Options Trading for the Institutional Investor

Managing Risk in Financial Institutions

Michael C. Thomsett Associate Publisher: Amy Neidlinger Executive Editor: Jeanne Glasser Levine Operations Specialist: Jodi Kemper Cover Designer: Alan Clements Managing Editor: Kristy Hart Project Editor: Elaine Wiley Copy Editor: Krista Hansing Editorial Services, Inc. Proofreader: Jess DeGabriele Senior Compositor: Gloria Schurick Manufacturing Buyer: Dan Uhrig © 2014 by Pearson Education, Inc. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey 07458 This book is sold with the understanding that neither the author nor the publisher is engaged in rendering legal, accounting, or other professional services or advice by publishing this book. Each individual situation is unique. Thus, if legal or financial advice or other expert assistance is required in a specific situation, the services of a competent professional should be sought to ensure that the situation has been evaluated carefully and appropriately. The author and the publisher disclaim any liability, loss, or risk resulting directly or indirectly, from the use or application of any of the contents of this book. For information about buying this title in bulk quantities, or for special sales opportunities (which may include electronic versions; custom cover designs; and content particular to your business, training goals, marketing focus, or branding interests), please contact our corporate sales department at [email protected] or (800) 382-3419. For government sales inquiries, please contact [email protected]. For questions about sales outside the U.S., please contact [email protected]. Company and product names mentioned herein are the trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, without permission in writing from the publisher. Printed in the United States of America First Printing April 2014 ISBN-10: 0-13-381166-2 ISBN-13: 978-0-13-381166-7 Pearson Education LTD. Pearson Education Australia PTY, Limited. Pearson Education Singapore, Pte. Ltd. Pearson Education Asia, Ltd. Pearson Education Canada, Ltd. Pearson Educación de Mexico, S.A. de C.V. Pearson Education—Japan Pearson Education Malaysia, Pte. Ltd. Library of Congress Control Number: 2014930527 Contents

Preface ...... xi

Chapter 1 Setting the Ground Rules ...... 1 The Ground Rules ...... 2 A Model Portfolio ...... 4

Chapter 2 Basics ...... 15 The Workings of the Options Contract ...... 16 Calls and Call Strategies ...... 25 Puts and Put Strategies...... 30 Listed Options and LEAPS Options ...... 35 Coordinating Strategies with Portfolio Goals ...... 39 Option and Stock : The Central Element of Risk ...... 42 Trading Costs in the Option Analysis ...... 55 Tax Rules for Options: An Overview ...... 57 The Importance of Professional Advice and Tax Planning ...... 59 Endnotes...... 60

Chapter 3 Options in Context ...... 61 The Nature of Risk and Reward ...... 62 Perceptions about Options ...... 71 Short Positions: Naked or Covered ...... 75 Requirements and Trading Restrictions ...... 79 Return Calculations: Seeking Valid Comparisons ...... 82 Long-Term Goals as a Guiding Force ...... 91 as a Desirable Outcome ...... 93

Chapter 4 Chart-Based Analysis ...... 97 Criteria for Chart-Based Analysis ...... 98 A Study of Charts for the Model Portfolio ...... 102 Endnote ...... 120 Chapter 5 Managing Profits and Losses ...... 121 Your Conservative Dilemma ...... 123 Managing Profits with Options ...... 125 Overcoming the Profit-Taking Problem ...... 128 Managing the Inertia Problem ...... 135 Taxes and Profits ...... 137

Chapter 6 Options as Cash Generators ...... 143 The Concept ...... 144 Examples: Ten Stocks and Covered Calls ...... 146 Working within Preestablished Standards ...... 147 Smart Conservative Ground Rules ...... 151 A Conservative Approach ...... 156 Tax Ramifications of Covered Calls ...... 161 Rolling Forward and Up: Exercise Avoidance...... 165 The Exercise Acceptance Strategy ...... 167 Endnote ...... 168

Chapter 7 The 1-2-3 Iron ...... 169 The Iron Butterfly ...... 170 The 1-2-3 Iron Butterfly Concept ...... 172 The Hedge Matrix and Collateral Requirements ...... 174 Examples of the Strategy ...... 174

Chapter 8 The Dividend ...... 179 Managing Portfolio Profits with the Dividend Collar...... 182

Chapter 9 Alternatives to Stock Purchase ...... 193 Leverage and Options ...... 194 The Long-Call Contingent Purchase Strategy ...... 198 The Covered Long Call ...... 203 Short Puts and Contingent Purchase ...... 206 Rescue Strategy Using Calls ...... 210 Rescue Strategy Using Puts ...... 214 Covered Calls for Contingent Sale ...... 215

