009 (RA 9729) and creation of the Climate Change Management and Reporting Commission System (EO 174) 2010: Philippine Strategy on Climate 2015: Intended Nationally Determined ChangeAdaptation Contributions GHG Inventory Development

8/23/2019 Business Overview

Title 2018 Seoul Initiative Network Philippines Business

Period 22 June 2018 ~ 18 June 2019 (12 months)

1 Operation and management of the pilot project

2 Development of greenhouse gas inventory Scope

3 Development of greenhouse gas tool (program)

Preparation of business expansion plan and support for 4 empowerment 2018 SI Pilot Project

Greenhouse gas(GHG) Inventory for Local Climate Change Mitigation and Low Carbon Development in Cagayan Valley Region, Philippines

Philippines

Project Overview ▪This project aims at providing most recent Target Area inventory data possible within this region, which Cagayan Valley region will work as an essential background data for the policy makers in Cagayan Valley. The region could project GHG emission as BAU and set reasonable Goal and ambitious reduction goal based on GHG • GHG inventory inventory trends. • IT systems • Policy Recommendation ▪By calculating GHG emission, the policy maker verifies the effectiveness of GHG reduction project and can give feedback to the next project.

Period June 18, 2018 to June 18, 2019 Analysis of Current Situation

•

• Cagayan

Tuguegarao City

•

CauayanCity Population Province Capital Area(km2) (person) Santiago City Batanes Basco 17,246 209.3 188,991 3,057.2 Cagayan 1,199,320 9,002 • Quirino • Isabella 1,593,566 10,409.6 Nueva Vizcaya Bayombong 452,287 3,903.9 Total 3,451,410 26,582 Business Promotion Framework

Completion

Step 2 Step 1 Situation Local Inventory G/L Step 3 Step 4 Analysis Development and ManagementTool Business Expansion Plan & Inventory Development (program)Development EmpowermentEducation

Step 2-1 Step 4-1 GHG reduction business Surveying methods Building DB research for Asia-Pacific Examining current Region

situation G/L Redefining Plan classification system Research GHG reduction

Building analysis DB technology Inventory

Write Local Government Expansion

Local Local Philippines business item Inventory G/L development Investigating cases of Analysis result & the inventory building Step 2-2 Statistics Step 4-2 Training on Inventory post Collecting activity data management

Developing dashboard y r Inventory and report Training on Inventory management tool

Analyzing hands on ento Development v workers’ needs In Developing Empowerment Training for Related Analyzing characteristic management tool hands on workers (program) Business Implementation System

Korea Environment Corporation Directing pilot project

•Operating & supporting pilot project •Discussing follow-up business •Managing pilot project

Direction Setting & Developing Greenhouse gas GHG Inventory Development Cooperation tool (program) •Develop Local Government GHG •Tool for calculating &managing emission inventory guideline •Actualizing on-line accessibility •Developing Inventory for Cagayan Valley •Developing manual and trainingusers •Preparing plan for expansion and application Setting the direction for establishing inventory Data Collection Method

Schedule Month Subject area Collection method (February to May) 1 2 3

4 Consultant and Research Assistant provinces collect the secondary data directly (Cagayan, from the person in charge in each Data collection Isabela, province Quirino & (With NEDA support) Nueva Vizcaya)

Local Ecoeye NEDA Consultant Ecoeye

Sending Visiting and Data Final letter and collecting organization arrangement data template Required Data Sector/Category Required Data Responsible Agency Manufacturing and List of establishments per type Philippine Statistics construction of industry Authority (PSA) Energy statistics and domestic Department of Energy Energy Energy industries production (DOE) Number of registered vehicles Land Transportation Office Transport (by district (LTO) Industrial Production data for small- Local Government Units– Processes and Mining scale mining and quarrying provincial government Product Use Waste generation data Solid Waste EMB, LGUs Waste Data only for commercial EMB & Local Government Wastewater establishments Units Rice, corn and other major crops Department of Agriculture Agriculture (total area, plantation area, & Philippine Statistics production, etc) Authority Livestock Forest (Woody) Land Use Change and Forestry DENR Grassland Consumption data per sector Scope 2 Electricity (residential, commercial, Electric Cooperatives public, agricultural, industrial) Data template Developing it based on IPCC G/L 1996 and the green-house gas calculation guideline written by Korean local governments

