Ukrainian crisis
Velina Tchakarova [email protected] Ukrainian crisis and the global context
Global system crisis Similar conflicts worldwide Governance vs. Government Political awakaning Ukrainian crisis and the geopoltical context
strong influence by external actors buffer zone between European and Russian regional integraton zones
Ukrainian crisis and the political context
failed transformation process during the last 25 years oligarchism, all-level corruption, defective democratic and economic structures no national dialogue
Ukrainian crisis West vs. East
dividing lines between West and East in Ukraine political misrepresentation, economic underdevelopment, social exclusion
Ukrainian crisis and the EU
Ukrainian crisis and the EU
Eastern Partnership since 2010 AA (to enter into force provisionally from 1 November 2014) DCFTA (to enter into force provisionally from 31 December 2015) Ukrainian crisis and the EU
conflict mediation and facilitation Ukraine-first politics in Eastern Ukraine strong diplomatic support financial support (11 Bln Euro)
Ukrainian crisis and political process
New government with Arseniy Yatsenyuk (since February 2014) New President wit Petro Poroshenko (since June 2014) New parliamentary elections (26 October 2014)
Ukrainian crisis and military conflict
Heavy fightings since April 2014 Great ammount of victims on both sides – 3800 dead in Eastern Ukraine, thousands of dead Ukrainian soldiers; 1 million people displaced or refugees (UN) about 400 dead since the cease-fire Minsk protocol from 5 September
• Ensure an immediate bilateral ceasefire. • Ensure the monitoring and verification by the OSCE of the ceasefire. • A decentralisation of power, including through the adoption of the law of Ukraine "about local government provisional arrangements in some areas of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts" (law on the special status). • Ensure the permanent monitoring of the Ukrainian-Russian border and verification by the OSCE with the creation of security zones in the border regions of Ukraine and the Russian Federation. • To immediately release all hostages and illegally detained persons. • A law on preventing the prosecution and punishment of persons in connection with the events that have taken place in some areas of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. • Continue the inclusive national dialogue. • To take measures to improve the humanitarian situation in Donbass. • Ensure early local elections in accordance with the law of Ukraine "about local government provisional arrangements in some areas of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts" (law on the special status). • Withdraw the illegal armed groups, military equipment, as well as fighters and mercenaries from Ukraine. • To adopt the program of economic recovery and reconstruction of Donbass region. • To provide personal security for the participants in the consultations. Follow-up memorandum
• To pull heavy weaponry 15 kilometres (9.3 mi) back on each side of the line of contact, creating a 30-kilometre (19 mi) buffer zone • To ban offensive operations • To ban flights by combat aircraft over the security zone • To withdraw all foreign mercenaries from the conflict zone • To set up an OSCE mission to monitor implementation of Minsk Protocol
Ukraine and the Wall Ukrainian crisis and the challenges lasting peace in Ukraine stability in Eastern Europe future integration of Ukraine EU vs. Eurasian Economic Union and Ukraine‘s role