Chapter 10 Option Strategies in Down Markets ...... 217 Thinking Outside the Market Box ...... 218 The Long Put: The Overlooked Option ...... 221 iv Options Trading for the Institutional Investor Short Puts: A Variety of Strategies ...... 226 Using Calls in Down Markets ...... 233 Evaluating Your Stock Positions ...... 237 Stock Positions and Risk Evaluation ...... 242 Options and Downside Risk ...... 244 Option Planning with Loss Carryover ...... 247 Endnote ...... 249

Chapter 11 Combination Conservative Techniques ...... 251 Spread Techniques ...... 252 Techniques ...... 254 Long or Short Positions ...... 256 Theory versus Practice ...... 258 Tax Problems with Combination Strategies ...... 261 The Ultimate High-Return Strategy ...... 262 Examples of the Strategy in Practice ...... 264 Outcome Scenarios ...... 272 The Augmented Strategy: A Short Straddle ...... 274 Rescue Strategies ...... 278

Chapter 12 Risk Evaluation Techniques ...... 281 The Nature of Greed Risk ...... 282 A Range of Options-Related Risks ...... 283 Estimating Your Risk Tolerance ...... 288

Chapter 13 Stock Selection and the Option Contract ...... 291 Remembering Your Conservative Profile as a Priority ...... 293 Dangers and Pitfalls in Using Options ...... 294 Temptation to Select Most Volatile Stocks ...... 296 Creating Sensible Conservative Standards ...... 298 Maintaining Fundamental Clarity ...... 302 The Importance of Taxes in the Option Equation ...... 305 Option Volatility to Judge Stocks ...... 306

Glossary ...... 309

Appendix Option Trading Strategies ...... 315

Index ...... 319

Contents v Acknowledgments

Many thanks to the readers who let me know their thoughts about my previous books. Thanks also to Jeanne Glasser Levine, Executive Editor at Pearson/FT Press, and Elaine Wiley, Project Editor; also to Michael Stoppa, my webmaster and partner at ThomsettOptions.com, for his guidance and support throughout the process of developing new strat- egies in the options market. My son, Eric J. Thomsett, also deserves special recognition for insights, advice, and participation in developing sensible, working options strategies.

vi Options Trading for the Institutional Investor About the Author

Michael C. Thomsett has published more than 80 books on investing and business topics, including several other FT/Prentice Hall projects (The Options Stock Profits: Getting to the Core, Strategies, The Options Trading Body of Knowledge, and Trading with Candlesticks), and many other books concerning options and stock market investing. His best-selling book Getting Started in Options is in its ninth edition and has sold more than 300,000 copies. Thomsett is also the cofounder of the education sites ThomsettOptions.com and ThomsettStocks.com. He lives in Nashville, Tennessee.

About the Author vii This page intentionally left blank Preface

The Elusive Goal: Low Risk and High Yield The market invariably brings you both good news and bad news. The bad news: Markets are volatile and risky, and any capital placed at risk could result in losses—sometimes catastrophic losses. The good news: These market risks can be hedged effectively using conservative options strategies. Coupling the words conservative and options might seem surprising. After all, the long-standing reputation of the options market has been exotic, high risk, and inappropriate for many (if not most) investors— both institutional and retail. This does not have to be the case. The options market is becoming increasingly recognized as much more than a form of pure speculation. Growing numbers of investors are rec- ognizing that options are most effective as tools for managing a portfo- lio, reducing and eliminating its risks, and improving its profits. This book demonstrates how a conservative portfolio can be made safer and more secure while increasing income. This is accomplished through combining equity positions with specific and conservative options strat- egies. The intention is not merely to augment net profits, but to protect the profitability of the equity side of the portfolio as well. This idea is dramatic in the positive effect it has on an institutional portfolio. Every investment officer faces a twofold problem: First and foremost, investment decisions have to be conservative enough to protect against losses. This means that many opportunities have to be passed up because

