TransUnion CIBIL Industry Insights Report Quarterly overview of consumer credit trends released by TransUnion CIBIL
SECOND QUARTER 2018
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary ...... 4 Consumer-Level Insights ...... 68 Bankcard Summary ...... 7 Bankcard ...... 68 Unsecured Installment Loan Summary ...... 10 Total Number of Consumers with Access to an Auto Loan Summary ...... 13 Active Trade ...... 69 Mortgage Summary ...... 16 Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ..... 70 Loans Against Property Summary ...... 19 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Report Overview and Definitions ...... 21 Balance ...... 71 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ... 72 Account-Level Insights ...... 25 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Bankcard ...... 25 Consumers Carrying a Balance ...... 73 Total Account Volumes ...... 26 Unsecured Installment Loan ...... 74 Total Account Balances ...... 27 Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ..... 75 Average Account Balance ...... 28 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 29 Balance ...... 76 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates...... 30 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ... 77 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 31 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Unsecured Installment Loans ...... 32 Consumers Carrying a Balance ...... 78 Total Account Volumes ...... 33 Auto Loan ...... 79 Total Account Balances ...... 34 Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ..... 80 Average Account Balance ...... 35 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 36 Balance ...... 81 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates...... 37 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ... 82 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 38 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Total Reported New Account Balances ...... 39 Consumers Carrying a Balance ...... 83 Average Reported New Account Balance ...... 40 Mortgages ...... 84 Auto Loan ...... 41 Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ..... 85 Total Account Volumes ...... 42 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Total Account Balances ...... 43 Balance ...... 86 Average Account Balance ...... 44 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ... 87 Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 45 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates...... 46 Consumers Carrying a Balance ...... 88 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 47 Loans Against Property ...... 89 Total Reported New Account Balances ...... 48 Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ..... 90 Average Reported New Account Balance ...... 49 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Mortgage ...... 50 Balance ...... 91 Total Account Volumes ...... 51 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ... 92 Total Account Balances ...... 52 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Average Account Balance ...... 53 Consumers Carrying a Balance ...... 93 Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 54 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates...... 55 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 56 Total Reported New Account Balances ...... 57 Average Reported New Account Balance ...... 58 Loans Against Property ...... 59
Total Account Volumes ...... 60 Total Account Balances ...... 61 Average Account Balance ...... 62 Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 63 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates...... 64 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 65 Total Reported New Account Balances ...... 66 Average Reported New Account Balance ...... 67
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Executive Summary
For purposes of this report, retail lending includes the following products: auto loans, used car loans, home loans, loans against property, personal loans (unsecured installment loans), consumer durable loans, education loans, credit cards (bankcards), and two wheeler loans.
Retail lending continued to grow across all lending products as the number of live accounts grew by 26.2% in Q2 2018 compared to a year earlier in Q2 2017. It is noteworthy that the number of live retail lending accounts crossed the 100 million mark in this quarter. In parallel, new account originations increased by 30.1% in Q1 2018 compared to the same quarter a year earlier, a robust acceleration from the originations growth observed in the year 2017. New account originations are reported a quarter in arrears to account for time lag by lenders in reporting new account originations and to improve the accuracy of originations counts and balances.
India is currently in the midst of a structural transformation from a savings-focused and debt-averse country to a consumption-focused leveraged economy. This transformation is due to multiple factors: demographics, urbanization, rising digitalization and consequent rise of ecommerce, improved access to retail lending, enhanced exposure to the world and within India and resultant emulation effect.
Hence, the broad trend of volume expansion and account balance compression due to the increasing proportion of short-term, low ticket size consumption lending continued to exert its dominance.
Average ticket sizes have fallen for the past three years and volume growth has outstripped aggregate origination balances. This is due to the fact that the share of consumption lending products (credit card, personal loan and consumer durable loan) as a percentage of total origination account volumes has increased from 65.3% in Q1 2016 to 73.5% in Q1 2017 and further on to 74.4% in Q1 2018. Consumption lending products typically have smaller average balances than asset lending products such as housing, auto and two-wheeler loans.
As expected, healthy growth in originations was accompanied by robust growth in overall balances. The aggregate balance of all retail lending products increased by 27.3% over the past year to reach INR 27.9 trillion in Q2 2018. The increase was a result of a 26.2% year-over-year increase in total account volumes accompanied by a small 0.9% growth in average balance per account, for reasons noted above.
As of June 2018, approximately 76.2 million consumers had access to a live retail lending facility – an increase of 23.9% over the previous year. This increase in the
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS number of consumers with access to credit demonstrates that lenders are successfully expanding their retail lending consumer base as opposed to extending additional credit to the same pool of borrowers.
Average retail lending consumer balances increased by around 5.6% from INR 615K in Q2 2017 to INR 649K in Q2 2018. Low double-digit annual increases in average consumer balances of credit cards and personal loans were counterbalanced by continued declines in consumer durables and loans against property and more modest increases in vehicle financing products like auto loans and two wheeler loans as well as mortgages.
