What Can Economists Learn from Happiness Research?
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When Does Behavioural Economics Really Matter?
When does behavioural economics really matter? Ian McAuley, University of Canberra and Centre for Policy Development (www.cpd.org.au) Paper to accompany presentation to Behavioural Economics stream at Australian Economic Forum, August 2010. Summary Behavioural economics integrates the formal study of psychology, including social psychology, into economics. Its empirical base helps policy makers in understanding how economic actors behave in response to incentives in market transactions and in response to policy interventions. This paper commences with a short description of how behavioural economics fits into the general discipline of economics. The next section outlines the development of behavioural economics, including its development from considerations of individual psychology into the fields of neurology, social psychology and anthropology. It covers developments in general terms; there are excellent and by now well-known detailed descriptions of the specific findings of behavioural economics. The final section examines seven contemporary public policy issues with suggestions on how behavioural economics may help develop sound policy. In some cases Australian policy advisers are already using the findings of behavioural economics to advantage. It matters most of the time In public policy there is nothing novel about behavioural economics, but for a long time it has tended to be ignored in formal texts. Like Molière’s Monsieur Jourdain who was surprised to find he had been speaking prose all his life, economists have long been guided by implicit knowledge of behavioural economics, particularly in macroeconomics. Keynes, for example, understood perfectly the “money illusion” – people’s tendency to think of money in nominal rather than real terms – in his solution to unemployment. -
A Quantitative Theory of Political Transitions∗
A Quantitative Theory of Political Transitions∗ Lukas Buchheimy Robert Ulbrichtz August 28, 2019 Abstract We develop a quantitative theory of repeated political transitions driven by revolts and reforms. In the model, the beliefs of disenfranchised citizens play a key role in determining revolutionary pressure, which in interaction with preemptive reforms determine regime dynamics. We study the quantitative implications of the model by fitting it to data on the universe of political regimes existing between 1946 and 2010. The estimated model generates a process of political transitions that looks remarkably close to the data, replicating the empirical shape of transition hazards, the frequency of revolts relative to reforms, the distribution of newly established regime types after revolts and reforms, and the unconditional distribution over regime types. Keywords: Democratic reforms, quantitative political economy, regime dynamics, revolts, transition hazards. JEL Classification: D74, D78, P16. ∗This paper supersedes an earlier working paper titled \Dynamics of Political Systems." We would like to thank the managing editor, Mich`eleTertilt, four anonymous referees, Daron Acemoglu, Toke Aidt, Matthias Doepke, Christian Hellwig, Johannes Maier, Uwe Sunde, and various seminar and conference participants for valuable comments and suggestions. yLMU Munich, Schackstr 4/IV, 80539 Munich, Germany. E-mail: [email protected]. zBoston College, 140 Commonwealth Avenue, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467. E-mail: [email protected]. 1 Introduction This paper develops a quantitative theory of political transitions based on the evolution of beliefs regarding the regime's strength. Traditionally, the literature has focused on explaining specific patterns of regime changes, focusing on isolated transition episodes.1 In this paper, we shift the focus to a macro perspective, aiming to account for a number of stylized facts in a unified framework. -
Veblen Preferences and Falling Calorie Consumption in India
Veblen Preferences and Falling Calorie Consumption in India: Theory and Evidence By Amlan Das Gupta University of British Columbia Abstract Despite rapid economic growth India experienced an unexpected decline in average calorie consumption during the time span 1983-2005. This paper is an attempt to demonstrate that preference for conspicuous consumption driven by status competition within one's peer group is a significant explanatory factor for this decline. It begins by adding status seeking preferences to a dual-economy general equilibrium model, demonstrating the theoretical possibility of this idea. Next, the effect of peer group income on calorie consumption is estimated using World Bank data collected from rural India. Using these estimates it is roughly calculated that Veblen competition can account for more than a third of the missing calories. A unique source of variation in peer group income, based on caste-wise domination across villages, is used for identification. Keywords: Calorie reduction, India, Veblen goods, Caste. JEL codes D11, I 15, O12, O53 Acknowledgments: For his essential guidance and help in this project I would like to thank my supervisor Dr. Mukesh Eswaran and also my supervisory committee members Dr. Pattrick Francois and Dr. Kevin Milligan. I am also grateful for useful comments and suggestions from Dr. Siwan Anderson, Dr. Kaivan Munshi, and the participants of the empirical workshop at the University of British Columbia, especially Dr. Thomas Lemieux and Dr. Nisha Malhotra. I have also benefitted greatly from discussions with my fellow graduate students. 1 1. Introduction There is ample anecdotal evidence to suggest that status, derived from display of wealth, is an important aspect of Indian social life1. -
