No. 32 July 2019 Bankieri Publication
BANKS AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AAB MEMBERS www.aab.al
CONTENT Editorial Sustainable Development & Finance - A train, banks in Albania will climb in soon Prof. Asoc. Dr. Elvin MEKA 5 Bankieri No. 32, July 2019 Frontline Publication of Albanian Association of Banks Putting the banking industry in the driver’s seat of the sustainable development agenda Puleng Tumelo NDJWILI-POTELE 6 The Role for banks in Sustainable Finance - Views from the European Banking Federation Sébastien de BROUWER 8 No. 32 July 2019 Publication Developing Sustainable Finance: Conclusions of the Central Banks’ Network for Greening Bankieri Financial Systems Sean GOODIER Dejan VASILJEV 11 Banks in the changing world of financial intermediation nga McKinsey 13 EIB and sustainable finance Ines HOBDARI Alessandro BRAGONZI 16 International Crisis of 2007/2008 had a small impact: Greek Crisis hit hard Prof. Charoula APALAGAKI 19 NPL Market and credit growth in the Republic of Serbia Vladimir VASIĆ 23
Banking System BANKS AND OTP BANK Albania - An ambitious bank for developing the Albanian banking market 27 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Bledar SHELLA Tirana Bank - Consolidation and its further growth; objectives for 2019 Dritan MUSTAFA 28
Experts' Forum Three effective strategies to fight informal economy Vladimir DJORDJEVIC 30 BASEL III and its impact on the banking sector EDITORIAL TEAM: Rajmond PAVACI 32 Elvin Meka Social Development Goals 34 Editor-in-Chief Eftali Peçi The Albanian Association of Banks (AAB) celebrates its 20th anniversary 39 Coordinator Junida Tafaj (Katroshi) The Albanian Association of Banks organizes the conference on “Banks for Sustainable Collaborator Development” 41 Dorina Zarka Photographer AAB: Activities 44 Design & Layout: FCB Afirma AAB: Trainings 45 Printed by:
Bankieri is the official publication of EDITORIAL BOARD: the Albanian Association of Banks which mainly focuses on the Albanian Silvio PEDRAZZI Andi BALLTA Hysen ÇELA AAB Chairman & CEO AAB Executive Committee Chairman of Albanian banking industry. Bankieri provides of Intesa Sanpaolo Bank Member & CEO Institute of Authorized readers with valuable information on Albania of American Bank Chartered Auditors (IEKA) of Investments the financial industry's developments Spiro BRUMBULLI Maltin KORKUTI in general, and of commercial banks Ervin KOÇI Secretary General, AAB Executive Committee Chairman of Albanian Albanian Association of in particular. Member & CEO Financial Supervision Banks of Credins Bank Authority ALBANIAN ASSOCIATION OF BANKS Street "Ibrahim Rugova" Dritan MUSTAFA Adrian CIVICI AAB Executive Committee Dean, Faculty of SKY TOWER, 9/3, Tirana Member & CEO of Tirana Economics, Mediteranean Tel: ‘+355 4 2280371/2 Bank University of Albania Fax: +355 4 2280 359 www.aab.al
July 2019 Bankieri 3 www.aab.al
4 Bankieri July 2019 www.aab.al EDITORIAL Sustainable Development & Finance A train, banks in Albania will climb in soon
The most striking challenge for banks is redrafting and reshaping the traditional “short-term” vision of performance and profitability into “long-term” and socially-responsible ones, which will better serve to future generations.
