Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List
Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description
41 2 10/25/1972Campaign Report A survey by J.A. Reyes Associates, Inc. RE: Determining voter reaction to candidates and issues in Georgia. 17pgs
41 2 10/21/1972Campaign Memo To: Dwight Chapin From: Rose Mary Woods RE: Polls. 1pg
41 2 10/19/1972Campaign Letter To: Rose Mary Woods From: Ruth L. Cruikshank RE: request from WKBN-TV about The President holding a news conference in Youngstown, OH. 1pg
41 2 10/8/1972Campaign Newspaper Article from Minneapolis Tribune titled "Nixon is Viewed as Better Able to Handle Problems (Minnesota Poll)." 1pg
41 2 10/18/1972Campaign Memo Author/recepient unk RE: retaining of schedules for Senator George S. McGovern and R. Sargent Shriver. 1pg
41 2 10/4/1972Campaign Memo To: Gordon From: Thomas W. Benham RE: the latest look at the electoral votes. 1pg
41 2 10/4/1972Campaign Report Electoral Vote Forecast as of October 4, 1972 from Opinion Research Group, Princeton, New Jersey. 1pg
41 2 10/4/1972Campaign Report 1972 Electoral Vote Forecast from Opinion Research Corporation, Princeton, New Jersey. 1pg
41 2 10/14/1972Campaign Memo To: Bob From: RM Woods RE: Poll
Tuesday, January 17, 2012 Page 1 of 3 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description
41 2 Campaign Report Results of the "Aunt Minnie" Survey from WKBN Broadcasting, Youngstown, Ohio. 1pg
41 2 9/27/1972Campaign Letter To: Herbert G. Klein From: Preston Wolfe RE: Broken down poll figures and summary of issues that poll listed. 1pg
41 2 10/11/1972Campaign Memo To: Bob Haldeman From: Herb Klein RE: For your information. 1pg
41 2 9/27/1972Campaign Newspaper From: The Columbus Dispatch "Lesser Penalties for 'Pot' Win Approval with Busing." 1pg
41 2 Campaign Report Polling questions with ensuing results between June 12th and September 23. 1pg
41 2 9/26/1972Campaign Newspaper Article authored by Gene Jordan (publication unk) titled "Nixon's Lead Grows In Poll by Dispatch." 1pg
41 2 Campaign Report Poll asking "Generally, what do you consider yourself?" RE: political affiliation by age brackets. 1pg
41 2 Campaign Report Poll asking "For whom will you vote?" RE: political affiliations by age bracket. 1pg
41 2 10/17/1972Campaign Memo To: H. R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: California Field Poll of September 29 through October 6. 1pg
41 2 10/2/1972Campaign Memo To: William Loeb From: Herbert G. Klein RE: results of "Union Leader's" recent poll in New Hampshire. 1pg
Tuesday, January 17, 2012 Page 2 of 3 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description
41 2 Campaign Newspaper Article authored by D. Frank O'Neil (publication unk) titled "Pres. Nixon Said Only Shoo-In in N.H. Balloting - 'Undecided' Voters Pivotal In State, Poll Reveals." 2pgs
41 2 9/13/1972Campaign Memo To: Larry Higby From: Ray Price RE: Texas Poll. 1pg
41 2 Campaign Memo To: Larry Higby From: Gordon Strachan asking for more information. 1pg
41 2 Campaign Report Trial Heats Before Presidential Elections and Results from 1939-1970. 19pgs
41 2 8/11/1972Campaign Memo To: H From: Bruce Kehrli RE: discussing memo with the President. 1pg
41 2 8/10/1972Campaign Memo To: The President From: Herbert G. Klein RE: ballots from the Chicago Sun Times. 1pg
Tuesday, January 17, 2012 Page 3 of 3 1140 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, N.W. - SUITE 410 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20036 A SURVEY TO DETERMINE VOTER REACTION TO CANDIDATES AND ISSUES IN GEORGIA
October 25, 1972
/d.~~,J~. J~ 4/C, //4CG~ A telephone survey of selected areas in the state of Georgia was conducted by J.A. Reyes Associates, Inc., on October 20-23,1(972, to determine voter reaction to candidates and issues in the forth coming Presidential, Senatorial, and Congressional elections. Two major geographical areas of the state were surveyed: greater Atlanta and the Valdosta city area (Lowndes County). The target groups within the Atlanta area were determined through the use of U. S. Bureau of Census (1970) tract information which provided both accurate population counts and racial breakdowns. The Atlanta area survey in cluded the city of Atlanta (the portions in Fulton County), the • remaining portions of Fulton County, all of Cobb County, and all of Douglas County. The survey in Valdosta encompassed the city itself as well as the surrounding areas of Lake City. and Clayatteville. The areas surveyed represented five different population groups: urban Blacks, urban whites, the suburban population, the rural population, and south ern Georgia. The responses from these five groups are indicated in the summary tables. The survey size was set at approximately 1,000 respondents in order to provide an acceptable level of statistical certainty. In almost all cases the sample size was proportional to the existing population as derived from the 1970 census counts. The exception was in Southern Georgia. There, a larger sample was taken to reflect a greater area than the Valdosta city region and to develop a greater certainty factor in obtaining a representative sample. All of the questions asked, as well as the introduction used by the surveyors,are contained in Figure 1. All calls were made from Washington, D.C. The questions related to the following areas: (1) party identification (2) voter preference in the race between Senator McGovern and President Nixon, (3) voter preference for Fletcher Thompson vs, Sam Nunn. FIGURE 1 Hello, Mr(s). , My name is I am calling from Washington, D. C. for the J. A. Reyes Associates, Inc., an independent research and analysis firm. We value your opinion and wonder if you mind answering a few questions, OK? 1. Do you consider yourself Democrat D Republican D Don't Know D 2. Do you intend to vote in the next election? Yes D No n 3. If yes, do you intend to vote for McGovern or D Nixon? D 4. 'If yes, do you intend to vote for Fletcher Thompson D or Sam Nunn for Senator? D 5. F U L TON C 0 U N T Y ONLY Do you intend to vote for Rodney Cook or D Andrew Young for Congress? 0 6. Would Lester Maddox's public endorsement of a candidate Yes influence you? D No D 7. Would this endorsement influence your friends? Yes 0 No 0 B. Is Herman Talmadge chairman on any committee in Congress? Yes 0 No 0 9. If yes, which committee Armed Services D Foreign Affairs D Agriculture D Appropriations 0 Don't Know D 10. Are you in favor of unlimited Congressional mailing privileges 0 for political purposes? Yes No 0 11. Has Mr. Nunn's charge of misuse of Congressional mailing privileges influenced your opinion? Yes 0 No 0 (4) voter preference for Rodney Cook vs. Andrew Young in the 5th District Congressional race. (5) the influence Lester Maddox has on the five different population groups, (6) the awareness, in the five communities, of Herman Talmadge's position as head of the Agricultural committee, (7) the affect on the voting public of Fletcher Thompson's abuse of his Congressional mailing privileges. Names and telephone numbers of those surveyed were randomly selected from local telephone books and the Criss-Cross Directory. In order to obtain the desired representative sample, approximately 2,000 names and phone numbers were prepared prior to the actual tele phone survey. When the desired number of responses were gathered the survey was considered complete and the additional names and numbers were discarded. The following tables represent a summary of the responses received from the survey. Each ta~le is interpreted in a summary following the table. QUESTION 1. Do you consider yourself: Democrat, Republican, or Other? NON DEMOCRAT I REPUBLICAN IDENTIFIABLE TOTAL I I I (1) URBAN ( BLACK) 173 33 49 I 255 ------%of Horiz. Total 67.84 bl2.~ 19,21 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 87 65 65 217 -'-- -- - ------% of Horiz. Total -r- 29.95 29.95 I 40.09 I (3) SUBURBAN -i-- '_24__ L 14_5_' 135 1 404 ~~~O_%-_O~f~H~or~i_z_.~T~o-t_a~1_+-__30_._69 __r-_3_5._8_9_-+__33_._41_----_~1· ---I (4) RURAL ATLANTA I 90 30 48 I 168 , - -1------ %of Horiz. Total 53.57 17.85 28.57 !