I: INTRODUCTION

In Uttar Pradesh, elections to the State Legislative Assembly were held in the month of April and May 2007. CSDS in partnership with Indian Express and CNN-IBN conducted a Pre-Poll in Uttar Pradesh. The objective of the survey was to reflect the nature of voting behaviour and attitudes of people on electoral politics in the state. The survey was an attempt to understand the people’s perception on the performance of state government as well as the government at the Centre.

Table -1: Profile of Assembly election in U.P, 2007 Total Number of Assembly Constituencies(AC) 403 Number of seats for General Category 314 Number of seats reserved for Scheduled Caste 89 Number of seats reserved for Scheduled Tribe 0 Total Number of Voters 11,35,49350 Source:http://www.eci.gov.in/StatisticalReports/SE_2007/StatReport_AS_2007_UTTAR_PRADESH.pdf

Table-2: Survey Frame Number of assembly constituencies surveyed 79 Number of polling station survey 305 Number of Respondents 4988 Type of Survey Pre- poll Survey

Table-3: Sample Profile: Census of India vs. Survey Category Uttar Pradesh* Survey Rural 79.22 89 Urban 20.78 11 Women 47.31 43 Scheduled Caste (Dalit) 21.15 21 Scheduled Tribe 0.06 --- Hindu 80.61 85 Muslim 18.5 13 *Census 2001, Uttar Pradesh

1 II: SURVEY DESIGN

Selection of Assembly Constituency (AC): The sample for the survey was drawn using a multi stage Stratified Random Sampling Technique. Out of a total of 403 ACs in the state, a sample of 80 ACs was randomly drawn using the Simple Random Technique.

Selection of Polling Stations (PS): In every sampled AC, 4 PSs were randomly selected using the simple random technique In order to select the polling station from each AC, a comprehensive list of PS in each AC was prepared and a total polling stations was divided by four (a pre determined number of PS from each AC) to arrive at the sampling constant.

First PS was selected randomly which must be less than sampling constant thereafter, sampling constant was added to the randomly selected PS to arrive at the second PS . This process was repeated for the selection of next PS in an AC. It is how; different PSs were selected in each assembly constituency.

Selection of respondent: Thirty respondents were decided to be randomly selected from the voter list of each PS. The reason for sample size was to circumvent clustering and it also has logistic and methodological concerns. For this, a list of voters at each PS was obtained and the total number of voters (at each PS) was divided by fifteen to arrive at sampling constant1. Sampling constant was added to the first respondent number to get next respondent and so on till selection of 30 respondents has completed.

Table-4: Questionnaire Design Language Designed English Language Translated Hindi Language Administered Hindi Number of Variables 111 Themes • Performance of the SP Government • Performance of the MLAs • Public opinion about the politics in the state. • Question of Leadership

1 If there are 3000 respondents of a polling station, divide 3000 by 30 that will be equal to 100. Thus 100 is the sampling constant for sampling respondents for the survey. The first respondent should be less than 100 drawn from random number table. Thus , if 89th voter is the first respondent selected then keep on adding 100, that is 89+100=189(second respondent), 189+100=289(third respondent) and so on till select 15 respondent

2

Table-5: Details of Training Workshop of Investigator: Date 18th March, 2007 Venue Aligarh , Kanpur, Azamgarh Number of investigator 158 Resource persons 1. A.K.Verma , Christ Church College, Kanpur

2 Sudhir Kumar, D.A.VPost Graduate College, Azamgarh

3. Mirza Asmir Beg ( Aligarh Muslim University), Praveen (CSDS)

Table-6: Data Collection and Processing Date of Field work 19-23, March, 2007 Date of Data checking 24, March, 2007 Venue of Checking Centre for Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) Date of Data Entry 26-29, March,2007 Venue of Data Entry Centre for Study of Developing Societies (CSDS)

Table-7: Details of Data Dissemination Electronic Media Name Date Time CNN-IBN 27th March, 2007 8.00pm Print Media Name Title of Article Name of Author Date The Indian Express Mulayam, Maya neck Sanjay Kumar , 28th, March, 2007 and neck: BJP Trails Yogender far behind, Cong Yadav,Rajeeva farther. Karandikar The Indian Express Phase 1: Mulayam Puts Sanjay Kumar 5th April,2007 SP ahead The Indian Express Advantage Maya in Sanjay Kumar 11th , April, 2007 Phase 11’s 3-way fight The Indian Express Phase III: Make or Sanjay Kumar 16th, April, 2007 break for Mulayam Jan Satta BSPA hi rahegi pehle Sanjay Kumar, 2nd, May, 2007 number par Rajeeva Karandikar, Yogender Yadav

3 III: DETAILS OF SURVEY TEAM

Sanjay Kumar of Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi directed the survey. The fieldwork of the survey was coordinated by A.K.Verma for the Central Uttar Pradesh, Mirza Asmer Beg for Western Uttar Pradesh and Sudhir Kumar for the Eastern Uttar Pradesh.

The Central team which designed, coordinated and analyzed the survey comprised of Himanshu Bhattacharya, K.A.Q.A Hilal, Kanchan Malhotra, Praveen Rai, Rajeeva Karandikar of Cranes Software International Limited, Sanjeer Alam, and Vikas Gautam of CSDS and Yogendra Yadav)

4

I: ANNEXURE-1 DETAILS OF SURVEY PROFILE

Assembly Constituency AC No. P.S No. No. of Respondent BIJNOR 6 15 15 90 14 165 12 240 14 Total 55 HASANPUR 10 5 10 45 11 85 12 125 14 Total 47 CHANDAUSI (SC) 14 127 11 157 16 195 15 226 18 Total 60 BILASPUR 22 35 12 108 13 181 12 254 12 Total 49 SAHASWAN 26 18 12 168 8 215 13 Total 33 BINAWAR 30 7 13 82 16 157 11 220 12 Total 52 FARIDPUR (SC) 34 11 11 86 11 167 11 223 9 Total 42 BARKHERA (SC) 42 12 13 87 11 162 11 206 13 Total 48 NIGOHI 46 12 13 87 13 162 17 235 14 Total 57 SHAHJAHANPUR 50 9 14 84 14

5 159 12 234 15 Total 55 LAKHIMPUR 54 52 18 122 15 192 14 262 12 Total 59 LAHARPUR 62 62 10 126 15 190 16 254 19 Total 60 MACHHREHTA (SC) 66 35 15 90 13 145 16 200 16 Total 60 HARDOI 70 12 16 63 15 114 15 165 16 Total 62 BILGRAM 74 6 14 64 12 122 12 180 13 Total 51 HASANGANJ (SC) 82 55 15 113 15 171 14 229 16 Total 60 LUCKNOW WEST 86 35 10 116 11 197 10 278 8 Total 39 MOHANLALGANJ (SC) 90 10 16 61 14 112 16 163 16 Total 62 SATAON 94 50 16 112 10 174 14 236 15 Total 55 PRATAPGARH 102 19 23 88 23 157 23 226 22 Total 91

6 GAURIGANJ 106 17 23 78 22 139 22 200 22 Total 89 JAISINGHPUR 110 12 20 77 23 142 24 207 20 Total 87 AKBARPUR 114 20 21 88 23 156 22 224 22 Total 88 RUDAULI 122 52 17 114 14 176 16 238 14 Total 61 MASAULI 126 12 16 70 14 128 15 186 15 Total 60 KAISERGANJ 130 34 12 93 14 152 16 211 15 Total 57 CHARDA (SC) 134 14 15 55 13 75 16 134 16 Total 60 SADULLANAGAR 142 6 16 55 16 67 16 128 13 Total 61 KATRA BAZAR 146 36 14 96 14 156 16 216 13 Total 57 CAPTAINGANJ 150 10 20 78 21 146 21 214 20 Total 82 DOMARIGANJ 154 15 23 78 22 141 23