PAPM 1000 Winter 2011 1
PAPM 1000 Winter 2011 1 Carleton University Arthur Kroeger College of Public Affairs PAPM 1000: Introduction to Public Affairs and Policy Management Winter Term: History of Economic Thought Winter 2011 Instructor: Derek Ireland Wednesday: 14:35-16:25 (2:35-4:25 PM) Office: D199 Loeb Building C164 Loeb Building Phone: 613 747 9593 Office Hours: Wednesdays From 13:00 to 14:20 --Or Email: [email protected] Determined Through Emails with Student Course Objective The objective of the course is to provide an understanding of economic ideas and thinking, how these ideas have evolved and developed and been applied through many centuries, and the implications of economic ideas for past and current policy debates, analysis, development and management. What do we mean by economic ideas? Economic ideas are essentially the concepts, hypotheses, presumptions, guesses and initial thoughts on cause and effect relationships that have been identified, discussed and argued about by economic thinkers over the past decades and centuries. Some of these concepts, guesses and so on are then developed into economic theories which are applied and tested in theoretical and empirical research and policy analysis in our attempts to find answers to such questions as: . Why do consumers purchase what they do? . Why do businesses produce what they do and locate in one place rather than another? . Why do countries trade with each other and should there be more or less international trade in the future? . Why do some countries grow faster than others? . Why are the more advanced OECD countries expected by many economists to grow much more slowly in the future? . -
Reality Television Participants As Limited-Purpose Public Figures
Vanderbilt Journal of Entertainment & Technology Law Volume 6 Issue 1 Issue 1 - Fall 2003 Article 4 2003 Almost Famous: Reality Television Participants as Limited- Purpose Public Figures Darby Green Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/jetlaw Part of the Privacy Law Commons Recommended Citation Darby Green, Almost Famous: Reality Television Participants as Limited-Purpose Public Figures, 6 Vanderbilt Journal of Entertainment and Technology Law 94 (2020) Available at: https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/jetlaw/vol6/iss1/4 This Note is brought to you for free and open access by Scholarship@Vanderbilt Law. It has been accepted for inclusion in Vanderbilt Journal of Entertainment & Technology Law by an authorized editor of Scholarship@Vanderbilt Law. For more information, please contact [email protected]. All is ephemeral - fame and the famous as well. betrothal of complete strangers.' The Surreal Life, Celebrity - Marcus Aurelius (A.D 12 1-180), Meditations IV Mole, and I'm a Celebrity: Get Me Out of Here! feature B-list celebrities in reality television situations. Are You Hot places In the future everyone will be world-famous for fifteen half-naked twenty-somethings in the limelight, where their minutes. egos are validated or vilified by celebrity judges.' Temptation -Andy Warhol (A.D. 1928-1987) Island and Paradise Hotel place half-naked twenty-somethings in a tropical setting, where their amorous affairs are tracked.' TheAnna Nicole Show, the now-defunct The Real Roseanne In the highly lauded 2003 Golden Globe® and Show, and The Osbournes showcase the daily lives of Academy Award® winner for best motion-picture, Chicago foulmouthed celebrities and their families and friends. -
Patience and Comparative Development*
Patience and Comparative Development* Thomas Dohmen Benjamin Enke Armin Falk David Huffman Uwe Sunde May 29, 2018 Abstract This paper studies the role of heterogeneity in patience for comparative devel- opment. The empirical analysis is based on a simple OLG model in which patience drives the accumulation of physical capital, human capital, productivity improve- ments, and hence income. Based on a globally representative dataset on patience in 76 countries, we study the implications of the model through a combination of reduced-form estimations and simulations. In the data, patience is strongly corre- lated with income levels, income growth, and the accumulation of physical capital, human capital, and productivity. These relationships hold across countries, sub- national regions, and individuals. In the reduced-form analyses, the quantitative magnitude of the relationship between patience and income strongly increases in the level of aggregation. A simple parameterized version of the model generates comparable aggregation effects as a result of production complementarities and equilibrium effects, and illustrates that variation in preference endowments can account for a considerable part of the observed variation in per capita income. JEL classification: D03, D90, O10, O30, O40. Keywords: Patience; comparative development; factor accumulation. *Armin Falk acknowledges financial support from the European Research Council through ERC # 209214. Dohmen, Falk: University of Bonn, Department of Economics; [email protected], [email protected]. Enke: Harvard University, Department of Economics; [email protected]. Huffman: University of Pittsburgh, Department of Economics; huff[email protected]. Sunde: University of Munich, Department of Economics; [email protected]. 1 Introduction A long stream of research in development accounting has documented that both pro- duction factors and productivity play an important role in explaining cross-country income differences (Hall and Jones, 1999; Caselli, 2005; Hsieh and Klenow, 2010). -