\ (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 79 28 42 149 -- ---1- --- %of Horiz: Total 53.02 18.79 28.18 SUMMARY The respondents in rural Atlanta and ~outhefti Georgia predominantly retain allegiance to the Democratic party. The urban Black population also indicates a strong preference for the Democratic party. The suburban and urban white popu 1a ti,on, however, 'show a more balanced affiliation between the Republican and Democratic parties. , , QUESTION 2. Do you intend to vote in the next election? t YES NO , DON'T KNOW I TOTAL" (1 ) URBAN ( BLACK) 1 211 36 8 255 ------I -- %of Horiz. Total T 82.7' 14.11 I 3.13 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 176 31 ; 10 217 ------• %of Horiz. Total 81.10 14.28 4.60 ~ (3) SI.JBURBAN 53 14 349 -- - L2~ -- - - - % of Horiz. Total 80.80 15.18 • 4.01 (4) RURAL ATLANTA 143 , 27 - a 170 ------r %of Horiz. Total 84.11 15.88 (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 120 23 8 151 -- I - - -- %of Horiz. Total 79.47 15.23 5.29 SUMMARY All five community classes .indicate aRproxima..tely eighty percent (80%) intention to vote. .: . QUESTION 3. Do you intend to vote for McGovern or Nixon? Me GOVERN I NIXON DON'T KNOW I TOTAL (1) URBAN ( BLACK) 115 44 60 219 --- -f--- --,1+ -- - % of Horiz. Total 52.51 20.09 27.39 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 42 10 4 -1-_ _ _1 _,• __41__++1 ~ ~ % of Hor1z. Total 22.45 55.61 21.92 Ii (3; SUBURBAN 39 172 78 JI 289. --1-- %of Horiz. Total 13.49 59.51 ~.9;--y -- .'- (4) RURAL ATLANTA 18 94 31 143 --l>'- --- %of Horiz. Total 12.58 65.73 21 .67 --~------~------~'------+------~.~.------~ (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 1 22 62 46 130' -r- - %of Horiz. Total 16.92 47.69 35.38 SUMMARY Assuming a 50 percent split of those who did not present ly know or refused to state their preference, then President Nixon will carry the urban white, suburban, rural, and southern Georgia population by more than 30 percent. This trend ;s reversed' in the urban Black areas where Senator McGovern will carry the population by approximately 30 percent. QUESTION 4. Do you intend ~o vote for Fletcher Thompson or Sam Nunn for Senator? THOMPSON NUNN DON 'T KNOW TOTAL (1) URBAN ( BLACK) 38 96 82 216 ----r -f-- - - -- - % of Hor;z. Total 17 .59 44.44 37.96 I (2) URBAN (WH ITE) 66 60 58 184 - - - - r , .. --- % of Hor;z. Total 35.86 . 32.6:~ .. . 31 .52 (3) SUBURBAN 117 . 74 92 283 --• ------% of Horiz. Total 41.34 26.14 32.50 (4) RURAL ATLANTA 40 59 . 41 140 ------%of Horiz. Total 28.57 . 42.14 29.28 , (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 56 66 16 138 - - - -- %of Horiz. Total 40.57 47.82 " .59 SUMMARY Assuming a 50 percent split among the undecided voters, then the survey indicates that the voting public will follow their party affiliation, Rural Atlanta, southern Georgia, and the urban Blacks all lean toward Sam Nunn, while suburban Atlanta leans toward Fletcher Thompson. President Nixon's popularity does not seem to reflect on Thompson. QUESTION 5. (FULTON COUNTY ONLY) Do you intend to vote for Rodney Cook or Andrew Young for Congress? COOK I YOUNq DON'T KNOW I TOTAL: (1) URBAN (BLACK) 27 - - 125, 31 183 • %of Horiz: Total 14.75 68.30 16.93 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 56~~1 59 176 %of Horiz. Total 31.81 34.65 . 33.52 (3) SUBURBAN . 44 . 20 36 100 FULTON COUNTY- . %of Horiz. Total 44.00 20:00 36.00 SUMMARY Assuming a 50 percent split in the undecided voters, Andrew Young wi 11 overwhe'lmi ngly carry the urban B1 ack popul at; on. The urban white population will apparently split between the two candidates. The suburban group will support the Republican candidate. If the majority of Blacks vote, they will elect Young. qUESTION 6. Would Lester Maddox' public endorsement of a candidate influence you? . t YES NO. DON'T KNOVI 1/ TOTAL (1)___ URBAN ( BLACK)0- I 25 210 12 247 -r- --;~- % of Horiz. Total 10.12 85.02 4.85 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 3.0 177 9 216 ----l--_ -1 -- --1+-- %of Horiz. Tota1 13.88 .81.94 ° 4.16 (3) SUBURBAN 57 260 13 __1~ .~V~ • --- % of Horiz. Total 17 .27 78.78 3.93 (4) RURAL ATLANTA 40 116-- 13 169 %of Hori~. Total 2::: " 68.63 7.69 -I 16 I 138. --rl-- %of Horiz. Tota1 40.57 47.82 11.59 SUMMARY Support for Lester Maddox increased as the population class went from urban to .rural to southern Georgia. In the rural and southern Georgia telephone interviews many voiced respect and intention to support Maddox if he were a candidate, however, the majority would not be influenced by Maddox to change their suppor~ for a candidate of their choice. QUESTION 7. Would Lester M~ddox' public endorsement of a candidate influence your friends? t YES NO DON'T KNOW TOTAL I (1) URBAN ( BLACK) 23 182 39 244 - - :...-- - i- ------%of Horiz. Total 9.42 74.59 15.98 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 28 126 61 215 \ ------'I - --- %of Horiz. Total 13.02 .. 58.60 28.37· ; (3) SUBURBAN 77 166 73 316 --• - - - - - %of Her;z. iotal 24.36 52.53 23.10 (4) RURAL ATLANTA 72 53 170 . 45 I . ------%of Horiz. Total 26.47 42.35 31.171 (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 46 42 39 127 ------• %of Horiz. Total 36.22 33.07 30.70 Sur~MARY The same trend of support for Maddox is seen in thi s question as in question 6. There is little support in the city but increasing support in the rural and southern Georgia areas. There is a far higher ratio of respondents who chose to indicate "don't know" (indicating a desire not to speak for their n~ighbor$J, then in question 6. ; , QUESTION 8. Is Herman Talmadge chairman of any committee in Congress? YES • NO DON'T KNOW TOTAL . (1) URBAN ( BLACK) 114 72 53 239 - - - - "- -i-- - - -- - %of Horiz. Total . 47.69 30.12 22.17 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 110 43 .' 62 215 - - - -'-- -:-r-: - --- %of Horiz. Total 51.16 20.00 .. 28.83 , (3) SUBURBAN 160 65 106 331 --• ------%of Horiz. Total 48.33 19.63 32.02 (4) RURAL ATLANTA 79 49 42 170 ------%of Horiz. Total 46.47 28.82 24.70 . (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 72 32 29 133 ------• %of Horiz. Total 54.13 24.06 21.80 SUMMARY In all class categories, Herman Talmadge's name is well known. The majority recognized that he must be a chairman of an important committee. QUESTION ga. Of the total sample in Question 8 the following identified Herman Talmadge as chairman of a Congressional committee. ARMED FOREIGN I AGRI APPRO DON'T TOTAL SERVICES AFFAIRS CULTURE PRIATIONS KNOW SURVEYED (1) URBAN(BLACK) , 13 I 6 30 8 55 239 I -----~------ - %of Horiz. Total 5.43 2.51 12.55 3.34 23.01 ~ (2) URBAN (WHITE) 12 . 12 52 5 - - --:-1-, ---.. - - .~ J-':l:J %Of Horiz. Total 5.58 5'.58 24.18 2.32 13.95 I I (3) SUBURBAN 14 I 12 67 7 112 I 331, --' - - - --,---r % of Horiz. Total 4.22 ".62 20.24 2.11 33.83 I (4) RURAL ATLANTA 4 3 40 3 73 170 • --.-f '------ ~-I %of Horiz. Total ~~.;- 23.52 1.76 42.94 . (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 8 8 28 3 26 ' 133 -- --- -- --- -f- - -. - %of Horiz. Total 6.01 6.01 21.05 2.25 19,54 SUMMARY This quest~on is summarized in two tables (9a and 9b) to reflect (1) the percentages of all respondents (in question 8), who could tdentify the proper committee chairmanship, and (2) the percentag(~ of those respondents who said 'yes' to question 8 (and went on to answer question 9) and selected the committee chairmanship. The percentage of respondents who properly recognized Talmadge as chairman of the Agriculture committee is approximately 12 percent in the urban area and 20-24 percent in all other regions. .: . QUESTION 9b. The percentage of those who answered Iy~sl to question number 8 and identified Herman Talmadge as head of a given committee. ARrlED FOREIGN AGRI- I APPRO DON'T SERVICES AFFAIRS CULTURE PRIATIONS KNOW TOTAL ! I 1 (1) URBAN(BLACK) 13 6 30 8 55 112 ----I - - --I-- +-- %of Horiz. Total 11.60 1..35 26.78 7.14 49.10 1--1 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 12 12 52 5 f 30 ------r-- --:-'--- pq %of Horiz. Total 10.81 10.81 46.84 . 