ix the risks are perceived as too great. Second, the goal must be to match and beat inflation and taxes, the double impact that demands seeking higher returns. How can you seek higher returns in this portfolio while continuing to observe the essential demand for conservative strategic management? Many market insiders and experts are pessimists on this question. They point out that your only chance is through broad diversification of risk and complex asset allocation. Both of these ideas present profound problems for every investment officer and for every portfolio. Broad diversification means trying to attain the “vanilla” medium return of the market. A majority of mutual funds, for example, are broadly diversi- fied, but they underperform the market average. In fact, according to one source, “The average actively managed stock mutual fund returns approximately 2% less per year to its shareholders than the stock market returns in general.”1 Making matters worse, even beyond the average outcome, most funds perform beneath the average of the market. In other words, most funds do not even match the broader market. One study concluded: “In 2012, 66.08 percent of all domestic equity mutual funds underperformed when matched against the S&P 1500. In 2011 a swollen 84.07 percent were laggards, while in 2010 ‘only’ 57.63 did worse than the averages.” 2 Why is this so? The answer is at the crux of the message in this book. Any observer of the mutual fund performance phenomenon would wonder why the average mutual fund underperforms market averages and why most funds perform under market averages. The three disadvantages mutual funds have over other institutions (insurance companies, banks, pension plans, and specialized advisory service providers, for example) include over-diversification, fees, and cash on hand. Mutual funds (especially large ones) might simply hold positions in too many segments of the market, so their returns are aver- age at best. Returns are further diminished by fees that mutual funds charge (1.44%, on average). Finally, funds hold between 3% and 7% in cash to meet obligations, and this “dead money” is not earning.

x Options Trading for the Institutional Investor Other institutions that are less concerned with competition or perfor- mance reporting are not as likely to suffer from this dismal outcome. However, an underlying problem is that every investment officer has to contend with the desire for better returns without higher risks. This is a daunting task. However, the options market addresses these concerns and improves investors’ chances of meeting both of these otherwise conflicting goals. A central theme is this book is that investors must analyze the possibil- ity of matching acceptable risks with better than average yields. Most experts question the idea that risk-averse investors can outperform the market averages. However, this book challenges the conventional wis- dom by demonstrating how conservative investors can exploit a narrow band of potential strategies, dramatically increase yields, and, at the same time, manage risks within their self-defined risk limitations. Risk is at the core of all ideas for portfolio management. If a range of strategies contains too many pitfalls, it is not worth pursuing. But a basic premise in this book is that a conservative investor is not neces- sarily someone who does not want to expand beyond a well-understood and short list of investment possibilities. Being a conservative investor does not necessarily mean that you are unwilling to examine new ideas, expand your portfolio, or take acceptable risks. It just means that you are not interested in speculation or in exposing yourself to the possibilities of high risk. This applies to personal comfort levels or preferences, as well as to internally imposed standards and limits. Institutions attempt to carefully define acceptable risks, with the intention of avoiding unac- ceptable losses. To many investors, this translates to a complete ban on options trading—and for good reason. In recent years, abuses of derivatives trading created many losses and prompted a troubling question on whether individuals making portfolio decisions represented the investment policies of the institution. In the U.S. alone, many options-based institutional trades resulted in massive losses, including Morgan Stanley, in 2008 ($0.12 billion); Proctor & Gamble, in 2004 ($0.16 billion); Deutsche Bank, in 2008 ($1.8 billion); and, the largest options loss of all, Long Term Capital Management (a hedge fund management firm), in 1998 ($4.6 billion). 3

Preface xi This list does not include losses in futures or credit default swaps, which, in many cases, have been even larger. Even so, the options market has received the worst press and has been characterized as overly risky, often abused, and far too speculative for conservative investment managers or institutional investment officers. True, a lack of experience or aware- ness of risks is most likely to lead to large losses. It is not enough for an institution to rely on an individual who has studied options and passed the FINRA Series 4 exam (Registered Options Principal); that person also must have experience in trading and must be aware of the range of risks in speculative trading practices. Conservative practices are normally aimed at achieving three goals: pre- serve spending power after both inflation and taxes, avoid unacceptable level of market liquidity and diversification risks, and protect profits without loss of desirable equity positions with hedges against poten- tial losses. These goals are typical for both conservative and moder- ate investors. They demand the use of strategies for avoiding loss. As a conservative investor, you are not averse to risk in any and every form; essentially, you are averse to unexpected surprises. This is perhaps the most important distinguishing characteristic between you and other investors. Many investors are surprised when they lose money in the market—but in retrospect, should they have been surprised? If they operate on certain assumptions concerning potential profits but are unaware of the related risk or the degree of risk exposure, they are mak- ing decisions with a blind eye. With this in mind, this book offers a more realistic definition of conser- vative investors: those who are experienced enough to be aware of both yield and risk and who make decisions based on that level of awareness. Conservative investors are not as likely as other investors to be taken by surprise when they lose money in the market. Another aspect of this expanded definition distinguishes between risk profile and the willing- ness to use creative and alternative strategies. Conservative investors are not closed-minded and do not reject exotic instruments such as options merely because of their reputation as being high risk. Instead, well-informed conservative investors are likely to examine claims about high-yield potential with an open mind. You can be skeptical and, at the same time, willing to listen to the suggestion that the combination is at least possible. In fact, a limited number of strategies do offer the