From a geographic perspective, the retail lending industry continues to be driven primarily by the urban concentration prevalent in the country. This is amply clear from the fact that the top three states in terms of retail lending – Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka – account for nearly 40% of aggregate balances as well as 32% of the credit active population. To put things into perspective, these three states account for just about a fifth of the overall population of the country.
Another way to look at the urban concentration is to measure the contribution of the eight biggest urban agglomerations in the country – Mumbai, National Capital Region (NCR), Chennai, Kolkata, Hyderabad, Bengaluru, Pune and Ahmedabad – collectively referred to as the Tier-1 cities, to the aggregate retail lending industry.
These Tier-1 cities had a share of 46.5% and 39.3% in aggregate origination balances and origination volumes respectively in Q1 2018. Analysis of the balance sheet from this perspective clearly reveals the overwhelming dominance of the Tier-1 cities. These eight cities together accounted for half of the aggregate retail financing balance sheet in Q2 2018, primarily due to significantly higher share in high value products like mortgages and loans against property (LAP).
Credit cards are the most concentrated product with the Tier-1 cities accounting for around three-fourths of the aggregate balance sheet. Two wheeler loans are probably the most mature product in terms of geographic diversification as the Tier-1 cities’ share is less than one-fourth of the aggregate industry.
Demographics is probably the single most important factor driving the fortunes of an economy as well as the lending market. People in the age group of 30-39 form the biggest segment of the industry,representing 31.6% of the aggregate credit-active population (defined a people having a credit facility outstanding at that point of time). The 40-49 and 20-29 age tiers are the next two biggest segments with shares of 24.0% and 19.3% respectively.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
From the balances perspective, the 40-49 age group is the biggest segment with a balances share of 30.1%, closely followed by the 30-39 age group with a share of 30.0% and 50-59 age group with a share of 20.9%.
Consumers in the 20-29 age group comprise around 8% of total balances – significantly lower than their 19% share in total consumer base. Thus, the age group 20-29 has the lowest average consumer balance of INR 267K – significantly lower than the average balance in the range of INR 600-900K for the other age groups.
These lower average balances for the youngest age group are due to several factors. These consumers are early in their working careers and likely have lower incomes on average, which may limit the amounts they are eligible to borrow. As well, their lending product mix is likely more focused on low-value, high-volume products like consumer durable loans, personal loans, credit cards and two wheeler loans, as opposed to larger ticket housing and auto loans.
Customers aged between 20-49 form the bulk of the market in terms of volumes as well as value and are likely to be the biggest growth drivers of the industry. This is the segment that is likely to witness the fiercest battle for market share by lenders. Deeper understanding of the consumer behavior of these segments is crucial to gaining and safeguarding market share.
In terms of gender dynamics, the industry continues to remain overwhelmingly dominated by men, with a share of more than three-fourths of the aggregate credit active population. It is noteworthy that that women, while far smaller in terms of the total borrowing population, have an average consumer balance of around INR 915 K – significantly higher than the average balance of INR 573K for men. This is largely explained by the fact that mortgages provide a third of all female consumers – largely in the form of joint accounts. The comparatively lower level of women penetration is a significant growth opportunity for industry.
Delinquency rates for most major retail lending products declined or remained relatively stable over the year ended Q2 2018, indicating that consumers continue to do a good job of managing their credit obligations. The exception was loans against property, which saw a year-over-year increase of 65 bps.
In summary, the retail lending industry has continued to expand in a robust and sustainable manner. Account originations and balances have grown significantly over the past year, with particular growth in lower-ticket consumption lending products. More consumers have gained access to credit, while delinquency rates are at controlled levels and have generally remained flat or trended lower.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Bankcard Summary
The significant increase in growth in activity from the first quarter of 2017 onwards indicates that credit cards have been the biggest beneficiaries of the demonetization exercise. The number of consumers with access to credit cards as well as aggregate balances reached all-time high levels. Origination activity has increased at the same time. Balance growth was largely led by consumers in the prime and near prime risk tiers, and delinquencies continued to remain stable.
Q-O-Q Y-O-Y BANKCARD METRICS Q2 2018 CHANGE CHANGE Number of Accounts (Millions) 36.6 6.8% 23.3%
Outstanding Balance (INR Billions) 796 5.8% 42.2%
Average Balance per Consumer (INR '000) 49 1.8% 11.2%
Average Balance per Account (INR '000) 22 -0.9% 15.4%
Number of Consumers Carrying a Balance (Millions) 16.6 3.9% 27.6%
Origination Volumes (Q1 2018) Millions 2.88 2.1% 21.2%
Account-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 0.89% 1 bps 17 bps
Balance-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 1.73% 3 bps 22 bps
Before we proceed with the detailed industry analysis of the bankcard segment, it is important to analyze the ways in which the digital transaction habits of the Indian consumers have changed on account of the demonetization exercise. For the sake of brevity, we will just focus on the 20-month average behavior of the following key metrics (source: RBI) both before and after demonetization:
Average monthly transactions on credit cards at point of sale (POS) terminals increased from 70 million between March 2015 (Pre Demonetization Period) to 117 million between November 2016 and June 2018 (Post Demonetization Period) – a growth of 67%. In parallel, the average monthly transactions of debit cards at POS terminals grew by 171% to 291 million in the same time period. Average monthly spend of credit cards at POS terminals increased by 73% from 217 billion in the pre demonetization period to INR 375 billion in the post demonetization period. Concomitantly, debit cards average monthly spends at POS terminals increased by a whopping 181% to INR 406 billion.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Total spending on credit and debit cards as a percentage of the nominal private final consumption expenditure has increased from around 5.9% in Q3 2016 to an average of 9.1% over the six quarter following demonetization.
