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ANNUAL REVIEW 2018 INTERNATIONAL CONTENTS WELCOME PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE Welcome 1 Welcome to SIPRI’s 2018 Annual Review. SIPRI is an independent international institute dedicated to research into January: Two minutes to midnight 2 conflict, armaments, arms control Two minutes to midnight. That was the time on the Doomsday Clock of the Bulletin and disarmament. Established in of the Atomic Scientists at the start of 2018—the first time it has been set so close to 1966, SIPRI provides data, analysis February: Climate change, hunger and security risks 4 midnight since the period 1953–59. This year witnessed world hunger rise, arms control and recommendations, based on open crumble and the impact of climate change unfold. Given these developments, by the end sources, to policymakers, researchers, March: Tracking arms flows, military spending and the arms industry 6 of 2018 it was difficult to see substantial improvements even with signs of détente on the media and the interested public. Korean peninsula, and peace talks—at last—in Yemen. April: The reform of in the 21st Century 8 GOVERNING BOARD SIPRI’s role is to identify and understand the evolving risks to security and the May: Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development 10 Ambassador Jan Eliasson, Chair opportunities to build and sustain peace through objective analysis that is closely tied to () authoritative evidence. Examples in 2018 included SIPRI’s exploration of the multiple Dr Dewi Fortuna Anwar (Indonesia) June: SIPRI Yearbook 12 risks and opportunities evoked by newly emerged technologies; a new partnership with Dr Vladimir Baranovsky (Russia) the to examine the linkages between conflict and food security; Ambassador Lakhdar Brahimi July: SIPRI outreach: Targeting Sweden and the world 14 (Algeria) and SIPRI’s programme on the Sahel and West Africa, which, basing itself on local perceptions of security provides a nuanced picture of insecurity under the impact of Espen Barth Eide (Norway) August: SIPRI’s Governing Board 16 Jean-Marie Guéhenno () climate change, migration and armed conflict. 1 Dr Radha Kumar (India) September: Stockholm Security Conference 18 Dr Patricia Lewis SIPRI’s activities continue to engage a diverse international audience and provide a (Ireland/United Kingdom) October: Local perceptions of security in the Sahel 20 platform to discuss evolving threats. In 2018 the inaugural SIPRI Lecture was delivered Dr Jessica Tuchman Mathews by HE Dr Hans Blix on the theme ‘Is the world on the road to peace or war?’ The (United States) November: Regional security threats: The Black Sea 22 SIPRI Lecture recognizes oration as particularly important in today’s impulsive media DIRECTOR landscape. It will be an annual fixture to provide a platform in Stockholm for prominent December: The Trump effect: The deterioration of arms control? 24 global thought leaders who share the values that underpin SIPRI. Dan Smith (United Kingdom)

Facts and figures 26 On the world scene, there is a growing atmosphere of toxic politics and distrust, yet an increasing need for international cooperation to address pressing global challenges. Finances 28 SIPRI’s commitment to understand the conditions for peaceful solutions to conflicts and sustainable peace remains unwavering.

Towards peace,

Signalistgatan 9 SE-169 72 Solna, Sweden Dan Smith Telephone: +46 8 655 97 00 Director Email: [email protected] Internet: www.sipri.org © SIPRI 2019 TWO MINUTES TO MIDNIGHT January 2018 SIPRI hosts Iceland’s For the first time in 65 years, the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists moved the symbolic Foreign Minister Henrik Hallgren and Richard Ghiasy publish the report Security Doomsday Clock 30 seconds forward to two minutes before midnight at the end HE Gudlaugur Thór and Economy on the Belt and Road: of January. Due to the deterioration in arms control, heightened tensions in the Thórdarson for an Three Country Case Studies. Middle East, the increasing complexity of the relationship between the United expert roundtable discussion on security Mark Bromley publishes Export States and Russia, the accumulating pressure from emerging technologies and Controls, Human Security and Cyber- the pervasive threat of climate change, it is no surprise the symbolic clock moved concerns in the Arctic. surveillance Technology: Examining forward. The discussion includes the Proposed Changes to the EU senior representatives Dual-use Regulation. In the first episode of Peace Points for 2018 the SIPRI Director, Dan Smith, from international organizations, business reflected on the movement of the Doomsday Clock to ‘two minutes to midnight’. and industry. He infers that while rhetoric and policies coming from the USA may challenge

international stability, it is up to global institutions to assume responsibility for Expert roundtable discussion with Iceland’s Foreign Minister HE global security. Facing this environment of uncertainty, SIPRI has continued Gudlaugur Thór Thórdarson, 25 January. to uphold its position as an independent institute dedicated to researching international peace and security.