xii Options Trading for the Institutional Investor potential of using various conservative applications to meet the three goals common to conservative investors: preserving capital, avoiding unacceptable risk, and protecting profits. This book does not suggest that you have to become an expert in a broad range of complex or exotic options strategies. Instead, it pro- poses a rather limited number of strategies appropriate for conservative investors. This approach respects the risk limitations in the conservative strategy while showing how experienced stock market investors can expand their yield levels significantly, protect existing positions, and come through market down cycles intact.

Endnotes 1 Bill Barker, “The Performance of Mutual Funds,” The Motley Fool , www.fool.com , accessed 24 September 2013. 2 Richard Finger, “Five Reasons Your Mutual Fund Probably Underperforms the Market,” Forbes , 15 April 2013.

3 Peter Coy and Suzanne Woolley, “Failed Wizards of Wall Street,” BusinessWeek , 10 September 1998.

Preface xiii This page intentionally left blank 1 Setting the Ground Rules

In any discussion of an investment strategy, you begin with a series of assumptions. Your assumptions tie into your conservative profile: You have prequalified the stock of a limited number of companies on the basis of a short list of solid fundamentals, essential in stock selection; you believe these stocks will rise in value over time; you would be happy to buy more shares; and a finite number of companies meet your standards. We have identified ten companies that make up a model portfolio, to illustrate the options strategies in this book. These serve as examples of companies that meet a few basic criteria for picking companies and their stocks, as candidates for conservative options trading.

1 his book explains how conservative investors can employ options strategies to (a) enhance current income without T increasing market risks, (b) protect long positions through options used for insurance, and (c) create a form of contingency to sur- vive in volatile market conditions. The Ground Rules Because you are a conservative investor, the arguments in this book are based on a series of underlying assumptions. Always keep these ground rules in mind because they relate to your risk profile and your investing philosophy. This book follows five underlying assumptions: 1. You will limit options activities to stocks you have prequalified. This is a necessary starting point, as long as your portfolio and the stocks you use for options strategies include stocks you believe in as long-term-hold positions and you con- sider these stocks permanent parts of your portfolio (as long as the fundamentals remain strong). This is an important attri- bute because it is not conservative to buy stocks solely to use for options strategies. A conservative approach to options must include the premise that your activities will be limited to the strongest possible stocks you can find. 2. You believe that your stocks will rise in value. A conservative investor naturally expects stocks to rise in value; otherwise, why keep them? But this seemingly obvious point has relevance in the underlying assumptions of this book. Many of the discussions of strategies are premised on a belief that, over the long term, the subject stock’s market value will rise. However, many options strategies work best when stocks do not rise, such as in bear- ish combinations or long put strategies. Covered call writing (a very conservative strategy) is most profitable when stock values remain steady or even fall slightly. This means that you may need to time a strategy to produce profits resulting from short-term

2 Options Trading for the Institutional Investor stability in prices, hoping for longer-term growth. So a second underlying assumption is in line with the conservative approach. This means you want to accumulate shares of value investments, you expect prices to rise over time, and you will change a hold to a sell when the fundamentals change. However, at the same time, some options strategies are designed to take advantage of short-term price volatility. When marketwide volatility affects short-term prices of your stocks, you have an opportunity to pick up discounted shares, take profits (without having to sell stock), or average down your overall basis. Of course, the proposal that you should average down is conservative only if the basic stock selection assumptions remain valid. You want to employ such a strategy only for stocks in which you have a strong belief as long- term value investments. 3. You accept the premise that fundamental analysis of stocks is an essential first step in the process of examining option opportunities. Options have no fundamental attributes. These are intangible contractual instruments, and they have no value on their own; thus, you can judge the tangible value of stock only as a means for selecting appropriate options strategies. Many first-time options traders make the mistake of overlooking this basic reality. They select options (and stocks) based on the immediate return potential, but they ignore the real market risks of the underlying stocks. This violates the conservative tenet that stocks should be chosen for their fundamental strength and growth potential. 4. In the event of a temporary downward movement in a stock’s price, you would be happy to buy more shares. Some investors might be unwilling to pick up more shares of a particular stock, even when the opportunity to buy discounted shares is presented. This book introduces several strategies proposing that additional shares be purchased (or exposed to contingent purchase) using options. If this is not the case in a particular situation, you should simply pass over those suggestions. You might use a strict for- mula for diversification or asset allocation to limit risks in par- ticular stocks, for example, so strategies aimed at increasing your holdings in one stock might contradict your portfolio manage- ment standards in such an instance. Strategies proposing that