7 204 22 Total 90 HAINSARBAZAR (SC) 162 11 23 76 22 141 23 206 21 Total 89 KAURIAM 166 7 23 77 20 147 23 217 22 Total 88 MANIRAM 170 23 17 89 17 155 17 221 15 Total 66 LAKSHMIPUR 174 32 15 96 12 160 11 224 12 Total 50 SEORAHI 182 27 13 91 14 155 10 219 14 Total 51 RUDRAPUR 186 38 20 109 24 180 23 251 21 Total 88 BARHAJ 190 60 22 127 22 194 22 261 22 Total 88 GOPALPUR 194 42 30 106 28 170 25 234 25 Total 108 MUBARAKPUR 202 55 23 115 19 175 20 235 22 Total 84 SIAR 206 13 23 75 23 137 23 199 23 Total 92 DOABA 210 33 24

8 98 23 163 23 228 23 Total 93 MOHAMMADABAD 214 47 20 114 21 181 17 248 21 Total 79 CHANDAULI (SC) 222 50 22 120 21 190 28 260 22 Total 93 VARANASI SOUTH 226 39 22 93 23 147 22 201 22 Total 89 GANGAPUR 230 58 21 126 22 194 6 262 12 Total 61 BARASATHI 234 23 20 88 21 153 20 218 15 Total 76 GARWARA 242 34 23 92 25 150 23 208 20 Total 91 RAJGARH 246 68 22 151 22 234 22 317 20 Total 86 CHHANVEY (SC) 250 54 22 129 23 204 23 279 22 Total 90 JHUSI 254 49 21 111 21 173 20 235 18 Total 80 CHAIL (SC) 262 28 16 87 16 146 15 205 17

9 Total 64 KISHUNPUR (SC) 266 33 13 94 11 155 12 216 13 Total 49 BINDKI 270 40 19 168 16 232 16 250 12 Total 63 KANPUR CANTONMENT 274 21 6 70 13 119 12 168 12 Total 43 CHAUBEPUR 282 2 11 17 14 55 7 108 8 Total 40 AJITMAL (SC) 286 62 18 109 14 174 17 221 16 Total 65 BHARTHANA 290 5 16 52 17 70 12 117 19 Total 64 CHHIBRABALL 294 64 17 134 16 204 9 273 16 Total 58 TINDWARI 302 44 14 101 16 158 16 215 13 Total 59 MAUDAHA 306 21 16 73 16 125 16 160 16 Total 64 MEHRONI 310 38 16 113 16 188 16 262 16 Total 64 MAURANIPUR (SC) 314 27 18 95 15

10 163 17 231 14 Total 64 KARHAL 322 47 17 57 13 107 16 167 14 Total 60 MAINPURI 326 67 16 135 17 203 15 271 12 Total 60 SORON 330 15 16 90 13 165 13 188 16 Total 58 JALESAR (SC) 334 15 16 91 15 165 16 171 15 Total 62 AGRA EAST 342 6 13 81 12 156 13 Total 38 GOVERDHAN (SC) 346 7 10 82 10 157 12 232 11 Total 43 GOKUL 350 18 13 72 15 126 13 180 14 Total 55 SIKANDRA RAO 354 6 12 JEWAR (SC) 362 165 14 240 16 Total 30 SIANA 366 10 12 65 13 120 16 160 15 Total 56 SIKANDRABAD 370 25 16 90 18 155 18 220 19 Total 71 MODI NAGAR 374 36 12 114 8

11 192 10 262 13 Total 43 KHARKHAUDA 382 90 13 130 10 170 10 Total 33 BARNAWA 386 11 16 64 15 170 18 Total 49 JANSATH (SC) 390 7 11 82 16 157 15 Total 42 BAGHRA 394 10 12 85 18 160 18 Total 48

Note: Though four PSs were selected randomly from each AC, in some cases only two or three polling stations were covered due to social tension, threat to fieldworkers’ safety and unfriendly attitude of the community towards the survey and other similar kind of hurdles which would not appreciate to conduct the survey in a stipulated time period of four day. Apart from that the survey could not be conducted in Dhampur Assembly Constituency and 3 polling stations of Sikandra Rao Assembly Constituency because of unavailability of the revised electoral rolls.

12 II. ANNEXURE-2 MARGINAL OF ALL QUESTIONS Q1: In the next few weeks assembly elections are to be held in Uttar Pradesh. Have you heard about it?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 488 9.8 9.8 9.8 Yes 4385 87.9 87.9 97.7 DK 115 2.3 2.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q2: Will you vote in the coming assembly elections?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 121 2.4 2.4 2.4 Yes 4632 92.9 92.9 95.3 DK 235 4.7 4.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q2a: (If yes) On the day of voting will you definitely vote or you may not vote also?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Will definitely vote 3317 66.5 66.5 66.5 May not vote 1034 20.7 20.7 87.2 No opinion 281 5.6 5.6 92.9 Not applicable 356 7.1 7.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

13 Q3: If the Assembly Elections are held tomorrow then which party or candidate will you vote for?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Congress 370 7.4 7.4 7.4 BJP 908 18.2 18.2 25.6 BSP 1317 26.4 26.4 52.0 SP 1530 30.7 30.7 82.7 RLD (Ajit Singh) 86 1.7 1.7 84.4 Apna Dal 38 .8 .8 85.2 Jan Morcha (V.P. 10 .2 .2 85.4 Singh) CPM 12 .2 .2 85.6 Others 79 1.6 1.6 87.2 Independents 12 .2 .2 87.4 Do not know 18 .4 .4 87.8 Blank/Refusal 608 12.2 12.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q4: The party for which you voted now, will you vote the same party on the day of voting or your decision may change after seeing the list of candidates?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Vote for the same party 3114 62.4 62.4 62.4 Can change 1090 21.9 21.9 84.3 DK 784 15.7 15.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q5: Now I will ask you about the last Assembly Election held in 2002. Were you able to caste your vote or not?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 732 14.7 14.7 14.7 Yes 3581 71.8 71.8 86.5 Do not remember 467 9.4 9.4 95.8 Not a voter then 208 4.2 4.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

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Q6: Who would you prefer the next Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Rahul Gandhi 231 4.6 4.6 4.6 Kalyan Singh 769 15.4 15.4 20.0 Mayawati 1404 28.1 28.1 48.2 Mulayam Singh Yadav 1567 31.4 31.4 79.6 Ajit Singh 60 1.2 1.2 80.8 Priyanka Gandhi 19 .4 .4 81.2 Rajnath Singh 100 2.0 2.0 83.2 Akhilesh Yadav 23 .5 .5 83.7 Amar Singh 33 .7 .7 84.3 Kalraj Misra 11 .2 .2 84.5 Lalji Tandon 3 .1 .1 84.6 Salman Khurshid 22 .4 .4 85.0 Keshri Nath Tripathi 3 .1 .1 85.1 Om Prakash Singh 1 .0 .0 85.1 Raj Babbar 8 .2 .2 85.3 Shiv Pal Yadav 1 .0 .0 85.3 Sonelal Patel 22 .4 .4 85.7 Others 64 1.3 1.3 87.0 Blank/Refused to answer 647 13.0 13.0 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q7a: Development of Uttar Pradesh has improved or deteriorate in the last 4 years of SP government?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Deteriorated 878 17.6 17.6 17.6 No difference 1307 26.2 26.2 43.8 Improved 1947 39.0 39.0 82.8 No opinion 856 17.2 17.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

15 Q7b: Curbing corruption has improved or deteriorate in the last 4 years of SP government?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Deteriorated 1531 30.7 30.7 30.7 No difference 1493 29.9 29.9 60.6 Improved 994 19.9 19.9 80.6 No opinion 970 19.4 19.4 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q7c: Security of common people has improved or deteriorate in the last 4 years of SP government?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Deteriorated 1544 31.0 31.0 31.0 No difference 1466 29.4 29.4 60.3 Improved 949 19.0 19.0 79.4 No opinion 1029 20.6 20.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q7d: Unity among Hindus & Muslims has improved or deteriorate in the last 4 years of SP government?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Deteriorated 1155 23.2 23.2 23.2 No difference 1420 28.5 28.5 51.6 Improved 1107 22.2 22.2 73.8 No opinion 1306 26.2 26.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q8: What is your assesment of the work done by Samajwadi Party (SP) government in Uttar Pradesh during the last four years? Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with it?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Very satisfied 937 18.8 18.8 18.8 Somewhat Satisfied 1521 30.5 30.5 49.3 Somewhat dissatisfied 747 15.0 15.0 64.3 Fully dissatisfied 1011 20.3 20.3 84.5 No opinion 772 15.5 15.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