Cover Information Name of GHG Inventory Manager: INPUT Region INPUT Organization: INPUT GHG Inventory Manager(s) Contact Title: INPUT Information Email: INPUT Telephone: INPUT Name of Community: Cagayan Valley GHG Inventory Year: 2015 Reporting Date: INPUT Population (year round residents): INPUT Land Area (sq. kilometers): INPUT

Activity Data

Emission Factor Inventory Guideline Inventory Development

2) Inventory DevelopmentMethod

⚫ Application standard and Development scope - (Standard) 1996 IPCC G/L - (Scope) 4 provinces of Cagayan Valley (Cagayan, Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, Qurino) ⚫ Calculation Method

Greenhouse gas Activity Data Emission Factor GWP Emissions = x x

⚫ Estimation Calculation Method GHG EMISSION INVENTORY RESULTS

8/23/2019 26 Inventory Development

3) Local Government GHG Emissions GHG emissions of 2017 Cagayan Calley was 6,226,991tCO2eq, and the emissions are consistently increasing every year, and emissions from Energy seems to be large (2017 emission increase rate compared to 2015 : 14.7%)

< Local Government GHG Emissions and Absorption Volume(Based on 2017)>

Cagayan valley Emissions and absorption volume (tCO2eq) Cagayan valley emission Classification increase rate (%) 2016 compared 2017 compared 2017compared to Cagayan Isabela Vizcaya Qurino Total to 2015` to 2016 2015 1. Energy 327,308 1,018,621 125,699 33,247 1,504,877 5.9 8.3 14.7

2. Agriculture 1,428,261 2,259,291 510,954 241,532 4,440,040 -1.6 3.2 1.6

3. LUCF 5,665,486 7,735,636 1,751,732 1,791,667 16,944,523 0.0 0.0 0.0

4. Waste 103,061 121,089 40,685 17,237 282,073 6.7 5.2 11.9

Total 1,858,631 3,399,002 677,339 292,017 6,226,991 Emissions* 0.4 4.5 4.9

* LUCF(GHG absorption volume) Excluded Total GHG Emission of Cagayan Valley

Share of emission per industry

Regional emission per category

Share of emission per province Inventory Development

3) Local Government GHG Emissions- Cagayan

GHG emissions have consistently increased from 2015 for Cagayan (2017 increase rate compared to 2015: 4.4%). Emission ratio is high in Transportation, Crop cultivation, Managed landfill

GHG emissions and absorption amount by year Emission ration by Energy part (2017) [tCO2eq] 16,000,000 Manufacturing Residential 2% Energy Agriculture LUCF Waste industries and 12,000,000 Construction 13% Agriculture, Forestry, 8,000,000 1,779,695 1,650,060 1,858,632 Fishing Activities 10% Transportation 4,000,000 75% - 2015 2016 2017

Emission ration by Agriculture part (2017) Emission ration by Waste part (2017)

Livestock 25% Domestic wastewater 35%

Crop Managed Cultivation landfill 65% 75% Inventory Development

3) Local Government GHG Emissions– Isabela

Isabela has 3% increase for GHG emissions, but 2017 was similar to former year: 1.1%). High emission ratio in Energy Industries, Crop cultivation, Managed landfill

GHG emissions and absorption Emissions ratio by detailed parts (2017)

[tCO2eq] amount byyear Transportation 16,000,000 33% Energy Agriculture LUCF Waste Agriculture, 12,000,000 3,280,193 3,363,364 3,399,002 Forestry, Fishing Activities 2% 8,000,000 Energy