Chapter 1 Setting the Ground Rules 3 you pick up more shares work only if that suggestion conforms to your overall portfolio plan. 5. You believe that an adequate number of available stocks meet your criteria. Some investors become convinced that their short list of stocks is the only list available to them. Thus, if they sold shares of stock from their portfolio, they would be unable to rein- vest profits in equally acceptable stocks. If you do not believe this, you are probably aware that dozens of stocks meet your criteria in terms of price level, P/E ratio, volatility, dividend payment history, and a range of other analytical tests. Accordingly, if you sell a particular stock from your portfolio, you recognize that you could (and would) purchase a number of other stocks that also conform to your criteria.

Incidentally, this practice makes sense whether you trade options or not. The fundamentals can change for any company, so if a hold stock changes to a sell, you need to reinvest funds. As a matter of basic port- folio management, every investor needs a secondary list of stocks for replacing sold stocks from the current portfolio. The need for maintain- ing this list relates to options trading because some strategies result in selling shares of stock. In those cases, you want to reinvest capital in a new issue on your list of qualified stocks. A Model Portfolio In the examples in the following chapters, these five underlying assump- tions demonstrate how options work within the conservative frame- work. These criteria are applied to a model portfolio of ten stocks in various combinations throughout. This helps tie together the various examples and range of possible outcomes. This model portfolio is by no means a recommendation of stocks you should own; it was selected to include stocks with some common attributes. These stocks have increased dividends every year for the past seven to ten years (or more) and have reported low volatility in trading. Dividend yields are higher than average, between 2.7% and 5.3%. Some issues have exhibited rising market value in recent years. All these stocks have available both listed options and long-term options (LEAPS), enabling you to look at a vari- ety of scenarios for each conservative strategy. Analysis includes a study of options expiring in 1, 2, 4, and 16 months.

4 Options Trading for the Institutional Investor Employing a single portfolio throughout the book is helpful in another way. Not every strategy works well for each stock in the model portfo- lio, so you can walk through the selection process to demonstrate how a particular strategic decision is made. Although your portfolio might contain a number of excellent value investments, some strategies simply do not work at all times or in all cases. You can compare the different potentials for strategies across a range of stocks by following the model portfolio throughout the explanations in each chapter. The values of each stock, current bid, and ask value of every option in this book are based on the last traded closing prices reported by the Chicago Board of Exchange (CBOE) on September 25, 2013. Table 1-1 summarizes this model portfolio. The portfolio’s overall value is esti- mated at $1 million, split as equally as possible among the ten stocks.

Table 1-1 Model Portfolio Stock Name Trading Closing Shares Total Value % Symbol Price* Held Kimberly Clark KMB $94.69 1,100 $104,159 10.4% Coca-Cola KO 38.33 2,600 99,658 10.0 McDonald’s MCD 97.60 1,000 97,600 9.7 Microsoft MSFT 32.51 3,100 100,781 10.1 Occidental OXY 92.91 1,100 102,201 10.2 Petroleum Reynolds RAI 49.09 2,000 98,180 9.8 Aluminum Southern SO 41.72 2,400 100,128 10.0 Company AT&T T 34.05 2,900 98,745 9.9 Target TGT 63.24 1,600 101,184 10.1 Verizon VZ 46.95 2,100 98,595 9.8 Total $1,001,231 100.0%

* Closing prices as of September 25, 2013

This portfolio is split equally among the ten issues, a modest but effec- tive level of diversification. An individual portfolio would likely select an entirely different list of stocks, perhaps more than ten, and perhaps