16 Q10a: Who is the better leader for the development of Uttar Pradesh?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Mayawati 1362 27.3 27.3 27.3 Kalyan Singh 970 19.4 19.4 46.8 Mulayam Singh Yadav 1824 36.6 36.6 83.3 No opinion 832 16.7 16.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q10b: Who is the most trustworthy leader in Uttar Pradesh?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Mayawati 1396 28.0 28.0 28.0 Kalyan Singh 1037 20.8 20.8 48.8 Mulayam Singh Yadav 1441 28.9 28.9 77.7 No opinion 1114 22.3 22.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q10c: Who is the better administrator in Uttar Pradesh?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Mayawati 1905 38.2 38.2 38.2 Kalyan Singh 890 17.8 17.8 56.0 Mulayam Singh Yadav 1160 23.3 23.3 79.3 No opinion 1033 20.7 20.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q10d: Who is the most honest leader of Uttar Pradesh?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Mayawati 1178 23.6 23.6 23.6 Kalyan Singh 1003 20.1 20.1 43.7 Mulayam Singh Yadav 1077 21.6 21.6 65.3 No opinion 1730 34.7 34.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

17 Q11: While deciding whom to vote, what would be the most important consideration for you?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Development issues 1525 30.6 30.6 30.6 Corruption issues 296 5.9 5.9 36.5 Security of Life and 171 3.4 3.4 39.9 property issues Price rise issues 701 14.1 14.1 54.0 Unemployment issues 457 9.2 9.2 63.2 Electricity/Water/Road 363 7.3 7.3 70.4 issues Facilities of Schools and 63 1.3 1.3 71.7 hospitals Communalism issues 48 1.0 1.0 72.7 Temple/Mosque issues 22 .4 .4 73.1 A good chief minister 220 4.4 4.4 77.5 A good governance 111 2.2 2.2 79.7 Work of present 34 .7 .7 80.4 government Political terrorism 25 .5 .5 80.9 Law and order situation 89 1.8 1.8 82.7 Others 197 3.9 3.9 86.6 Blank/Refused 666 13.3 13.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q12: Do you know who is the MLA of your area?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Incorrect 897 18.0 18.0 18.0 Correct 3596 72.1 72.1 90.1 DK 495 9.9 9.9 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q13: After being elected as the MLA, did he/she ever visit your village/locality/colony?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 1776 35.6 35.6 35.6 Yes 2378 47.7 47.7 83.3 No opinion 834 16.7 16.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

18 Q14: Have you ever tried to meet him for some personal work?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 3318 66.5 66.5 66.5 Yes 1109 22.2 22.2 88.8 No opinion 561 11.2 11.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q14a: (If yes), Have you able to meet with him?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 247 5.0 22.3 22.3 Yes 862 17.3 77.7 100.0 Total 1109 22.2 100.0 Missing NA 3879 77.8 Total 4988 100.0

Q14b: (If yes) To what extent did he try to solve your problem?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Very much 450 9.0 52.2 52.2 Not much 257 5.2 29.8 82.0 Not at all 117 2.3 13.6 95.6 No opinion 38 .8 4.4 100.0 Total 862 17.3 100.0 Missing NA 4126 82.7 Total 4988 100.0

Q14c: (If no) If you have to meet him for some personal work in future, do you think you will be able to meet him?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 661 13.3 19.9 19.9 Yes 976 19.6 29.4 49.3 Can not say 1681 33.7 50.7 100.0 Total 3318 66.5 100.0 Missing NA 1670 33.5 Total 4988 100.0

19 Q15: To what extent do you think your MLA has worked for the development of your area?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Great deal 693 13.9 13.9 13.9 Somewhat 2085 41.8 41.8 55.7 Not at all 1232 24.7 24.7 80.4 No opinion 978 19.6 19.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q16: How was his/her conduct with general public?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Very good 639 12.8 12.8 12.8 OK 2146 43.0 43.0 55.8 Bad 727 14.6 14.6 70.4 Cannot say 1476 29.6 29.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q17: Are you satisfied with his/her work in your locality for past five years?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Fully satisfied 764 15.3 15.3 15.3 Somewhat satisfied 1812 36.3 36.3 51.6 Somewhat dissatisfied 506 10.1 10.1 61.8 Fully dissatisfied 879 17.6 17.6 79.4 No opinion 1027 20.6 20.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q18: Do you think that your MLA should be given another chance?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2256 45.2 45.2 45.2 Yes 1626 32.6 32.6 77.8 DK/Cannot say 1106 22.2 22.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

20 Q19a: Which of the party is better for Backwards?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid SP 1799 36.1 36.1 36.1 BSP 1485 29.8 29.8 65.8 BJP 609 12.2 12.2 78.0 Congress 388 7.8 7.8 85.8 No opinion 707 14.2 14.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q19b: Which of the party is better for Dalits?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid SP 904 18.1 18.1 18.1 BSP 2710 54.3 54.3 72.5 BJP 444 8.9 8.9 81.4 Congress 266 5.3 5.3 86.7 No opinion 664 13.3 13.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q19c: Which of the party is better for Muslims?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid SP 2169 43.5 43.5 43.5 BSP 1019 20.4 20.4 63.9 BJP 422 8.5 8.5 72.4 Congress 496 9.9 9.9 82.3 No opinion 882 17.7 17.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q19d: Which of the party is better for Poor?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid SP 1352 27.1 27.1 27.1 BSP 1341 26.9 26.9 54.0 BJP 815 16.3 16.3 70.3 Congress 475 9.5 9.5 79.9 No opinion 1005 20.1 20.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

21 Q19e: Which of the party is better for Women?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid SP 1266 25.4 25.4 25.4 BSP 1291 25.9 25.9 51.3 BJP 793 15.9 15.9 67.2 Congress 545 10.9 10.9 78.1 No opinion 1093 21.9 21.9 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q20: How do you describe yourself as a traditional party supporter?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Congress 361 7.2 7.2 7.2 BJP 926 18.6 18.6 25.8 BSP 1167 23.4 23.4 49.2 SP 1371 27.5 27.5 76.7 RLD (Ajit Singh) 79 1.6 1.6 78.3 Apna Dal 30 .6 .6 78.9 Jan Morcha (V.P. Singh) 2 .0 .0 78.9 CPM 23 .5 .5 79.4 Others 105 2.1 2.1 81.5 Independents 14 .3 .3 81.8 Supporter of no party 389 7.8 7.8 89.6 Do not know 163 3.3 3.3 92.8 Blank/Refusal 358 7.2 7.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

22 Q20a: In the coming assembly elections BJP/SP/BSP/Congress/RLD should have an alliance with which party?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Congress 685 13.7 13.7 13.7 BJP 461 9.2 9.2 23.0 BSP 680 13.6 13.6 36.6 SP 372 7.5 7.5 44.1 RLD (Ajit Singh) 191 3.8 3.8 47.9 Apna Dal 34 .7 .7 48.6 Jan Morcha (V.P. 16 .3 .3 48.9 Singh) CPM 25 .5 .5 49.4 Others 446 8.9 8.9 58.3 Independents 59 1.2 1.2 59.5 No party 47 .9 .9 60.5 Do not know 949 19.0 19.0 79.5 NA/Blank/Refusal 1023 20.5 20.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q21: What is your opinion on criminalisation of politics in Uttar Pradesh?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Criminalisation increased 2268 45.5 45.5 45.5 Criminalisation 780 15.6 15.6 61.1 decreased No difference 827 16.6 16.6 77.7 No opinion 1113 22.3 22.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