4,000,000 Industries Manufacturing 63% - industries and 2015 2016 2017 Construction 2%

Emission ration by Agriculture part(2017) Emission ration by Waste part(2017)

Livestock Domestic 22% wastewater 35% Crop Managed Cultivation landfill 65% 78% Inventory Development

3) Local Government GHG Emissions– Nueva Vizcaya

Nueva Vizcaya has 8% increase for GHG emissions in 2016, and had high emission ratio in Transportation, Crop cultivation, Managed landfill same as Cagayan

GHG emissions and absorption amount by year Emission ratio by Energy part(2017) [tCO2eq] Manufacturing Residential 2% 16,000,000 Energy Agriculture LUCF Waste industries and Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing 12,000,000 Construction 10% Activities 8,000,000 8% Transportatio 610,589 661,300 677,340 4,000,000 n 80%

- 2017

2015 2016 Emission ration by Waste part (2017)

Emission ration by Agriculture part (2017) Domestic wastewater Livestock 21% 31%

Crop Cultivation 79% Managed landfill 69% Inventory Development

3) Local Government GHG Emissions– Quirino

Qurino has similar level of 2015~2017 GHG emissions(2015 : 271,518, 2016 : 285,365, 2017 : 292,018) It has high emission ratio in Transportation, Crop cultivation, Domestic wastewater

GHG emissions and absorption amount by year Energy Agriculture LUCF Waste [tCO2eq] GHG Emission ratio by Energy part (2017)

16,000,000 Manufacturing industries and Residential

12,000,000 Construction 2% 10% 8,000,000

4,000,000 Transportation 271,518 285,365 292,018 Agriculture, Forestry, 80% - Fishing Activities 2015 2016 2017 8%

GHG Emission ratio by Agriculture part (2017) GHG Emission ratio by Waste part (2017)

Livestock 34% Managed landfill Domestic 44% wastewater 56% Crop Cultivation 66% Inventory Development

4) Local Government GHG Emission Characteristics Analysis

GHG emissions in Cagayan Valley per person is 1.65tCO2eq, and it has quite higher GHG emissions per person compared to 6 inventory Development areas such as

GHG Emissions per Person government

[tCO2eq/ [tCO2eq] Capita] 7,000,000 5.0 Classifica Cagayan Kalayaan GHG Emissions GHG EmissionsPer Person Aurora Makati Santarosa 6,000,000 tion Valley 4.0

5,000,000 Populatio 3,658,466 201,233 305,607 425,516 21,752 529,039 284,670 n(people) 3.0 4,000,000 Area(km2) 29,576 3,240 276 78.3 46.6 27.4 55.4 2.36 3,000,000 2.0 Total 1.65 emissions 6,041,219 275,469 451,661 999,032 17,849 1,662,017 1,935,343 2,000,000 (tCO2eq) 1.22 1.0 1,000,000 0.73 0.68 Emissions 0.32 per person 0.15 (tCO2eq/ - - 1.65 0.73 0.68 2.36 1.22 0.32 0.15 capita) Cagayan Aurora Batangas Iloilo Kalayaan Makati vallly Laguna Santa rosa Inventory Development 4) Local Government GHG Emission CharacteristicsAnalysis As a result of analyzing emissions and emission increase rate, the parts with high emissions are Agriculture, Energy-Transportation, and it was shown that Energy has higher emission increase rate of 2017 compared to 2016

GHG Emission Status by Sector

100.0% CGIS Cagayan valley GHG Inventory System What’s CGIS ? Workflow of the GHG Inventory Management System Online access • HTML5 and Java, which are two globally recognized standard languages, are applied to build the system so that users can access it online on any device such as desktop, tablet, or smart phone without having to install a plug in.