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SIPRI Director, Dan Smith, attends the World Economic Forum in Davos and is a keynote speaker for a panel on ‘Strategic Geography: Global Arms Markets’.

SIPRI outreach

SIPRI’s short film series ‘Peace Points’ airs its SIPRI news first episode of 2018. SIPRI launches the Chinese-language SIPRI publication translation of SIPRI Yearbook 2016.

Dr Malin Mobjörk et al. release the publication IGOs and Global Climate Security Challenges: Implications for Academic Research and Policymaking.

1 18 25 29 CLIMATE CHANGE, HUNGER AND SECURITY RISKS SIPRI agrees to multi- February 2018 year partnership with During 2018, the increasing impact of climate change became visible with the World Dr Jair van der Lijn publishes the frequent droughts, floods and extreme weather events. As a result, food report Multilateral Peace Operations Food Programme. insecurity and malnutrition increased. The United Nations World Food and the Challenges of Organized Programme highlights potential food insecurity and malnutrition as some of Crime.

the ‘most significant impacts of climate change’. SIPRI agreed to a multi-year Niklas Bremberg releases European partnership with the World Food Programme to improve the understanding of Regional Organizations and Climate- the relationship between food, security, stability and peace. related Security Risks: EU, OSCE and NATO.

The key pillars of the collaboration include: improving the evidence base on the food and security relationship; operationalizing findings in current and future programmes—particularly those in pursuit of UN Sustainable Development Goal 16; and developing policy that clearly articulates the World Food Programme’s contribution to sustainable peace and conflict prevention. ‘Hunger, Food Security, Stability and Peace’ seminar with the SIPRI Director, Dan Smith, and the World Food Programme Executive Director, David Beasley, in Stockholm, 2 February 2018.

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SIPRI news

SIPRI and partners launch the Arabic- SIPRI event language translation of SIPRI Yearbook 2017 in Alexandria, Egypt. SIPRI co-hosts a workshop with the US Department of State entitled ‘Controlling intangible transfers of technology: Mapping key challenges and good practices in identifying areas of improvement’. SIPRI news

SIPRI attends the Munich Security Conference and hosts a roundtable discussion on the risks to peace posed by new technologies. SIPRI commentary

Dr Ian Anthony and Dr John Hart write the essay ‘Strengthening the ban on chemical weapons: The case of Syria’.

1 6 13 15 16 TRACKING ARMS FLOWS, MILITARY SPENDING AND THE ARMS March 2018 INDUSTRY SIPRI hosts the discussion ‘The Art of Keeping a Pieter D. Wezeman et al. release SIPRI’s research on arms and military spending has been at the core of the Deal: Can Europe Save Trends in International Arms Transfers, 2017. institute’s work since its foundation in 1966. SIPRI’s tracking of trends in the JCPOA?’ on the 2015 military spending, the transfers of major weapons and the development of the Iran nuclear deal with arms industry is used globally by researchers, policymakers and the public. distinguished experts The open access databases exemplify SIPRI’s core values of transparency and from Europe, Iran and the universality as they only use open sources that can be independently checked, USA. and include data on nearly every country in the world.

In 2018 Dan Smith presented SIPRI’s data at the World Economic Forum in Davos, explaining what the indicators reveal about the new balances of power and the changing character of conflict. SIPRI’s five major data launches—international arms transfers, military expenditure, world nuclear forces, multilateral peace

operations, and developments in the arms industry—collectively reached SIPRI Associate, Dr Tarja Cronberg, speaking at the event ‘The Art of Keeping a Deal: Can 8785 media outlets in 2018. Europe Save the JCPOA?’, 28 March, together with Thierry Coville, Research Fellow at the French Research Centre for International and Strategic Studies (IRIS), and the SIPRI Director, Dan Smith. 6 7

Infograph of the 10 largest arms SIPRI outreach exporters, 2013–17. SIPRI commentary SIPRI releases new films from the EU Non-Proliferation Niklas Bremberg and Dr Malin Mobjörk and Disarmament Conference. write the essay ‘ steps up its efforts to become the global leader on addressing climate-related security risks’.