SDGs and environment topics, so far, and national issues any more, as we have seen several international they cannot be limited and controlled initiatives that use the “green” and at the individual state borders. Said “sustainable” concept, like: UN that, the day banks in Albania must Environment Programme Finance consider aligning their activity Initiative (UNEP FI) and Principles for according to sustainable finance is Responsible Banking, green bonds getting near; so is the challenge they issuance, by development banks and need to be prepared in this regard. private sector, etc. Probably the most striking challenge Where do banks in Albania stand for them is redrafting and reshaping in this sustainable, environmental the traditional “short-term” vision and green landscape? Banks in of performance and profitability into Albania have been so keen and “long-term” and socially-responsible attentive towards corporate one, which will better serve to future Prof. Asoc. Dr. Elvin MEKA1 social responsibility, by putting generations. This would require Editor-in-Chief considerable funds, efforts and industrious efforts towards crafting energy, though years. During recent and using specific products, actively years, they have been adapting and linked with environment, climate pursuing their CSR entirely through and sustainability. Surely, banks he issue of Sustainable SDGs. Also, several banks have been cannot do it alone; financial system’s Development, and subsequently, promoting and using, for years, a regulators, even the government Tthe sustainable finance limited number of “eco” and “green” (both central and local) could help concept, started to develop, at least ideas and products. Nevertheless, a great deal in this regard, through officially, since 1992, at the Earth there is still a long way, for banks in regulations (relaxed requirements Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Albania, towards working according for “green” banking products), tax (in June 1992), where more than to sustainable development and policies (preferential tax treatment 178 countries adopted Agenda 21, a finance principles, or otherwise for investing in “green” instruments comprehensive action plan to build incorporating them as their natural issued by public and private sector), a global partnership for sustainable business activity. What can be seen issuance of “green” instruments development, to improve human lives as “positive” in this regard is that with (especially local government and and protect the environment. The very few exceptions, this is the reality corporations), and so on. The issue has been evolving incessantly, for most of countries, even for those economy, climate and environment up to 2015, when UN approved 17 with economies far more advanced matter us all, including banks as SDGs, which mark a quality turning and sophisticated than Albania. game changers in this regard! point, for financial institutions But such reality won’t last long, and not only, in terms of actively either in the world, or in Albania. addressing and incorporating Sustainable Development and environment and other climate- Finance is a train, banks in Albania, related risks, within their day-to day will, unavoidably, climb in soon, 1Dean of Faculty of Economy, activity. Along with traditional banks’ because climate, environmental Business and Development, CSR activities, focused on separate risks and economy are not isolated European University of Tirana, UET.
July 2019 Bankieri 5 www.aab.al FRONTLINE Putting the banking industry in the driver’s seat of the sustainable development agenda
A bank would identify and assess its most significant social, economic and environmental impacts, both positive and negative, resulting from its activities, products and services, and set targets that aim to align those impacts with the objectives and targets in the SDGs, the Paris Climate Agreement and other relevant frameworks.
in their countries, banks have combined assets, together with significant influence over what gets the UN Environment Programme financed, positioning them well Finance Initiative (UNEP FI). They to make significant contributions are built in a way that allows any towards the achievement of the bank to sign up, regardless of its SDGs, the Paris Climate Agreement, level of experience with sustainable and national policy goals. Banks that finance. fail to make substantial contributions The six Principles require a bank’s to the needs and goals of their business strategy to be geared societies will find it increasingly towards contributing to the SDGs, difficult to remain competitive and the Paris Climate Agreement, and relevant in a climate where their other relevant national or regional stakeholders (including regulators, frameworks. Banks need to take a civil society, investors, competitors) holistic approach to their impacts Puleng Tumelo NDJWILI-POTELE consistently challenge them to by assessing both direct and Banking Project Coordinator show how they are responding indirect impacts and work towards UN ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME to the challenges of sustainable increasing their positive impacts, FINANCE INITIATIVE development, and managing while reducing the negative impacts risks that could destabilize their connected to their operations businesses, and consequently their and lending activities, they also economies. To build trust with their need to manage and mitigate he sustainable development stakeholders and communities, their risks. The more significant agenda continues to grow banks need to generate value for impacts, associated with a bank’s Tin importance and urgency. their societies, while making profit activities will generally be rooted The world is currently faced with for their shareholders. in its lending, and therefore banks pressing challenges, which include The Principles for Responsible should work with their clients economic development, climate Banking provide guidance to banks and customers towards achieving change, environmental degradation, for driving lending, that contributes more sustainable outcomes, and poverty, inequality, and financial to sustainable development. engage and/or partner with other inclusion. Current financing for the These voluntary Principles offer a stakeholders to accelerate positive Sustainable Development Goals comprehensive framework that will impact. Banks must ensure that (SDGs) is insufficient and poorly help banks embed sustainability their governance structures coordinated, and the latest IPCC across their entire businesses, and processes are adequate for report tells us that we need to keep meaning that the well-being of delivering on their commitments global warming below 1.5 degrees people and the planet are at the to the Principles. Lastly, the Celsius, in order to avoid severe and core of their decision-making and Principles require transparency and irreversible impacts on the earth activities. The Principles have accountability from banks through and our livelihoods. been shaped by 28 leading banks, publicly reporting on the progress As the leading providers of finance representing USD 17 trillion in they are making in implementing