4'.50 27.02 I . I (3) SUaURBAN 14 I 12 67 7 112 ------1-- ~'~ % of Horiz. Total 6.60 5.66 31.60 3.30 52.83 I I (4) RURAL ATLANTA 4 I 3 40 3 73 r-:--! -,-I- ---f---1--- ' % of Horiz. Total ;:; t;..:-. 32.52 2.43 59.34 (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 8 8 28 3 26 --- -i-- - --f- --I- - 1- 8-~ %of Horiz. iotal 10.95 10.95 38.35 4.10 35.61 SUMMARY There is high knowledge of Talmadge's position as chair man of the agriculture committee in all communities among the people who knew that he was chairman of some committee. .. QUESTION 10. Are you in favor of unlimited Congressional mailing privileges for political purposes? t YES NO DON'T KNOW I TOTAL I (1) URBAN ( BLACK) 47 151 45 243 ------%of Horiz. Total 19.34 62.13 18.51 t f , . (2) URBAN (WHITE) 23 161 24 208 ------% of Hori'z. Total 11.05 . 77 .40. 11.53 (3) SUGURBAN 59 230 47 336 ------'- % of Horiz. Total 17.55 I 68.45 13.98 I . (4) RURAL ATLANTA 16 137 18 171 -- - I - - . - %of Horiz. Total 9.35 80.11 -:.5~ (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 38 84 14 136 ------%of Horiz. Total 27.94 61.76 10.29 SUMMARY In all five population catagories, by more than 40 percent, the respondents were not in favor of unlimited Congressional mailing privileges for political purposes. It was apparent in the telephone intervi~ws that many did not understand the question. ..; . QUESTION 11. Has Mr. Nunn's charge of misuse of Congressional mailing privileges influenced your opinion? YES NO DON'T KNOW I TOTAL (1) URBAN ( BLACK) 37 169 37 243 - --"- --'- - -- - %of Horiz. Total I 15.22 69.54 15.22 (2) URBAN (WHITE) 45 160 11 l 216 - I - - - - - " " " . -- %of Horiz. Total 20.83 74.07 5.09 i (3) SUBURBAN 47 252 33 332 ------1-- -.. • %of Horiz. Total 14.15 75.90 9.93 (4) RURAL ATLANTA 33 121 16 170 ------• - -- %of Horiz. Total 19.41 71.17 9.41 (5) SOUTHERN GEORGIA 17 103 14 ------~4,~ . %of Horiz. Total 12.68 76.86 10.44 "" SUMMARY In all five population categories, by more than 50 percent, the respondents stated that they were not influenced by Mr. Nunn's charges. It was apparent that many were not aware of the charges or their i~plications. /6.<;· THE WHITE HOU$,!!7 WI< ISH I NGTO~/'/ From Rose Mary Woods FYI----- Please Handle v----> ~~~ ~~.~ ~ !I. tv--/~ ~ c,o~ .~~~~ ~. - 'vI(BN BROADCASTING CORPORATION 3930 SUNSET BOULEVARD' YOUNGSTOWN, OHIO 44501 AREA CODE 2Ie-?S2~U44 WKBN 5 KW-570 KC TV- CHANNEL 27 F'M-9S9MC October 19, 1972 Miss Rose Mary Woods Secretary to The President The White House Washington, D. C. Dear Miss Woods: WKBNfs weekly telephone survey on October 18, 1972 from 10 to 11 a. m. resulted in the following: NIXON 111 - 42.2% McGOVERN 152 - 57.8% 263 total calls We understand The President is coming to Youngstown on Saturday, October 28. We would be honored to have him hold a News Conference at WKBN-TV. Perhaps you would be interested in knowing that Vice-Presidentia) Candidate Shriver will hold a news conference at WKBN-TV at 9:45 a. m. on Monday, October 23. Kindest regards. Cordially, Ruth L. Cruikshank Corporate Secretary RLC s RADIO YOUNGSTOWN .. .. ,~ , \' '," t.d:3 ~ \;:... '- ' iVlayo be(,~ Minne(lpolig Tribune Sun., Oct. 8, 1972 .-____,10_' ______,___ ._·~ ______United Pres:; lilt':!' Rochester, Minl1. Cj h,-, Mayo Medic S:ltHnlay ann 0 I thrl'e-yt:;lr pro;,,' 1 at rcrruiting n1t:' ~~~__•__ "__ ~_,_. ___~_II" __ N_.1~"_. ______~..,_....._____.....~._ Richard Nixoll- <1,) yo(( trlin!" cOlilc1 do II bett(~r job of handling tile sitw.tion ill 'VieL:!wfl?" President: Nixon is selected more often than Sen. George l\TcGovern as being the candidatf' better able to handle Similar question:; were then asked about the economy, the problem." of Vietnam. the economy, foreign policy, foreign policy and domestic social problems. and domestic social issues, the Minneapolis Tribune's MinnesotCl Poll findst The replies for all adults and by political affiliation: The survey also shows. that issues relating to Vietnam, VIETNAM AU Tnde the economy and SOCIal problems will be uppermost allults DFLcrs Rcpubllcans pendents in the minos of Minnesotans when they go to the polls Nixon ....•.•.•• 59% 36% 92% 61% this November. McGovern •••••• 26 45 4 22 No opinion itS 19 4 17 In the mid-September statewide survey amona 994 ,:otiI'!g-age .Minne~otans, Mr. Nixon's greatest st~ength 100% 100% 100% 100% hes m foreign polIcy. where he is chosen over McGov TIlE ECONOMY ern 67 percent to 20 percent. All Inde adults DFLcrs Hepublicalls pendents Nixon •••••••••• 5.3% 27% 88% 58% The President also leads 59 to 26 percent in being l\1cGovem •••••• 31 53 6 23 better able to handle the war in Vietnam and 53 to 31 No opinion 16 20 6 19 .percent in dealing with the economy. 100% 100% 100% 100% ;\icGovern's strong point is in the area of .domestic FOREIGN POLICY social issues, but he still trails Mr. Nixon by 46 to 38 All Indc percent. adults DFI"cr5 Republicans pendents Nixon •••••••••• 67% 47% 90% 73% While more DFLers feel McGovern could do a better rt1cGovern •••••• 20 35 3 16 job than Mr. Nixon in each area except foreign policy No opinion 13 18 7 11 one-third of McGovern's own party members choos~ 100% 100% 100% 100% President Nixon as the candidate better able to handle Vietnam and one-fourth say he could do better on the DO:\lESIIC SOCIAL l'RODLElVIS economy and domestic social problems. All Inde , adults DFter:> Republicans pendents More independent voters in the survey choose Mr. Nixon ...... 4G% 25% 78% 46% l\1cGovern • • • • •• 38 58 12 36 Nixon in all four areas. No opinion 16 17 10 18 The first question about political issues was: 100% 100% 100% 100% "Are there any issues in the presidential campaign that Answers to those questions from likely voters in the will affect whom you will vote for? (IF YES) What survey divided much the same as the answers of all issues are those?" persons interviewed. Forty-four percent of likely voters (men and women' In the same survey, a test election of voter preferences who are eligible to vote, are fairly certain they will, as of mid-September (reported in the Tribune Sept. 24) and have an interest in the election) mentioned some showed President Nixon leading McGovern by 60 to 37 facet of Vietnam-ending the war, prisoner of war re percent among Minnesotans likely to vote. The remain lease, or amnesty. ing 3 percent favored another candidate or were un decided. TI:irty-one percent cited economic issues such us wages, prices, ta.'(cs, unemployment, or fann problems and , The results of the !Y!inl1eapolis Tribune's lWinnesota Poll 6 percent said govemment or defense spending. ' are based 011 peiscH,,1 in-th~-home llltervie\V5 with men and women 18 years of ago or older. i':esponcltmts arc In areas of domestic affairs, 17 percent mentioned wel selected by prol;a\;,iity sampling procedures and inter ar f~re, Social Security or poverty; 9 percent civil liber viewed by a stuff of 110 train~d interviewers. TIle Min tIes such as drugs, nbortion, individmd5' rights or ecol nt5!)ta pon was established in 19H as a puhlic service. ogy; nnd 5 percent minority problems, busing or solv ing racial differences. ' Four percent mentioned foreign policy and 7 percent gave other answers. Be solve:,~ your Thirty-three percent of likely voters s:lid there wasn't ;my issue in particular that would affect whom they problems ,would vote for. nf' "...-t :IntervLwers next asked: ~"ar. rl}U ,"Which presidential candidate-George McGovern Dr DETERMINED TO BE AN ADMIl\IISTRATIVE MARKING E.O. 12065. Section 6-102 BY_~~_l"AlL. 1);lte..$:;:~=f:D ::. : 00 P. :':. , ..... 1,. IN TIl--!E IJ-l8-72~ --... " ~ . ~ .. ;:;;-, ..;-'.-~--,~:. ~-.. v ...... :...... $ ..1. -'\} .r:t.-7 :OC t:-.:.n. II "7: OC ~h:~.-9:50 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION Research Park • Princeton, (f) - i ,i )P I (i •. I L~·t.., { v<-r.