FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE August 11, 2010

INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen)

QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312

Hickenlooper Strong With or Without Tancredo in Race

Raleigh, N.C. – After coming from way behind in the last few months to beat ethically troubled Scott McInnis in the Republican primary last night, Dan Maes has an even more daunting challenge if he hopes to take the governorship from the Democrats this fall. Mayor leads Maes by double digits whether American Constitution candidate Tom Tancredo stays in the race or not, but when the Republican vote is split, Hickenlooper has a decisive advantage.

In a two-way, Hickenlooper tops Maes 50-38, with 12% undecided. In the three- candidate race, Hickenlooper barely falls to 48%, with Maes and Tancredo locked at 23% and 22% of the vote, respectively; only 7% are undecided then. Hickenlooper gets 11% of the GOP vote against just Maes, to Maes’ 6% of the Democratic vote, but the mayor even gets 10% in the three-way, with Maes at only 48% to Tancredo’s 32% of Republicans. Hickenlooper pulls 87% or 88% of his own party’s support in either configuration, and he leads Maes with independents, 52-29, and has 46% to Tancredo’s 32% and Maes’ 13%.

Unlike in other states, the candidate of the incumbent party does not suffer from the low job performance ratings of the retiring head of state. Bill Ritter has a 33-50 approval margin, but Hickenlooper’s personal favorability is exactly the opposite, 50-33. Even 21% of Republicans like him. After a divisive primary, Maes has only a 23-38 favorability mark. Tancredo is even worse, 27-50. Independents like Hickenlooper by a 47-30 margin, but they dislike the other two by 17-41 and 24-47 margins, respectively.

“Unless Tancredo drops out and Maes suddenly turns things around with independents and brings more of his party to the fold, Democrats have to feel better about retaining this seat than almost any in the country. Hickenlooper is well liked, and he has a near majority even in a three-way race,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.

PPP surveyed 1,015 Colorado voters from August 7th to 8th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.1%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

If you would like an interview regarding this release, please contact Dean Debnam at (888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888.

Public Policy Polling Phone: 888 621-6988 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] Colorado Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bill Q6 If the candidates for Governor this fall were Ritter’s job performance? Democrat John Hickenlooper, Republican Dan Approve ...... 33% Maes, and American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo, who would you vote Disapprove...... 50% for? Not sure ...... 18% John Hickenlooper ...... 48% Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Dan Maes ...... 23% of John Hickenlooper? Tom Tancredo ...... 22% Favorable...... 50% Undecided...... 7% Unfavorable ...... 33% Q7 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Not sure ...... 17% Woman ...... 52% Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Man...... of Dan Maes? 48% Favorable...... 23% Q8 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4. Unfavorable ...... 38% Hispanic...... 14% Not sure ...... 39% White ...... 78% Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion African-American ...... of Tom Tancredo? 4% Favorable...... 27% Other...... 4% Unfavorable ...... 50% Q9 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65, Not sure ...... 23% press 3. If older, press 4. Q5 If the candidates for Governor this fall were 18 to 29...... 11% Democrat John Hickenlooper and Republican 30 to 45...... Dan Maes, who would you vote for? 24% John Hickenlooper ...... 50% 46 to 65...... 40% Dan Maes ...... 38% Older than 65 ...... 25% Undecided...... 12% Q10 Who did you vote for President in 2008? John McCain...... 45% ...... 49% Someone else/Don't remember ...... 6%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q11 If you are a liberal, press 1. If a moderate, Q12 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If a conservative, press 3. press 2. If an independent or some other party, Liberal...... 24% press 3. Democrat ...... 40% Moderate...... 39% Republican...... 39% Conservative...... 37% Independent/Other...... 20%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Ritter Approval Hickenlooper

Favor ability Approve 33% 34% 31% Favorable 50% 53% 46% Dis appr ove 50% 43% 58% Unfavorable 33% 26% 41% Not s ur e 18% 23% 12% Not s ur e 17% 21% 13%

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Maes Favorability Tancredo

Favor ability Favorable 23% 20% 27% Favorable 27% 22% 32% Unfavorable 38% 35% 40% Unfavorable 50% 50% 50% Not s ur e 39% 46% 33% Not s ur e 23% 28% 18%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Hickenlooper/Maes Hickenlooper/Maes/-

Tancredo John Hickenlooper 50% 55% 45% John Hickenlooper 48% 54% 42% Dan M ae s 38% 32% 43% Dan M ae s 23% 20% 25% Unde cide d 12% 13% 11% Tom Tancredo 22% 18% 27% Unde cide d 7% 8% 6%

Race Race African- African- Bas e His panic White American Othe r Bas e His panic White American Othe r Ritter Approval Hickenlooper

Favor ability Approve 33% 28% 33% 29% 44% Favorable 50% 51% 50% 45% 46% Disapprove 50% 51% 50% 50% 42% Unfavorable 33% 31% 33% 45% 39% Not s ur e 18% 21% 17% 21% 13% Not s ur e 17% 18% 17% 9% 15%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Race Race African- African- Bas e His panic White American Othe r Bas e His panic White American Othe r Maes Favorability Tancredo