SIPRI commentary SIPRI outreach Mark Bromley and Giovanna Maletta publish the essay New episode of Peace Points airs on ‘The conflict in Yemen and EU’s arms export controls: ‘Trump changes the line-up’. Highlighting the flaws in the current regime’.

6 16 23 26 28 THE REFORM OF PEACEKEEPING IN THE 21ST CENTURY SIPRI co-hosts the event April 2018 ‘Identifying concrete steps Through its peace operations and conflict management programme, SIPRI to move forward nuclear has continued to contribute valuable data and analysis on multilateral peace Kolja Brockmann and Robert Kelley release the report The Challenge disarmament’ with the operations (both UN and non-UN) worldwide and enhance understanding of Emerging Technologies to Non- Hiroshima Prefecture about their role in dealing with non-traditional security challenges, specifically, proliferation Efforts: Controlling Additive and the UN Institute for terrorism and violent extremism, irregular migration, piracy, organized crime Manufacturing and Intangible Transfers of Technology. Disarmament Research. and environmental degradation. The event took place at Dr Tytti Erästö et al. publish Setting the 2018 Preparatory To mark the anniversary of UN Security Council Resolution 1325 on Women, the Stage for Progress Towards Nuclear Disarmament. Committee for the 2020 Peace and Security, SIPRI published a policy paper on trends in women’s Nuclear Non-Proliferation participation in UN, European Union and the Organization for Security and Treaty Review Conference Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) peace operations, analysing data over a in Geneva. 10-year period (2008–17). Despite progress in certain areas, women continued to be under-represented in the personnel of peace operations, and improvements in the gender balance of operations resulted primarily from decreases in the A Swedish peacekeeper on patrol in Timbuktu, Mali. number of male personnel, rather than from increases in the number of female personnel. 8 9 Panel discussion on ‘Mandates, practice and the changing role of UN Peacekeeping Operations in times of reform’ at the SIPRI publication seminar ‘Peacekeeping reform: Making UN peace operations more fit for purpose’, 13 April. SIPRI publishes the report Integrating SIPRI commentary Cybersecurity and Critical Infrastructure: Dr Tarja Cronberg writes the blog ‘The National, Regional and International Approaches. Talk of the town in Tehran: Can the Europeans deliver?’

SIPRI event

SIPRI co-hosts a seminar with the Embassies of Indonesia, Ethiopia SIPRI publication and Brazil on ‘Peacekeeping reform: Making UN peace operations more fit Mark Bromley and Giovanna Maletta for purpose’. release the report The Challenge of Software and Technology Transfers to Non-proliferation Efforts: Implementing and Complying with Export Controls.

1 13 24 25 STOCKHOLM FORUM ON PEACE AND DEVELOPMENT May 2018 The inaugural SIPRI lecture The 2018 Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development, co-hosted by SIPRI is held in Stockholm on Dr Nan Tian et al. publish Trends in and the Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs, was held on 7–9 May. The annual the theme ‘Is the world World Military Expenditure, 2017. event has become a major gathering point bringing together researchers, on the road to peace Yeonju Jung and Gulzhan Asylbek policymakers and practitioners from around the globe to discuss and problem- or war?’ The lecture kyzy release Global Mapping solve issues in peace and development. The 2018 Stockholm Forum, with the honours HE Dr Hans Blix and Analysis of Anti-vehicle Mine and is attended by Incidents in 2017. theme ‘The Politics of Peace’, stressed inclusivity as the key for lasting peace, and participants concentrated on identifying tangible steps towards creating HM Carl XVI Gustaf and sustainable peace. HM Queen Silvia.

Topics included sustainable peace, mechanisms for addressing and managing violent conflict risks, engaging youth and civil society and the role of women in diplomacy and politics. A key output of the forum is the SIPRI Searchlight film ‘Towards peace, justice and inclusive governance by 2030’. Ambassador Jan Eliasson, HM Carl XVI Gustaf, HM Queen Silvia, HE Dr Hans Blix and Dan Smith attend the SIPRI Lecture, 28 May.

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SIPRI event

SIPRI event SIPRI hosts the workshop ‘Mapping the impact of SIPRI, together with CONASCIPAL, hold machine learning and autonomy on strategic stability the third National Forum of Civil Society for and nuclear risk’. Peace and Security in Mali.