{.. u--f ELECTORAL VOTE FORECAST .AS OF OCTOBER 4, 1972 NIXON MCGOVERN ( 9) Alabama ( 5) Nebraska ( 6) Arizona (13) North Carolina ( 6) Arkansas ( 3) North Dakota SAFE (17) Flor~da ( 8) Oklahoma (12) Georgia ( 8) South Carolina ( 7) Kansas (10) Tennessee ( 9) Kentucky (26) Texas (10) Louisiana ( 31 Vermont ( 7) Mississippi (12) Virginia (171) ( 7) Colorado ( 4) New Hampshire ( 3) District of Columbia • ( 8) Connecticut (17) New Jersey ( 3) Delaware ( ) Ohio FAIRLy ( 4) Idaho (27) Pennsylvania SAFE (26) Illinois ( 4) Utah (13) Indiana ( 3) Wyoming ( 8) Iowa . (149) ( 3) ( 3) :ll.laska ( 4) Montana ( 4) Hawaii (45) California ( 3) Nevada (l4) Massachusetts ( 4) Maine ( 4) New Mexico ( 4) Rhode Island (10) Maryland (41) New York ( 4) South Dakota CLOSE (10) Minnesota ( 6) Oregon (2l) 1'f.dchigan ( 9) Washington (12) Missouri ( 6) West Virginia (ll) Wisconsin (189) (26) .TOTALs 509 29 Opinion Research Corporation Princeton~ New Jersey October 4, 1972 1972 ELECTORAL VOTE FORECAST ESTIMATED ELECTORAL NIXON VOTE PERCENTAGE TOTALS STATES 66.1 and over t ( 9) Alabama t (13) North Carolina (17) Florida f ( 8) Oklahoma , (12) Georgia f ( 8) South Carolina 111 (10) Louisiana t (10) Tennessee ( 7) Mississippi f (12) Virginia t ( 5) Nebraska 61.1 - 66.0 ( 6) Arizona i ( 3) North Dakota t ( 6) Arkansas (26) Texas 60 f ( 7) Kansas ( 3) Vermont t ( 9) Kentucky 56.1 - 61.0 . ( 7) Colorado • ... ( 4) New Hampshire ~ ( 8) Connecticut (17) New Jersey . ( 3) Delaware (25) Ohio , 149 *( 4) Idaho (27) Pennsylvania 1 (26) Illinois ~ ( 4) Utah (13) Indiana ( 3) Wyoming t ( 8) Iowa 51.1 - 56.0 ( 3) Alaska ~ ( 4) New M~xico (45) California (41) New York ~ ( 4) Maine ... ( 6) Oregon .(10) Maryland ( 9) vTashington 189 1(10) Minnesota ( 6) West Virginia ~ (21) Michigan (11) Wisconsin (12) Missouri .. ( 4) Montana ~ ( 3) Nevada I 51.0 or less ( 3) District of Columbia ( 4) Hawaii 29 (14) Massachusetts ( 4) Rhode Island ( 4) South Dakota 538 i = State has moved up since September 22 classification ~ = State has moved down since September 22 classification Opinion Research Corporation Princeton, New Jersey THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 14, 1972 Bob This is the poll I was talking with you about this morning. RMWoods • -'" /,' I V : ' "Aunt Minnie!l Survey - WKBN Broadcasting - Youngstown, Ohio Calls Nixon McGovern 8/23/72 189 70.3% 29.6% 8/31/72 195 69.2% 30.7% 9/7/72 121 73.5% 26.5% 9/13/72 112 69.6% 30.4% 9/21/72 120 66.6% 33.3% 9/27/72 158 53.2% 46.8% lU/4/72 159 47.2% 52.8% 10/11/72 219 43.8% 56.2% PRESTON 'W'OLFE THE DISPATCH COLUMBUS, OHIO September 27, 1972 Honorable Herbert G. Klein Director of Communications The White House Washington, D. C. 20500 Dear Herb: As I informed you, I am sending you our poll figures broken down in as much detail as we felt you would need to have. The green tabular sheets tell the story pretty much and I think are self explanatory. I have also included a summary of the issues which our poll listed, together with the totals voted thereon. I think they are significant and have very interesting relationshipa to the Nixon-McGovern actual vote. Included also is a copy of our poll story which we printed yesterday, and likewise one which ran today. I am assured the latter is a predominantly negro poll, taken in an overwhelmingly black area, being a mixture of middle and lower income blacks. Please note the marijuana vote, which is somewhat of an index as well as their voting on the other issues. We thoroughly enjoyed seeing you and wish to express our appreciation for the time you gave us. Sincerely, (~ pw:ak 1\ /-/;. .'It.? encl. "/U--:'Preston ~wolfe TO: FROM: DATE : For your information. , .. . The Columbus Dispatch Wed. Sept. 27, 1972 TI G CliINE; LL The majority opinion among 86 persons participating in one ay of The Dispatch Voting Machine Poll at Rosati's Market, 19 N. NELSO:\T Rd" favored lessening penalties for the use of marijuana, The voters also favored school busing to achieve racial balance, The McGovern-Shriver presidential ticket topped the Nixon-Agnew opposition by a substantial margin. Yes I\o Should Ohio law allow abortions on request? '" 57 17 Should Ohio legalize a state·operated lottery? ,. 56 20 , Should the governor and lieutenat governor be I elected as a team? , .. , ... ,.,'.,',," ..... Do you favor repeal of the state'income tax'? .,.. 4357 25136'41 " Should the legislature be allowed to increase the state debt 'without a vote of the people? .,., 14 Do you think the .present wage controls are fair? 14 65 I Do you think the present price controls are fair? 21 57 I ShO~~~se~l:d? pe.~3,lt~ ..f~r ..u~e, . ~~ , ~~~'~j~~~la, ,~~ 48 33 I Should the lI.S, withdraw completely from Viet· ; nam without prior agreement on release of ~ prisoners of war? ., .... ,.,', .. ,., .. ',.". 27 52 ~ Do you bvor school to "chieve equal cau- :;.~ 29 S rational opportunities? " .. ,.... ,.,',.,'. v_ Jl Should parents v'ho send their children to prh'ate M schools reee!,'c a tax credit? ,... ..,','... 37 4:1 ~ Should the dc[ens2 lludc:ctbe cut substantially" 52 Slloiud the C.S. amnesty to dL'aft Il' e"aders'? .,.,' ... "...... ,'., .. , .. , ... ~! [ , ShlJulcl the L S, redl:ce i~:; [r00DS in Europe? ... , \\'o'Jld cutliw1 (l c fcn<;(, tunus v:eaken the G.S, at " table: ...... ' ...... ,... -07 1r', FiJI' whol'il w;il you \otc'; lS·2;j 2;)·3.) 35-50 51·63 O,er 65 Total ~ :'fl If', S 4 61,' ;) 6 4 1 17 I ~ !~ G2n::- 11y, \','11~;t cia yc·u c:unsid«r 18·25 2,)·3;) Ove!' 6;) Total ~1 Drmncrat 11 10 12 ;) 2 40 t 1 ') 3 1 11 t ,~ 6 o 15 g THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS WERE ASKED BETWEEN JUNE 12th THRU SEPT. 23 (Obviously some were on for longer periods of time than others) YES NO 1. Should Ohio law allow abortion on demand? 6785 4253 2. Should owners of firearms have to register them? 2229 810 3. Do you favor school busing to achieve racial balance? 607 2441 4. Do you favor school busing to achieve equal educational opportunities 2537 7185 5 • will Nixon's tri~ to China-Russia be beneficial in the long run? 2308 711 6. Should the U.S. establish diplomatic relations with Red China? 6305 1667 7. If North VietNam agrees to release prisoners should the u.S.withdraw completely 2370 652 8. Should the U.S. withdraw completely from VietNam without prior agreement of release of' prisonors? 301 1366 9. Was involvement in VitNam a mistake from the beginning? 5153 2839 10. Should the U.S. end all mutual defense pacts? 735 2173 11. Should the U.S. reduce its troops in Europe? 6034 3476 12. Should the U.S. grand complete amnesty to draft evaders? 2915 6776 13. Should tax funds be used to help private schools? 3022 5021 14. Should parents who send their children to private schools receive a tax credit? 545 1122 15. Do you think Phase II controls are working? 939 1955 16. Are tougher wage and price controls needed? 5864 2087 17. Do you think the present wage controls are fair? 804 838 Do you think the present price controls are fair? 772 872 18. Should the use of marijuana be legalized? 2949 5176 19. Should the pe~alty for the use of marijuana be lessened? 504 1172 20. Would cutting t~e defense funds weaken the U.S. 896 741 , . ...". ~. Tv'Q "., ( \,11 ..,.....; c' /.l'AttY. v"'1§.' d '-.Ji" ..iil. J 1 s "n By GE:,\E JOnDA\" cent. a margin of 44.8 per duskv) at the Farm Science Dispald Public Affairs tdilar cent. Reyj;w at Ohio State Uni. J versity and at the Jackson o President Nixon picked THE SPREAD v;ouId be i\pplc ·Festival. t( , up 5.3 percentage points in almost uilb"lievable except A total of 1.655 persons the pil~t three weeks in the that a recent national poll voted in the poll question A third nha~c of The Colum· showed ::\ixon's lead was 39 ahout the presidency, The S ,i , bus Dispatch "\roting }la-. per cent. poll seems to indicate per · chine Poll. The most recent phase of wns ha\'e made up their tI .! For the reriod S€'rt. :j.,. the poll Wf!S taken at counay minds on presidenUalyot· P throu~hScnt. 23. l.\b:on fairs in Washington I:\Iar in~. (inly 21 more persons t I vuu1btanceu Sen. GeorglO S. iet:1 i, Belmont 1St. Clairs· ,'oled 0:1 the- most popular 'Ii McGovern 72.4 to 27.G per vilic), 'Yyandot lCppcr S:m- question 011 the is~ue por- ;;;; j Han of the ballot, the one concerning marijuana. ~ PERCEXTAGES Yes ~o J~ 'fHE second phase of f J Sh')uld Ohio law a11o\1/ abortiOl:S r.n request? 