Thus, it would be fair to say that demonetization provided a massive boost to the industry and has led to a regime change in the behavior of the consumers. The subsequent high growth of the industry needs to be analyzed from this perspective.
The number of consumers with access to a bankcard grew by 23.3% year-over-year, reaching an all-time high of 36.6 million consumers in Q2 2018. Origination activity has expanded at the same time, with the number of new accounts opened in Q1 2018—the most recent quarterly data available—expanding by around 21% compared to the Q1 2017. After increasing at the rate of around 50% for the four quarters of 2017, growth has finally started moderating on account of the high base effect. However, it is noteworthy that the rate of new cards originations is fast approaching the mark of around 3 million per quarter.
Analysis of originations along the various sources reveals the broad-based nature of growth. Before we proceed, we would like to define the ways in which we classify the various origination sources:
New to Credit (NTC): Consumers opening up a trade line and getting a bureau record for the first time Known to Bank (KTB): Consumers having a bureau record and a pre-existing lending relationship with the bank and opening a trade line with the same bank New to Bank (NTB): Consumers having a bureau record and opening a trade line with the bank for the first time Known to Product (KTP): Consumers opening a trade line for the product for the second or more time New to Product (NTP): Consumers opening a trade line for the product for the first time New to Product Excluding New to Credit (NTP ex NTC): Consumers opening a trade line for the product for the first time and having a bureau record
All the sourcing categories exhibited a healthy growth with NTB and KTP origination volumes increasing by a robust 31% over the corresponding quarter of the previous year. The other categories increased in the range of 11-13% in Y-O-Y terms.
In terms of overall contribution to origination volumes, NTB sourcing provided close to 46% of all new cards issued with KTB providing 30% and NTC providing 24%. The share of NTB sourcing has increased from 42% in Q1 2017 to 46% in Q1 2018.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Multi-carding (issuance of cards to consumers having one or more cards) has become a significant growth driver in the industry. This is amply clear from the fact that roughly 50% of originations were derived from this source in Q1 2018 – rapid acceleration from the 45% number observed in Q1 2017.
The rapid acceleration in originations growth momentum has been fueled by the increasing geographic diversification of the industry. The share of the Tier-1 cities in aggregate origination volumes has declined from 60% in Q1 2016 to around 53% each in Q1 2017 and Q1 2018. However, the industry continues to remain concentrated and there is ample geographic whitespace for growth.
The significant rise in originations has been accompanied by robust balance expansion, as annual bankcard balance growth accelerated from approximately 19% in the year ended Q2 2016 to 30% in Q2 2017 and further to 42% in Q2 2018. Decomposition of the overall balance sheet growth into value (per consumer balance) and volume (number of consumers) components reveals the broad-based nature of this growth. Volume and per consumer balances grew robustly by 24.8% and 13.8% respectively, over the year ended Q2 2018.
Balance sheet growth over the year ended Q1 2018 was driven largely by robust increases within the prime and near prime consumer risk tiers, and comparatively quiescent growth of the prime plus and subprime segments. Similar trends were observed for average consumer balances, where the highest growth rates occurred in the prime and near prime segments.
The percentage of seriously delinquent (90-179 days past due) balances grew in Q-O-Q and Y-O-Y terms by 3 bps and 22 bps respectively to reach the level of 1.7% in Q2 2018. Similarly, the percentage of seriously delinquent (90-179 days past due) accounts grew in Q-O-Q and Y-O-Y terms by 1 bps and 17 bps respectively to reach the level of 0.9% in Q2 2018. Despite these recent increases, delinquency rates for cards remain at relatively low and controlled levels.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Unsecured Installment Loan Summary
Personal loan growth continued unabated as balance growth accelerated throughout 2017 and 2018. Recent origination trends portend solid future growth. The robust health of the market is indicated by the all-time high level of balances and significantly low level of delinquencies. Growth is increasingly coming from the existing consumer base with consumers showing a strong preference for repeat purchase and loyalty. Clear size segmentation of the market for various player segments like PSU, PVT and NBFCs is also continuing apace.