23 Q21a: (If increase) Which party do you think is mainly responsible for it?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Congress 55 1.1 1.1 1.1 BJP 112 2.2 2.2 3.3 BSP 82 1.6 1.6 5.0 SP 1502 30.1 30.1 35.1 RLD (Ajit Singh) 4 .1 .1 35.2 Apna Dal 1 .0 .0 35.2 CPM 3 .1 .1 35.3 Others 185 3.7 3.7 39.0 Independents 4 .1 .1 39.1 No party 12 .2 .2 39.3 Do not know 308 6.2 6.2 45.5 NA/Blank/Refusal 2720 54.5 54.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q22: Have you heard about the Nithari murder case?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2604 52.2 52.2 52.2 Yes 2384 47.8 47.8 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q22a: (If yes) Are you satisfied about the steps taken by the State Government in solving this case?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Very satisfied 331 6.6 6.6 6.6 Somewhat satisfied 723 14.5 14.5 21.1 Somewhat dissatisfied 370 7.4 7.4 28.5 Fully dissatisfied 552 11.1 11.1 39.6 No opinion 408 8.2 8.2 47.8 NA 2604 52.2 52.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

24 Q24: Is there any political party for whom you will never vote under any circumstances?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid 01: Congress 244 4.9 4.9 4.9 02: BJP 619 12.4 12.4 17.3 03: BSP 565 11.3 11.3 28.6 04: SP 959 19.2 19.2 47.9 05: RLD (Ajit Singh) 63 1.3 1.3 49.1 06: Apna Dal 18 .4 .4 49.5 07: Jan Morcha (V.P. 22 .4 .4 49.9 Singh) 08: CPM 39 .8 .8 50.7 09: Others 129 2.6 2.6 53.3 10: Independents 25 .5 .5 53.8 11: No party 1181 23.7 23.7 77.5 98: Do not know 350 7.0 7.0 84.5 99: NA/Blank/Refusal 774 15.5 15.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q23: If the party whom you want to vote in the assembly elections does not field a candidate of your choice, then which party will you vote for?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Congress 529 10.6 10.6 10.6 BJP 640 12.8 12.8 23.4 BSP 797 16.0 16.0 39.4 SP 879 17.6 17.6 57.0 RLD (Ajit Singh) 69 1.4 1.4 58.4 Apna Dal 24 .5 .5 58.9 Jan Morcha (V.P. 10 .2 .2 59.1 Singh) CPM 27 .5 .5 59.6 Others 194 3.9 3.9 63.5 Independents 90 1.8 1.8 65.3 No party 72 1.4 1.4 66.8 Do not know 140 2.8 2.8 69.6 NA/Blank/Refusal 1517 30.4 30.4 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

25 Q25a: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during the last 4 years for the condition of roads in UP?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Improved 2069 41.5 41.5 41.5 Remained same 1352 27.1 27.1 68.6 Deteriorated 944 18.9 18.9 87.5 No opinion 623 12.5 12.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q25b: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during the last 4 years for the hospital facilities in UP?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Improved 1513 30.3 30.3 30.3 Remained same 1677 33.6 33.6 64.0 Deteriorated 1018 20.4 20.4 84.4 No opinion 780 15.6 15.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q25c: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during the last 4 years for the supply of electricity in UP?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Improved 1296 26.0 26.0 26.0 Remained same 1588 31.8 31.8 57.8 Deteriorated 1352 27.1 27.1 84.9 No opinion 752 15.1 15.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q25d: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during the last 4 years for the irrigation facilities in UP?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Improved 956 19.2 19.2 19.2 Remained same 1615 32.4 32.4 51.5 Deteriorated 1356 27.2 27.2 78.7 No opinion 1061 21.3 21.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

26 Q25e: What is your opinion about the work done by SP government during the last 4 years for the school/college facilities in UP?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Improved 1717 34.4 34.4 34.4 Remained same 1375 27.6 27.6 62.0 Deteriorated 914 18.3 18.3 80.3 No opinion 982 19.7 19.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q26: Are you aware that assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh is being held in many phases?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 1838 36.8 36.8 36.8 Yes 2540 50.9 50.9 87.8 Can not say/DK 610 12.2 12.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q26a: (If yes) Some people say it is necessary for free and fair election whereas other people say it delays the development work. What is your opinion in this regard?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Necessary for conducting 1352 27.1 27.1 27.1 free and fair election Unnecessarily delays 347 7.0 7.0 34.1 development work No opinion 841 16.9 16.9 50.9 NA 2448 49.1 49.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

27 Q27: Some people says Mulayam Singh Yadav is only for businessmen, Some people says he works for the wellfare of the people and others say due to him the development of the state has increased. What is your opinion in this regards?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Mulayam Singh's decisions are influenced 1715 34.4 34.4 34.4 by businessmen Mulayam Singh Yadav works for the welfare of 955 19.1 19.1 53.5 the people Mulayam Singh's proximity has led to the 492 9.9 9.9 63.4 devp. of the state No opinion 1826 36.6 36.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q28: Some people says Mayawati cares only for her caste community, some says mayawati cares for the development of state whereas some says Mayawati is a good administrator. What is your opinion in this regards?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Mayawati cares only for 1760 35.3 35.3 35.3 her own caste community Mayawati cares for the 839 16.8 16.8 52.1 development of state Mayawati is a good 984 19.7 19.7 71.8 administrator No opinion 1405 28.2 28.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q29: Some people says Ajit Singh is an opportunist leader, some says Ajit Singh works for the benefit of farmers and others say Ajit Singh works for the benefit of Jats. What is your opinion in this regards?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Ajit singh is an 884 17.7 17.7 17.7 opportunist leader Ajit Singh works for 584 11.7 11.7 29.4 the benefit of farmers Ajit Singh works for 435 8.7 8.7 38.2 the benefit of Jats No opinion 3085 61.8 61.8 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

28 Q30: Suppose that no party gets a majority in the coming assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh, then what do you think should be the best option among the following?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Government should form 1768 35.4 35.4 35.4 by two or more parties Government should form 444 8.9 8.9 44.3 by all parties togather There should imply 563 11.3 11.3 55.6 president rule in the state Re election should be 355 7.1 7.1 62.8 held No opinion 1858 37.2 37.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q31: Have you hared or read about Unemployment Allowance Scheme of UP state government for the unemployed people in the state?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 1425 28.6 28.6 28.6 Yes 3203 64.2 64.2 92.8 No opinion 360 7.2 7.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q31a: (If yes) Has any member in your family benefited from this scheme?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2394 48.0 48.0 48.0 Yes 746 15.0 15.0 63.0 NA 1848 37.0 37.0 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q32: Have you hared or read about Kanya Vidyadhan scheme run by UP state government for girls in the state?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 1205 24.2 24.2 24.2 Yes 3383 67.8 67.8 92.0 No opinion 400 8.0 8.0 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

29 Q32a: (If yes) Has any member in your family benefited from this?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2718 54.5 54.5 54.5 Yes 596 11.9 11.9 66.4 NA 1674 33.6 33.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q33: (If village) Under National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (NERG) the government has distributed Employment Card. Have you heard about it?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2734 54.8 54.8 54.8 Yes 1698 34.0 34.0 88.9 NA 556 11.1 11.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q33a: (If yes) Did you receive such an Employment Card?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 1409 28.2 28.2 28.2 Yes 289 5.8 5.8 34.0 NA 3290 66.0 66.0 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q34: Some people says Kalyan Singh is a good administrator with clean image, some says he is good administrator but encourages communal forces and others say he is only encourages communal forces. What is your opinion in this regards?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Kalyan Singh is a good administrator 1488 29.8 29.8 29.8 with clean image He is a good administrator but 705 14.1 14.1 44.0 encourages communal forces Kalyan Singh only encourages 487 9.8 9.8 53.7 communal forces No opinion 2308 46.3 46.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

30 Q35: Some says Rahul Gandhi is an able leader who can revive Congress in U.P., some says he is an able leader who cannot revive Congress and others say he is young in politics, bur cannot influence national parties. What is your opinion in this regards?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Rahul Gandhi is an able leader who can 1103 22.1 22.1 22.1 revive Congress in UP He is an able leader who can't revive 592 11.9 11.9 34.0 Congress in UP He is young in politics, can't influence national 851 17.1 17.1 51.0 parties No opinion 2442 49.0 49.0 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q36: Some people thinks the crime has decreased in UP than before, some says crime has increased and others say there is no changes in crime. What is your opinion in this regards?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Crime decreased 921 18.5 18.5 18.5 Crime increased 2120 42.5 42.5 61.0 No changes 867 17.4 17.4 78.3 No opinion 1080 21.7 21.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