SIPRI commentary

Kolja Brockmann, Mark Bromley and Giovanna SIPRI outreach Maletta write the blog ‘Promoting effective implementation of the Arms Trade Treaty: Mapping A new SIPRI Searchlight video airs on ‘Managing the outreach and assistance in East and South East Asia’. HE Margot Wallström delivers welcoming risks posed by climate change—a role for the UN’. remarks at the Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development.

Opening Plenary of the Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development with HE Adela Raz

(Afghanistan), HE Adbi Mohamed Sabrie (Somalia), HE Gbehzohngar Milton Findley (Liberia), 9 15 22 25 28 HE Miroslav Lajčák () and HE Isabella Lövin (Sweden). SIPRI YEARBOOK SIPRI and the Swedish June 2018 Ministry for Foreign The SIPRI Yearbook has been a regular and reliable source of information on peace Affairs co-host a and security since its first edition in 1969. Now in its 49th edition, it continues Dr Marina Caparini, Dr Anastasia Aladysheva and Dr Gary Milante conference on ‘Managing to be an authoritative and independent resource, covering developments in publish Policy Impact Assessment complexity: Addressing armed conflict and conflict management, military spending and armaments, and Report on the NATO Building societal security non-proliferation, arms control and disarmament. SIPRI’s flagship publication Integrity Programme. challenges in the presents and analyses data from the previous year, providing depth and nuance Dr Marina Caparini releases Baltic Sea region’. The to earlier coverage of the global arms trade and world military expenditure. the paper UN Police and Conflict conference was held on Summaries of SIPRI Yearbook 2018 are available in Bulgarian, Catalan, Dutch, Prevention. 11–12 June in Stockholm. English, French, German, Italian, Korean, Spanish and Swedish.

In 2018 SIPRI embarked on an ambitious project to improve public access to its flagship publication. Currently, all editions of the SIPRI Yearbook between 2001 and 2016 are freely available to download from the SIPRI website.

A map of multilateral peace operations in 2018 based on data 12 from SIPRI’s Multilateral Peace Operations Database. 13

SIPRI commentary SIPRI commentary Zoë Gorman and Dr Grégory Chauzal write the Mark Bromley and Dr Marina Caparini release the topical backgrounder ‘Establishing a regional topical backgrounder ‘SDG16.4 and the collection security architecture in the Sahel’. of data on illicit arms flows: Progress made but SIPRI publication challenges ahead’. SIPRI Yearbook 2018 is published and includes updates of both the world nuclear forces data and the Multilateral Peace Operations SIPRI commentary Database. SIPRI commentary Timo Smit writes the topical backgrounder ‘Global Dr Tytti Erästö and Dr Petr Topychkanov write the and regional trends in multilateral peace operations, topical backgrounder ‘Russian and US policies on the INF 2008–17’. Treaty endanger arms control’.

11 15 20 25 SIPRI OUTREACH: TARGETING SWEDEN AND THE WORLD July 2018 From local audiences to global audiences, SIPRI’s outreach is constantly SIPRI participates in the evolving. SIPRI continued to have an active calendar of events in Stockholm in Almedalen Week in Visby, 2018, connecting Sweden with global issues such as peacekeeping reform, the Gotland, on 1–8 July. security implications of China’s Belt and Road initiative and newly emerged The events SIPRI was technologies. Importantly, SIPRI had an active presence at Almedalen Week in involved in ranged from Visby, Gotland, which is one of Sweden’s most important political, social and a discussion on topics of business forums. nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament to the Many of SIPRI’s events are livestreamed and available to view on SIPRI’s exploration of the links Facebook and YouTube channels alongside a wealth of videos exploring different between climate change aspects of SIPRI’s work. More than 80 new videos were posted in 2018, with and hunger. a combined watch time of over 100 000 minutes as SIPRI looks to new tools Livestreams continued to be a key component of SIPRI’s SIPRI’s Spotlight film ‘Ben Issa Aicha Aly’, part of SIPRI’s ‘Towards and channels to engage and educate audiences. Media coverage continued to outreach strategy in 2018. peace in the Sahel: Understanding local perceptions of security’ film increase in 2018, with citations in over 26 000 articles in 140 countries—evidence series. Ben Issa Aicha Aly is a member of the Monitoring Groups for Peace and Security in Taoudeni, Mali. of SIPRI’s international presence.