Q-O-Q Y-O-Y UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN METRICS Q2 2018 Change Change Number of Accounts (Millions) 14.2 7.3% 28.3%
Outstanding Balance (INR Billions) 2,954 8.1% 43.1%
Average Balance per Consumer (INR '000) 249 1.1% 13.9%
Average Balance per Account (INR '000) 208 0.7% 11.5%
Number of Consumers Carrying a Balance (Millions) 13.7 6.8% 28.2%
Origination Volumes (Q1 2018) Millions 1.91 11.2% 44.9%
Average New Account Balance (Q1 2018) (INR '000) 267 -4.8% -7.4%
Account-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 1.00% -2 bps -22 bps
Balance-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 0.56% 4 bps -13 bps
Personal loan is one of the fastest growing segments of the retail lending market. In consonance with aggregate market trends, growth accelerated considerably in the later part of 2017 with origination amount (new loan balances) Y-O-Y growth increasing at a robust 44% and 65% in Q3 2017 and Q4 2017 respectively. The trend continued in the first quarter of 2018 with growth moderating to still robust levels of 34% on account of the high base in Q1 2017.
Growth has increasingly being driven by higher volumes of new loan accounts opened. Account origination growth rates accelerated throughout the year, with year-over-year growth rates increasing from 8% in Q1 2017 to 38% in Q3 2017 and accelerating further to 45% in Q1 2018.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
The continued strength in volumes driven by the comparatively higher growth in smaller loans has meant that the year-over-year growth in average ticket size of new loans has slowed throughout the year, from 13.1% in Q1 2017 to 4.3% in Q3 2017 and a decline of 7.4% in Q1 2018.
Personal loan (along with consumer durable loan) is a product which is characterized by repeat purchase and high consumer loyalty. This is amply clear from the analysis of the behavior of the various origination sources.
The share of KTB sourcing in aggregate disbursements increased from an already high level of 61% in Q1 2016 to around 64% over the last five quarters ending Q1 2018. We noticed a similar pattern in terms of volume contribution as well.
Concurrently, the share of KTP sourcing i.e. contribution by consumers going in for the second or more trade has also increased to around 60% in amount terms and around 52% in volume terms in the past five quarters.
It is important to understand that the relative increase in share of KTB does not imply that the other two sources of originations – NTC and NTB – are not growing. In fact, disbursements through NTC and NTB origination sources grew year-over-year by 20% and 42%, respectively, in Q1 2018.
The robust increase in the aggregate market has been accompanied by change in market share of the various market players as well as emerging segmentation of the market in terms ticket sizes. NBFCs have started focusing on the bottom end of the ticket size spectrum especially loans below INR 200K. The NBFC segment has managed to grow its volume share (share of loan originations) of the market for sub- 200K loans from 21% in Q1 2016 to 31% in Q1 2017 and further on to 62% in Q1 2018. As a result, the NBFC segment average ticket size has consistently declined from INR 183K in Q1 2017 to INR 119K in Q1 2018.
In contrast, the banks (both PSU and PVT) have shifted their focus to the mid to the large segments. The PVT Banks have been significantly active in the loans above INR 700K segment with a volume and value share of around 55-60% in the past few quarters. The continued focus on the high end of the market has meant that their average ticket size has consistently increased from INR 330K in Q1 2016 to INR 363K in Q1 2017 and further on to INR 395K in Q1 2018.
The PSU segment has behaved in a similar manner with average ticket size accelerating even faster from INR 231K in Q1 2016 to INR 277K in Q1 2017 and further on to INR 343K in Q1 2018. The PSU segment is focused on loans between INR 200-
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
700K and have a share in excess of 50% in both value and volume terms in that segment.
As expected, the balance sheet has expanded in line with the trends observed with respect to originations. Aggregate balance sheet has expanded by a CAGR of 34% from around INR 1.2 trillion in June 2015 to INR 2.9 trillion in June 2018. Overall balance sheet growth has been driven by broad-based increase in both the number of consumers growth of 23% and per-consumer balance growth of 10%.
The 43% Y-O-Y growth in aggregate balances in Q2 2018 was driven by a 28% increase in number of consumers as well as 14% in average consumer balances. The fact that average consumer balances growth has accelerated from 7% in June 2017 to 13% in December 2017 and further on to 14% in June 2018 should be monitored carefully as repeat purchase and customer loyalty dynamics have the potential to substantially accelerate the leverage dynamics. The increase in average consumer balances is partly being driven by the increase in the number of concurrent loans being serviced by a consumer. Sustained increase in average consumer balances of this magnitude over the next couple of years could be a harbinger of the over-heating of the market.
The vigorous growth rate of aggregate balances has resulted in significant decline in the delinquency rates for all industry participants expect the NBFC sector. The percentage of seriously delinquent (90-179 days past due) accounts declined in Q-O-Q and Y-O-Y terms by 2 bps and 22 bps respectively to reach the level of 1.0% in Q2 2018. Concomitantly, the percentage of seriously delinquent (90-179 days past due) balances declined in YOY terms by 13 bps to 0.56%.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Auto Loan Summary
Auto loan originations have resumed growth after a brief hiatus in Q4 2016 and Q1 2017, as underlying demand for autos has picked up due to improvements in consumer demand and economic growth. Balance growth has been in line with originations. Aggregate balance growth has been driven by a combination of healthy increases in both accounts and average balances. The resumption of growth has been accompanied by significant improvements in delinquency metrics.