When Rhinos Are Sacred: Why Some Countries Control Poaching
University of Denver Digital Commons @ DU Electronic Theses and Dissertations Graduate Studies 1-1-2017 When Rhinos Are Sacred: Why Some Countries Control Poaching Paul F. Tanghe University of Denver Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.du.edu/etd Part of the Environmental Studies Commons, International and Area Studies Commons, and the Political Science Commons Recommended Citation Tanghe, Paul F., "When Rhinos Are Sacred: Why Some Countries Control Poaching" (2017). Electronic Theses and Dissertations. 1314. https://digitalcommons.du.edu/etd/1314 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate Studies at Digital Commons @ DU. It has been accepted for inclusion in Electronic Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ DU. For more information, please contact [email protected],[email protected]. WHEN RHINOS ARE SACRED: WHY SOME COUNTRIES CONTROL POACHING __________ A Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Josef Korbel School of International Studies University of Denver __________ In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy __________ by Paul F. Tanghe June 2017 Advisor: Deborah D. Avant ©Copyright by Paul F. Tanghe 2017 All Rights Reserved The views expressed are the author’s own and do not reflect the official policy or position of the U.S. Military Academy, the U.S. Army, Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. Author: Paul F. Tanghe Title: WHEN RHINOS ARE SACRED: WHY SOME COUNTRIES CONTROL POACHING Advisor: Deborah D. Avant Degree Date: June 2017 ABSTRACT Why are some countries more effective than others at controlling rhino poaching? Rhinos are being poached to extinction throughout much of the world, yet some weak and poor countries have successfully controlled rhino poaching. -
This Thesis Has Been Submitted in Fulfilment of the Requirements for a Postgraduate Degree (E.G
This thesis has been submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for a postgraduate degree (e.g. PhD, MPhil, DClinPsychol) at the University of Edinburgh. Please note the following terms and conditions of use: This work is protected by copyright and other intellectual property rights, which are retained by the thesis author, unless otherwise stated. A copy can be downloaded for personal non-commercial research or study, without prior permission or charge. This thesis cannot be reproduced or quoted extensively from without first obtaining permission in writing from the author. The content must not be changed in any way or sold commercially in any format or medium without the formal permission of the author. When referring to this work, full bibliographic details including the author, title, awarding institution and date of the thesis must be given. A CRITICAL ACCOUNT OF IDEOLOGY IN CONSUMER CULTURE: The Commodification of a Social Movement Alexandra Serra Rome Doctor of Philosophy University of Edinburgh University of Edinburgh Business School 2016 DECLARATION I declare that the work presented in this thesis is my own and has been composed by myself. To the best of my knowledge, it does not contain material previously written or published by another person unless clearly indicated. The work herein presented has not been submitted for the purposes of any other degree or professional qualification. Date: 2 May 2016 Alexandra Serra Rome ___________________________________ I II To Frances, Florence, Betty, and Angela The strong-willed women in my life who have shaped me to be the person I am today. This thesis is dedicated to you. -
Exploring Student Loan Personal Financial Management Decisions Using a Behavioral Economics Lens Michael J
Walden University ScholarWorks Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies Collection 2017 Exploring Student Loan Personal Financial Management Decisions Using a Behavioral Economics Lens Michael J. Wermuth Walden University Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.waldenu.edu/dissertations Part of the Business Administration, Management, and Operations Commons, Finance and Financial Management Commons, and the Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods Commons This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies Collection at ScholarWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in Walden Dissertations and Doctoral Studies by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Walden University College of Management and Technology This is to certify that the doctoral dissertation by Michael J. Wermuth has been found to be complete and satisfactory in all respects, and that any and all revisions required by the review committee have been made. Review Committee Dr. Anthony Lolas, Committee Chairperson, Management Faculty Dr. Godwin Igein, Committee Member, Management Faculty Dr. Jeffrey Prinster, University Reviewer, Management Faculty Chief Academic Officer Eric Riedel, Ph.D. Walden University 2017 Abstract Exploring Student Loan Personal Financial Management Decisions Using a Behavioral Economics Lens by Michael Jay Wermuth MBA, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, 1995 BS, U.S. Air Force Academy, 1983 Dissertation Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Management Walden University February 2017 Abstract There is a student loan debt problem in the United States. Seven million student borrowers are in default and another 14 million are delinquent on their loans. -
Tying Odysseus to the Mast: Evidence from a Commitment Savings Product in the Philippines*