Chapter 1 Setting the Ground Rules 5 split in a different manner. This is only one example of how a $1 million portfolio might be diversified among ten value investments ( value, in this sense, is defined as having a consistent record of increasing divi- dends, higher than average dividend yield, a medium level of debt ratio, and a preference for increasing revenues and earnings). This raises a question every portfolio manager faces: Is this a “conserva- tive” portfolio? That is a matter of opinion and one that depends on the timing of purchase, long-term goals, and your opinion about the funda- mentals for each corporation. These ten stocks provide a cross-section of stocks that illustrate where strategies work well and where they do not work at all. The actual definition of a conservative portfolio is (and should be) always evolving based on changes in the market, in a stock’s market price and volatility, and, of course, in emerging information concerning fundamental strength or weakness of a particular company. Is this information outdated? The data gathered on the closing date of September 25, 2013, is dated, but it would be impossible to perpetually update ten stocks and still meet the publication date of this book. How- ever, all the information is relative. The values of options for a particular stock will probably be consistent from one period to the next, assuming that the proximity between closing price and option is about the same and that months to go until are the same as well. Although these relationships can and do vary based on ever-changing perceptions about a particular company, the data is valid for the purpose of illustrating strategies. The use of some measurement in time is nec- essary, and all these stocks were selected and summarized on the same date. Given all these qualifications, these closing prices (and the options values used in this book) are fair and reasonable. Thousands of stocks have options available to trade, and this translates into many choices for conservative investors. Throughout this book, the ten portfolio companies compare options trades for a series of different strikes and expiration dates. The purpose of using so many different versions of an options trade is to accom- modate many different strategies employing calls or puts (or both); in- the-money (ITM), at-the-money (ATM), or out-of-the-money (OTM) options; and a variety of expiration dates. The following chart summa- rizes the strikes and expirations for each.

6 Options Trading for the Institutional Investor 13.90 9.90 7.80 4.80 3.30 5.12 7.21 9.70 12.30 15.60 16 Months (479 Days) 9.90 6.90 3.40 1.29 0.45 0.90 1.90 3.40 6.16 11.50 4 Months (115 Days) 11.50 5.80 2.35 0.60 0.25 0.26 0.90 2.55 5.20 10.60 2 Months (52 Days) Option Premium 1 Month (24 Days) 8.70 5.80 1.30 0.16 0.03 0.09 0.25 1.55 3.46 8.50 $94.69 Closing Price 85 90 95 100 105 85 90 95 100 105 Strikes KMB C P Trading Symbol

Chapter 1 Setting the Ground Rules 7 — — — — 2.20 — — — — 4.71 8.85 6.91 6.10 5.00 3.20 16 Months (479 Days) — — — — 0.67 — — — — 2.47 6.30 4.26 2.70 1.75 0.52 4 Months (115 Days) 2.83 1.84 1.15 0.62 0.32 0.23 0.41 0.75 1.23 1.65 5.85 3.95 2.10 1.03 0.16 2 Months (52 Days) Option Premium 1 Month (24 Days) 2.65 1.60 0.88 0.37 0.13 0.09 0.20 0.49 0.97 1.72 5.40 3.00 1.28 0.30 0.02 $38.33 $97.60 Closing Price 36 37 38 39 40 36 37 38 39 40 92.50 95 97.50 100 105 Strikes KO C P MCD C Trading Symbol

8 Options Trading for the Institutional Investor 6.25 7.45 9.00 10.50 13.65 4.39 — 3.30 — 2.10 2.76 — 3.78 — 5.70 16 Months (479 Days) 1.39 2.16 3.25 4.70 8.00 3.00 2.42 1.75 1.25 0.58 0.70 1.00 1.45 1.89 3.40 4 Months (115 Days) 0.53 1.01 1.89 3.19 8.30 2.86 2.02 1.38 0.87 0.28 0.27 0.49 0.84 1.31 2.70 2 Months (52 Days) Option Premium 1 Month (24 Days) 0.14 0.35 1.02 2.70 7.95 2.64 1.76 0.97 0.43 0.08 0.07 0.17 0.42 0.90 2.51 $32.51 Closing Price 92.50 95 97.50 100 105 30 31 32 33 35 30 31 32 33 35 Strikes P MSFT C P Trading Symbol

Chapter 1 Setting the Ground Rules 9 4.91 — — 3.30 — 16 Months (479 Days) 3.40 1.75 1.68 1.25 0.42 4 Months (115 Days) 3.90 1.92 1.30 0.80 — 2 Months (52 Days) Option Premium 1 Month (24 Days) 1.65 1.55 1.13 0.35 0.05 $92.91 $49.09 Closing Price 90 92.50 95 97.50 90 3.65 92.50 2.05 95 0.95 97.50 0.41 47 4.90 3.40 0.76 1.59 2.15 1.30 2.90 5.00 6.00 4.51 1.82 2.65 3.20 2.34 3.95 6.55 10.39 9.38 3.30 4.30 8.05 5.83 5.80 7.25 9.90 11.35 13.05 14.80 48 49 50 52.50 Strikes OXY C 87.50 5.80 6.70 7.70 12.10 P 87.50 RAI 0.34 1.08 2.48 8.70 C Trading Symbol