Q-O-Q Y-O-Y AUTO LOAN METRICS Q2 2018 Change Change Number of Accounts (Millions) 9.5 4.7% 19.0%
Outstanding Balance (INR Billions) 3,498 6.2% 29.4%
Average Balance per Consumer (INR '000) 398 1.8% 7.8%
Average Balance per Account (INR '000) 368 1.4% 8.8%
Number of Consumers Carrying a Balance (Millions) 13.0 5.7% 18.8%
Origination Volumes (Q1 2018) Millions 0.79 -7.6% 9.2%
Average New Account Balance (Q1 2018) (INR '000) 557 1.2% -0.1%
Account-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 4.42% 7 bps -127 bps
Balance-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 2.83% 5 bps -72 bps
For the purpose of analysis here, auto loans include both new car loans and used car loans. Auto loan originations have picked up steam after a lull experienced in Q4 2016 and Q1 2017 as the strengthening of the economic recovery has translated into robust demand for new cars. New car sales have bounced back strongly from a decline of 6.0% in Q4 2016 to a growth of 9.4% in Q4 2017. Growth has further accelerated to 13.9% in Q1 2018 and on to 24.3% in Q2 2018.
Concomitantly, year-over-year originations (new accounts opened) growth has increased from 4.0% in Q4 2016, compared to the prior year quarter, to 13.9% in Q4 2017. Growth moderated from those levels to 9.2% in Q1 2018. In parallel, total new auto loan disbursements Y-O-Y growth also moderated from 19.0% in Q4 2017 to 9.1% in Q1 2018.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Aggregate disbursement growth of 9.1% in Q1 2018 was powered by a healthy 9.2% increase in account volumes and a measely decline of 0.1% in average ticket size.
Analysis of the origination from a sourcing perspective reveals broad stability. The share of the new-to-credit (NTC) segment in the aggregate origination volumes has declined modestly from 33.1% in Q1 2016 to 30.9% in Q1 2017 and further to 30.4% in Q1 2018. The share of KTB in origination volumes has behaved in a similar manner with a decline from 33.7% in Q1 2017 to 32.8% in Q1 2018.
In contrast, NTB sourcing has witnessed an increase in share from 35.4% to 36.8%. In terms of customer familiarity with the product, the market is dominated by first time borrowers, with a share of around two-thirds of total new account volumes. This ratio has remained broadly stable over the past few years.
Industry growth in the past couple of years is being driven by the upper end of the ticket size spectrum along with a steady increase in ticket size, due to ongoing customer preference towards larger size sedans and SUVs. The share of loans with a ticket size greater than INR 0.6 million has increased from 24.8% in Q1 2016 to 29.2% in Q1 2017 and further to 30.7% in Q1 2018. In the same vein, the share of these loans in the aggregate industry disbursements has increased from 51.2% in Q1 2016 to 57.6% in Q1 2017 and 59.9% in Q1 2018.
Like personal loans, this industry is also witnessing increasing segmentation on the basis of ticket sizes. The PVT players have been the biggest beneficiary of the trend of high growth of loans with ticket size greater than INR 0.6 million. Even though the share of the PVT segment in origination volumes has declined by around 280 bps Y-O-Y to 33.1% in Q1 2018, their share of the aggregate disbursements have increased by 10 bps over the same time period to 40.6%.
The NBFC segment has managed to increase its overall share of disbursements from 29.4% in Q1 2017 to 32.5% in Q1 2018 by focusing largely on the auto loans having a ticket size less than INR 0.3 million. Their share of this segment of the market in terms of origination volumes has increased from 42.6% in Q1 2017 to 58.3% in Q1 2018. In parallel, the share of disbursements has also increased from 42.9% in Q1 2017 to 57.6% in Q1 2018.
The PSU segment has increased its focus on serving the middle of the ticket size range and tend to derive more than three-fourths of their business from loans with ticket size between INR 0.3 – 1.0 million.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
From a geographic perspective, growth is increasingly being driven by geographic expansion with the origination volumes share of the Tier-1 cities falling from 32.7% in Q1 2016 to 31.9% in Q1 2017 and 30.5% in Q1 2018.
Balance sheet growth has accelerated rapidly from the start of 2017 onwards with Y-O- Y balance growth increasing from 18.5% in Q2 2017 to 29.4% in Q2 2018. The aggregate balance growth can be further decomposed into consumer growth of 18.8% and average consumer balance growth of 7.8%. The fact that bulk of the growth comes from a widening pool of consumers (as opposed to increasing balance per consumer) augurs well for the future sustainability of the growth dynamics.
Robust total balance growth has been accompanied by stability in terms of share of the various risk tiers. Prime plus and prime consumers account for around two-thirds of the aggregate balances and their share has increased modestly in the past couple of years. Simultaneously, the share of near prime and subprime balances has trended down.
Modest increase in the share of high score tiers along with resumption of growth has translated into a significant decline in delinquency in both balance and account level terms. The percentage of accounts seriously delinquent (90+ days past due) declined significantly—127 bps—to 4.42% in Q2 2018. In parallel, the balance-level delinquency (90+ DPD) declined by 72 bps on Y-o-Y basis to 2.83%.
