UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

D E P A R T Iraq Weekly M E N T Status Report O F January 17, 2007

S T Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs A US Department of State T E

1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

Table of Contents This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars D of US government policy for victory in Iraq. E SECTION SLIDE P Highlights 3 A 1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents R 5 T 2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance 7 M 3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic 9 E Government N T 4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential 12 Services O 5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy F 15 6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights 23 S 7. Increase International Support for Iraq 24 T 8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and A 26 T Public Isolation of the Insurgents E Sources and Contact Information 28 Notes and Source Citations 29

2 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

Highlights 1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents D At a press conference January 15, US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad and Multi- E National Forces-Iraq Commander General George Casey discussed the new P Baghdad Security Plan, which is based on the assumption that increased security A for Baghdad is key to allowing political progress and for securing the rest of the R country. The plan is designed, structured, and led by the Iraqis with US support. T 2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance M In recruiting drives held January 10, the Fallujah Police District enlisted 102 Iraqi E males, and the Habbaniyah Police District enlisted 199. The 301 recruits will soon N travel to Jordan to attend the International Police Training College, where they will T be joined by 550 recruits from other parts of Anbar province. 3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government O Iraq’s Deputy Prime Minister, Barham Salih (Kurdish Alliance), said that Iraqi F leaders must commit to reforms. He stated that “the time has come to take initiative, and utilize American support that has been offered to us to really turn the S corner." Salih added that failure to do so would damage Iraqi leaders’ credibility in T the eyes of Iraqis. A 4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services T Construction was recently completed on the Rumaytha substation in Muthanna E province. The US Army-funded project provides additional electricity to the municipal grid system for the local population of Rumaytha.

3 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

Highlights

5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy D USAID recently awarded $9.9 million in grants to establish or continue the development of E sustainable Iraqi microfinance institutions. Microfinance operations throughout the country P support lending to approximately 17,000 active clients with a total portfolio of approximately $19 million. A R 6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law The sentences against the former head of Iraqi Intelligence and the judge of the Revolutionary T Court that ordered the execution of 148 citizens of Dujail in 1982 were carried out at dawn M January 15. Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti, Saddam's half-brother and Awad al-Bandar, former E judge on Saddam’s Revolutionary Court, were hanged for their roles in the Dujail killings. N 7. Increase International Support for Iraq T Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice participated in a number of meetings with key Gulf leaders to persuade America's Arab allies to support President Bush's new strategy for O quelling violence in Iraq. Secretary Rice discussed the Iraq plan privately with Saudi Arabia's F King Abdullah, and met the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council, along with those of Egypt and Jordan, also known as the “GCC + 2” group of Arab states. 8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the S Insurgents T More than 13 hours after the carrying out of the sentences against two of Saddam Hussein's A aides, Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti and Awad Hamad al-Bandar, an official video was played to a T small group of Iraqi and Western reporters that showed the noose decapitating Tikriti. Officials E said they would only run the silent, three-minute video once and not show it in public again.

4 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency Ambassador Khalilzad and General Casey Discuss New Security Plan: D • At a press conference January 15, US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad and Multi-National E Forces-Iraq Commander General George Casey discussed the new Baghdad Security P Plan, which is based on the assumption that increased security for Baghdad is key to A allowing political progress and for securing the rest of the country. R T • The plan is designed, structured, and led by the Iraqis with US support. Prime Minister M Maliki and the Government of Iraq (GOI) have committed that all those who break the law E will be targeted; there will be no sanctuary for criminals or murderers; no militia will be a N replacement for the state or control local security; and military commanders will have T freedom of action and an ability to do what is needed without political interference or micromanagement.

