Scottish Public Opinion Monitor

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February 2014

Scottish Parliament voting

© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential Paste co- brand logo Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections here 3 Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?

All giving a voting intention Certain to vote

Others Others Lib 7% Lib 7% Dem Dem 10% SNP 9% SNP 36% 38% Cons SNP lead Cons SNP lead 16% +4 17% +9

Lab Lab 32% 29%

Base: All giving a voting intention = 844; all certain to vote = 604. Data collected among 1,001 Scottish adults 16+, 20th– 25th February 2014

© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential Paste co- brand logo Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections here 4 Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?

60 Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other

Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.

Perceptions of key figures

Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/Scottish Green Party/?

Satisfied Dissatisfied Don’t know Net satisfaction

Alex Salmond 45% 47% 7% -2

Johann Lamont 40% 34% 26% +6

Ruth Davidson 34% 36% 31% -2

David Cameron 31% 64% 5% -33

Patrick Harvie 30% 21% 50% +9

Willie Rennie 22% 34% 43% -12

Base: All. Data collected among 1,001 Scottish adults 16+, 20th– 25th February 2014

© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential Paste co- brand logo Satisfaction with party leaders trend here 7 Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?

Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron 70

0 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 May-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.

© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential Paste co- brand logo Net Satisfaction with party leaders trend here 8 Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?

Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 -60 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 May-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.

Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as Deputy First Minister/Leader of the Better Together Campaign? Nicola Sturgeon Alistair Darling

All Own campaign supporters

48% 77% Satisfied Satisfied 38% 52%

39% 13% Dissatisfied Dissatisfied 42% 33%

13% 10% Don't know Don't know 20% 15%

• This presents the topline results from Scotland

• Results are based on a survey of 1,001 respondents (adults aged 16+) conducted by telephone

• Fieldwork dates: 20th– 25th February 2014

• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data

• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories

• Results are based on all respondents (1,001) unless otherwise stated

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