Favor ability Favor able 23% 28% 22% 18% 24% Favorable 27% 28% 27% 14% 28% Unfavor able 38% 34% 37% 59% 39% Unfavorable 50% 55% 49% 55% 49% Not s ur e 39% 38% 41% 23% 37% Not s ur e 23% 17% 24% 32% 23%

Race Race African- African- Bas e His panic White American Othe r Bas e His panic White American Othe r Hickenlooper/Maes Hickenlooper/Maes/-

Tancredo John Hickenlooper 50% 58% 49% 57% 54% John Hickenlooper 48% 52% 47% 59% 46% Dan M ae s 38% 30% 39% 38% 37% Dan M ae s 23% 18% 24% 14% 23% Undecided 12% 12% 13% 5% 9% Tom Tancredo 22% 23% 22% 18% 29% Undecided 7% 6% 7% 9% 3%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Ritter Approval Hickenlooper

Favorability Approve 33% 30% 30% 37% 29% Favorable 50% 39% 53% 53% 45% Dis appr ove 50% 47% 44% 52% 52% Unfavorable 33% 45% 27% 31% 38% Not s ur e 18% 23% 25% 11% 19% Not s ur e 17% 16% 21% 16% 17%

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Maes Favorability Tancredo

Favorability Favorable 23% 29% 20% 23% 24% Favorable 27% 30% 21% 27% 30% Unfavorable 38% 32% 33% 43% 35% Unfavorable 50% 42% 53% 53% 47% Not s ur e 39% 38% 47% 35% 41% Not s ur e 23% 29% 26% 20% 23%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Hickenlooper/Maes Hickenlooper/Maes/-

Tancredo John Hickenlooper 50% 45% 54% 55% 43% John Hickenlooper 48% 41% 51% 52% 43% Dan M ae s 38% 43% 36% 32% 46% Dan M ae s 23% 31% 20% 19% 27% Unde cide d 12% 12% 10% 13% 12% Tom Tancredo 22% 23% 22% 22% 23% Unde cide d 7% 4% 7% 7% 8%

2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Ritter Approval Hickenlooper

Favorability Approve 33% 9% 56% 15% Favorable 50% 21% 78% 35% Disapprove 50% 77% 24% 58% Unfavor able 33% 57% 10% 50% Not s ur e 18% 14% 20% 27% Not s ur e 17% 22% 12% 15%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Maes Favorability Tancredo

Favorability Favorable 23% 40% 7% 28% Favorable 27% 42% 11% 40% Unfavor able 38% 20% 54% 35% Unfavor able 50% 32% 68% 34% Not s ur e 39% 40% 39% 36% Not s ur e 23% 25% 21% 25%

2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Hickenlooper/Maes Hickenlooper/Maes/-

Tancredo John Hickenlooper 50% 13% 87% 36% John Hickenlooper 48% 10% 85% 34% Dan M ae s 38% 70% 6% 48% Dan M ae s 23% 45% 3% 12% Undecided 12% 17% 7% 16% Tom Tancredo 22% 35% 8% 50% Undecided 7% 11% 3% 4%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ideology Ideology

Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Ritter Approval Hickenlooper

Favorability Approve 33% 55% 43% 8% Favorable 50% 78% 65% 15% Dis appr ove 50% 26% 37% 78% Unfavor able 33% 12% 19% 62% Not s ur e 18% 19% 20% 14% Not s ur e 17% 11% 16% 23%

Ideology Ideology

Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Maes Favorability Tancredo

Favorability Favorable 23% 9% 15% 41% Favorable 27% 10% 19% 46% Unfavor able 38% 51% 46% 20% Unfavor able 50% 73% 56% 29% Not s ur e 39% 41% 39% 39% Not s ur e 23% 18% 25% 25%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ideology Ideology

Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Hickenlooper/Maes Hickenlooper/Maes/-

Tancredo John Hickenlooper 50% 87% 66% 11% John Hickenlooper 48% 85% 63% 9% Dan M ae s 38% 7% 22% 73% Dan M ae s 23% 4% 14% 44% Undecided 12% 6% 12% 16% Tom Tancredo 22% 8% 17% 37% Undecided 7% 3% 6% 10%

Party Party

Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Ritter Approval Hickenlooper

Favorability Approve 33% 58% 9% 27% Favorable 50% 79% 21% 47% Dis appr ove 50% 23% 75% 53% Unfavorable 33% 10% 58% 30% Not s ur e 18% 19% 15% 20% Not s ur e 17% 10% 21% 23%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Party Party

Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Maes Favorability Tancredo

Favorability Favorable 23% 8% 42% 17% Favorable 27% 11% 44% 24% Unfavorable 38% 52% 21% 41% Unfavorable 50% 69% 32% 47% Not s ur e 39% 40% 38% 42% Not s ur e 23% 20% 24% 28%

Party Party

Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e De m ocr at Republican Independent/Other Hickenlooper/Maes Hickenlooper/Maes/-

Tancredo John Hickenlooper 50% 88% 11% 52% John Hickenlooper 48% 87% 10% 46% Dan M ae s 38% 6% 74% 29% Dan M ae s 23% 3% 48% 13% Undecided 12% 6% 15% 19% Tom Tancredo 22% 8% 32% 32% Undecided 7% 3% 10% 9%

August 7-8, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,015 Colorado voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988