31 Q37a: Where you place V.P. Singh in the ladder of trust?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Step 1 176 3.5 3.5 3.5 Step 2 350 7.0 7.0 10.5 Step 3 394 7.9 7.9 18.4 Step 4 316 6.3 6.3 24.8 Step 5 257 5.2 5.2 29.9 Step 6 133 2.7 2.7 32.6 Step 7 133 2.7 2.7 35.3 Step 8 167 3.3 3.3 38.6 Step 9 59 1.2 1.2 39.8 step 10 189 3.8 3.8 43.6 88: No opinion 2247 45.0 45.0 88.6 97: Not heard 567 11.4 11.4 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q37b: Where you place Kalyan Singh in the ladder of trust?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Step 1 845 16.9 16.9 16.9 Step 2 656 13.2 13.2 30.1 Step 3 374 7.5 7.5 37.6 Step 4 236 4.7 4.7 42.3 Step 5 208 4.2 4.2 46.5 Step 6 139 2.8 2.8 49.3 Step 7 124 2.5 2.5 51.8 Step 8 121 2.4 2.4 54.2 Step 9 62 1.2 1.2 55.4 step 10 186 3.7 3.7 59.2 88: No opinion 1789 35.9 35.9 95.0 97: Not heard 248 5.0 5.0 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

32 Q37c: Where you place Mayawati in the ladder of trust?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Step 1 1239 24.8 24.8 24.8 Step 2 612 12.3 12.3 37.1 Step 3 457 9.2 9.2 46.3 Step 4 238 4.8 4.8 51.0 Step 5 183 3.7 3.7 54.7 Step 6 117 2.3 2.3 57.1 Step 7 84 1.7 1.7 58.7 Step 8 150 3.0 3.0 61.7 Step 9 89 1.8 1.8 63.5 step 10 238 4.8 4.8 68.3 88: No opinion 1477 29.6 29.6 97.9 97: Not heard 104 2.1 2.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q37d: Where you place Ajit Singh in the ladder of trust?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Step 1 177 3.5 3.5 3.5 Step 2 238 4.8 4.8 8.3 Step 3 229 4.6 4.6 12.9 Step 4 349 7.0 7.0 19.9 Step 5 301 6.0 6.0 25.9 Step 6 248 5.0 5.0 30.9 Step 7 171 3.4 3.4 34.3 Step 8 162 3.2 3.2 37.6 Step 9 61 1.2 1.2 38.8 step 10 130 2.6 2.6 41.4 88: No opinion 2359 47.3 47.3 88.7 97: Not heard 563 11.3 11.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

33 Q37e: Where you place Mulayam Singh Yadav in the ladder of trust?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Step 1 1299 26.0 26.0 26.0 Step 2 362 7.3 7.3 33.3 Step 3 306 6.1 6.1 39.4 Step 4 251 5.0 5.0 44.5 Step 5 249 5.0 5.0 49.5 Step 6 145 2.9 2.9 52.4 Step 7 88 1.8 1.8 54.1 Step 8 145 2.9 2.9 57.0 Step 9 79 1.6 1.6 58.6 step 10 433 8.7 8.7 67.3 88: No opinion 1501 30.1 30.1 97.4 97: Not heard 130 2.6 2.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q37f: Where you place Raj Babbar in the ladder of trust?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Step 1 55 1.1 1.1 1.1 Step 2 138 2.8 2.8 3.9 Step 3 182 3.6 3.6 7.5 Step 4 206 4.1 4.1 11.6 Step 5 270 5.4 5.4 17.1 Step 6 297 6.0 6.0 23.0 Step 7 282 5.7 5.7 28.7 Step 8 210 4.2 4.2 32.9 Step 9 85 1.7 1.7 34.6 step 10 131 2.6 2.6 37.2 88: No opinion 2557 51.3 51.3 88.5 97: Not heard 575 11.5 11.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

34 Q37g: Where you place Amar Singh in the ladder of trust?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Step 1 33 .7 .7 .7 Step 2 284 5.7 5.7 6.4 Step 3 205 4.1 4.1 10.5 Step 4 161 3.2 3.2 13.7 Step 5 183 3.7 3.7 17.4 Step 6 221 4.4 4.4 21.8 Step 7 312 6.3 6.3 28.0 Step 8 230 4.6 4.6 32.7 Step 9 163 3.3 3.3 35.9 step 10 152 3.0 3.0 39.0 88: No opinion 2484 49.8 49.8 88.8 97: Not heard 560 11.2 11.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q37h: Where you place Salman Khurshid in the ladder of trust?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Step 1 131 2.6 2.6 2.6 Step 2 213 4.3 4.3 6.9 Step 3 184 3.7 3.7 10.6 Step 4 234 4.7 4.7 15.3 Step 5 133 2.7 2.7 17.9 Step 6 168 3.4 3.4 21.3 Step 7 223 4.5 4.5 25.8 Step 8 315 6.3 6.3 32.1 Step 9 114 2.3 2.3 34.4 step 10 164 3.3 3.3 37.7 88: No opinion 2357 47.3 47.3 84.9 97: Not heard 752 15.1 15.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

Q38: Do you think that the present SP government in the state should be given another chance?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2333 46.8 46.8 46.8 Yes 1822 36.5 36.5 83.3 No opinion 833 16.7 16.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

35 B1: How often do you practice in prayer, namaz etc.?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Daily 1953 39.2 39.2 39.2 Once a week 848 17.0 17.0 56.2 Occassionally 973 19.5 19.5 75.7 Only during festivals 684 13.7 13.7 89.4 Never 355 7.1 7.1 96.5 No opinion 175 3.5 3.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B2: How Regularly do you read newspaper?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Regularly 772 15.5 15.5 15.5 Sometimes 1045 21.0 21.0 36.4 Rarely 657 13.2 13.2 49.6 Never 2514 50.4 50.4 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B3: How Regularly do you listen to news on radio?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Regularly 677 13.6 13.6 13.6 Sometimes 1292 25.9 25.9 39.5 Rarely 897 18.0 18.0 57.5 Never 2122 42.5 42.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B4: How Regularly do you watch news on T.V.?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Regularly 733 14.7 14.7 14.7 Sometimes 1312 26.3 26.3 41.0 Rarely 764 15.3 15.3 56.3 Never 2179 43.7 43.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

36 B5: Did you get Photo I-card?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Yes, have voter I-card 3417 68.5 68.5 68.5 Photo has taken but 658 13.2 13.2 81.7 I-card not given Have photo I-card but 90 1.8 1.8 83.5 it is wrong Photo I-card not given 662 13.3 13.3 96.8 Photo I-card had lost 94 1.9 1.9 98.7 Others 67 1.3 1.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B5a: (If yes) When did you get your Voter I-card?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid In the last one month 794 15.9 15.9 15.9 In the last Assembly 846 17.0 17.0 32.9 elections In the last Lok Sabha 245 4.9 4.9 37.8 Elections Before the last Lok 416 8.3 8.3 46.1 Sabha Elections Long before 1042 20.9 20.9 67.0 Others 74 1.5 1.5 68.5 NA 1571 31.5 31.5 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B6: Do you have Ration card?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 887 17.8 17.8 17.8 Yes 4101 82.2 82.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

37 B6a: (If yes) Which Ration card do you have?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid A.P.L.* 719 14.4 14.4 14.4 B.P.L.** 901 18.1 18.1 32.5 Antodaya 135 2.7 2.7 35.2 Blue card 31 .6 .6 35.8 Red card 344 6.9 6.9 42.7 Yellow card 1855 37.2 37.2 79.9 DK 5 .1 .1 80.0 NA 998 20.0 20.0 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

* Above Poverty Line ** Below Poverty Line

B7: During the last 3 months have you bought ration from fair price shop?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 3197 64.1 64.1 64.1 Yes 1791 35.9 35.9 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B8: What is your age? (recoded)