O Plan Incorporates Economic, Political, and Reconstruction Efforts to Assist with Security: F • An essential part of the plan is for Iraq to improve its ability to meet the needs of its people. To facilitate this, the Iraqis are planning political, economic services, and public S affairs programs with senior Iraqi leaders in charge of each. Additionally, the GOI will T also spend $10 billion on infrastructure and reconstruction projects, creating jobs for A the Iraqi people. T E • Working jointly with the GOI, the US will double the number of Provincial Reconstruction Teams in Iraq to support the provincial and local governments, helping communities with reconciliation efforts and accelerating the transition to Iraqi self-reliance. 5 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency

Political Progress Necessary for Security Plan’s Success: D E • Political progress is also critical to the success of the new security plan. As such, P the GOI has committed to holding provincial elections, reforming de-Ba'athification A laws, passing hydrocarbon legislation, sharing oil revenues among all Iraqis, and R considering constitutional amendments. T M Regional Efforts to Improve Security: E • The new plan also reinforces regional efforts to stabilize Iraq, and it is integrated N into a broader regional strategy, encouraging more Arab states to play a positive T role and supporting Iraqi efforts to engage their neighbors. O • The regional aspect of the plan also seeks to change the behavior of Iran and Syria, F going after their networks in Iraq that are attacking Coalition Forces and undermining Iraqi security. For example, the Coalition and GOI have already taken S steps against Iranian Explosively Formed Penetrator/Improvised Explosive Device T networks associated with the Iranian Quds forces. A T E

6 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces Iraqi Police Net 301 New Recruits in Fallujah and Habbiniyah: D E • In recruiting drives held January 10, the Fallujah Police District enlisted 102 Iraqi P males, and the Habbaniyah Police District enlisted 199. The 301 recruits will soon A travel to Jordan to attend the International Police Training College, where they will R be joined by 550 recruits from other parts of Anbar province. T • There are currently over 1,900 Iraqi Police candidates in training in Jordan who are M scheduled to return to Anbar province for duty in January and February. E N 1st IA Division Assumes Control of 2nd Brigade: T • The 1st Iraqi Army (IA) Division assumed tactical command of the 2nd Brigade from O US Marine Regimental Combat Team 5 (RCT-5) in a ceremony in Fallujah January F 9. The brigade has operated under the direction of RCT-5 for the last year in Fallujah proper and will continue its informal partnership with the regiment’s 1st S Battalion, 24th Marines. T A T E

7 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces

D Ministry of Interior Forces Ministry of Defense Forces E TRAINED & COMPONENT P EQUIPPED COMPONENT OPERATIONAL A POLICE ~135,000*** R ARMY ~132,700*** NATIONAL ~ 24,400 T POLICE AIR FORCE ~900 M OTHER MOI NAVY ~1,100 ~28,900 E FORCES TOTAL ~134,700** N TOTAL ~188,300** T Total Trained & Equipped ISF: O F ~323,000**** S * Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers T ** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers A *** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces T **** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27 E ministries Data as of January 8, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)

8 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government– Developments Iraqi Leadership Declares Support for Bush Plan: D • Iraq’s Deputy Prime Minister, Barham Salih (Kurdish Alliance), said that Iraqi E leaders must commit to reforms. He stated that “the time has come to take P initiative, and utilize American support that has been offered to us to really turn A the corner.” Salih added that failure to do so would damage Iraqi leaders’ R credibility in the eyes of Iraqis. T • Commenting on the new security plan, Khaled al-Attiya (UIA), a deputy M speaker of parliament, said “If we want the Iraq that we longed for and worked E for, then those political forces which suffered under the former regime ... must N get together and make this work.” T Vice President Hashimi Attacks Maliki for Shia Militia Ties: O • Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi, Iraq’s most senior Sunni Arab politician, F launched a bitter personal attack on Prime Minister Maliki, warning him that the Iraqi government had only limited time to break with sectarian groups and S start delivering to ordinary citizens. T • Hashimi stated that Maliki must serve all Iraqis, rather than maintain his A affiliation with Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr. He argued that Maliki had to be T “encouraged” to break away from Sadr and unite with other groups in Iraqi E society, such as the Sunnis and the Kurds.