6 Bankieri July 2019 www.aab.al the Principles. endorsed the Principles, therefore regulators, banking associations, A powerful way for banks to committing to become signatories and civil society organisations, that demonstrating and progressively to the Principles for Responsible have endorsed the Principles to improve their contribution to Banking. These banks are part of exhibit their support for them. sustainable development is by a growing community of UNEP FI The Principles have been through setting targets that address a an extensive six-month public bank’s most significant impacts. A consultation process, in which bank would identify and assess its banks, investors, regulators and civil most significant social, economic society, amongst others, contributed As the leading providers of and environmental impacts, both input that ensures the Principles positive and negative, resulting finance in their countries, banks represent the global benchmark for from its activities, products and have significant influence over a sustainable banking system fit for services, and set targets that aim what gets financed, positioning the 21st century. to align those impacts with the them well to make significant Bank CEOs who commit to becoming objectives and targets in the SDGs, contributions towards the signatories to the Principles will the Paris Climate Agreement and congregate at the UN Headquarters achievement of the SDGs, the other relevant frameworks. in New York, during the UN General The legitimacy of the Principles is Paris Climate Agreement, and Assembly, to sign the Principles derived from the accountability and national policy goals. for Responsible Banking, officially transparency mechanisms. Banks becoming the Founding Signatories are required to report publicly to the Principles. The Principles are on their implementation of the designed to leverage the potential Principles, including their positive member banks that are committed the banking industry has to drive the and negative impacts, risks, and to sustainable finance. They will achievement of the SDGs, the Paris targets. This reporting will be benefit from sharing their knowledge Climate Agreement, and national subject to an assessment process, and experience with each other, and policy goals, thereby creating a with consequences for banks that from support and guidance from stronger global economy and better consistently fail to show progress the UNEP FI Secretariat, as well as world for everyone, everywhere. We over time. Recognizing that banks subject matter experts, providing encourage you to get involved! are at different stages in their banks with direct access to expert Learn how your bank can become sustainability journeys, banks will knowledge, tools and resources a Signatory to the Principles for have up to four years from becoming to help capacitate themselves Responsible Banking at signatories to the Principles to and strengthen their positioning www.unepfi.org/responsiblebanking. implement all of the requirements as leaders in sustainable finance. of the Principles. These banks are joined by 26 More than 70 banks have already stakeholders, which include
July 2019 Bankieri 7 www.aab.al FRONTLINE The Role for banks in Sustainable Finance Views from the European Banking Federation The goal should be a financial system in which all gains (financial, societal and environmental) are completely engrained. At which point, we will no longer need to talk about sustainable finance as, by definition, all finance will be sustainable.
Awareness raising has brought and the well-being of our people.” Sustainable Finance to the heart of Both public and private sectors need the current political agenda in Europe. to work together to achieve changes. The European Union is committed to The transformation can only be playing a leading role in the global achieved with the banking sector fight against climate change. The taking an active role, as important ambition is to make Europe the most investments must be financed. This advanced capital market, where is especially true in Europe, where companies and retail investors banks finance two thirds of the are encouraged (with the help of economy. More particularly, when it digital tools and solutions) to shift comes to Sustainable Finance, we at their investment to environmentally the EBF believe in 4 E’s: Enabling, friendly projects, thereby contributing Encouraging, Engaging and Educating. to the EU's sustainable and carbon- Sébastien de BROUWER neutral agenda. It is in this context, Enabling Chief Policy Officer the European Commission adopted The European Commission’s EUROPEAN BANKING FEDERATION, last year, in March 2018, an ambitious leadership substantially accelerated EBF Action Plan for Sustainable Finance, the sustainability agenda across which was followed up by three Europe. Voluntary actions and here is non-controversial legislative proposals (on taxonomy, exemplary moves from leading scientific evidence of global disclosure requirements and financial institutions and businesses are not Twarming, and its negative effects benchmarks). It lays ground for sufficient to mobilize finances at are already felt around the world. The reorienting capital flows towards the required scale and pace, nor present climate change will have a sustainable investments, and for enough to transform all aspects of progressively significant impact on embedding long-termism within our society. Public action is needed economies, societies and markets. the financial sector. It also aims to help banks and markets channel There is also growing evidence to improve the handling of climate financing to societally beneficial suggesting that climate change and change risks in the financial sector. purposes. Private initiatives are great, environmental risks have important The public sector cannot, however, do but they must be complemented implications for financial stability, it alone. As stated by V. Dombrovskis, by smart regulatory frameworks that cannot be disregarded. Growing Vice-President for the Euro and Social that take away uncertainty, ensure awareness on this impact has