10 Options Trading for the Institutional Investor 5.72 — — 5.70 — 3.45 — — 1.90 — 3.24 — — 4.89 — 16 Months (479 Days) 1.20 1.65 2.15 2.20 6.17 2.85 1.79 1.11 0.63 0.37 0.75 1.15 1.56 1.95 2.85 4 Months (115 Days) 0.51 0.85 1.20 1.50 — 2.23 1.26 0.67 0.28 0.12 0.41 0.73 1.22 1.92 2.46 2 Months (52 Days) Option Premium 1 Month (24 Days) 0.15 0.35 0.55 1.08 3.22 1.94 1.09 0.45 0.12 0.05 0.10 0.27 0.65 1.21 1.82 $41.72 Closing Price 47 48 49 50 52.50 40 41 42 43 44 40 41 42 43 44 Strikes P SO C P Trading Symbol

Chapter 1 Setting the Ground Rules 11 — 2.50 — 1.60 — — 3.50 — 4.75 — 6.70 5.90 5.26 4.10 2.55 16 Months (479 Days) 2.28 1.56 0.98 0.58 0.31 0.72 1.02 1.49 2.25 3.02 4.10 2.94 1.61 0.82 0.39 4 Months (115 Days) 2.15 1.28 0.64 0.28 0.11 0.29 0.56 0.97 1.59 2.45 3.70 2.20 0.90 0.30 0.14 2 Months (52 Days) Option Premium 1 Month (24 Days) 2.01 1.15 0.42 0.10 0.02 0.11 0.28 0.72 1.43 2.33 3.40 1.78 0.39 0.07 0.02 $34.05 $63.24 Closing Price 32 33 34 35 36 32 33 34 35 36 60 62.50 65 67.50 70 Strikes T C P TGT C Trading Symbol

12 Options Trading for the Institutional Investor 5.00 6.00 7.60 9.30 10.59 4.40 — 3.25 — — 4.88 — 6.10 — — 16 Months (479 Days) 1.35 2.22 3.45 5.10 7.22 2.66 2.09 1.54 1.81 0.75 1.56 1.98 2.45 2.89 3.21 4 Months (115 Days) 0.53 1.17 2.56 4.55 7.50 2.50 1.55 0.98 0.59 0.34 0.75 1.12 1.60 2.29 2.94 2 Months (52 Days) Option Premium 1 Month (24 Days) 0.25 0.74 2.05 4.13 6.55 2.14 1.28 0.68 0.30 0.12 0.42 0.72 1.28 1.93 2.74 $46.95 Closing Price 60 62.50 65 67.50 70 45 46 47 48 49 45 46 47 48 49 Strikes P VZ C P Trading Symbol

Chapter 1 Setting the Ground Rules 13 The wide range of premium values is affected by both time remaining until expiration and the proximity between the strike and the current underlying stock’s price. All these values are fixed in time as of the close of business on September 25, 2013, so that comparisons among any of the ten are valid. However, even though these premium levels and stock prices are outdated, the relative values, given specific time and proxim- ity, are accurate and apply in any period.

14 Options Trading for the Institutional Investor This page intentionally left blank Index A profile, 293 ratio write, 212-214 abandoned baby, 115 speculative versus, 220-221 anti-straddle rule, 260-261 standards, 298-302 asset allocation, 126 strategies, 54-55, 168, 255-256 at the money (ATM), 28-30 contingent purchase, 34-35, 42 core earnings, 301 B covered LEAPS puts, 38-39 Black-Scholes model (BSM), covered long call, 203-205 45-49 critical analysis of volatility, Bollinger Bands, 65, 102-120 43-44, 238-240, 306-308 , 254 brand loyalty, 303-304 D butterfly spread, 254 diagonal spread, 253 diversification, 101-102 C dividend collar, 179-191 candlesticks, 65 doji star, 113, 117, 119 carryover loss, 138, 247-249 double bottom, 109 CBOE Margin Manual, 81 downside protection, 160 chart analysis, 98-120 downside risk, 244-246 collateral requirements, 174 dragonfly doji, 115 condor, 171 confirmation signals, 100 E conservative eastern technical analysis, 100 approach, 156-160 effective tax rate, 138-139 assumptions, 261-264 engulfing pattern, 105, 107, dilemma, 123-124 109-110, 113-115, 118 ground rules, 2-4, 151-156, evening star, 104, 118 228-232

319 exercise acceptance strategy, LEAPS, 19, 35-42, 66-67, 167-168 128, 251 exercise avoidance, 165-166 leverage, 194-197 extrinsic value, 18 long-term goals, 91-92