9 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government– Developments SCIRI’s Hakim Calls on GOI to Curb Militia Violence: D E • Abdul Aziz al-Hakim (SCIRI) publicly stated that the Government of Iraq should “strike with an iron fist” against anyone who endangers the “safety of P people.” He also urged the militia of cleric Muqtada al-Sadr to disarm. Hakim A commented just hours after President Bush announced his new strategy in R Iraq. T M E N T

O F

S T A T E

10 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government - Iraqi National Unity Government

President

D Deputy President Jalal Talabani Deputy President

E Tariq al-Hashimi ‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi P Prime Minister

A Deputy Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki Deputy Prime Minister (F) = Female R Barham Salih Salam al-Zawba’i

T Minister of Displacement Minister of Minister of Minister of Minister of Culture Minister of Defense M Agriculture Communications & Migration Electricity As’ad Kamal Abdul Qadir Muhammed Abd al-Samad Rahman Muhammad Tawfiq Karim Wahid Ya'rub Nathim Muhammad Abdallah al- Jasim Sultan E Allawi Hashimi Minister of Minister of Minister of Higher N Minister of Finance Minister of Foreign Minister of Health Education Environment Affairs Education TKhudayyir al-Khuza’i Narmin ‘Uthman (F) Bayan Jabr Hoshyar Zebari Ali al-Shammari Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili

Minister of Human Minister of Industry Minister of Minister of Housing & Minister of Labor & Minister of Justice O Rights & Minerals Interior Construction Social Affairs Mahmud Muhammad Wijdan Mikha’il (F) F Fawzi al-Hariri Jawad al-Bulani Hashim al-Shibli Bayan Daza’I (F) Jawad al-Radi

Minister of Minister of Science & Minister of Municipalities Minister of Minister of Oil Minister of Trade S Planning Technology & Public Works Transportation Husayn al- Abd al-Falah al- Ali Baban Ra’id Fahmi Jahid Riyad Ghurayyib Karim Mahdi Salih T Shahristani Sudani

A Minister of Water Minister of Youth & Minister of State for Minister of State for Minister of State for National T Resources Sports Civil Society National Dialogue Affairs Security Affairs E ‘Abd al-Latif Rashid Jasim Muhammad Ja’far Adil al-Asadi Akram al-Hakim Shirwan al-Waili Minister of State for Minister of State for Minister of State for Minister of State for Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Governorates Affairs Tourism and Antiquities Women’s Affairs CoR Affairs Fatin Abd al-Rahman Safa al-Safi Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf Liwa Sumaysim al-Hashimi 11 Mahmud (F) UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2 (Millions of USD) Apportioned Committed Obligated Disbursed D Sector Apportion Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change E Security and Law Enforcement $5,002.59 $4,988.60 $4,988.59 ($0.01) $4,986.05 $4,986.12 $0.07 $4,706.99 $4,712.49 $5.50 P Electricity Sector $4,239.51 $4,238.86 $4,224.59 ($14.27) $4,080.24 $4,080.55 $0.31 $2,977.12 $2,991.69 $14.57 A Oil Infrastructure $1,724.70 $1,723.90 $1,723.90 $0.00 $1,625.04 $1,625.04 $0.00 $1,289.13 $1,306.76 $17.63 Justice, Public Safety and Civil $1,304.15 $1,303.79 $1,304.00 $0.21 $1,297.39 $1,297.60 $0.21 $973.43 $980.06 $6.64 R Society T Democracy $1,001.85 $1,001.74 $1,001.71 ($0.03) $1,001.74 $1,001.71 ($0.03) $889.29 $896.79 $7.51 Education, Refugees, Human $401.50 $401.19 $401.18 ($0.01) $401.19 $401.18 ($0.01) $339.07 $339.15 $0.07 M Rights, Governance Roads, Bridges and E $333.60 $332.41 $332.41 ($0.00) $326.31 $326.31 ($0.00) $209.53 $209.54 $0.00 N Construction Health Care $818.90 $817.55 $817.47 ($0.08) $801.45 $801.41 ($0.04) $595.43 $612.34 $16.92 T Transportation and $464.12 $464.11 $464.11 $0.00 $458.23 $458.23 $0.000 $337.15 $339.50 $2.35 Communications Water Resources and $2,131.08 $2,121.20 $2,121.20 ($0.00) $2,048.90 $2,048.89 ($0.00) $1,417.28 $1,431.28 $13.99 O Sanitation F Private Sector Development $813.95 $813.95 $813.91 ($0.04) $813.95 $813.91 ($0.04) $761.57 $761.58 $0.01 Admin Expense (USAID, $213.00 $212.45 $212.45 $0.00 $212.45 $212.45 $0.00 $155.77 $155.77 $0.00 STATE) S Total $18,448.95 $18,419.76 $18,405.53 ($14.24) $18,052.95 $18,053.42 $0.47 $14,651.75 $14,736.94 $85.19 T IRRF II Construction $10,589.83 $10,575.48 ($14.35) $10,244.98 $10,245.13 $0.15 $7,943.37 $7,989.33 $45.97 IRRF II Non-Construction $6,828.19 $6,828.34 $0.15 $6,806.22 $6,806.58 $0.35 $5,819.10 $5,850.81 $31.71