55.5 44.5 tile poll taken ?t nine county t Should Ohio le~alize a siatc-opcra:cd L)ttcry? 56.7 43.3 fairs and the Ohio state fair. • Should the governor and lieutena:1.t goyerncr 8.125 persons voted and be (·lected as a te:::m? ...... 54.6 45.4 ::\ixon's manrin over :lIcGov Do you fdYOr repeal of the s~ate income tax'? .. ..53.9 46,1 ern was 66.6-to 33.4. . Should the legislature be allowed to incrc;1sc Poll percenta ges are <"d· t the stale debt without a \'ote of tile people: 13.0 87.0 jus\€'d to brin?" the \'o~es ! . Do you think the present wage controL:; ale fair? 49.0 51.0 cast II\" different"a7e £rouns ." 0 ----- ' " "·------r Do yoa thillk the present price controls are fair? 47.0 ;:).,) . ....l~O 1he proper bah1l1'?,e. ~ Should the penalty for use of marijuana be However. the actimtment lessened? ...... 30.1 69.9 cail~('d1ittle C!1ilT@ irrthe ~ Should the U.S. \,;ithdraw completely from li!(lg~reC'ent piJasL.Qf....1.l1r;; J Vietnam without prior ag;'ecmenL on poll. adding oniy 1 per cent release of prisoners of v:ar'! ...... 18.4 81.6 -roXixou's totaiaf1IC~ Do you favor school b'.lsin; to 2chieve equal educ.:.tional opportuniEes: ..... ,...... 23.4 76.6 Should parents who se'nd th;:ir childr?r, to THE ?\T:JIBER of Demo- r private schools receive a tax credil~'~ ., .. 32.7 67.3 crats yoUng in the poil was ~ Should the defense budgC't be cu~ substa:ltially? 44.9 55.1 onI;; 31.6 per cent. compared Should the U.S. gr()nt complete amn(:s:y to to their e~timated 40 per ~ draft evaders: ...... ' 19.1 80.9 cent ~hare oi the voting pop· Should the U.S. reduce its troops in Europe? ., 56.5 43.5 ulatioll. l'Io\\fVer, the recent ~ Would cutting ddense funds \';eaken the nali(.nal poi! s]'owcd Demo- 'I U.S. at the ll('goti;n:ng table? , ...... 54.7 453 C!'ats yoUng 43 to 40 per For whom will ,'ou ',ote:' cent n navol' of :;\ixon \"l~h <' . • 18·24 25·35 36·50 51-65 Over 65 Total the rCll!ai!1ini.~ 17 per cent ~' McGovern-Shriver 40.5 29.3 22.6 24.7 21.9 27.6 undecided. ( Nixon-Agnew 59.5 70.7 77.·1 75.3 73.1 72.4 The Dispatch poll can't ce 3 G0nerally, what do you cons:r!er yourself? broken down to show the r 181-24 25-35 36-.')0 .51·65 Over 65 Total pen'cntage in Ohio. How- j DC'mo::rat 30.8 3·1,;3 SO.8 31.0 31.0 31.6 ('\"e I', 49] persons said they s Republican 3].4 40.5 52.2 63.1 6tG 47.3 were Democrats and ~,rcGOY' lr.ricpr\~dc:i1t 37.3 2:;.2 1/.0 :".u 4.4 ::1.1 nn f('ccived o~11y 474 votes. ------.--:;--~"- -~-- "-,--.-~.---~..-. ------..~-..-.------. 4J~-~~~: l;t~,~~~~~ ======:1 ~ .----~----. . .--.----~- -- - ._.__. 3~ _ ~_~~_ .:=' ~_( - __-?4: = .=:~__~F:: .:if ~- ~~. :=.---.:i A-?l-V f~ - R+ ~ ~ rJt.'-4 17 ,~(., ~.a 77 11':<' ;t~~ ~ ~d'!! ~f a;C ~~r~1 &/1. 1;t::Nw.. 0<(" ..30 /.:l ~~ ~r';<7' d 7?z.::t. v::::.::T ~rk<. 1-7 .?~ I Av'-1fA/ ~ I~ / /01 "Lf.7 9~~ at; . IrL> ~. II~ <--yJ..., A' /! .-.. ~ t? ,. i / / \./.'V'''z~ ~..-c~r t ~ ~ ~ ~ .~7h~~ irA-LU(., /O! II J-D~... :I ~ f •f: II ~ ~. 0' 1..3 '-'~ sL: /c; , .' /'1-1 (·" 1 v' 7.f:,- : t r f I d-7 ! ~ -"1 i i'i, i ,I 6I~ ~<--:: ~t._ i a C'-'-c"~. S)la ~74-t':J p~<-d.- ?f rT4 do )0 _.:go .7< I .d/ /c .• • .".•~__4;. / -::-; / ~7 /2 , ,,) j -~.~~~£..~ j v").,:'c<..--' , / r;r-!./ I / ,r~~ /c ; , - / / -' I / /6 I 4/ /~ 3 0 // j t t./ I /.3cf' ~o'l t f '! " '-, 'I' 1 I t { /0 0' o j t 'I t 1 . ,J, I / ' ,../ '~~,#., /7 /0' Ii '\ li /7 '-'3 3a ~ [. I i{ / b_L_~ __ ~, __/_~ 1___,!_'_~..+__1_'_._--->__ .•__ -,'-"---/t/JII ._.,__ /.1-1 rOJj &7, 11 I /t/ /.;;-' So lot,! 7 ¥-1/ il ii i. H \ II ,":_r ~ ,~,/ - ._;""'"""'-'.."'-"'- ,,-, .' {, , ","'I, -:n>-<..-y,_ ~})l~l .. /:J. 7-(><.> , I-? ~ c/~ , YJ . ':' " -.(. 'r..c~.; ~~?J{'>J.;i ;?2~>6 /:; / _:::' .:; ,Y; -/ / G·~ ~L 5'{' .....1-7'.:3/ /0 / 1'7 /7' (" /1 ,,;;.? / ,-' /1 (/ c; '7 /t~,,;:J7 / J;' 6~r /1 / G.-- /',:' :?.f / ;2 ,!-'Lf //0 -¥/ /~ I.s ~I 17.s /Od:l, 7 II 7 tl ~i " ~?r5d-' ~ 7 rYl " ii il d /d? 0 cP I :: ~ib- '.' . -- _. .. -.' _. <:Q~a-= ~ «~~ ~~ ;r~'~ ;:r&~ =====~='::::-=.. =-~=-.-::::.-=._--=--=-=_._=-=-=... t,-:::.·~:J:"':;-~:;:'~:;:t;=....:-::l .. if= .. =- ====:;5'-7£~ Lj-""-- ..-~ ;-:.~ .... . ~.. -.-----. '?l;;g;. 7l-<-~ ~ ~'~j; - ~-. . J/-U~K~ ~~~ ~ JML<-~ ~.-{!~rr ~ ~ I. , ~ D ~ ~,1 ~{'~~ ~a-(...t.r / ;; / t.~ &? 0/ a /.2 fc ~" ~ /C/L. ~t1--{.<.--rn_-e.£- (j- !ij-/vuL- /j;! ,; , .1 ~ ,I ;i ~-:r ; , Ott!-, ~-Jj (JL,,-n.-<,-, ',a1-z-t 1 ". j {,J7 , /~ 6( tt--C. <~«~J1..'Lt..d if .! ,t':iu<.-- J .. ..:3/ .. 1:30 G' i If. ., j ~=::~~~~::",:--.-._ !.:...... ,,___ -.:. __ .~.._ ,,_L. _ .':-~_ _~~_."""""- -~-~.::.:.:=;_ ..... - .•- ...--~.-.-, -.~. /& OCtober 17, 1'12 B.. ll.. 1UUJ)8JtWt QOltOOJl Sl'1tACJWi cal1!ornia Field Poll Ci 1 .. " II. 'r...... ,_tt Nofa19i U: caUe.;.i late laat fti9bt: "th tbe rasa}t. of ~. Fiele Poll, to be r.l....d .00. in Califoni.; 50 12 GS:oar October ~ t 197a Deal' BtU: Maay thaa... for yOIll' le.r 01 September Z9. 1 wa. llad to heal' from you aDd to have the re.,dt. of the UalOil Leachr·. recellt poU ill New Ramp.hire. Tid. i. indeed welcome Dew., and 1 wiU be i.ntere.ted to compare till. poll wltll the re.ul,. of the ODe in October aad jut prior to the electlon. Apla, thank.. X'U .hare thl. with other. here. With every ,GOd wl.h to you aDd Nac:ky. Sincerely, , Herbert a. Kleln Director of CommunicaUoDl for the Executlve Branch Mr. WilUam Loeb Pre.idem Union Leader Corporation Manche••r. New Ramp.hire 03105 Ic: Gordon Strachan - with poll 1:, b>.• Pres. Nixon Said Only Shoo.. ln ,in N.H. Balloting f!f ••r,:;: ~ !'fA!'- PI :~ .•U~;;fjtf.Y ~ rJ, ~7 f I:IJ I 27 l:nion Leader reporters and WALLACE - 3 Herc's how the gubernatorial he J\i;:('n ~lpprars to be in 29 lowns l111d SCH;\llTZ - 2 poll hroke down: a sUl'e bet to win I\I~W Ha!1lp citir:s throllgnollt. the state It WilS a much clos!'r division THOMSON - 926 ci shire's fOllr ch'c/or;l! voles. showed Nixon rolling up an of the spoils in both the CrWWLEY - 83:1 b j() the results of the impressive I e a d over Sen. (i n d senatorial Uf\im~ClDED - iSl ff statewide polls to • George S. McGovern, and, get polls, wilh Republican Meldrim MCLANE - 98. b" conducted bv the Union surprising backing from Thomson shOlring a slender PETERSON - 17 L('ade~ prior to 'Election Democrats. as well as Republi advantage ovor Democrat Rog RAICHE - 2 but the final verdict on cans. c>r J. Crowley J1'. of Manches NO COMMENT - 23 and c. S. Senate The totals for Prosident were: tl':" and Democrat U. S. Sen. statewide poll was sla~t- races ~:eems to be in the hands NIXON -I,m '[hom as J. :Ytcln!yre before independent candidate of a ma:,s of "undecided" MCGOVERf\i -576 alwad of [(cpublican Contender' Malcolm :McL:me of Concord voters. UNDECIDED - 517 Powell of had officially entered the race, A of 2.525 voters by NO COMMENT, - 12 Falls. but was sUfI in progress when , 1. ~ 0 u C. ~ ~ ..... ~ CJ • , ~ L Ji;-}L} he drclared hi:; candidacy). CRst the deciding ballots in the in front of Democratic nominee ()fwiously, (he 781 '·undccid· I J\Iefntyre-Powell contest. In this Chester E. Merrow of. Ossipee. eli" voters (,(luId swing the case there were 653 still "unde The totals: balance one Wily or the other, cided." WYl\lAN - f;63 fat' Tbomsonol' Crowley. As anticipa(t'cl, neither of New' l\IERROW - 201 In the U. S. Senate poll the· Hampshire's two Republican UNDECIDED - 45(l res:JJts werr: congressmen appears to be in NO COi\Il\IENT - 15 l\lCINTYR£ - 1,009 any serious trouble, It was the same POWELL - 9:~5 to the Union Leader 2nd VNDECIDED - 653 the two U NO COf;l:\IENT - 17 \ In the 1st Once again. it is obvious that the votet's who are still to make up Hwir minds POLL '!\ t' MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Septem.ber 13, 1972 t / I I ! , MEMORANDUM FOR: LAR~.Y HIGBY ! \ \ /1 (! \ " FROM: RAN PRICE \ \ ..1. . \" .~ ;/ SUBJECT: 'lYexas Poll Jayne Brumley's new husband, ex-Texas Congress m.an Frank Ikard, is a trustee of the University of Texas (and a Dem.ocrat for Nixon). She told m.e today that held just been at a m.eeting of the" trustees, and that the University had a private Texas poll showing RN getting 68% in Texas. It, also showed John Tower with only 48% (vs. 31% for his opponent). \ THE WHITE HOUSE W AS HING TO N Date: 8/ • ------~~--_H~ TO: LARRY HIGBY FROM : GORDON STRACHAN Did you ask Chuck for this ? 