F M-N fundamental analysis, 99, MACD, 65 125-126, 219-220, 302-304 margin requirements, 79-81 fundamental volatility, 69 market volatility, 36-38, 42-55, 141, 238-240 G meeting lines, 105, 118 model portfolio, components gain calculations, 149-150 of, 4-14 ground rules, conservative, 2-4, modified straddle, 262-272 151-156, 228-232 momentum indicators, 65, 100, 111, 113 H , 28-30 hanging man, 111 moving average (MA), 65 Harami cross, 104-105, 115 Harami, 109, 113, 115, 118 O hedge matrix, 169, 174 option horizontal spread, 253 attributes, 17 buyers and sellers, 23-24 I calculation of profit or loss, , 97, 306-308 56-57 in the money (ITM), 28-30 call strategies, 25-26, 233-236 cash generation, 143-144 insurance cost of puts, 32-33 conservative strategies, 54-55, intrinsic value, 18 168, 255-256, 261-264 inverted hammer, 116 contingent purchase, 34-35, investing standards, 130-131 42, 194, 196-202, 206-210 iron butterfly, 169-178 contingent sale, 215-216, 256 contract details, 16-25 J-K-L costs, 28 covered call, 144-147 Journal of Political Economy, crowd mentality of the 45-46 market, 218-221

320 Index dangers and pitfalls, 294-296 time value, 18 downside risk, 244-246 trading costs, 56-57 exercise, 93-95 trading restrictions, 79-81 extrinsic value, 18 uncovered call, 75-76 high-return strategies, value of puts, 31-32 262-264 yield, comparative, 50-52 inertia problem, 135-137 out of the money (OTM), 28-30 insurance cost, 32-33 intrinsic value, 18 P LEAPS, 19, 35-42 leverage, 194-197, 236-237 pattern day trader, 79-80 long and short, 21-22 piercing line, 104, 106, 108-110, long put, 221-226 113-117, 119 margin requirements, 79-81 portfolio goals, 39-42, 182-191 moneyness, 28-30 profit-taking, 128-134 outcome scenarios, 272-274 perceptions, 71-74 Q planning, 247-249 qualified covered call, 162-164 profit management, 125-127 profit-taking, 22-23 quality of earnings, 55 put strategies, 30-31, 33-34 return calculations, 82-91 R risks of short selling, 24-25, ratio and com- 78-79 bination, 254 short positions, 75-79 ratio write, 212-214 short put, 226-233 Relative Strength Index (RSI), short seller time advantage, 102-120 20-21 rescue strategies, 131-134, speculation, 236-237 210-215, 232-233, 238, 278-279 spreads, 252-254, 256-258 return if exercised or expired, standardized terms, 26-27 87-91 stock evaluation, 237-242, reversal signals, 100 291-293 , 254-258, 274-278 risk strike price, 19-20 brokerage, 285 tax rules, 57-59, 137-140, collateral, 284 161-164, 261-262, 305-306 contingent purchase, 202 theory and practice, 258-260 disruption in trading, 284

Index 321 downside, 244-246 T evaluation, 242-244, 281-282 tax rules for options, 57-59, greed, 282-283 137-140, 161-164, 261-262, inflation and tax, 286-288 305-306 information, 283-284 technical analysis, 65-66 lost opportunity, 70-71, 286 theoretical price levels, 76-77 market, 283, 296 mitigation with options, 66-68 three black crows, 106, 112 nature of, 62-71 three inside up, 107 options-related, 283-288 three outside down, 111, profile, 294-296 118, 120 realities, 126-127 three outside up, 116 short selling, 24-25, 78-79 three white soldiers, 112 standards, 303-304 thrusting lines, 107, 111 tolerance, 288-289 time value, 18 trading cost, 285 unavailability of market, U 285-286 volatility, 42-55, 141, 296-298, unqualified covered call, 306-308 162-164 rolling forward, 165-166, 204-206 V , 253 S volatility, 42-55, 63-65, 68-70, Securities and Exchange Com- 141, 306-308 mission (SEC), 79 volume indicators, 100, 102-120 short straddle, 255-256, 274-278 spinning top, 111, 119 W–Z spreads, 252-254, 256-258 wash sales, 58 squeeze alert, 107, 109 western technical analysis, standard deviation, 102, 120 100 standardized terms, 26-27 worst-case outcomes, standards for covered calls, 259-260 147-150 straddles, 254-258, 274-278 strategic timing, 73-74

322 Index