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SIPRI event SIPRI co-hosts the event ‘Hunger and conflict— Where is the connection?’ with the UN World Food Dr Tytti Erästö speaks at the seminar ‘The future of Programme at Almedalen Week. nuclear weapons’ at Almedalen Week. SIPRI outreach

SIPRI’s Spotlight and Searchlight film series continued throughout 2018, producing 84 videos. SIPRI event

Dan Smith, SIPRI Director, and Dr Tarja Cronberg SIPRI commentary participate in the seminar ‘Is a nuclear-weapons free world possible?’ at Almedalen Week. Myriam Marending, Dr Grégory Chauzal and Zoë Gorman write the blog ‘Mali holds presidential elections: Polls to the people, power to the incumbents’.

3 4 5 24 SIPRI’S GOVERNING BOARD August 2018 The SIPRI Governing Board reflects a diverse range of rare expertise and a wealth of experience in the field of international peace and security. In 2018 Dr Florian Krampe, Roberta Scassa and Giovanni Mitrotta release SIPRI welcomed two new members to the Governing Board: Dr Patricia Lewis, the report Responses to Climate- Research Director for International Security at Chatham House; and Jean- related Security Risks: Regional Marie Guéhenno, Senior Advisor at the Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue Organizations in Asia and Africa. and a member of the UN Secretary-General’s High-Level Advisory Board on Mediation.

In November, SIPRI’s Governing Board engaged in a public panel discussion in SIPRI welcomes new The Expert Working Group on Climate-related Security Risks released Stockholm on the state of the world today—the risks and challenges, and the Deputy Director Sigrún three reports in 2018 on the Lake Chad Region, and Somalia. prospects for peace and security. Rawet. Ms Rawet is SIPRI’s 17th Deputy Director.

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SIPRI news

SIPRI begins to host the Expert Working Group on Climate-related Security Risks. The group produces SIPRI outreach policy-relevant assessments of climate-related security risks to the UN. A new episode of SIPRI’s Peace Points film series airs on ‘The global heatwave—implications for security’.

SIPRI commentary SIPRI commentary Kolja Brockmann writes the blog ‘3D-printable guns Mark Bromley writes the blog ‘The state of the Arms and why export controls on technical data matter’. Trade Treaty: Advancing efforts on international assistance and illicit diversion’.

The event ‘The state of the world: Discussing war and peace with SIPRI’s international Governing Board’, 26 November. 1 6 21 29 STOCKHOLM SECURITY CONFERENCE September 2018 SIPRI co-hosts a workshop The third Stockholm Security Conference took place on 19–20 September, in Beijing with the China Dr Tytti Erästö and Dr Tarja gathering together more than 200 politicians, diplomats, researchers, Institute of Contemporary Cronberg release the report Opposing Trends: The Renewed international lawyers, representatives from the military, and non-governmental International Relations. Salience of Nuclear Weapons and experts. SIPRI co-hosted the conference with the Swedish Parliament (the The workshop covered Nuclear Abolitionism. Riksdag) and the Munich Security Conference. The conference expanded the impact of emerging Dr Florian Krampe and Pernilla on a growing body of research at SIPRI by exploring the theme ‘Emerging technologies on nuclear Nordqvist publish Climate Change technologies: Unseen connections, missing players, absent solutions’. Through risks. and Violent Conflict: Sparse workshops, panel discussions and open plenary sessions, the conference Evidence from South Asia and South East Asia. provided a platform to identify and assess how newly emerged technologies can affect global security.

The pre-conference seminar of the Stockholm Security Conference at the Swedish Parliament, 19 September.

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Breakout session at the 2018 Stockholm Security Conference on ‘Artificial intelligence and robotics plus X’.

SIPRI event

SIPRI hosts panel discussion on ‘Security implications of China’s 21st Century Maritime Silk Road’ and brings together the authors of the report and expert input from the Swedish Institute of International Affairs.

SIPRI publication SIPRI commentary Dr Sibylle Bauer, Director of Studies at SIPRI, delivers the closing remarks at the 2018 Stockholm Security Conference. Richard Ghiasy, Fei Su and Dr Lora Saalman release the Yeonju Jung et al. write the blog ‘Beyond “women’s report The 21st Century Maritime Silk Road: Security issues” and smoky rooms: Debunking myths about Implications and Ways Forward for the European Union. gender in peace mediation’.