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Upto 25 yrs 956 19.2 19.2 19.2 26-35yrs 1396 28.0 28.0 47.3 36-45yrs 1068 21.4 21.5 68.7 46-55yrs 736 14.8 14.8 83.5 Above 55 yrs 821 16.5 16.5 100.0 Total 4977 99.8 100.0 Missing System 11 .2 Total 4988 100.0

38 B9: Gender

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Male 2849 57.1 57.1 57.1 Female 2139 42.9 42.9 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B10: What is your marital status?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Married 4302 86.2 86.2 86.2 Unmarried 473 9.5 9.5 95.7 Living with someone, 19 .4 .4 96.1 but unmarried Divorced/Separated 18 .4 .4 96.5 Widowed 111 2.2 2.2 98.7 NA 65 1.3 1.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B11: Label of Education (Respondent)

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Non literate 1946 39.0 39.0 39.0 Below Primary 262 5.3 5.3 44.3 Primary pass/Middle fail 487 9.8 9.8 54.0 Middle pass/Matric fail 549 11.0 11.0 65.0 Matric 567 11.4 11.4 76.4 College no-degree 524 10.5 10.5 86.9 Graduate 411 8.2 8.2 95.1 Post Graduate 145 2.9 2.9 98.1 Professional degrees 35 .7 .7 98.8 NA 62 1.2 1.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

39 B11a: Label of Education (Father)

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Non literate 3349 67.1 67.1 67.1 Below Primary 156 3.1 3.1 70.3 Primary pass/Middle fail 328 6.6 6.6 76.8 Middle pass/Matric fail 297 6.0 6.0 82.8 Matric 327 6.6 6.6 89.4 College no-degree 247 5.0 5.0 94.3 Graduate 155 3.1 3.1 97.4 Post Graduate 67 1.3 1.3 98.8 Professional degrees 22 .4 .4 99.2 NA 40 .8 .8 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B11a: Label of Education (Mother)

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Non literate 4121 82.6 82.6 82.6 Below Primary 103 2.1 2.1 84.7 Primary pass/Middle fail 230 4.6 4.6 89.3 Middle pass/Matric fail 158 3.2 3.2 92.5 Matric 142 2.8 2.8 95.3 College no-degree 81 1.6 1.6 96.9 Graduate 48 1.0 1.0 97.9 Post Graduate 10 .2 .2 98.1 Professional degrees 3 .1 .1 98.2 NA 92 1.8 1.8 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

40 B12: Occupation (Respondent) Frequency Percent Valid Cumulative Percent Percent Valid Scientist 9 .2 .2 .2 Engineers 8 .2 .2 .3 Doctors 14 .3 .3 .6 Lawyers 22 .4 .4 1.1 Accountants(with degree 2 .0 .0 1.1 and working in good firm) College/University teachers 16 .3 .3 1.4 Writers 4 .1 .1 1.5 Modern Artist 1 .0 .0 1.5 Other higher professional 10 .2 .2 1.7 Science and engineering 4 .1 .1 1.8 technician Computer operator 8 .2 .2 2.0 Alternative doctors 4 .1 .1 2.0 Medical Technician 5 .1 .1 2.1 School teachers 33 .7 .7 2.8 Nursery teachers 36 .7 .7 3.5 Folk and commercial artist 2 .0 .0 3.6 Priests 2 .0 .0 3.6 Other lower professionals 6 .1 .1 3.7 Elected officials 1 .0 .0 3.7 (Central/State) Elected officials (District) 1 .0 .0 3.8 Managers 1 .0 .0 3.8 Officials Class-I 2 .0 .0 3.8 Officials Class-II 3 .1 .1 3.9 Class-III Employee 41 .8 .8 4.7 (Clerical) Superintendents 2 .0 .0 4.8 Traditional clerks 9 .2 .2 4.9 Class IV employee 13 .3 .3 5.2 Other administrative, 7 .1 .1 5.3 managerial and clerical workers Big businessmen 6 .1 .1 5.5 Medium businessmen 50 1.0 1.0 6.5 Small businessmen 179 3.6 3.6 10.0 Petty shopkeeper 78 1.6 1.6 11.6 Hawkers, Vendors 15 .3 .3 11.9 Sales Executives 6 .1 .1 12.0 Salespersons 5 .1 .1 12.1 Shop Assistants 24 .5 .5 12.6 Other businessmen 16 .3 .3 12.9 Waiters 4 .1 .1 13.0 Dhobi 14 .3 .3 13.3 Barbers, beauticians 16 .3 .3 13.6 Ayahs, Maids, Domestic 6 .1 .1 13.7 servants Chowkidars, caretakers 4 .1 .1 13.8 Sweepers, scavengers 5 .1 .1 13.9 Other service workers 41 .8 .8 14.7 Mechanics, machine tool 21 .4 .4 15.2 operators, drivers

41 Electricians 7 .1 .1 15.3 Jewellers 4 .1 .1 15.4 Tailors 33 .7 .7 16.0 Weavers 41 .8 .8 16.9 Shoemakers 7 .1 .1 17.0 Blacksmiths 4 .1 .1 17.1 Carpenters 18 .4 .4 17.4 Other skilled workers 37 .7 .7 18.2 Miners 3 .1 .1 18.2 Measons, bricklayers 10 .2 .2 18.4 Potters 1 .0 .0 18.5 Furniture, basket, mat 8 .2 .2 18.6 makers Rickshaw-pullars 18 .4 .4 19.0 Unskilled labourers 128 2.6 2.6 21.6 Other semi-skilled and 28 .6 .6 22.1 unskilled workers Owner-cultivators 20+ 53 1.1 1.1 23.2 Acres Owner-cultivators 10-20 59 1.2 1.2 24.4 Acres Owner-cultivators 5-10 144 2.9 2.9 27.2 Acres Owner-cultivators 1-5 498 10.0 10.0 37.2 Acres Owner-cultivators 0-1 Acre 248 5.0 5.0 42.2 Tenant Cultivators. 5+ 63 1.3 1.3 43.5 acres Tenant Cultivators 0-5 255 5.1 5.1 48.6 acres Plantation workers 7 .1 .1 48.7 Agricultural labourers 628 12.6 12.6 61.3 Other Agricultural Workers 150 3.0 3.0 64.3 House-wife/husband 1345 27.0 27.0 91.3 Students not seeking 184 3.7 3.7 95.0 employment Employee seekers 52 1.0 1.0 96.0 Unemployed workers, non- 21 .4 .4 96.4 workers Other occupation 58 1.2 1.2 97.6 Political activists 5 .1 .1 97.7 Unidentifiable 27 .5 .5 98.2 N.A. 88 1.8 1.8 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B12a: Occupation (Father) Frequency Percent Valid Cumulative Percent Percent Valid Scientist 25 .5 .5 .5 Engineers 12 .2 .2 .7 Doctors 22 .4 .4 1.2 Lawyers 8 .2 .2 1.3