A IRRF II Democracy $1,001.74 $1,001.71 ($0.03) $1,001.74 $1,001.71 ($0.03) $889.29 $896.79 $7.51

T IRRF I Total $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $0.00 $2,232.3 $2,232.3 $0.00 $2,139.00 $2,139.0 $0.00 E Grand Total IRRF I & II $20,922.25 $20,893.06 $20,878.83 ($14.24) $20,285.25 $20,285.72 $0.47 $16,790.75 $16,875.94 $85.19

As of January 16, 2007 12 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Electricity Overview

D Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004 E P Actual 7-day Average Estimated Demand A 200,000

R 180,000

T 160,000

M 140,000

E 120,000

N 100,000

T 80,000

60,000 Daily Load Served (MWh) Load Served Daily O 40,000

F 20,000

0 1/1/04 1/31/04 3/1/04 3/31/04 4/30/04 5/30/04 6/29/04 7/29/04 8/28/04 9/27/04 10/27/04 11/26/04 12/26/04 1/25/05 2/24/05 3/26/05 4/25/05 5/25/05 6/24/05 7/24/05 8/23/05 9/22/05 10/22/05 11/21/05 12/21/05 1/20/06 2/19/06 3/21/06 4/20/06 5/20/06 6/19/06 7/19/06 8/18/06 9/17/06 10/17/06 11/16/06 12/16/06 S

T Date A T • During the week of January 11-17 electricity availability averaged 4.4 hours per day in Baghdad E and 7.7 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 12% below the same period in 2005.

13 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –Electricity and Transportation

D Electricity: E • Construction was recently completed on the Rumaytha substation in Muthanna P province. The US Army-funded project provides additional electricity to the A municipal grid system for the local population of Rumaytha. R T Transportation: M E • Construction was recently completed on five concrete paved roads in Ninewa N province, totaling approximately 1.16 km. This US Army-funded project T provides increased traffic flow and reliable access to major infrastructure arteries while serving a community of approximately 10,000 residents. O F

S T A T E

14 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job Creation Oil Update: D • Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending January 12 closed with the E following prices: P – Basrah Light at $46.10/barrel – Dated Brent at $53.30/barrel A – WTI Cushing at $54.12/barrel – Oman/Dubai at $51.61/barrel R T M Employment Update: E N Iraqi Employment Per Organization Iraqis Last Iraqis This % T ` Week Week change Gulf Region District (GRD) 23,266 23,658 1.68% O FUS Agency for International Development (USAID) 36,522 33,868 -7.27%

Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)2 N/A 885 S Multi-NationalT Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I) 3,311 7,907 138.81% IraqA Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction 6,415 6,415 0.00% T E GRAND TOTAL 69,514 72,733 4.63%

CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.