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Mortgage Summary
The mortgage market continued to show decent performance in the face of various structural issues plaguing the real estate industry. Originations bounced back from the lows seen in Q4 2016 and accelerated throughout the year due to resumption of genuine buyer demand, increased mortgage supply from the lending industry and ongoing refinancing activity. In consonance, balance sheet continued to expand. However, delinquencies edged up in both balance and account terms.
Q-O-Q Y-O-Y MORTGAGE LOAN METRICS Q2 2018 Change Change Number of Accounts (Millions) 12.3 5.2% 25.5%
Outstanding Balance (INR Billions) 16,225 6.5% 25.5%
Average Balance per Consumer (INR '000) 1,694 1.0% 3.3%
Average Balance per Account (INR '000) 1,316 1.2% 0.0%
Number of Consumers Carrying a Balance (Millions) 17.1 7.6% 27.1%
Origination Volumes (Q1 2018) Millions 0.65 13.5% 17.2%
Average New Account Balance (Q1 2018) (INR '000) 2,232 2.3% 6.8%
Account-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 2.94% 34 bps -3 bps
Balance-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 1.82% 24 bps 16 bps
The mortgage market exhibited resilience in face of the various structural issues plaguing the industry like the slowdown in house price inflation, continued high inventory levels, enhanced regulation in the form of RERA, and continued deterioration of the financial health of the real estate companies due to ongoing funding and liquidity issues.
In spite of these adverse industry developments, origination activity in both volume and value terms started rebounding from Q2 2017 onwards. The Y-O-Y growth of origination amount has increased significantly from 2.9% in Q1 2017 to 25.2% in Q1 2018. Early indications point towards further acceleration in Q2 2018.
Aggregate new account disbursement Y-o-Y growth of 25.2% in Q1 2018 was supported by an 17.2% increase in new account originations as well as a 6.8% increase in per-account balance.
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In terms of origination sourcing, the new-to-bank (NTB) segment accounted for slightly over a third of aggregate origination volumes and half of the sanctioned amount. The significant and growing share of this origination source indicates the price sensitivity and refinancing momentum in the market.
The fact that the NTC segment accounts for around 40% of origination volumes and 24% of sanctioned amount in Q1 2018 shows the significant average ticket size differential between the various origination sources. As against a ticket size of INR 2.6 million and INR 2.4 million for NTB and KTB channels, NTC sourcing channel has a ticket size of just INR 1.2 million only.
Similar trends are observed for first time mortgage borrowers as well. First time mortgage customers have a volume share of 73% and amount share of 60% in Q1 2018. Thus, their average ticket size of INR 1.7 million is significantly less than the INR 2.9 million ticket size for KTP customers.
In terms of various institutional segments, growth is increasingly being driven by the NBFCs especially the Housing Finance Companies (HFCs). The NBFC segment (includes HFCs) has managed to increase its market share of the aggregate sanctioned amount from 41.1% in Q1 2016 to 43.9% in Q1 2017 and further on to 48.1% in Q1 2018. Bulk of the growth of this segment can be attributed to the loss of market share suffered by the PSU segment.
In contrast to personal loans and auto loans, growth for the NBFC segment has been much broad-based in terms of ticket size. In fact, growth is increasingly being driven by larger ticket sizes and the average ticket size of the NBFC segment has increased from INR 2.1 million in Q1 2017 to INR 2.3 million in Q1 2018.
The PSU segment is the biggest player in the sub INR 2.0 million ticket size segment and they derive close to 70% of all their origination volumes through these loans. The average ticket size for the PSU, NBFC and the PVT segments in Q1 2018 came in at INR 1.8 million, INR 2.3 million and INR 3.4 million respectively.
The difference in the average ticket size is a clear reflection of the market focus with the PVT players focusing on the top end and the PSU at the low end of the ticket spectrum. The NBFCs (including the HFCs) tend to have a share in excess of 50% for all loans except loans with a ticket size below INR 1 million.
In terms of geographical expansion, the market continues to be moderately diversified with the Tier-1 cities having a share of 36.6% in origination volumes and 52.6% in origination amount in Q1 2018. Geographical expansion has increased as the share of
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Tier-1 cities in both volume and value terms has declined by around 100 bps over the past one year ending Q1 2018.
The ongoing moderation in house prices has meant that the aggregate balance sheet expansion has been led increasingly by growth in the number of consumers. Balance sheet growth of 25.5% in Q2 2018 was driven by a 27.1% increase in consumers and 3.3% increase in average consumer balance.
From a risk perspective, the market remains overwhelmingly dominated by consumers in the prime plus and prime risk tier segments, with a 58% and 21% share of aggregate balances, respectively. Over the past several quarters, there has been a marginal shift in the share of balances held by consumers in prime plus category with the share declining by around 280 bps from Q2 2017 to Q2 2018.