'C.'"".':"~ '""I. .. .':' ': ....--~ /' /"% ",) ," " .,.. '", ". :, " " )/ --1 -"'. lA,;~;d~-j&c: l Before Presidential Elections ~.~ .' 1939 ~,,(\L~ \ O~11,..,t. I . C) c.lu:...e"'\A J NJ Dc.h, ~U/~~ ~'d }aJt - _I ~ - I Thomas E. Dewey " 61% - Harry L. Hopkins 39% '\ l'i-6_J}---i c<. '1~:!tA1 Feb. 23 r~'" ~.r ,.. . .. ~.a.r. 28 Dewey - Taft 52\ ~ James A. Farley, 48% i 1..("1 1'1- \ /0 \3!iJ- lrhi' John N. Garner 1,1 I .' , John N. 'Garner 57% Sen. Arthur 43\ .. l " t.~'~~~Itl~t~t~ ::i: 18 Dewey 55\ - Roosevelt 45~ , /' ...: ., Dewey 52% - Hull 48\ I ,'~./,,' ! {-'f "f "'~~ May 23 I" ./' I L~~'j"'-';' . ", " I /; I ' ,,' Hull 50% - Taft 50\ /; 1/; '1" \,;l- ) /~ May 23 ~ I ,_ (/'" ,'2:) ..'.---~- . _. . a I I i Roosevelt 50\ - Taft 50\ JS GJIl._.)-- ...lftiJf}7'I Hay 30 I 1)- , . r Garner 54% Taft ·16\ _, [j f 1<#l/. :!/. '1\' Jun,e 8 • ,. '~""1 l !¥,~",,,- .-- Dewey 52% 48\ 1,1 c '" cA' II':. J .. Jun;-S I .,/" ij--L 1 J, ' '':'''~A, i Garner 57% 43\ I&I~!;I q ~t."/, "une 9 , j , ' ~ -r" ....--[. ~'; ,,..... >j " !. . ! 1:1 .j Dewey 52\ 48' 1.,1 1&'7/'--':' i 1,\ June 22 -. ___, .----f...-... ,,:; '\ I -,--r-"-I ..-~.' ; ..".,.•._- I ' I. ,. vee. '5" Roosevelt 54% - Dewey 46% 'f ~.:..../ ' '," ! ."13 ",. "."" Ili'y.f_.-p."~lljtJI '/~,'/l"l"I \ .- '-~-~--, . I " I \ cw,t \ \ ~ \ \ :' ~ '~., ...,. I • ,'I,' ~ ."'lrtw, ...... }, 1· /J . i '.:-, ':.l (//-'.J./. ~". ~itt-l! ~. '. - 1940 /-h:::. ' ...tI- .~ 1 j • . ' . . - ....1. += r c-:. ~~---- .. -'--> 1 ffr ! Gill'ft - 0&; April 1J Roosevelt:·.',. 53% - Vandenberg 47% , t' / .?' 42\ I I if'-titt1 l~k~/7':¥£ April 1. Hull 58% - Vandenberg 60\ Taft 40\ ; IV-.",' I rtf l*f-)w4~ May 4 Hull - . !2J-I( 1 r() ;111-:;/4" Hay 4 Roosevelt 58% - . Taft 42% Garner 51% Taft 49% \------L...",u-KTFe 1t/":~~'1aY 4 - .3TllJ3 ~'kloj£o_ Hay 12 Roosevelt 52% - Dewey 48% ic:__..{)/F/y~¢r.~ay 12 Hull 51\ - Dewey 49% Dewey 58% Farley 42\ f.---.L'+{:::;...J'"'-tI-:Zl1lli~/~<~~ yay 12 - : .~ /;-_.,.... - June 24 - 28 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION I - r , I I J i' oIiJo T -9 1li§-/lJ /i!::l July 11 Roosevelt 53\ - Wendell Wilkie 47% , I ! I I --t. j'.-... July 15 - 18 DEMOCRATIC :NATIONAL CONVENTION - j .,--.~JJ .;..1 « I'l j /-)'kl Aug. 4 Roosevelt 51% - Wilkie' 49\ I I I • :Jc /~.lf/::J._~]/!.:\l l>.ug. 24 'Roosevelt, 51% Wilkie 49% ------r . 1--- \ - (;h1 y- ~1 '/ ~ /:'--/~ J~r~~ Sept. 20 Roosevelt 55% Wilkie 45' -. , " f / 1 . . d /1-1/)-3.tr ('0-l-n/rj~l Oct. 6 Roosevelt 56% - Wilkie 44\ . -, ll1-1< ;7';- 1/6-p:J;J Oct. 20 Rocsevelt 55% Wilkie 45\ J ------...... _-.\>- ELECTION Roosevelt SSt - Wilkie 45\ - . .i r: -, '. .. t I ,- "'_ ...... ~ \ J e ;! 1943 i \ Undeci~ --ji'{1(If y(l~;/~~pIaY 22. Roosevelt 54% Dewey - HacArthur 46\ Henry A. ~~dllace 11- i 31 Roosevelt 59% Wilkie 41\ J - C1:i:-: I/';I[JP ''1/:;1 i A c '''' i I j III'", '! • Aug. 7 Roosevelt 55\ Dewey 45\ F' ' t " ':C', (/; 1'1f) , r/,,/'~:,I,r Aug. 7 Roosevelt 59% - Wilkie 41\ ) ';,/-1\;(,1) iklo_~/!) Sept. 23 Dewey 60% tvallace 40\ '7 -,-...... ,__'3_0/- K: to c. :30,(L':J0 Sept. 23 Roosevelt 55% 0' - .Dewey 45\ i 1944 '/J/ .. /J I,,j :/.. jJ _~____,::..:_JI_'_:;~~f3/,yjll:lrtApri1 22 Roosevelt 55% Dewey 45\ -..-_ .., ,'------"" J:! June 26 - 28 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION --- 'I~JU1Y 19 21 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION __->\--,1,:)'1 :r:A ;.719-1r;: Oct. 5 Roosevelt 51% - Dewey 49\ ~ELECTION Roosevelt 53.8% Dewey 46.2\ , ~ ~ 1947 ; J#. II t,:/, !I. 1.1,': 26 v f I 1 ';{ :.::L-..-r'7 4_i __ ~.' .. ItJ"u1y ... ~ :-,-~-- -, .II i f Truman 51% - Dewey 49\ Sept. 25 ____11J:1~.. ~ l!?--f/;,9'1;!j!}! Eisenhower 48% - Trllman 39\ 13\ --. LffJl-{ 1\. fl.!; j&J!~fl/£IIOct. 4 --.' 'c--'I [1/ Truman 49% - McArthur 37\ 14\ l " • i I' , i '1 t J\ \: ) / ' .. ' / , ! 1.( t 1948 .___tJ '_'.' .._...... _. _. ~._ .._... __.._..._ ... Undecided - {l1({" IYl-a,.l/ /X:J.I~1Jan.. 3 Truman 55% Taft 33% 12\ _3ILr~)f; /.?;, ~ Feb. 14 Truman 45% Stassen 41% 8% vJallace 6% /1 11ft 3f;(}~(~/ ,/ April 10 Dewey 47% Truman 39\ 7% Wallace 7% jjr'., (pPo/1t May 8 stassen 56% Truman 33% 6\ Wallace 5\ --.. ~ -. June 21 - 25 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION - ,.., __, -- ',:""" -~ July 12 15 DE1'10CRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION . ...... ....J1 'fIr .llr ,I/~J .. "'-~",/';/..// ? ,: July 31 Dewey 48% Truman 37% 10% Wallace 5\ Ii r rI I 0A • L.! I.;:/i /JU Aug •. 21 Dewey 48% Truman 37% 9% vJallace 4% Thurmond 2% ~/ I'e}/. :--/'/ ' l;r;)I!..~.-:(.l!/(. Sept. 23 Dewey 46% Truman 39% 9% t-Jal1ace 4% Thurmond 2% : 1 /, I I ' .. f 6/1 ~JQ:14 /5/1/Qct. 16 Dewey 46% Truman 40% 8% I: I I Na1lace 4% Thurmond 2% :: I.:J( '. /~! ':-/ Oct. 20 Dewey 50% Truman 44% Wallace 4\ Thurmond 2% ...-___H_ .. ELECTION Truman 54.7% Dewey 45.3% '- .• r \, I"~ 1 '" ~, . \ ,,' ' .. \\ .\ 1951 Undecided ! I , //,1 " II'> ~I ,... /,-/) - :/(: .. \ fhL'..I~~(:~...·6f'· {) I. j J:an.__ l3....____._,,.. Taft 44% Truman 41% 15% , r .~~ __lff: .. ;j~~!~/!~1.."-~6 !Jan. 16 Eisenhower 59% Truman 28% 13% ...._. --- '7/ 1/ / / I - "l I I 14 '-•1 liI-!\. 8:'/1", ·r.·',--;Ju1yI Taft 42% Truman 37% 21% ! I. I 'July 14 Earl Warren 52% Truman 29% . 19% ,r- .-, ;>?IL.L_ .,:.' ",July .19. Eisenhower 59% Truman 26% 15% I / iJu1y 19 Taft 42% Truman 37% 21% t : I / i July 19 Warren 52% Truman 29% 19% . ,Ii ) /1 I:~' /7/1 lq/~'l~/7Pf Nov. 15 Ei-senhower 64% Truman 28% 8% "1'1..,,-1/)1/"7(/ /AI/~·!J/Sf Nov 16 "t I J .'. (""" } v/ < I ' J,. • Warren 55% Tr\.i.lnan 33% 12% If?~_Lj.) 1/51Nov. 17 Taft 45% Truman 42% 13% / ,. ( \ .~ "\ .,'-" " 1952 --Undecided t 'II .' ,....'/.,' i ' '"', ;r:.f l Ii i.l I, ~! ,~Feb. 2 Stassen 49% Truman 31% 20% S . SuP;' . I I, ' ! t In I:) I? J~ ~~ .;?Ii ..; -1/ .:; <.:., Narch 4 Kefauver 47% Taft 41% 12% c-'lff • J,' -.....~ ~ '", ..f! ...... " I .-'~ ".,',, ~ "\ /)'11 r' " l.s -/c'~ / /.: ,::-Marc h 6 Eisenhower 57% Kefauver 32% 11% " .,/ L/'~;'~i .' "'l /0"\ _.~ /1',',' ;Iff -1/r <...J,;;·April 17 Kefauver 49% Taft 40% 11% ! I,,' '-1/"-' J7~' ~/ I -:,..; I ~--- ,--,' .; April 17 Eisenhower 60% Kefauver 30% 10% ,. ,(, L/.J1 Nb ------"---~-- _._, -.. May 15 Kefauver 49% Taft 41i 10% , ,,1 . l i ! .. 'I' - ! ' J " ..... ! ! ~ ]\'!ay 20 Eisenhower 56% Kefauver 36% 8% l'Q ":, (,' IX- !3 ,. __~i~~_, ___ __ June 10 Eisenhower' 55% Kefauver 35% 10% !f -?,' " IFIt s/:-:~, ,". "j.June 12 Kefauver 50% Taft 41% 9% .I (J) - ' , , , ~:,.; /71} ~ ...... -June 17 Stevenson 45% Taft 44% 11% '-1 -/-J~~-,','), j/ /£"0 .11_50- J 9 ~. ~/0 l ';'J,.--June 28 Kefauver 50% Taft 41% 9% , -- July 7 - 11 REPUELICk~ NATIONAL CONVENTION ~ July 21 - 26 DEt-l0CRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION Aug. 9 Eisenhower 45% Stevenson 43% 12% f. i1 I " I ,'~-.:~l?.3,: 4 Eisenhower 51% stevenson 43% 6% II ! i d It I. C - .' / /;). 20 Eisenhower 51% Stevenson 42% 7% /' 0; I~..... ,"~ ;,.,' $. /0' /1 (f/;,'(-('f -100) '.3 .:; rOct. 9 Eisenhower 45% Stevenson 38% 17% Eisenhower 55.4% Stevenson 44.6% ~--~.--..- '*"_''''___\l~ __ "''''' •••~"i''',~ ---- 1954 r ' ~"lr. r/ d'l. /'\ .''If' i j I ...... I cJ.1 '-"/ ! - .J I/iJ I; Apri~ 17 Eisenhower 45% Stevenson 37% 18% I I I' '1 ' j, 1955 ~' \ '" Undecided 12 Stevenson 56% Nixon 35% 9% 12 Eisenhower 60% Kefauver 34% 6% t:"J! f J;) .. ":' .. -F b ' 7 -.J ~' J .J 'e._ Eisenhower 57% -, Stevenson 40% 3% I t;"·f '/7 r -"'"" ..... '-' ...... i \, ')April 14 Warren 47% Stevenson 47% 6% 'j /; 'J..;, 'y' April 26 Nixon 51% Kefauver 37% 12% .' I .' ;/ )~/'" /' 'f 0) !Ib : 0(/ r JI""',"/'_}1ay 12 stevenson 54% Knowland 36% 10% -" \. I • , I .-'-J I ,.JJ' L//;4" l? /..(S"'June 2 ....;; I b '\ al!r (fl ,. f/ Eisenhower 61% Harriman 30% 9% l.- ",,'-. I; -"(.1 7,'/'./I!i - ,,'ai' I :)'"C'''''.,) Aug. 23 ....,/. "'" \- . '7 f j I Roosevelt 52% 43% 5% ~ Eisenhower -Ir'j.L ('Y t, " 17 ,/' ,-I r d /;.: ," , . I ' Sept. Eisenhower 59% stevenson 37% 4% ., ~!). '\ ,)': I ;. ," :,-"sept.. 20 '-' \ Eisenhower 65% Truman 31% 4% /:' "1 [) L '" /' "l ...... /.