Data as of January 16 15 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction: D • The following table shows volume sold and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since April. Since September, the Central Bank has begun slowly appreciating the dinar, as suggested by the E IMF, to tackle rampant inflation over the past year. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the P dollar is reflected in the figure below. A Central Bank of Iraq USD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – January 16, 2006 R $90.0 1,500

T $80.0 1,480 M 1,460 E $70.0 1,440 N $60.0 T 1,420 $50.0 1,400 O $40.0 1,380 NID ExchangeRate F USD Sold (Millions) $30.0 1,360

$20.0 S 1,340 T $10.0 1,320 A $0.0 1,300 T 6 7 3 6 2 0 5 2 5 0 0 2 5 9 5 2 8 9 7 4 1 8 6 6 1 2 3 29 2 12 1 t 2 1 1 2 1 - 6 2 3 1 c t 10 t 1 v 28 c ------p p c o - e l 2 - 9 - 2 - 89 1 2 6 - e e N 5 D 1 y 2 6 l 9 - 13 S - O O Dec ri 16 26 - 30 - Jun n 25 - 23 - 2 - Aug 7g 8 S - - 1 - Dec 1 p l l y 1 Ju l g 11 - - 6 - - Jan E ril 12 - 12 ril Ma 3 n Jul ul u 3 2 1 4 0 - 8 A Ju 3 - Oc p May Jul 16Ju - 20 J l 31 A 6 1 t 1 19 - Oct 2 2 A Apri Ap Apri Ma May 24 Jun 13Ju - 20 Au Aug 23 - 29p p t t Nov v 29 n e Nov o May Ju Se S Oc N Dec 6 - Dec 12 Ja Aug 30 - SepSep Sep 21 - Sep 2 Oc Oc Nov 8 - Nov 1 Dec 13Dec US $ Sold (Weekly Avg) The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)

16 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets

Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market: • The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to about D two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement at Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was approximately$70.00 $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current 10.00% E yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments. P $69.00 Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales A June 1, 2006 - January 12, 2007 9.80% R $68.00 T $67.00 9.60% M E $66.00 9.40% N $65.00 T $64.00 9.20%

O $63.00

F Yield Percentage Bond PriceBond in USD $62.00 9.00%

S $61.00 T 8.80% A $60.00 T $59.00 8.60% n E -Ju 1 -Jun un 8 -J n 15 u 22-Jun 9-J ul 2 6-Jul J l 13- -Jul Trading High = $73.98 (January20 Ju24) g 27- 3-Au g 0-Aug Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30) 1 ug 17-Au -A p 17 UNCLASSIFIED 24-Aug 1 -Se p 3 7 -Sep 14 21-Se -Oct 28-Sep 5 -Oct 12 Oct v 19- o 26-Oct 2-N 9-Nov ov -N 16-Nov 3 -Nov c 2 -Dec e 30 7 -D c 14 e 21-Dec 8-D an 2 4-Jan -J 11 UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events Grants Awarded to Support Three International Microfinance Organizations: D • The US Agency for International Development (USAID) recently awarded $9.9 E million in grants to establish or to continue the development of sustainable Iraqi P microfinance institutions. Microfinance firms throughout the country support lending A to approximately 17,000 active clients with a total portfolio of approximately $19 R million. T M • USAID also helped to establish three indigenous microfinance organizations in the E north, west and center of the country. USAID assisted these organizations in N registering with the NGO office, awarded each a start-up grant of $250,000 in loan T capital, provided staff training and individualized technical assistance, and worked with local US military civilian affairs teams, which support initial operational costs. O F International Accounting Standards and Ethics Introduced Into University Curricula:

S • USAID facilitated the introduction of the International Accounting Standards and T Ethics course into the curriculum at eight universities throughout the country, A reaching 437 students (25% female). USAID also provided procurement funds to T two universities to renovate their facilities. E • Over 40,000 hours of training in the international best practices of accounting have been completed both in- and outside of universities to date. 18 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production

2.80 D 2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD E 2.40 2.23 2.20 2.21 2.18 P 2.14 2.17 2.05 2.05 A 1.99 R 2.00 T 1.72 M 1.60 E N 1.20

T Day Per of Barrels Millions

O 0.80 F

0.40 S T A 0.00 T November November November November December December December December January 1- January 8- 6-12 13-19 20-26 27- 4-10 Production11-17 18-24Target 25-31 7 14 E December 3 • Weekly Average (January 8-14) of 1.72 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)

19 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[5.]2.40 Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export $4.00