This trend towards lower risk borrowers has had some impact on delinquency rates. Account-level delinquency rates (90+ DPD) increased by 34 bps in Y-O-Y terms, to 2.94%, in Q2 2018, while balance-level delinquencies increased by 24 bps to 1.82%.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Loans Against Property Summary
The mortgage sector exhibited resilience in face of the various structural issues plaguing the real estate industry. Originations bounced back from the lows seen in Q4 2016 and accelerated throughout the year due to resumption of genuine buyer demand, increased supply from the industry and ongoing refinancing activity. In consonance, balance sheet continued to expand and delinquencies remained stable at low levels.
Q-O-Q Y-O-Y LOANS AGAINST PROPERTY METRICS Q2 2018 Change Change Number of Accounts (Millions) 1.5 10.3% 20.7%
Outstanding Balance (INR Billions) 3,231 11.9% 23.4%
Average Balance per Consumer (INR '000) 3,637 0.5% -0.4%
Average Balance per Account (INR '000) 2,146 1.5% 2.2%
Number of Consumers Carrying a Balance (Millions) 2.5 9.9% 28.7%
Origination Volumes (Q1 2018) Millions 0.15 15.0% 33.6%
Average New Account Balance (Q1 2018) (INR '000) 2,633 3.8% -11.1%
Account-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 3.48% 71 bps 58 bps
Balance-Level Delinquency Rate (90+ DPD) 3.04% 42 bps 65 bps
The Loans Against Property (LAP) market continued to grow at a robust pace as origination amount (new account balances) YOY increased from 7.8% in Q1 2017 to 18.8% in Q1 2018. The continued growth in the LAP market has been underpinned by the broadening of the ticket size ranges and the consequent increase in addressable consumers.
This is amply clear from the fact that volume growth i.e. CAGR of number of accounts over the past couple of years ending Q1 2018 of 20.6% has been significantly higher than the origination amount growth of 13.1% in the same time period. Consequently, average ticket sizes have compressed at a CAGR of 6.2% from INR 3.0 million in Q1 2016 to INR 2.6 million in Q1 2018.
Origination growth in Q1 2018 was underpinned by broad-based growth across the various origination sources with KTB, NTB and NTC account volumes growing by an
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS impressive 23%, 38%, and 49% respectively. It is noteworthy that the growth in origination volumes is accompanied by an increase in the share of the NTC account volumes from 21% in Q1 2017 to 24% in Q1 2018.
Market growth has also been sustained by continued growth in refinancing volumes. The importance of this source of growth can be inferred by looking at the share of KTP volumes across the accounts and amount dimensions. KTP sourcing had a share of 52% in the aggregate amount origination in Q1 2018 – significantly higher than the 23% share of the same in the overall account volumes. The average ticket size of this segment at INR 8.3 million is higher than the average ticket size of other channels by a factor of two to three times. Thus, repeat purchase and refinancing is a key factor driving the growth of the market.
The market continues to be heavily focused on the Tier-1 cities with slightly over half of the disbursements coming in these cities along with an account share of slightly over a third of the market in Q1 2018. The average ticket size in the Tier-1 cities is 1.5 times the average ticket size operating in the segment.
NBFCs (including HFCs) have continued to gain market share at the expense of the PVT and the PSU players. The NBFC market share in origination amount terms increased from 52% in Q1 2017 to 56% in Q1 2018. The increase in the share in volume terms was even more impressive as it increased from 67% in Q1 2017 to 73% in Q1 2018.
Robust growth in originations was accompanied by similar trends on the balance sheet as overall balance sheet expanded by 23% in Q2 2018 to reach the level of INR 3.2 trillion. The balance sheet growth was driven by a 29% increase in number of consumers and 0.4% decline in average consumer balances.
In terms of risk tier distribution, the market continues to be dominated by the prime and prime plus risk tiers having a share of slightly over 70%. However, there has been an increase in the share of the near prime and the subprime risk tiers from 26% in Q2 2017 to 27% in Q2 2018.
In parallel, there has been an increase in delinquency from both amount and account perspective. Account-level delinquency rates (90+ DPD) increased by 71 bps in Y-O-Y terms, to 3.48%, in Q2 2018, while balance-level delinquencies increased by 42 bps to 3.04%.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Report Overview and Definitions
The TransUnion CIBIL Industry Insights Report is a quarterly overview summarizing data and trends and providing insights on the Indian consumer lending industry.
All trends originate from TransUnion CIBIL’s consumer credit database of more than 600 million files, which profiles nearly every credit-active consumer in India. The report analyzes all accounts reported to TransUnion CIBIL that have been verified in the past 10 years.
The report provides a full view of all data records (not a sample) over the nine most recent quarters.
Both account-level and consumer-level views of key metrics and trends are included in the report.
The report covers data and trends for the national population overall, as well as breakdowns within consumer credit-score risk tiers.
The report analyzes individual consumer loan product types—credit card i.e. bankcard, auto, mortgage, loans against property and personal loans i.e. unsecured personal installment loans—while looking at aggregate views of all important retail lending products.
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Risk Tier Definitions
RISK TIER BORROWER TRANSUNIION CIBIL V1 SCORE RANGE
Prime plus 801–900
Prime 751-800
Near prime 651–750
Subprime 300–650
Note: Non-prime refers to the 300 to 750 range, the union of near prime and subprime.