Dialogue, Financial Stability, Financial comparability and allow competitive compelled governments to act and Services and Capital Markets Union: solutions, that enable the financing they agreed, accordingly, in the Paris “the financial sector needs to throw of the transition to more sustainable Agreement to put policies in place to its full weight behind the fight against economies on a level playing field. It limit the global rise in temperatures climate change. This is a challenge, is why the EBF is supportive of the to 2°C, and preferably as close to but also an exceptional opportunity. European Commission Action Plan for 1.5°C, as possible. In the next few years, Europe’s banks Sustainable Finance. Along with reflecting upon the risks, and financial institutions have a this requires massive investments chance to drive global developments Encouraging and reallocation of capital. Europe in sustainable finance. By moving to Enabling is not sufficient, if markets alone is estimated to have a an economy based around low-carbon are to be mobilized at the required sustainability investment gap of technology and resource-efficiency, size and speed. Positive research roughly to EUR 180 billion per year. we can boost job creation, productivity, and evidence on the performance,
8 Bankieri July 2019 www.aab.al both in terms of risk and profitability unsustainable assets. financial impact of these risks. Having of the sustainable investments, are said that, data and methodologies are emerging. Environmental, Social and Engaging slowly emerging, also thanks to the Governance (ESG) leaders are not Banks are also acting together to enhanced disclosures, enabling their only in the position to anticipate more leverage and amplify individual progressive incorporation into risk effectively future climate-related efforts. For example, 28 leading management and internal processes. risks and opportunities but are also banks from around the globe, Still, more work together will be expected to see the cost of equity including nine from Europe, developed necessary to improve our knowledge and debt going down. Well rated with the UNEP FI, the Principles of ESG risks, to identify challenges ESG companies have less volatile for Responsible Banking. These and to work on solutions, as well equity and bonds, and also better Principles align banks with society’s as building partnerships to raise performance. Smart companies, goals as expressed in the Sustainable awareness and scale up competences. using sustainability strategies, are Development Goals (SDGs) and the This brings us to the last “E”. gaining competitive advantage, often Paris Climate Agreement. The EBF with help of innovative technologies. was amongst the first endorser and Educating On the demand side, most of the promoter of the Principles which Financial education is important in retail investors would want to have a great potential to accelerate empowering people with skills and invest sustainably. Despite these the transition of the banking competences, which help them ask the positive developments, we are still sector and consequently the whole right questions and make the correct talking about a substantial financial economy towards the sustainable choices when it comes to saving and investment gap. There is no shortage path. Sustainability and particularly, investing, including, on sustainability of capital. It is a question of redirecting climate change, will leave no sector risks. Education on sustainability the flows where the impact would untouched. As a result, there is e a should include the financially make the most difference. need to reinforce the dialogue with trained professionals to help them While lack of taxonomy and data, as stakeholders, including banks’ clients understand sustainability risks more well as insufficient pipeline may play at European level, to understand the thoroughly, and to measure, integrate a role in markets not picking up at the impact of the “sustainability agenda” and price them more accurately. required scale, both legislative and on respective business models, Further integration of financial non-legislative frameworks have to be strategies and risk management. industry experts in training programs reviewed to encourage and reward the Gathering experts from all over on how to approach sustainability is shift towards sustainable economy. Europe, the EBF Sustainable Finance necessary. From portfolio managers, The EBF is preparing a report that will Working Group is prepared to engage to risk managers, from Board rooms focus on limited number of incentives, with key actors and decision-makers to financial advisers, sustainability with a potential to scale up sustainable on ESG-related issues. The WG has should be an integral part of everyday finance in the banking sector. The organized itself so that it can provide processes and decision-making. chosen approach is for a limited the European Commission with timely number of incentives, most relevant and relevant input on the key aspects Conclusion from the banking perspective. Green of its Action Plan, notably, taxonomy, Banks have a clear and key role securitization, review of prudential green bonds, indices and metrics, in sustainable finance. It is about treatment of sustainable assets, and finally incentives/disincentives connecting sustainability with where there is indication of lower risk, as an extra topic of critical interest financial objectives. While it will take as well as public intervention in the for banks. Very important too, is to time and different stakeholders will form of guarantees, tax benefits and engage with banking regulators and find themselves at different levels of subsidies may substantially contribute supervisors to rethink together the the scale - adopting a different pace to mainstreaming sustainable ways the financial system approaches and approach - the trend is clearly set. activities and their financing. The sustainability, transparency, and long- The goal should be a financial system Report will be published in the coming term risks. Whereas climate risks are in which all gains (financial, societal months to feed the reflection of the considered ever more as financial and environmental) are completely Commission, the Parliament as well risk, given the lack of data and limited engrained. At which point, we will no as the European Banking Authority know how when it comes to calculation longer need to talk about sustainable (EBA), as an input to its report on and modelling, risk managers still finance as, by definition, all finance prudential treatment of sustainable/ find it challenging to calculate the will be sustainable.