42 Accountants(with degree 4 .1 .1 1.4 and working in good firm) College/University 12 .2 .2 1.7 teachers Writers 5 .1 .1 1.8 Modern Artist 2 .0 .0 1.8 Other higher professional 14 .3 .3 2.1 Computer operator 2 .0 .0 2.1 Medical Technician 3 .1 .1 2.2 School teachers 38 .8 .8 2.9 Nursery teachers 9 .2 .2 3.1 Folk and commercial 1 .0 .0 3.1 artist Priests 5 .1 .1 3.2 Other lower 1 .0 .0 3.3 professionals Elected officials 3 .1 .1 3.3 (Central/State) Elected officials 8 .2 .2 3.5 (District) Managers 11 .2 .2 3.7 Officials Class-I 5 .1 .1 3.8 Officials Class-II 8 .2 .2 4.0 Class-III Employee 49 1.0 1.0 5.0 (Clerical) Superintendents 3 .1 .1 5.0 clerks 10 .2 .2 5.2 Class IV employee 15 .3 .3 5.5 Other administrative, 12 .2 .2 5.8 managerial and clerical workers Big businessmen 10 .2 .2 6.0 Medium businessmen 29 .6 .6 6.5 Small businessmen 127 2.5 2.5 9.1 Petty shopkeeper 36 .7 .7 9.8 Hawkers, Vendors 15 .3 .3 10.1 Sales Executives 5 .1 .1 10.2 Salespersons 2 .0 .0 10.2 Shop Assistants 19 .4 .4 10.6 Other businessmen 15 .3 .3 10.9 Dhobi 17 .3 .3 11.3 Barbers, beauticians 9 .2 .2 11.4 Ayahs, Maids, Domestic 1 .0 .0 11.5 servants Chowkidars, caretakers 6 .1 .1 11.6 Sweepers, scavengers 4 .1 .1 11.7 Other service workers 22 .4 .4 12.1 Mechanics, machine tool 23 .5 .5 12.6 operators, drivers Electricians 9 .2 .2 12.8 Jewellers 9 .2 .2 12.9 Tailors 21 .4 .4 13.4 Weavers 30 .6 .6 14.0 Shoemakers 5 .1 .1 14.1 Blacksmiths 3 .1 .1 14.1

43 Carpenters 12 .2 .2 14.4 Other skilled workers 17 .3 .3 14.7 Miners 2 .0 .0 14.7 Measons, bricklayers 5 .1 .1 14.8 Potters 3 .1 .1 14.9 Furniture, basket, mat 4 .1 .1 15.0 makers Rickshaw-pullars 11 .2 .2 15.2 Unskilled labourers 77 1.5 1.5 16.7 Other semi-skilled and 25 .5 .5 17.2 unskilled workers Owner-cultivators 20+ 51 1.0 1.0 18.3 Acres Owner-cultivators 10-20 81 1.6 1.6 19.9 Acres Owner-cultivators 5-10 203 4.1 4.1 24.0 Acres Owner-cultivators 1-5 653 13.1 13.1 37.0 Acres Owner-cultivators 0-1 397 8.0 8.0 45.0 Acre Tenant Cultivators. 5+ 111 2.2 2.2 47.2 acres Tenant Cultivators 0-5 389 7.8 7.8 55.0 acres Plantation workers 9 .2 .2 55.2 Agricultural labourers 544 10.9 10.9 66.1 Other Agricultural 149 2.9 2.9 69.0 Workers House-wife/husband 23 .5 .5 69.5 Students not seeking 1 .0 .0 69.5 employment Employee seekers 20 .4 .4 69.9 Unemployed workers, 13 .3 .3 70.2 non-workers Other occupation 310 6.2 6.2 76.4 Political activists 1 .0 .0 76.4 Unidentifiable 21 .4 .4 76.9 N.A. 1154 23.1 23.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B13: What is your Caste/Jati-biradari/Tribe name? Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Valid Brahmin 425 8.5 8.5 8.5 Bhumihar 74 1.5 1.5 10.0 Rajput 452 9.1 9.1 19.1 Kayasthas 70 1.4 1.4 20.5 Vaishya 97 1.9 1.9 22.4 Jain 11 .2 .2 22.6 Punjabi Khatri (only 1 .0 .0 22.7 Hindus) Other upper caste 19 .4 .4 23.0

44 Jat (Hindus only) 145 2.9 2.9 25.9 Other PP 1 .0 .0 26.0 Gujjar 30 .6 .6 26.6 Yadav 615 12.3 12.3 38.9 Kurmi 208 4.2 4.2 43.1 Lodh 122 2.4 2.4 45.5 Koeri 174 3.5 3.5 49.0 Gaderia 108 2.2 2.2 51.2 Other Peasant OBC 44 .9 .9 52.0 Bunkar (Weavers) 7 .1 .1 52.2 Darzee (Tailors) 17 .3 .3 52.5 Thatihar (Make vessel) 3 .1 .1 52.6 Lakhera (Make Lac 4 .1 .1 52.7 Bangles) Badhai (Carpenters) 20 .4 .4 53.1 Kumhar (Potters) 58 1.2 1.2 54.2 Lohar (Black Smith) 43 .9 .9 55.1 Sunar (Gold Smith) 18 .4 .4 55.5 Other Craftsmen 17 .3 .3 55.8 Kewat (Fishermen & 110 2.2 2.2 58.0 Boatmen) Dhobi (Washermen) 46 .9 .9 58.9 Nai (Barber) 46 .9 .9 59.8 Teli (Oil Pressers) 91 1.8 1.8 61.7 Jogi (Mendicants & Seek 8 .2 .2 61.8 Aims) Traders OBC 6 .1 .1 61.9 Toddy Trappers 2 .0 .0 62.0 Landless Labourers 7 .1 .1 62.1 Entertaining Caste 1 .0 .0 62.1 Other service OBC 56 1.1 1.1 63.3 Chamar/Jatav 788 15.8 15.8 79.1 (Leatherwork) Balmiki/Bhangi 17 .3 .3 79.4 (Scavengers) Pasi/Pano 191 3.8 3.8 83.2 Dhobi, Julaha, Kewat (non 50 1.0 1.0 84.2 OBC) 56: Dom 2 .0 .0 84.3 Nomadic/Service SC 17 .3 .3 84.6 Lowest SC 9 .2 .2 84.8 Other SC 38 .8 .8 85.6 ST 13 .3 .3 85.8 Ashrafs (Sayyad Shaikh) 119 2.4 2.4 88.2 Mughal (Khan) 152 3.0 3.0 91.3 Rajput (Peasant 12 .2 .2 91.5 Proprietors) Other Upper Caste 22 .4 .4 91.9 Peasant + Traders 33 .7 .7 92.6 Craftsmen + Weavers 157 3.1 3.1 95.7 Service 98 2.0 2.0 97.7 Other Muslim OBC 48 1.0 1.0 98.7 Muslim no caste/Other 16 .3 .3 99.0 Muslims Sikhs 4 .1 .1 99.1 Christian 2 .0 .0 99.1

45 Other minorities 1 .0 .0 99.1 No religion no caste 29 .6 .6 99.7 Not Ascertained/Failed to 14 .3 .3 100.0 ask/Answer refused Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B13a: What is your caste group?

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid SC 1310 26.3 26.3 26.3 ST 79 1.6 1.6 27.8 OBC 2182 43.7 43.7 71.6 Others 1400 28.1 28.1 99.7 NA 17 .3 .3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B14: Religion

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Hindu 4249 85.2 85.2 85.2 Muslim 647 13.0 13.0 98.2 Christian 32 .6 .6 98.8 Sikh 26 .5 .5 99.3 Buddhist 11 .2 .2 99.5 Jain 3 .1 .1 99.6 Parsi 1 .0 .0 99.6 Others 19 .4 .4 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B15: Area/Locality

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Village 4460 89.4 89.4 89.4 Town (Below 1 lakh) 222 4.5 4.5 93.9 City (Above 1 lakh) 215 4.3 4.3 98.2 Metropolitan City 91 1.8 1.8 100.0 (Above 10 laks) Total 4988 100.0 100.0

46 B15a: (If Town/City) Type of house

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid NA 4133 82.9 82.9 82.9 House/Flat with 4 or 130 2.6 2.6 85.5 more bedrooms House/Flat with 3 or 4 89 1.8 1.8 87.2 Bedrooms House/Flat with 3 150 3.0 3.0 90.3 bedrooms House/flats with 2 pucca 140 2.8 2.8 93.1 rooms (with kitchen) House/Flat with 2 pucca 102 2.0 2.0 95.1 rooms(Without kitchen House with 1 pucca 78 1.6 1.6 96.7 rooms(With kitchen) House with 1 pucca 36 .7 .7 97.4 rooms(without kitchen Mainly Kutcha house 71 1.4 1.4 98.8 Slum/JJ/Fully Kutcha 59 1.2 1.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B15b: (If Village), Type of House

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid NA 561 11.2 11.2 11.2 Pucca 1356 27.2 27.2 38.4 Pucca-Kutcha 1547 31.0 31.0 69.4 Kutcha 1153 23.1 23.1 92.6 Hut 371 7.4 7.4 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