~. 0 ;:)..\ /)"/1/ /1 ZI/I-;:plf.)-dct. 14 Stassen 46% HarriFlan 46% 8% • I"'...... ,F l I I fi1 •0 I , j ,./ ',,- ZZH 7p2" 'O/J,6f6ct. 15 Warren 59% Harriman 37% 4% ,( ," ..) ~ 44% ----~.---~- /3fr ItJ/ ·'-?)::'NOV. 17 Stevenson 50% Nixon 6% 1/ ,!, I, } . .. ~ ,'.' ";'-/'/ j ',}," Nov. 22 Kefauver 48% Nixon 45% 7% S'!:? -~/ Dec. 17 Eisenhower 58% Stevenson 39% 3% \ r:: /'. ,";)/ ,/ lei f' J\ "'1 .' Dec. 27 stevenson 53% Nixon 40% 7% I" .' l !I ~ ',~ h \ J '/ /1 1956 Undecided I,' / ' 11'1 I.I,' _ I I' (! c; 1/::" , Feb. 10 Stevenson 55% Nixon 38% 7% ' r I: I 'J t Joff / I)~ ,I I' Feb. 11 Eisenhower 61% Stevenson 35% 4% i1 i, ...;,.,: Ij'--.'/ i.... -) I ') C \ ,"'-"-- n -~, _,1-'!arch 6 Eisenhower 63% Stevenson 33% 4% -_. i L( r i" • , \,/ I ,.J P ,-(,\ '- J 1O.,April 14 Eisenhower 59% Kefauver 38% 3% t/ ! I ' ," I ~ I /,. )( If. A ."', ...... I U1<, IJ April 17 Eisenhower 61% Stevenson 37% 2% c: I 1', I l. '". I I Ii j '.; :' \./ C- \.-' • (, /olr fi'",.. _' r-1ay 22 Eisenhower 62% Stevenson 35% 3% r I \ ,)_1--I 'rr t! v'" , . I " June 30 Nixon 51% Stevenson 44% 5% l X( /~- -c: } , l: ~ '0 /'-( v ,'y~ 0,-,11 Gil,':>-- F"?Ju1y 10 Nixon 47% Harriman 46% 7% " , '--, ';- " . July 12 Eisenhower 64% HarrL"nan 32% 4% -/ -, ,/ It: /.1 ,.:./, '. I !''-j \,j 10 (-h ...,) {1 jl.'.~ -·7 (', V' July 31 Eisenhower 65% Harriman 32% 3% i,' I 7'/ If/" IiI; ! 1/:::' ,,~? July 31 Eisenhower 61% stevenson 37% 2\ 07~ 7-/( , -11 -Aug. 13 - 19 DEHOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION .."'M.... --"'&_" ,-,-- '.- u~. Aug. 20 - 24 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION ---,~...... -~,~~;"~'~~<"w' __"''''' /' I c', II '''Ill o.i""'I... I / '_J .' "" Ii //7 d <1':)'" ,/IhSept. 8 Eisenhower-Nixon 52% Stevenson-Kefauver 41% 7% ! / ! /I f ! --/"') _ ·7(')1) ;.., fA • '1'- :' ~-j' ,-. J /1. __ I '. ,/1",··0-,,· .'v"'Oct. 9 Eisenhower-Nixon 52% ..: Stevenson-Kefauver 40% 8% ( ."/' "! , {r; ...... I Oct. 26 Eisenhower-Nixon 55% Stevenson-Kefauver 45% Precinct .-.r-/",t, ,', I ,'I / .': ~ .,... f v,_" ,b /(;/!'?~ ,/? ~'Final Poll Eisenhower-Nixon 59.5% Stevenson-Ke~auver 40.5% l Precinct -- ELECTION Eisenhower 57.8% Stevenson 42.2% , ) '\ t ~ ~ ".... ) ) I r , ?, " I' 'f /' \ j J \ 1957 : I ( Undecided I - , • I ' !, I ro f",' .', ! ') ': _ ? ~ ;;"/ ,,J,(i.!\', 1/ •. ,. ,,:,Aug.20 Kennedy 51% - Knowland 37% 12% ,/ , J ! / I; J I I '-'"',., I. "/; l!o:-I ___",j ,tJ:,l~ Gf "1:/-':;;'0 Aug. 20 Kefauver 45\ Nixon 41% 14% , " f ., j b /,., /,. "f" ".,. • ,\ ¥, or . .\,/ 'v_. . / I} (r /. ?i-J r> Aug. 24 Kennedy 48% Nixon 43% 9% 1958 , I 51 ~,~ t" jl/i 1::· Feb. 8 Nixon 46% Stevenson 42% 12% , . "A ! j '},il II) 'i' .' " JJi; . '/,.-. / i Feb. 11 Nixon 45% Kefauver 44% 11% :1 l .. '. r} rai~ if /'" ",' .Eeb. 13 v I ... l Kennedy 49% Nixon 38% 13% t::!: f;., I~d SI - i~: ,-.,Fj /j -;if J~~ June 14 Nixon 51% Kefuaver 42% 7% / _I I ~ c -~~ ,. :/,- June 17 Kennedy 54% Nixon 46% , If (; -( q I,; 1 I .. '( ,11 "J r' , (, ! it ' i; June 17 Nixon 53% Stevenson 47% I • ,. I! -' 0 i,' J~ It .;'f.:y, ;,/~/,)'?June 17 Nixon 55% Kefauver 45\ 11 "1/ :1 IT 7~ 1j .. ;;"~:'( Aug. 23 " I,. I~ ?/'/' Nixon 47% stevenson 41% 12% / /? "! !.J ~. II/-' _;.~ I . "/ ! .?' /v'~ Dec. 4 Kennedy 53% Rockefeller 38% 9% I ' '" ~ 'I"'" . &6 J .:://, Iii-f) p'-""/ Dec. 6 Kennedy 54% Nixon 3.8% 8% I ' ) ,; \ ~ \' .' '.1/ \ I ',1 1959 I / I, Undecided I ~ r/ cJ)"'" ? z/ : ...f':~ /~ \.., _' J ",' ,S6' Jan. 10 Rockefeller 51% Stevenson 45% 4% " fC(i -\ SJI} .,/ Jan. 13 Stevenson 47% Nixon 46% 7% 11, I !) 0Io-~f< vI(. March-? Nixon-Rockefeller 50% Stevenson-Kennedy 50% I 'L/- ... ) Ltl! S'J/: ',July 21 steven$on-Kennedy 53% Nixon-Rockefeller 42% 5% ( ,,' Aug. 11 Kennedy 52% Nixon 48% :v!~ I~, ~ / Sept. 17 Nixon 5It Kennedy 49% I • C/t ~)/ ?,Q1r 7/~'; J/sePt. 19 Kennedy 57% Rockefeller 43% /1' &,:3/} fl-::~\' sept. 24 Nixon 51% Kennedy 49% t , l{1 ; , JS'JrI / ''7 .// I ___ ;1 r~ !''''''' ""'/-" 24 . {p 11- /\., (;;.:; i ,';''' --- ""1(/ Sept. Nixon 54% Stevenson 46% , It /lv;( to I /YJ F' .J. 3 1Ill' .,IJ/"'/2) Nov. 28 55% 45% (p... t\ it: I I . / Rockefeller Kennedy l':;1bU 'l'. . ) \ ;. . I Undecided /. ..,,( ,,,, '-,::~- oj:! :.:;?'f) (Y Jan. 23 Nixon 53% - . Kennedy 47% /1./ -///c. / I. .Ii'" ,,' ["' 'i.I /' ((l d ,J -," j) c:'/, /j' ;/0 ~ It' j.';':/ :Jan. 26 Nixon 55% 55% Stevenson 45% , , I • , '/ ",' uJl{- J /.1/ - '7 / /~:) March 3 Nixon 50% Kennedy 50% I I ' . • .'''1 l ... I• /" {f ..;.,. ! . .:' I, .) :; t. // Jfo It 1./ /,r 'r /, ) f\ 1/.' - I ~1; May 17 Nixon 53% stevenson 47% I , ti(i ,-,. r",' ~ ,.) 24 '. f '{ 171 i ;;;':.,....;. ". :; (J May . I I Kennedy 57% Rockefeller 43\ 6't'J(.-J/. f-,,:I' \:.J'~-; A 1 "..,. .", \ ";: '" 5/ /1 :-:) June 4 Nixon-Rockefeller 51% Stevenson-Kennedy 49% r.1 I \ i/I' / Ii I ... I: r~ ." .' ai""' ,',! II'.....'" i.E,-\) "I.; t) July 5 \ \ ' ';;' '-// ~ ~ Kennedy 52% Nixon 48% _.mm._...~_..._' _LA 'Il JII. Ii nd''''N':uuJ'''r.«~:::w::_..IIN'''-~'~)\I>,''''.lI!.i:.oi',N)<" '~-'-" July 11-15 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION ~",-"~,,~,,-~-,,,,-."",.,~., ~...... --"",..>~ ~~~-_ .... o;;:.~' July 25 - 28 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION I ,- t .... ) "" t ~, l '" ;' -:., /~ '-' (/r'I ~ ,'''' l 1/1+ 1/_",;·0 .. Aug. 16 Nixon-Lodge 50% Kennedy-Johnson 44% 6% • / ('/;~. l,::., _/ ,J Aug. 30 Nixon-Lodge 47% Kennedy-Johnson 47% 6% 'litJ ,,, ,. \ I r""'._ ;0 ! . .' fl J • (~i ,,/"" . "Sept. 13 Kennedy-Johnson 48% Nixon-Lodge 47% 5% • I I ~ " ". '. I J /" " ,) /' I /; ." I I '// U Oct. 11 Kennedy-Johnson 49% Nixon-Lodge 46% 5% ! I l, r/? q ~ ". 11) //:) Oct. 26 Kennedy-Johnson 49% Nixon-Lodge 45% 6% Ii { 1"18 / Precinct I ,. ''/ .. r. . I", .-, ,./ / , , 1.( :J 1.(0'; I,::;""''''.. ,,,. '~)j , )\ Nov. 7 Kennedy-Johnson 49% Nixon-Lodge 48% 3% Precinct ) .-__~______~~"~~"~"~"~~.w,...~~ ELEc'rrON Kennedy-Johnson 50.2% Nixon-Lodge 49.8% ~ -----~-..- ...~___'4WI"'.' • •' "." , \, \ >..' '""'I' ' \ \ ....:. " " \) ! \ ' ~ \\ ',1",,\ ,\. I • • 1961 ~ I If It ~ i 1. /1. ! vI '/ ,,~ i~1 (jJ ~ vl ./ 1\ ..J ~<11,1 0 Oct. 3 Undecided ti (, /? ;', Kennedy ' I ' I 62% Nixon 38% 1962 r .-,"r -' 1"> ~!l~ f.,t "/ II /' i' t·r,~'~ __.~\--:.•,..JL..L5 ;L~(,7"; )-;June 14 Kennedy 65% Nixon 35% i , 1963 6/-/);'.( ... !/ .) 51,·/~(;'! J 'v :\ 1.1Ii c-" 1/ .•,,/ ("d March 16 '''-'\' , -../,----t Kennedy '63% Rockefeller 32% 5% c'---' --. t?1: ~-.!iq\ ~-d/2:l;j//:J March 16 Kennedy 67% Goldwater 27% ______6)~ .-l< 9Ilsfl~~ (:;'/~.3 -May 26 6* Kennedy 60% Goldwater ...... I ;. /, ./ r/) ( ,-' ,~! ;' I' 36% 4% ·,---..!d.1C':'L/(t/. .._,,:.r.~~.:,~!::.j:1 I May 26 I . Kennedy 63% /. "/ !, I 1964 b1/-f\ //11 Jan. 1 / Iv' o/~~) Johnson •/J-:. / I 69% Nixon 24% 7% ,_ !/ /,-<1/ _it?I~\ "if Jan. 3 Johnson .( 75% Goldwater 20% 5% _~___ .~~, ~ f 15ft Jan. 10 Johnson 66% Lodge 23% 11% &3:)- ( .:-::.::: ..Jan. 10 Johnson 74% Rockefeller 17% 9% /- ". ,'/' (;''" ,-'------.._--- . Jan. 10 Johnson 69% Nixon 24% 7% ;'./' ;.:..,....,. , . ,'-' '--"~'-~ Jna. 10 Johnson 75% Goldwater 20% 5% ~~4 Jj / (1/ .:..,.../ I -""'--- ,-' ".", 28 Johnson 71% Nixon 24% 5% :,;' /./ /1 I, Feb. 28 Johnson 68% Lodge 25% 7% 1/ . t\, d,:i~hft' , ~ /' ,/ . <'.;/i'iHar. 18 . Johnson / i / 68% Nixon 27% ! I 5% ",6 I,. "Jy'-ld <,·},II "".!-"., - .:;/J- c. I .•Mar 18 Johnson 68% Lodge 27% 5% 6f /1(. ~ 1!,I&y April 19 Johnson '11 ¥,!) 65% - Lodge 30% 5% 1 ) 'J ,... ,,.t"'"".. I "-,, . {' : ,;t. t:,- .: ,.,;-:1 }-/"" 1964 (continued) 7 undecided ",D. / ll- '" l;1 __ /..,:.'{i (OjC';;' .-':;:5f,o"! July 10 Johnsrm 67% Scranton 27% 6% i f ,-I' 'I• , "'i I! / ~._: ""~ --' ~,...- !"'lc'~'' > I' 'J/6"'" . '" {,--.July• 10 Johnson 76% Goldwater 20% 4% 13 - 17 R.'SPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION --~"''''''~~~''',d''''''' ,'# I ·_·f" ""'-"", 11 '- .... ',;' J ,j f...r '/ '2- -it; ,.:.: Aug. 23 t9 5. '. - / i Johnson 65% Goldwater 29% 6% -,~,,,-""".,,,,,....,-~"-;, .. ~.. . Aug. 24 - 27 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION '*'= , rt~~8:~;~.f.... '!"''