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10 Bankieri July 2019 www.aab.al FRONTLINE Developing Sustainable Finance: Conclusions of the Central Banks’ Network for Greening Financial Systems1
Network for Greening the Financial System was established in December 2017 by eight founding Central Banks, including French, German, Dutch, and UK central banks, among others. The network – a “coalition of willing central banks” – has now grown to more than thirty members, including IFI observers, such as the EBRD and the World Bank Group.
he recognition of climate change and magnitude, foreseeable in as a financial risk is propelling the nature, uncertain in its time horizon Texpansion of sustainable finance and dependent on short-term – legislative and regulatory reforms actions given that the size of future led by the European Commission, impacts will be determined by work by IFI’s on the development of today’s actions. Understanding and green finance instruments and more managing the complicated nature recently, the establishment of the of these risks and their implications “Network for Greening the Financial for the financial system requires co- System” (NGFS) – an important ordination between central banks and “coalition of willing” Central Banks national authorities from across the which are working on understanding globe. There is a need for collective mechanisms by which climate and leadership and actions across environmental risks affect their countries. Sean GOODIER mandates, but also on what they can And so – in December 2017 – the FCA do to support the transition to more Network for Greening the Financial sustainable financial systems. System was established by eight The mandates of central banks founding Central Banks, including have changed remarkably since the French, German, Dutch, and UK 2008 financial crisis and their remits central banks, among others. The are recently beginning to expand into network – a “coalition of willing the area of climate change. Central central banks” – has now grown to banks are well – placed to take on this more than thirty members, including role through their capacity as both IFI observers, such as the EBRD and regulators – who can stress-test the the World Bank Group. ability of firms to deal with climate The NGFS aims to build on other risks and encourage climate related international initiatives which focus disclosures – and also guardians on climate-related financial risks – of financial stability – who can set including the Task Force on Climate- capital requirements for institutions related Financial Disclosures, G20 to account for climate-related risks. Green/Sustainable Finance Study However, climate-related Group, as well as broader activity, risks have a number of distinctive such as the Paris Agreement and characteristics which, in combination, Sustainable Development Goals. Dejan VASILJEV mean that they require a strategic To put it in context, the mechanisms EBRD approach to management. Climate by which climate and environmental change is far-reaching in its breath risks can affect financial stability
1 The article represents personal views and not those of FCA nor EBRD.
July 2019 Bankieri 11 www.aab.al are still relatively poorly understood the People’s Bank of China is currently and knowledge sharing amongst – this central banking forum is the only NGFS member to promote stakeholders to improve their at the forefront of developing our green finance via its own dedicated understanding of how climate-related understanding of these risks. monetary policy. factors translate into financial risks The network has two main Thirdly – national authorities and opportunities. objectives: to contribute to the should share data relevant to Climate The final two recommendations analysis and management of climate Risk Assessment and potentially are aimed not only at central bankers and environment-related risks in but more broadly at regulators. the financial sector and mobilize The NGFS seeks to achieve robust mainstream finance to support the and internationally consistent transition towards a sustainable climate and environmental related global economy. Climate-related risks have disclosure which will be integral In April this year NGFS published a number of distinctive to an efficient and well-functioning its first comprehensive report, which capital market with an effective characteristics which, in includes six key recommendations price mechanism for climate related for central banks, supervisors and combination, mean that they risks. Finally, the network strongly policymakers to enhance their role in require a strategic approach to encourages regulators to develop greening the financial system. These management. Climate change taxonomies which aim to facilitate reflect the best practices, identified is far-reaching in its breath and financial institutions’ identification, by NGFS members to facilitate the magnitude, foreseeable in nature, assessment and management of role of the financial sector in helping climate and environmental risks – as uncertain in its time horizon and to achieve the objectives of the Paris well as mobilize capital for green and Agreement. dependent on short-term actions low - carbon investments, consistent Firstly – and most importantly given that the size of future with the Paris Agreement. The work – climate-related risks should be impacts will be determined by of the European Commission is a very integrated into micro-supervision today’s actions. positive step towards this. and financial stability monitoring. So what are the next steps for the Before this happens, it is essential NGFS? There is still a lot of analytical that such climate-related risks are work that is needed to equip central adequately assessed – and this make this publically available in a data banks and supervisors with the