Revenue (US$B) Projected Exports (MBPD) D $3.50 E

P 1.80 $3.00 A

R 1.68 1.68 1.67 $2.50 1.60 1.62 T 1.55 1.51 M 1.47 1.44 1.45 1.32 E 1.20 1.25 $2.00 N T $3.41 $3.44 $1.50 USD (Billions) USD $3.02 $2.92 $3.03 O $2.73 $2.46 $1.13

Millions Day per of Barrels $2.45 0.60 $1.00 F $2.16 $2.25 $2.19

S $0.50 T $0.71 A T 0.00 $0.00 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 E • 2006 Revenue Estimate: $31.3 Billion • 2007 Revenue Estimate: $0.7 Billion (Year to Date) 20 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product

Supplies100% Domestic Production Import 15% D 23% E P 80% 41% A R T 67% M 60% E upplies N

T 85% 40% 77% O F 59% Percentage ofShare of Fuel Weekly S

20% S 33% T A T 0% Note: This is a daily average for the week of January 8 – 14 E Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG • Diesel: 8.7 ML supply of 21.0 ML target • Gasoline: 12.4 ML supply of 22.5 ML target • Kerosene: 4.4 ML supply of 16.8 ML target • LPG: 4,232 tons supply of 5,630 tons target 21 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels 25

Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Goal D E P 20 A R T 15 M E N

T Days 10

O F

5 4 4 S 3 333333 T 2 A 1 1

T 0 E • The goalDiesel is to have on hand Kerosene 15 days supply of Gasoline all refined products, LPG calculated on the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages. (For the Week January 1-7) 22 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights– Iraqi Judicial System Two Saddam Aides Hanged at Dawn: D E • The sentences against the former head of Iraqi Intelligence and the judge of the P Revolutionary Court that ordered the execution of 148 citizens of Dujail in 1982 were carried out at dawn January 15. Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti, Saddam's half- A brother and Awad al-Bandar, former judge on Saddam’s Revolutionary Court, were R hanged for their roles in the Dujail killings. T M • Barzan was a feared figure in Iraq at the head of the intelligence service in the E 1980s. Bandar presided the Revolutionary Court which sentenced 148 Shiite men N and youths to death after an assassination attempt on Saddam in the town of T Dujail in 1982. Along with Saddam, they were convicted November 5 of crimes against humanity by the US-sponsored High Tribunal. O F

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23 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments

Saudi Arabia to Host Next Arab League Summit: D • Saudi Arabia's ambassador to the Arab League announced January 16 that E Riyadh will host the organization's next summit March 28 and 29 in a bid to heal P ethnic divisions in the region. The 22-member Arab League traditionally holds its A R annual summit in March in different Arab capitals. T Iraqi President Talabani Arrives in Syria: M E • President Talabani became the first Iraqi head of state to visit Syria in nearly three N decades when he arrived in Syria January 14 with a high-ranking delegation T including interior, trade and water ministers and the chief of the State Oil Marketing Organization. O Secretary Rice Launches Consultations on Iraq in Gulf States: F • Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice participated in a number of meetings with S key Gulf leaders to persuade America's Arab allies to support President Bush's T new strategy for quelling violence in Iraq. Secretary Rice discussed the Iraq plan A privately with Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah, and met the foreign ministers of the T Gulf Cooperation Council, along with those of Egypt and Jordan, also known as E the “GCC + 2” group of Arab states.

24 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi Stability Operations Data as of January 10, 2007 D 25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US) E P A Albania Denmark Lithuania Slovakia R Armenia El Salvador Macedonia South Korea T Australia Estonia Moldova Ukraine M Azerbaijan Georgia Mongolia UK E Bosnia-Herzegovina Japan Poland N Bulgaria Kazakhstan Romania T Czech Republic Latvia Singapore

O

F TOTAL ~ 14,138 Forces *Note: Fiji participating as a part of the UN mission in Iraq. S T A 34 Countries and NATO* T (including US) E Support Iraqi Stability Operations