\It.~_ '" :jl 1_0':/'/') i 7· tltJ/ /,;,/: Sept. 16 0i!-/i/r ;;>/j~ I I I I "". . Johnson 65% Goldwater 29% 6% , • 1" I' ! i 0\)7~1./ 3 (. J\ 9J?", i$I'/~ -sept. 27 Johnson 68% Goldwater 32% 'I v ... I .,. 0 "'I /~, ..j 0')" - /0//_._-(. .I Oct. 18 Johnson 64% Goldwater 29% 7% ~ , " () .If f) ~I ~!.. (jO:.J/J..,f)f.!..J11(!Jt~:v~,:( fJ',I.lJ):'.LNOV. 2 Johnson 61% Goldwater 32% 7% 1.-•• I ___'"~'''__''r';;-''''' ELECTION Johnson 61% Goldwater 39% ~--- !4UIIU.!lf~_ ..... 1965 ~<-}!rui1L_(/ijsePt. 12 Johnson 61% Nixon 35% 4% 'I i.' ,I 1966 _----- ."~. ,I,' /' 11- /~;/ I - Feb. :p Humphrey 47% Nixon 45% 8% / : ! I "' ~ ,:f{ 17Ii-! ''I::; / I (1 - !"~'!:.) /' '.' Narch 11 R.F. Kennedy 54% Nixon 41% 5% 'I "t': 1/ del 4 ~ (~;'/'."i Iii,/11-- 1~!I'oLnvlay25. , Johnson 54% - Nixon 36% 10% 7J~ .,. '\_jp/f ,fo//b -Q' If Iv 1') July 17 Johnson 48% Romney 44% 8% I" I I. !" • ',' c ,/" ""l 1966 (continued) Undecided ' ':::::;,., . •(J 11('1 July 17 / o0 ~ .. ;.. lib Johnson 51% Nixon 40% 9% -' ,.I ; \ ./d ' , 1/''' ~,.. I 7}:_C_);l(tl~_L-:. ...f ../_~ h-..oct. 30 Johnson ;: 51% Nixon = 34% Wallace;: 7% 8% 1967 J,"h', ., .,/ n I' ! 1, L J,.,.) 14 /~J It '!J r; , /!~7 ' .. ,;;', f? / Feb. Romney 50% Johnson 42% 8% / I) 1/1' ~ .I, I? r;d/ -.\ /1.1 ~'1t l?~{~l/-~( / !'larch 5 Romney 48% R.F. Kennedy 46% 6% I " ,; 1/ f .} , , /1 I:. {II / .I': 1-] _'{-ff-. In ,1' IC'l~(./LILI . .f:.1arch 5 Nixon 48% R.F. Kennedy 48% 4% ,., Ifl\ ~ (j ;"'11 ~!" /1,-, ,.~L'! (l t\ jTJ ''':;;1 '- /_/.$1 1. ...,Harch 22 RoI1'.ney 52% Johnson 43% 5% 1/1: 1/ '/ ,jf!"? . 77 t - It" j) R 3/;C I '"! 1,:1 / '" 1'1arch 22 Nixon 48% Johnson 48% 4% ;: (,' r-/) ,:1.. ,____/4. 'J,~t\_, ,,~?,rr --_.2.(:0 .- fl.1 i!! April 23 Johnson = 43% Romney :; 35% Wallace == 13% 9% ./ J-.. f1 "~(C:-' 1/ " I"'; ----, 7·t LS:...!1 L:jlt~-! (/::_!'-£ i '-'I-.,June 11 Romney 48% Johnson 45% 7% --- " / '1-1 I I\)J Ii ' J! j ,t.. L. # (1 .. 0 L!~~... .t" -.'.~'/'/ June 11 Johnson = 41% Romney = 39% Wallace == 11% M.L. King == 2% 7% j .t--- 711 // 7// ·'; ~J< 7 Aug. 2 Johnson 51% Reagan 39% 10% '7'(l-K i t ?!J~' ;,;;'7 Aug. 20 Romney. 49% Johnson 41% 10% I. ' I / i ~ fl "'» '/ / ' - / '.i n /" .! • 20 Johnson 47% Nixon 45% 8% ! I; JJ• Ii I ", 'I:".. )} , ..S , .. ( :' I ~/ f , Sept. 17 Rockefeller 48% Johnson 46% 6% /1 'I; ,I ','/. y, 75,!~ f( 'J ,"t "'I '1!:1 / Oct. 4 Rockefel1er 55% Johnson-Humphrey 41% 4% I , . ; I I Reagan :; r-!, OttP ff ' "\. _. ,_ .... Oct. 4 Romney-Reagan 49% Johnson-Humphrey 47% 4% , , .'\ \>c , ," \,i J .. ~ 'j ',,~ ,,' 1967 (continued) It ~~,-,...-~~,. I I Undecided I,, ! 0 / I,I -~iI 75 ~,-, .. 'lJJL Ie "L:I{/(, / l.oct. 22 Nixon 48% R.F. Kennedy 47% 5% 'J I • --7·5 .s11 / /;, ,f-/1-'.'? bct. 22 Nixon 49% Johnson 45% 6% '>. , I I ;,,7,"" "., ,,- ''''" ,..I / IJ fJ . Ji ,i; I£l,' /0.0/' (,J_ 1/ ," :Oct. 22 Rockefeller 54% Johnson 40% 6% " ! ;"1/. 1.+ "),/,-/.: ';, t"\~,t 22 "J._, Ii' ,/,~ ..,;.....,--~ . Romney 48% Johnson 45% 7% /' I ,t· .' , ' ~ /(;; , '~ , •. J '/ t "'2 i '.. " °' Lo. ;.-_.. __.. _- ...... ,-,_.... c. Rockefeller 47% R.F. Kennedy 46% 7% • 3 Johnson 47% Nixon 43% 10% ) I~ t' 7 r\l,V':t, / Dec;:. 3 Johnson 44% ,Nixon = 36% Wallace = 12% 8% ... I 1 " : 1',,... (""\ ',J it) 1 -t / 1968 j\ i:...... Undecided 1') • I'" (' f"'fJ, r~ " ::) ,..,)" 7 ! ..J /c1/7-1;/b7-'~a~'~'- Johnson 39% Nixon 30% McCarthy 12% Wallace 11% 8% ,..-" .'" ; f ) !ilt c'll-'f; 1,' , lSI ! ., Feb. 25 Johnson 39% Nixon 39% Wallace 11% 11% 7[ I J (/'/ /1 ) tr/ ; , ) I'" J/; ~I .. / ! : ... I"~ f lJu Feb. 25 Johnson 42% Nixon 42% 16% ,-' ';' I! r; I} /1/ ./ ' ,I '/ r - .' If_ j ..... !"... /'" ! I tl/ :,; ::"; ":' 1'1arch 27 Nixon 41% Johnson 39% \val1ace 14% 6% '1 /'1 I I, /1 C"1 ,1/1/"'(1";( J !e'! c" '-' f II /' v April 21 Nixon 41% McCarthy 38% Wallace 10% 11% !. Y i Pr i/Cj ~1 (. ,", , ! f!' I" Apnl 21 Nixon 41% R.Kennedy 38% Wallace 10% 1;1.% 1:'1·.~/\ ,,' ) /1 ? "; l/ .,...- ""r ,...-. :~ f ["', April 21 Nixon 43% Humphrey 34% Wallace 9% 14% - / I 1//! if l., ",~ , I, ~ / 1 ,. I / >J'V:~~ May 12 Nixon 39% Humphrey 36% Wallace 14% 11% I , , J." . I I"'" ...". Jr' .J...., ,', 7 -// May 12 Rockefeller 40% Humphrey. 33% Wallace 16% 11% ' __'0"'-' __' _,~ ...... ,-, ~ •• ~_, ____._ .. ____• ______.. _~, __..... _.__ ~_ -' ~ '\ ,'-. \ \ ( , ' \ I 1968 (continued) . ')--"'-:; Undecided i j i' '.' / 7~(- ,-~---..- •.-.--.,----" !1a.12~y Nixon 42% R.Kennedy 32% Wallace 15% 11% /' : I .f/ ie /'] "- "/ / ~! ___ ---f--_Y:J.,f'._-,:._- :'~May 12 Rockefeller 42% ~.Kennedy 28% Wallace 18% 12% I " I: i r f ,,;' --+.._-_.,.-" \ to 1/,,:., . ,~~. _May 12 Nixon 39% HcCarthy 37% Wallace 14% 10% I,., .... Rockefeller 40% McCarthy 31% Wallace 17% 12% 70d' qI~ ;p,~):. ;;;t:~::e 1:2 Humphrey 42% Nixon 36% Wallace 14% 8% , -'" ,,! 11 ~ ~ • / /1,(',/( II '/ "'.. June 12 Humphrey 39% Rockefeller 36% Wallace 17% 8% rj ll'; , J June 23 Humphrey 42% Nixon 37% Wallace 14% 8% ,..,. 'l ! • :'> t, I 5'1( ,June 23 Rockefeller 39% Humphrey 38% Wallace 17% 6% ; ,1 .' , .!? / ~ ;J 0/) I 39% tva1 lace 14% 'Jnne-j 23 McCarthy 41% Nixon 6% 1·.( if'" ,~ ill if /; ... '-,, June 23 McCarthy 39% Rockefeller 38% vlal1ace 16% 7% f I .I //I ..;.,.; !J ''''I -, , , i 3;1, / A I ~.•/ /, --/ 11 lY:,·.. ~'-I; 1/ ~"": July - Humphrey. 40% Nixon 35% Nallace 16% 9% , I j / 1-, ( / // r. I ! 1'4 I /" • 1 ' 1 I l -,', t! If} I,-'t;~/I //-/ Ju Y _ Humphrey 36% Rockefeller 36% Wa11acw 21% 7% I ...... / F I) , - I ) / J A ... '., /' r, ; ,J '/ - \ 0 / .< '-" ~<,:_,: .July 12 McCarthy 39% Nixon 36% Wallacw 18% 7% I - • t/ '1/1-- '/:/ ' .' . •'/ !, / ' - '\ j ~ ") ~ - t 'July 12 ./ ; 4§'" t.. HcCarthy 37% Rockefeller 35% Wallace 20% 8% -7,/-' 1- fl I /1 " f , , \ .. V, ': j " ./1" \' ,-\' " ~ .~. \ ' 1968 (continued) Undecided Aug. 5 - 8 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION , /' 711 0 SA, f/l~/)fiAug. 21 Nixon 45% Humphrey 29% Wallace 18% 8% (; ~ t /" / ? : ~.' .,>1 ~1 .!\us. 21 Nixon 42% McCarthy 37% Wallace 16% 5% ",' -- ~ .,ac:oun: • • stSt%iRh"lZlns u ~.._ .._.;.:.;;;.~""~:""~.." ...... '.7*..""""". Aug. 26 t ..t; "','/ 9/;- ',,;",Ij!~ '7 Sep. 15 Nixon 43% ~~phrey 31% Wallace 19% 7% '" "'" . ( ... f"j l'y: • /"I 7 / [",-, /<1-",J4/ i7 Sept. 29 'r'~"""" 8% i '/~ - ~_~-,~."~~",, ... ~- -""~~~~EiECTION Nixon 43.5% Humphrey 42.9% 1969 771 IfA- -f16(MaY 4 Nixon 52% Wallace 10'11 1/)' ~'" ~.,~ 5% 1970 ~' r< "'IJI -,~ t".):-, 'rI J') ::::17JMarch.,J 22 Nixon 54% Humphrey 34% Wallace 12% i ,"', [I ( j j '\ (/:!.. J(j/.,. J}2>/7V March 22 Nixon 76% Humphrey 24% , I May 10 Nixon 54% Humphrey 34% Wallace 12% ~O~·t< 111 ~/J7'?)/7() July 19 Nixon 46% Lindsay 29% Wallace lS% 10% Registered Voters f:, ,i 'DT ~ bA &/(6"1 -":/70 July 19 Nixon 43% Muskie 36% Wallace 13% 8% . i I I I ! ! i 1 \ ! I ! I I I j i I I J I , , .I I I ! I I I I ," I .L I I . I' I /' I I , I l I I I ! ' r": " • .:. # ,.; ,; i J . ' . . , • .; i . 1, rlJ, I ! THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date August li, 1972 TO : H FROM: BRUCE You may want to dis cus s this with the President rather than sending the memo in. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON August 10, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HERBERT G. KLEIN The Chicago Sun Times completed a down-state Illinois survey with 841 marked ballots between August 2 and 4. The survey showed: President Nixon, 67.2 percent; Senator McGovern, 27.1 per cent; and 5 percent, no choice. A similar sampling taken July 26 to 28, at the time Senator Eagleton revealed his passed illness, showed President Nixon, 67 percent and Senator Mc Govern, 28.6 percent. This would indicate that your lead stayed the same 'during that period of turmoil. The survey represents a 9 percent gain since a poll taken in April in the same area. In the same counties in 1960, you received a vote of 57.2 percen!:... and in 1968, with the three-man race, you received 54.5 percent. The counties involved were considered bench marks among 101 down-state Illinois counties. They are Du Page, Lake Madison, McLean, Rock Island, San gamon, and Winnebago. cc: Clark MacGregor H. R. Haldeman...r