TYING ODYSSEUS TO THE MAST: EVIDENCE FROM A COMMITMENT SAVINGS PRODUCT IN THE PHILIPPINES* NAVA ASHRAF DEAN KARLAN WESLEY YIN We designed a commitment savings product for a Philippine bank and im- plemented it using a randomized control methodology. The savings product was intended for individuals who want to commit now to restrict access to their savings, and who were sophisticated enough to engage in such a mechanism. We conducted a baseline survey on 1777 existing or former clients of a bank. One month later, we offered the commitment product to a randomly chosen subset of 710 clients; 202 (28.4 percent) accepted the offer and opened the account. In the baseline survey, we asked hypothetical time discounting questions. Women who exhibited a lower discount rate for future relative to current trade-offs, and hence potentially have a preference for commitment, were indeed significantly more likely to open the commitment savings account. After twelve months, average savings balances increased by 81 percentage points for those clients assigned to the treatment group relative to those assigned to the control group. We conclude that the savings response represents a lasting change in savings, and not merely a short-term response to a new product. I. INTRODUCTION Although much has been written, little has been resolved concerning the representation of preferences for consumption over time. Beginning with Strotz [1955] and Phelps and Pollak [1968], models have been put forth that predict individuals will exhibit more impatience for near-term trade-offs than for future trade-offs. These models often incorporate hyperbolic or quasi- * We thank Chona Echavez for collaborating on the field work, the Green Bank of Caraga for cooperation throughout this experiment, John Owens and the USAID/Philippines Microenterprise Access to Banking Services Program team for helping to get the project started, Nathalie Gons, Tomoko Harigaya, Karen Lyons and Lauren Smith for excellent research and field assistance, and three anony- mous referees and the editors. -
Did We Overestimate the Role of Social Preferences? the Case of Self-Selected Student Samples
Did we overestimate the role of social preferences? The case of self-selected student samples Armin Falk,∗ Stephan Meier,y and Christian Zehnderz July 13, 2010 Abstract Social preference research has fundamentally changed the way economists think about many important economic and social phenomena. However, the em- pirical foundation of social preferences is largely based on laboratory experiments with self-selected students as participants. This is potentially problematic as students participating in experiments may behave systematically different than non-participating students or non-students. In this paper we empirically inves- tigate whether laboratory experiments with student samples misrepresent the importance of social preferences. Our first study shows that students who ex- hibit stronger prosocial inclinations in an unrelated field donation are not more likely to participate in experiments. This suggests that self-selection of more prosocial students into experiments is not a major issue. Our second study com- pares behavior of students and the general population in a trust experiment. We find very similar behavioral patterns for the two groups. If anything, the level of reciprocation seems higher among non-students implying an even greater importance of social preferences than assumed from student samples. Keywords: methodology, selection, experiments, prosocial behavior JEL: C90, D03 ∗University of Bonn, Department of Economics, Adenauerallee 24-42, D-53113 Bonn; [email protected]. yColumbia University, Graduate School of Business, 710 Uris Hall, 3022 Broadway, New York, NY 10027; [email protected]. zUniversity of Lausanne, Faculty of Business and Economics, Quartier UNIL-Dorigny, Internef 612, CH-1015 Lausanne; [email protected]. 1 1 Introduction Social preferences such as trust and reciprocity play an increasingly important role in economics. -
Making the Most of Mess
MAKING THE MOST OF MESS Making the Most of Mess Reliability and Policy in Today’s Management Challenges EMERY ROE DUKE UNIVERSITY PRESS DURHAM AND LONDON 2013 © 2013 DUKE UNIVERSITY PRESS All rights reserved Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper ! Designed by C. H. Westmoreland Typeset in Chaparral Pro with Univers display by Keystone Typesetting, Inc. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data appear on the last printed page of this book. To LOUISE PALMER FORTMANN and in memory of PAT CRECINE and AARON WILDVASKY, who were in at the beginning CONTENTS Acknowledgments ix ONE. Introducing Policy Messes, Management, and Their Managers 1 TWO. When Reliability Is Mess Management 16 THREE. The Wider Framework for Managing Mess Reliably: Hubs, Skills, and the Domain of Competence 32 FOUR. Bad Mess Management 56 FIVE. Good Mess Management 78 SIX. Societal Challenges 106 SEVEN. Professional Challenges 128 EIGHT. How We Know That the Policy Mess Is Managed Better 144 Notes 155 Bibliography 175 Index 201 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS In 1970, a PhD candidate submitted his dissertation to the Economics Department at the University of Houston. The thesis, ‘‘The Measure- ment of the Timing of the Economic Impact of Defense Procurement Activity: An Analysis of the Vietnam Buildup,’’ set out how defense contractors and procurement policies of the U.S. Department of De- fense worked to undermine economic stability: It is the purpose of this dissertation to demonstrate that sufficiently accu- rate information about the timing of the impact on economic output of defense procurement activity did not exist during the Vietnam buildup.