4 6 12 21 LOCAL PERCEPTIONS OF SECURITY IN THE SAHEL October 2018 Building upon a methodology to assess security in Mali, SIPRI has expanded its study of local perceptions of security to the wider Sahel region. The study Timo Smit and Kajsa Tiblad- Lundholm release the report aims to better understand the transnational nature of the threats to peace and Trends in Women’s Participation in be equipped more effectively to provide concrete recommendations both to the UN, EU and OSCE Peace Operations. governments and the international community. Using detailed questionnaires distributed through partners at the local level, SIPRI analyses what drives insecurity for different parts of the population in the region.

SIPRI and IMEMO A new film series presents some of the findings from Mali. Unemployment, co-host a conference in education and food security are recurring themes, alongside banditry on the Moscow to commemorate roads and a perceived ineffectiveness of Malian police forces—particularly in 25 years of the Russian the more remote regions. translation and launch Workshop with the EU and Monitoring Groups for Peace and SIPRI Yearbook 2018. Security in Mali, May 2018.

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SIPRI outreach SIPRI news SIPRI launches a new film series ‘Towards peace in the Ambassador Jan Eliasson and Sigrún Rawet attend Sahel: Understanding local perceptions of security’ with SIPRI commentary the OSCE Forum for Security Cooperation in an interview with Dolo Halima Diakité, member of the Vienna. Ambassador Eliasson speaks on the non- Karolina Eklöw and Dr Florian Krampe write the Monitoring Groups for Peace and Security in Ségou, proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. blog ‘Towards climate resilient peacebuilding: Mali. Understanding the complexities’.

SIPRI commentary

SIPRI publishes a statement congratulating the 2018 Nobel Laureates: and . SIPRI news

The SIPRI Yearbook becomes more accessible—full chapters of the SIPRI Yearbook 2001–16 are made available to download.

5 17 18 30 REGIONAL SECURITY THREATS: THE BLACK SEA BELARUS November 2018 POLAND SIPRI and the European

The wider Black Sea region is experiencing a rapidly shifting security Kyiv Centre for Development Dr Nan Tian, Pieter D. Wezeman environment that combines large-scale conventional military threats, SLOVAKIA KAZAKHSTAN Policy host a panel and Youngju Yun publish Military UKRAINE Budapest Expenditure Transparency in Sub- internationalized civil wars and protracted conflicts, as well as weapons of mass MOLDOVA discussion on ‘The HUNGARY Saharan Africa. destruction challenges. A fragile set of states caught between the Euro-Atlantic Chisinau changing nature of Sea RUSSIA community, on the one hand, and Russia and its allies, on the other, has emerged support to peacebuilding’. Mark Bromley, Giovanna Maletta Belgrade of Azov Crimea and Kolja Brockmann release Arms as a key interface between the two security communities. SERBIA Bucharest Transfer and SALW Controls in Caspian Sofia Sea the Middle East and North Africa: SIPRI produced a policy paper recommending key actions to reduce nuclear Black Sea Mapping Capacity-building Efforts. BULGARIA GEORGIA Tbilisi Baku security risk in the Black Sea region, which was presented in briefings in Turkish ARMENIA AZERBAIJAN Washington, DC. Other SIPRI publications suggest ways to rebuild collective Straits GREECE Ankara Yerevan security in the region, with a focus on the roles of Bulgaria, Georgia, Romania, TURKEY Russia, Turkey and Ukraine, and investigate the impact of frozen conflicts in the Athens region. IRAN IRAQ SYRIA 0400 km Mediterranean Sea

Map of the wider Black Sea region. 22 23

SIPRI outreach

SIPRI airs a film series on ‘Exploring the security risks posed SIPRI event by newly emerged technologies’. SIPRI holds an expert seminar at the Swedish Forum on Human Rights with Ambassador Jan Eliasson and Dr Marina Caparini. The SIPRI policy paper, Nuclear Security in the Black Sea Region, was presented in a closed briefing SIPRI publication for US Senate working staff, held in cooperation with the Fissile SIPRI commentary José Alvarado, Emma Bjertén-Günther and Yeonju Jung release Material Working Group, Assessing Gender Perspectives in Peace Processes with Application to 12 December. Dr Tytti Erästö writes the topical backgrounder ‘Dissecting the Cases of Colombia and Mindanao. international concerns about Iran’s missiles’.