includes both physical risks (the value repository. This will help to bridge tools they need to identify, quantify of financial assets lost, as a result of the data gap that is currently one of and manage climate change risks climate change and natural disasters) the main challenges for supervisors. in the financial system. And more and transition risks (the legal and And the fourth is that central banks, broadly – the network is seeking to adjustment cost that the financial supervisors and financial institutions expand its engagement with relevant sector will incur in transitioning should build awareness and in- stakeholders to ensure a mutually towards a lower-carbon economy). house intellectual capacity as well beneficial exchange of experience and It also requires strong engagement as encourage technical assistance information. with financial institutions to raise awareness of climate - related financial risks and that are able to identify, analyze and report them. The second recommendation is that sustainability factors should be integrated into portfolio management. Here – central banks should lead by example in their own operations through integrating such factors in the management of their own portfolios – taking into account different institutional arrangement in each jurisdiction. It must be noted that
12 Bankieri July 2019 www.aab.al FRONTLINE Banks in the changing world of financial intermediation
Banks sit at the center of a vast, complex system that intermediates more than US$ 260 trillion in global funds. What happens when the system itself is significantly streamlined and reshaped?
by McKinsey1 November 2018 Report
decade after a financial crisis that shook the world, the global Abanking industry and financial regulators have worked in tandem to move the financial system from the brink of chaos to a solid ground with a higher level of safety. In numerical terms, the global Tier 1 capital ratio – one measure of banking system safety – increased from 9.8 percent in 2007 to 13.2 percent in 2017. Other measures of risk have improved as well; for example, the ratio of tangible equity to tangible assets has increased from 4.6 percent in 2010 to 6.2 percent in 2017. Performance has been stable, particularly in the last five years or Picture 1 so, and when the above-mentioned increases in capital are figured in (Exhibit 1), but not spectacular. Global banking return on equity (ROE) has hovered in a narrow range between 8 and 9 percent, since 2012 (Exhibit 2). Global industry market capitalization increased from US$ 5.8 trillion in 2010 to US$ 8.5 trillion in 2017. A decade after the crisis, these accomplishments speak to the resiliency of the industry. But growth for the banking industry continues to be muted – industry revenues grew at 2 percent per year over the last five years, significantly below banking’s historical annual growth of 5 to 6 percent.
Picture 2
1 This article was originally published by McKinsey & Company, www.mckinsey.com. Copyright (c) 2019 All rights reserved. Reprinted by permission.
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Compared to other industries, the ROE of the banking sector places it squarely in the middle of the pack. However, from an investor’s point of view, a jarring displacement exists. Banking valuations have traded at a discount to nonbanks since the 2008–09 financial crisis. In 2015, that discount stood at 53 percent; by 2017, despite steady performance by the banking sector, it had only seen minor improvements at 45 percent (Exhibit 3). What do investors know, or think they know, about the future prospects for the banking industry? In part, low Picture 3 valuation multiples for the banking industry stem from investor concerns about banks’ ability to break out of the fixed orbit of stable but unexciting performance. Lack of growth and an increase in nonperforming loans in some markets may also be dampening expectations. Our view, however, is that the lack of investor faith in the future of banking is tied in part to doubts about whether banks can maintain their historical leadership of the financial-intermediation system. By our estimates, this financial-intermediation system stores, transfers, lends, invests, and manages risk for roughly US$ 260 trillion in funds. The revenue pool associated with intermediation – the vast majority of which is captured by banks – was roughly US$ 5 trillion in 2017, or approximately 190 basis points. (Note that as recently as 2011, the average was approximately 220 basis points.) Picture 4
Banks’ position in this system is under threat. The dual forces of technological (and data) innovation and shifts in the regulatory and broader sociopolitical environment are opening great swaths of this financial-intermediation system to new entrants, including other large financial institutions, specialist-finance providers, and technology firms. This opening has not had a one-sided impact nor does it spell disaster for banks. Where will these changes lead? Our view is that the current complex and interlocking system of financial intermediation will be streamlined by the forces of technology and regulation into a simpler system with three layers (Exhibit 5). In the way that water will always find the shortest route to its destination, global funds will flow through the intermediation layer that best fits their purpose. The first layer would consist of everyday commerce and transactions (for example, deposits, payments, and consumer loans). Intermediation here would be virtually invisible and ultimately embedded into the routine digital lives of customers. The second and third layers would hinge on a barbell effect of technology and data, which, on one