47 B16: Number of rooms used in the household

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No rooms/NA 283 5.7 5.7 5.7 One 556 11.1 11.1 16.8 Two 1320 26.5 26.5 43.3 Three 932 18.7 18.7 62.0 Four 859 17.2 17.2 79.2 Five 379 7.6 7.6 86.8 Six 318 6.4 6.4 93.2 Seven 154 3.1 3.1 96.3 Eight 133 2.7 2.7 98.9 Nine and above 54 1.1 1.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B17: Total number of family member(Adult)

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Blank/NA 411 8.2 8.2 8.2 One 122 2.4 2.4 10.7 Two 1086 21.8 21.8 32.5 Three 693 13.9 13.9 46.4 Four 957 19.2 19.2 65.5 Five 580 11.6 11.6 77.2 Six 533 10.7 10.7 87.9 Seven 241 4.8 4.8 92.7 Eight 259 5.2 5.2 97.9 Nine and above 106 2.1 2.1 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

48 B17: Total number of family member(Children)

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid Blank/NA 681 13.7 13.7 13.7 One 516 10.3 10.3 24.0 Two 1116 22.4 22.4 46.4 Three 1047 21.0 21.0 67.4 Four 624 12.5 12.5 79.9 Five 411 8.2 8.2 88.1 Six 243 4.9 4.9 93.0 Seven 164 3.3 3.3 96.3 Eight 126 2.5 2.5 98.8 Nine and above 60 1.2 1.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B18b: Colour or B/W Television

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2950 59.1 59.1 59.1 B/W 1577 31.6 31.6 90.8 Colour 461 9.2 9.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B18c: Scooter/Motorcycle/Mopet

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 3575 71.7 71.7 71.7 Yes 1413 28.3 28.3 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B18d: Telephone/Mobile Phone

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 3262 65.4 65.4 65.4 Yes 1726 34.6 34.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B18e: Electric fan/cooler

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2565 51.4 51.4 51.4 Yes 2423 48.6 48.6 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

49 B18f: Bicycle

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 1062 21.3 21.3 21.3 Yes 3926 78.7 78.7 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B18g: Radio/Transistor

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 2096 42.0 42.0 42.0 Yes 2892 58.0 58.0 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B18h: Pumping set

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 3731 74.8 74.8 74.8 Yes 1257 25.2 25.2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

B18i: Fridge

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid No 4419 88.6 88.6 88.6 Yes 569 11.4 11.4 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

50 B18j: Cow/Buffalow Frequency Percent Valid Cumulativ Percent e Percent Valid 0 1640 32.9 33.0 33.0 1 847 17.0 17.0 50.0 2 903 18.1 18.2 68.2 3 411 8.2 8.3 76.4 4 266 5.3 5.3 81.8 5 119 2.4 2.4 84.2 6 77 1.5 1.5 85.7 7 24 .5 .5 86.2 8 28 .6 .6 86.8 9 9 .2 .2 86.9 10 162 3.2 3.3 90.2 11 96 1.9 1.9 92.1 12 63 1.3 1.3 93.4 13 12 .2 .2 93.6 14 4 .1 .1 93.7 15 4 .1 .1 93.8 16 2 .0 .0 93.8 20 64 1.3 1.3 95.1 21 51 1.0 1.0 96.2 22 30 .6 .6 96.8 23 20 .4 .4 97.2 24 11 .2 .2 97.4 25 1 .0 .0 97.4 26 1 .0 .0 97.4 30 18 .4 .4 97.8 31 11 .2 .2 98.0 32 27 .5 .5 98.6 33 5 .1 .1 98.7 34 7 .1 .1 98.8 35 1 .0 .0 98.8 36 1 .0 .0 98.8 40 9 .2 .2 99.0 41 2 .0 .0 99.1 42 6 .1 .1 99.2 43 3 .1 .1 99.2 44 1 .0 .0 99.3 50 4 .1 .1 99.3 51 3 .1 .1 99.4 60 1 .0 .0 99.4 80 1 .0 .0 99.4 91 1 .0 .0 99.5 97 1 .0 .0 99.5 99 25 .5 .5 100.0 810 1 .0 .0 100.0 Total 4973 99.7 100.0 Missing System 15 .3 Total 4988 100.0

51 B19: Total monthly household income

Valid Cumulativ Frequency Percent Percent e Percent Valid NA 313 6.3 6.3 6.3 Up to Rs. 1000 1240 24.9 24.9 31.1 Rs. 1001- Rs. 2000 1261 25.3 25.3 56.4 Rs. 2001- Rs. 3000 788 15.8 15.8 72.2 Rs. 3001- Rs. 4000 396 7.9 7.9 80.2 Rs. 4001- Rs. 5000 408 8.2 8.2 88.3 Rs. 5001- Rs. 10,000 383 7.7 7.7 96.0 Rs. 10,001- Rs. 20,000 166 3.3 3.3 99.3 Rs. 20,001 - Rs. 50,000 22 .4 .4 99.8 Rs. 50,001 and above 11 .2 .2 100.0 Total 4988 100.0 100.0

52 III: ANNEXURE-3 VOTE SHARE BY DIFFERENT CATEGORIES OF VOTERS

Congress BJP BSP SP RLD Others* All 8.5 20.8 30.2 35.1 2.0 3.5 Gender Male 8.5 21.1 28.9 35.8 2.0 3.7 Female 8.5 20.4 31.9 34.1 2.0 3.1 Age Group Upto 25 yrs 7.6 21.7 27.3 37.1 1.4 4.9 26-35yrs 8.1 23.2 29.3 32.8 2.5 4.0 36-45yrs 8.5 21.1 31.0 34.7 2.6 2.2 46-55yrs 9.2 18.4 30.4 38.2 1.1 2.7 Above 55 yrs 9.7 17.0 33.8 34.5 1.7 3.2

Area/Locality Rural 7.7 19.8 32.0 35.3 2.2 3.1 Urban 15.1 28.9 15.5 33.7 .4 6.4 Religion Hindu 7.6 23.3 32.8 30.8 2.1 3.3 Muslims 13.5 2.2 12.6 66.2 1.1 4.3 Christian 7.7 23.1 11.5 42.3 15.4 Sikh 12.5 50.0 12.5 25.0 Others 21.9 18.8 46.9 12.5 Caste/Jat Biradari Brahmin 11.5 63.4 10.7 10.7 .5 3.1 Rajput 12.2 48.9 10.6 22.5 1.9 3.8 Vaishya 6.1 52.4 15.9 22.0 3.7 Other Upper Caste 16.2 46.8 16.9 19.5 .6 Jat 4.0 21.6 6.4 16.8 47.2 4.0 Yadav 4.1 3.6 5.0 86.0 1.3 Kurmi 6.9 21.8 13.8 44.7 .5 12.2 Lodha 9.3 38.1 20.6 25.8 1.0 5.2 Other Peasant OBC 9.2 19.3 33.4 33.4 1.0 3.6 Lower OBC 11.5 18.2 31.7 33.6 .4 4.6 Jatav 2.3 3.9 85.6 6.1 .3 1.7 Other SCs 6.8 5.0 64.8 17.4 .7 5.3 Muslims 12.9 4.4 12.6 66.3 1.1 2.7 Others 33.3 50.0 16.7 NA 12.8 17.9 30.8 28.2 10.3 Level of Education (Respondent) Non Literate 7.3 11.4 40.3 36.9 1.2 2.8 Upto Primary 9.5 18.0 32.3 34.7 1.4 4.1 Upto Matric 7.5 22.8 25.0 37.3 3.6 3.9 College and 10.9 35.2 17.9 30.3 2.1 3.7 above N.A 3.6 29.1 29.1 34.5 1.8 1.8 Source: CSDS Data Unit, Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election Study, Pre-Poll – 2007 Note: All figures in percent; N= Number of Respondents. Sample Size: 4988. * Other party includes Janta Dal, Jan Morcha, CPM, Independent and RTKP. Rural¹ includes village, having minimum 5000 population Urban² includes town (below one lakh), city (above one lakh) and Metropolitan (above 10 lakh)

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