8 15 26 28 THE TRUMP EFFECT: THE DETERIORATION OF ARMS CONTROL? December 2018 Dan Smith’s ominously titled essay, ‘The crumbling architecture of arms control’, highlights a key issue of concern felt at the end of 2018. Particularly alarming Aurélien Tobie and Dr Grégory Chauzal release State Services in an was President Donald J. Trump’s announcement to withdraw the USA from the Insecure Environment: Perceptions INF Treaty, as were the accusations that both Russia and the USA made against Among Civil Society Members in Mali. each other. Equally worrying was President Trump’s decision to withdraw the Dr Aude Fleurant et al. publish The USA from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) and its impact on politics in the Middle SIPRI Top 100 Arms-producing and East. These issues sat alongside an absence of discussion on strategic nuclear Military Services Companies, 2017. weapons and conventional forces, as well as the multi-layered challenges posed to arms control by newly emerged technologies.

During November and December, SIPRI launched a collection of films on the security challenges of newly emerged technologies and Russian perspectives A SIPRI Spotlight interview with Professor Feodor Voitolovsky, part of Dr Denis Mukwege, a 2018 Laureate, with SIPRI’s film series ‘The landscape of arms control: Perspectives from representatives from SIPRI, the Swedish Ministry for Foreign on arms control to inform and to correct perceptions. SIPRI’s publications Russia’. Professor Voitolovsky is the Director of IMEMO in Moscow. Affairs and the Karolinska Institute. and online commentaries have sought to do the same by presenting rigorously researched independent analyses that allow the facts to speak for themselves.

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SIPRI event

SIPRI, in cooperation with the Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Karolinska Institute, organizes a roundtable discussion with Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Dr Denis Mukwege. SIPRI event

SIPRI, in cooperation with the UN World Food Programme, hosts a panel debate on the relationship between hunger and SIPRI event conflict.

SIPRI co-hosts the second instalment in a series of workshops on trilateral dialogue between SIPRI outreach Japan, South Korea and the USA on nuclear spent fuel strategies and security concerns. SIPRI releases a new film series on ‘The landscape of arms control: Perspectives from Russia’.

5 13 17 18 January–December 2018 FACTS AND FIGURES

SIPRI is an international • At the end of 2018, the number of employees at SIPRI was 63 of whom 28 institute, attracting were men and 35 were women. scholars, researchers, • SIPRI had 37 full-time research staff during 2018, with 20 different policymakers and visiting nationalities. experts and delegations • SIPRI published 38 titles in 2018. from around the world. • Full translations of the SIPRI Yearbook were published in Chinese, Russian, Ukrainian and Arabic, and summaries in Bulgarian, Catalan, Dutch, English, French, German, Italian, Korean, Spanish and Swedish. • At the end of 2018, SIPRI had over 43 200 followers on and more than 21 100 page likes on Facebook. • During 2018, SIPRI was featured in over 26 800 news stories in 140 countries. • SIPRI issued 50 targeted mailings and over 40 news items in 2018. • SIPRI’s YouTube channel generated 70 days of total watch time and holds a viewership of over 46 000.

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HE Dr Hans Blix delivers the inaugural SIPRI Lecture, 28 May. FINANCES January–December 2018 2018 2017 SIPRI’s annual Income accounts are prepared in accordance with the Grant from Swedish Government 28 402 000 25 402 000 Swedish Bookkeeping Grants from other funders 56 191 932 43 546 163 Act. Royalties and sales 221 050 127 428 Other 25 362 31 426 Rental income 582 434 754 032

Total 85 422 778 69 861 049

Expenditure

Project expenditure from grants –29 200 653 –20 611 526

28 Administrative expenditure –8 241 891 –10 563 554 C Staff costs –42 835 495 –37 738 384 Depreciation –374 825 –357 589

Operating profit 4 769 914 589 996

Financial income Financial net amount 671 009 268 824

SIPRI’s annual staff photo taken on the occasion of the Net profit/loss for the year 5 440 923 321 173 meeting of the Governing Board, 26 November.

PHOTO CREDITS UN Photo by Harandane Dicko, p. 8. Photo of Sigrún Rawet by Lisa Laskaridis, p. 16. Map of wider Black Sea region © Hugo Ahlenius for SIPRI, p. 23. Photo of Dr Denis Mukwege by Ann Bernes, p. 24. 6