• URL of regional emission inventory management tool: • http://cgis.rdc2.gov.ph

38 Features of CGIS The output of building up CGIS

Site for Public Site for Administrator The output of building up CGIS

Site for the public

Main page InventoryGuideline Inventory AboutCGIS What’sGHG News& Result Events • GHG • Introduction • Explanation • Background • Board emissi • Implementati of and purpose for ons on Structure greenhouse • Key aspects of public Status gases the guideline • References 1) Main page (Inventory Result) 1) Main page (Inventory Result) 1) Main page (Inventory Result) 2) News & Events Site for administrator

Dashboard DataManagement Statistics Board

• Status of • Upload of • Emission • Board for activity data excel files for statistics by year, manager upload of excel activity data province, and • Board for public files • Upload history sector • Chart for GHG • Approval of • PDF and excel emissions uploaded data download for • Approval of the statistics statistics and dashboard apply of uploaded data. 1) Dashboard 1) Dashboard 1) Dashboard 1) Dashboard 1) Dashboard 2) Data upload management 2) Data upload management 2) Data upload management 2) Data upload management 3) Data approval management Board management GHG Reduction Project Opportunity Philippines Mitigation MACCAnalysis

Economic bed

Reduction Effect good

Economic ↑ Economic good

※Source : PHILIPPINES MITIGATION COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS 2018 Integrated Update Report (https://www.niccdies.ph/mitigation) Description of CDM project and registration status in the Philippines Description and actual case of animal excreta-to-energy project GHGReduction Technology Distribution Support Project Domestic fuel consumption of the Philippines and Cook Stove Project in Kenya Electric Vehicle Supply Project

Cagayan valley Status Laos Electric Vehicle Supply Case

• Philippine is operating more than 3.5 million tricycle • Project Site : Luang Prabang and Vientiane based on 2012. About 10 million ton GHG emissions • Description of Project : Calculate GHG reduction amount of every year EV and the Vehicles using existing fossil fuels • GHG Transportation emission rate takes about 46% among detailed Sector

[tCO2eq] GHG emissions of energy Sector 1,600,000 Transportation

1,400,000 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing Activities 1,200,000 701,218 6 27,119 Institutional 743 600, 1,000,000 GHG Emission Reductions : 11,244 tCO2eq Reduction Estimated compared to BAU(2013) until2020 800,000 Commercial < Tracking system for E-Tuktuk > 600,000 Residential

400,000 6 41,244 6 35,749 Manufacturing industries and 580,188 Construction 200,000 Energy Industries

- 2015 2016 2017

※Source : Philippine Electric Vehicle Market Analysis Report ※Source : MOEJ/GEC JCM Methodology Demonstration Study Final Report(2013) Success Factors and Challenges

Success Factors Challenges •Funding from KECO •Data availability •Supportive Korean •No provincial and Local Consultants disaggregated data •Clear and legal policy • Limited funding framework on GHG • Limited awareness reduction • on GHG •Strong political •External/uncontrolled support factors Recommendations

• Enhancing information and data management in all concerned agencies/stakeholders • Establishment of networks of information centers to facilitate easy access and flow of information • Need to build and strengthen the capacity of implementing institutions whereby a policy and institutional framework on GHG should be drawn up • Provision of incentives or support for communities implementing community-based GHG reduction initiatives; Recommendations

• Mainstreaming of GHG management in the operation of the Municipal Environment Committees to promote the community’s low carbon vision • Initiatives for partnerships among the government organizations, academic sector, business/industry sector and non-government organizations on GHG inventory • Capacity building for local governments on GHG initiatives Moving Forward

Expansion of the Philippines project Project of establishing a regional emission inventory in the Philippines Follow-up Projects (for possible funding)

• Establishing a Master Plan to set up the emission inventory system

• Training for local governments on inventory management tool (How to use the CGIS) THANK YOU

Mildred B. Maglaya Supervising Economic and Development Specialist National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA RO2) PHILIPPINES

Email address: [email protected] Mobile number: (+63) 09264877734