*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey 25 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments Aides Execution Shown on Video: D • More than 13 hours after the carrying out of the sentences against two of E Saddam Hussein's aides, Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti and Awad Hamad al-Bandar, P an official video was played to a small group of Iraqi and Western reporters that A showed the noose decapitating Tikriti. Officials said they would only run the R silent, three-minute video once and not show it in public again. T M • In order to avoid the distribution of any illicit videos – such as the ones released E after the execution of Saddam Hussein – reporters attending the showing had N their mobile phones taken by Iraqi security men. T • Tikriti and Bandar, who were sentenced in November for their roles in the killing of 148 Shiites in Dujail in 1982, were hanged January 15. O F Iraqi Leaders Comment on President Bush’s “New Way Forward”: • In response to President Bush’s new strategy in Iraq, Prime Minister Maliki said S that the plan represents the common vision and mutual understanding between T the Iraqi government and the US administration…” A T • Iraqi President Jalal Talabani said that the plan “represent[s] a new point of E departure for improving the security situation and are consistent and in harmony with the plans established by the Iraqi government for confronting terrorism and eliminating all types of violence and violations of the law…” 26 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007 [8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments Freelance Journalist Killed: D E • A local police officer said January 13 that gunmen killed an Iraqi journalist P outside his home in Mosul. Khudhir Yunis, a freelance journalist working for a A number of Baghdad-based newspapers, was shot dead overnight. R • Yunis, a member of the Iraqi Journalist Association in Mosul, was the fifth T journalist to be killed in Mosul in the last two months. M E N T

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Iraq Weekly Status – General Information

D E • This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the P A following pages. R T M • Please forward all questions and/or comments to: E N [email protected] T

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Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)

Slide 5: – Press Briefing - U.S. Ambassador to Iraq Zalmay Khalilzad and MNF-I Commander General George Casey – 15 January 2007 D (Iraqhttp://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9113&Itemid=30)

E Slide 6: P – Press Briefing - U.S. Ambassador to Iraq Zalmay Khalilzad and MNF-I Commander General George Casey – 15 January 2007 (Iraqhttp://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9113&Itemid=30) A Slide 7: R – MNF-I Press Release – 11 January 2007 – Release 20070111-15 (http://www.mnf- T iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9006&Itemid=21) – MNF-I Press Release – 10 January 2007 – Release 20070110- 08 (http://www.mnf- M iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=8966&Itemid=21) E Slide 8: N – DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report January 17, 2007 T Slide 9: – http://www.ft.com/cms/s/deb2bf24-a4c2-11db-b0ef-0000779e2340.html – "Morning Edition.“ National Public Radio. January 12, 2007 O – Mroue, Bassem. “Shiite Leader Backs Iraqi Security Plan.” Associated Press. January 11, 2007. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070111/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_shiites F Slide 10: – “Interview: Iraqi government could collapse if security plan fails.” Reuters. January 16, 2007. S http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/KAR655413.htm T Slide 11: – NEA Political Section, [email protected] A Slide 12: T – IRMO Weekly Report, January 16, 2007 E Slide 13: – POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815 – The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of power, but this is due in part to an influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation capacity on actual results. 29 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 17, 2007

Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3) Slide 14: Electricity: – USACE Daily Report - 9 January 07 D Transportation: E – USACE Daily Report - 12 January 07 P Slide 15: – Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg A Employment Update: – Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – January 16, 2007. R – CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0. T – PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis. M Slide 16: – Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org

E Slide 17: N – Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg T Slide 18: – USAID Bi-weekly Report – Jan 8

Slide 19: O – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

F Slide 20: – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

Slide 21: S – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

T Slide 22: A – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 Slide 23: T – Mariam Karouny, Reuters Report January 15, 2007, http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070115/wl_nm/iraq_saddam_aides_dc_3 E

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Slide 24: – http://www.un.org D – http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=42119 E – http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2007-01-16-rice_x.htm Slide 25: P – DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly A Slide 26: – The New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/16/world/middleeast/16hang.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1&ref=world, January 15 R – Prime Minister Maliki, (Official Statement, AFP, 1/13/07), President Talabani, Official Statement, 1/11/06) Slide 27: T – AFP, “Iraqi Freelance Journalist Killed,” January 13, 2007 M E N T

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