14 Bankieri July 2019 www.aab.al hand, enables more effective human interactions and, on the other, full automation. The second layer would also comprise products and services in which relationships and insights are the predominant differentiators (for example, M&A, derivatives structuring, wealth management, corporate lending). Leaders here will use artificial intelligence to radically enhance but not entirely replace human interaction. The third layer will largely be business to business, such as scale-driven sales and trading, standardized parts of wealth and asset management, and part of origination. In this layer, institutional intermediation would be heavily automated and provided by efficient technology infrastructures with low costs. This condensed financial- Picture 5 intermediation system may seem like a distant vision, but there are parallel examples of significant structural change in industries for those firms that are clear about other than banking. Consider the The right path for each bank will, their true competitive advantage impact of online ticket booking and of course, differ based on its current and then make – and follow through sharing platforms, such as: Airbnb sources of competitive advantage on – definitive strategic choices. The on travel agencies and hotels or how and on which of the layers matches result will be a financial sector that technology-enabled disruptors such its profile – or the profile it intends is more efficient and delivers value to as Netflix, upended film distribution. to take in the future. We believe the customers and society at large. That Our view of a streamlined rewards will be disproportionate is a future that should energize any system of financial intermediation, forward-looking banking leader. it should be noted, is an “insider’s” perspective: we do not believe that customers or clients will really take note of this underlying structural change. The burning question, of course, is what these changes mean for banks. McKinsey’s view is that there will be four strategic options open to banks in the reshaped system:
•the innovative, end-to-end ecosystem orchestrator •the low-cost “manufacturer” •the bank focused on specific business segments •the traditional but fully optimized and digitized bank
July 2019 Bankieri 15 www.aab.al FRONTLINE EIB and sustainable finance
“Sustainability in everything we do – this is our aim when we finance projects in innovation and skills, infrastructure, small and medium-sized enterprises, the environment, climate action and regional cohesion. We carry out due diligence to ensure that projects meet environmental and social criteria, and that they deliver the desired long-term economic benefits. The funds raised in the capital markets through green and sustainable bonds are used for specific projects that make a substantial contribution to sustainable development.”
he EIB Group is the European as well as our multidimensional Union’s long-term financing assistance to the private sector, Tinstitution (the ‘EU Bank’). catalyzing foreign direct investments It provides finance and technical to major investment projects assistance to achieve sustainable, (e.g. Trans Adriatic Pipeline, Fiat inclusive growth through two Auto Serbia, etc.), also offering complementary entities: the assistance to small and medium- European Investment Bank (EIB) and sized enterprises (SMEs) via funding the European Investment Fund (EIF) to European banks in the region, . In 2018, the EIB Group provided all of which reinforces the EU’s EUR 64.2 billion of financing, out enlargement policy. Furthermore, of which EUR 13.8 billion went to in 2016 EIB launched the Economic innovation and skills, EUR 12.3 Resilience Initiative (ERI) following a billion to infrastructure, EUR 23.3 request from the European Council Ines HOBDARI billion for SMEs, and EUR 15.2 billion to address social and economic Senior Banker for environment support. infrastructure gaps and stimulating EUROPEAN INVESTMENT BANK The EIB is the world’s largest private sector-led growth and job multilateral borrower and lender. creation in the region with the aim to Founded in 1958, it operates across tackle the root causes of migration the EU and in more than 130 other and brain drain. To reinforce its countries. While the majority of local presence in 2019, EIB has EIB financing goes to EU Member opened offices in Albania and Bosnia States, the EIB operates globally as Herzegovina, working closely with a multilateral development bank. By the operational team, based in financing investments outside the Luxembourg. These offices, together EU, the EIB actively contributes to with the already active Regional the EU’s external policy objectives. Office in Belgrade, map out the EIB’s Indeed, the EIB is the EU’s key presence in the Western Balkans and instrument for development banking, its commitment to bring the region with an activity volume outside EU of even closer to the European Union. EUR 7.8 billion in 2018. The Western Balkans are a key Climate action is a key priority for priority for lending activity and since the EU and the EIB 2008 the EIB Group has financed over Climate action is a pillar of the EU Alessandro BRAGONZI EUR 8 billion projects in the region. Action Plan on Sustainable Finance Representative for Albania, Kosovo2, and This reflects our commitment to and positioned at the heart of the North Macedonia supporting the construction and EIB strategic framework. In its EUROPEAN INVESTMENT BANK upgrading of key infrastructure, activities, the EIB has played, and
1 From European Investment Bank Group Sustainability Report - https://www.eib.org/en/publications/sustainability-report-2018.htm. 2 This designation is without prejudice to positions on status, and is in line with UNSCR 1244 and the ICJ Opinion on the Kosovo Independence Declaration. 3 The EIF is a specialized entity on risk finance (i.e. equity and guarantee) to benefit micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Europe.
16 Bankieri July 2019 www.aab.al will continue to play, a substantial As a result, in 2018 we exceeded finance – with direct help of EIB’s role in achieving the United Nations’ our 25% Climate action target for the experts in the TEG subgroups Sustainable Development Goals ninth year in a row, providing more tasked with taxonomy and green (SDGs). While the EIB’s lending than EUR 16 billion to fight climate bond standard - is defining clear remains focused on its public policy change. That is over 29% of all our classification criteria for economic goals, namely innovation, SME and financing. We are well on our way activities and related investment mid-cap financing, infrastructure to fulfill our commitment to support instruments. and the environment, we at EIB the implementation of the Paris As a confirmation of the EIB’s believe that support for climate commitment to the SDGs and the EU action is compatible with reaching Action Plan on Sustainable Finance other policy targets. Supporting a in September 2018, the EIB issued its transition towards a carbon-neutral, first EUR 500 million Sustainability Sustainable finance does not mean greener, more resilient and circular Awareness Bond (SAB). SAB that we focus on selected, “pure” economy must go hand in hand. proceeds will initially be dedicated to climate action sectors. Rather, it Against this backdrop, the EIB has supporting water supply, sanitation means ensuring that opportunities been a pioneer on both financing and and flood protection projects. for climate action are sought funding sides, as regarding climate across our whole portfolio. It also action. EIB is prepared to contribute more means that with our activities to climate action we aim to support the economic On the financing side… Sustainable finance does not mean activities that foster the transition The EIB has developed a broad range that we focus on selected, “pure” to a low-carbon and climate of financial instruments to support climate action sectors. Rather, it resilient future. climate – related investments by means ensuring that opportunities public and private sector project for climate action are sought across promoters. This includes reducing our whole portfolio. It also means the risk for certain investors who Agreement, and we will increase that with our activities we aim to would otherwise not support climate our support for Climate action in support the economic activities that – related schemes. These innovative developing countries to 35 percent of foster the transition to a low-carbon climate finance products attract our total lending by 2020. and climate resilient future. Through more private sector finance to the the implementation of the EIB fight against climate change and for …and on the funding side… Climate Strategy, the EIB is aligning the mitigation of its effects, Ensuring The EIB launched the world’s first its activities with the principles and that sustainability is embedded in green bond in 2007. Since then we goals of the Paris Agreement. To this EIB financing means three things: continued fostering the sustainable end, we are working with Multilateral first, certain activities are completely growth of this market, as the largest Development Banks (MDBs) to excluded from EIB financing; second, multilateral issuer, as Chair of the develop a joint MDB approach and projects and investments are subject Green Bond Principles, coordinator we are participating in the OECD to EIB own environmental and social of the International Financial workstream on this subject. principles and standards; and third, Institutions (IFI) Framework for We also recognize that more an economic appraisal is carried Green Bond Impact Reporting needs to be done to tackle climate out to measure a project’s costs Harmonization, and contributor change and that the EIB cannot do it and financial impact to determine of expertise in the European alone, nor can all the IFIs put together. whether society at large gains Commission’s working groups. The The EIB therefore welcomes all new from the investment. We identify Green Bond market has drawn global initiatives aimed at channeling more systematically climate risks for all attention to the climate agenda public funding to climate action, and investment projects, we measure and promoted transparency and especially those aiming to do so in thoroughly the climate components accountability in financial markets a way that enhances the impact of of projects and we increase in a transformational way. The such funding in addressing climate investment in climate adaptation and European Commission’s Technical change - including through increased resilience. Expert Group (TEG) on sustainable leveraging of private capital.
4 https://ec.europa.eu/info/files/190618-sustainable-finance-teg-report-taxonomy_en https://ec.europa.eu/info/files/190618-sustainable-finance-teg-report-overview-green-bond-standard_en
July 2019 Bankieri 17 Përfito nga Super Paga
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