Product Definitions
PRODUCT DEFINITION CATEGORY
Bankcard Revolving account, open account or line of credit reported by a bank; loan types include credit card, business credit card, secured credit card and cards with no preset spending limit (flexible spending)
Auto Loans reported as an auto loan or auto lease. Includes auto loans provided for financing of pre-owned cars
Mortgage Mortgage loans and installment (non-revolving) loans with a loan type including home equity, home improvement, real estate junior lien or second mortgage
Unsecured installment Installment (non-revolving) loans with a loan type including loans unsecured, note loan and consolidation
Loans Against Installment (non-revolving) loans with a loan type including Property loans against property
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
Data Definitions
DATA CATEGORY DEFINITION
Total account volumes Total number of accounts that are open and have a reporting with the bureau in the last six months, at quarter end
Total account balances Total Rupee amount of accounts that are open and have a reporting with the bureau in the last six months, at quarter end
Average account Total account balances, divided by the total account balance volumes, at quarter end
Unit delinquency rates Total number of delinquent open accounts at quarter end, divided by the total account volumes
Rupee delinquency Total Rupee amount of delinquent open accounts at quarter rates end, divided by total account balances
Total new account Total number of new accounts reported opened during the volumes calendar quarter
Total new account Sanctioned Rupee amount of new accounts reported balances opened during the calendar quarter
Average new account Total new account balances, divided by the number of new balance accounts reported opened during the calendar quarter
Number of consumers Total number of consumers with access to at least one with access to an active open revolving-type account, including authorized account trade users, at quarter end
Number of consumers Total number of consumers with at least one open or with a balance present closed account with a balance greater than zero, not including authorized users, at quarter end
Percentage of Total number of consumers with at least one open account borrowers with a past-due balance greater than zero (90+ days past with a delinquent due), divided by the number of consumers with at least one balance open account, at quarter end
Average number of Total number of open accounts, divided by the total number accounts per consumer of consumers with at least one open account, at quarter end
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REPORT OVERVIEW AND DEFINITIONS
DATA CATEGORY DEFINITION
Average total balance Total rupee balances of all open accounts, divided by the per consumer, of number of consumers with at least one open account with a consumers balance, at quarter end with a balance
Report Generation Timing
Each quarter’s data and calculations are generated from the data available on the last day of the quarter. There is typically a time lag between the date when a new account is opened and when lenders report new accounts to credit reporting companies. As a result of this time lag, a significant number of new accounts opened during a quarter may not yet be reported as of the quarter end date. To enable more accurate and complete reporting of new accounts, we measure all new account counts and balances in this report one quarter in arrears. With this approach, the quarter prior to the current report date reflects the most recent data.
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Bankcard
Bankcard ...... 25 Total Account Volumes ...... 26 Total Account Balances ...... 27 Average Account Balance ...... 28 Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 29 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates ...... 30 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 31
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Total Account Volumes
Total Volume of All Active Bankcards 38
36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS) 20 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018
QUARTER
Active Bankcards, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 7
6
5
4 UNTS (MILLIONS)
3
2
1 NUMBER OF ACCO 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Total Account Balances
Total Balances of All Active Bankcards 850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 450 400 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Bankcard Balances, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 350 S 300
250
200
150
100
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLION 50
0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Average Account Balance
Average Balance of All Active Bankcards 23
22
21
20
19
18
AVG. AVG. BALANCES IN INR '000 17
16 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Balance of all Active Bankcards, by Risk Tier
Q2-2017 Q2-2018 40
35
30
25
20
15
10 AVG. AVG. BALANCE IN INR '000 5
0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates
Unit Delinquency Rates on All Bankcards
30+ DPD 90+ DPD 3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
% OF ACCOUNTS PAST % OF ACCOUNTS PAST DUE 0.5%
0.0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates
Rupee Delinquency Rates on All Bankcards
30+ DPD 90+ DPD 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5%
% OF RUPEES PAST % OF RUPEES PAST DUE 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
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Total Reported New Account Originations
Total Number of New Bankcards 3.0
2.8
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
MBER OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS) 1.6 NU 1.4 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Unsecured Installment Loans
Unsecured Installment Loans ...... 32 Total Account Volumes ...... 33 Total Account Balances ...... 34 Average Account Balance ...... 35 Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 36 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates ...... 37 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 38 Total Reported New Account Balances ...... 39 Average Reported New Account Balance ...... 40
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Total Account Volumes
Total Volume of All Active Unsecured Installment Loans 15
14
13
12
11 R OF ACCOUNTS R OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS) 10 NUMBE 9 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Unsecured Installment Loans, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 7 )
6
5
4
3
2
1
NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Total Account Balances
Total Balances of All Active Unsecured Installment Loans 3,100
2,900
2,700
2,500
2,300
2,100
1,900
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 1,700
1,500 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Unsecured Installment Loan Balances, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 200
0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Average Account Balance
Average Balance of All Active Unsecured Installment Loans 210
205
200
195
190
185
180 G. BALANCES IN INR '000 175 AV
170 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Balance of all Active Unscured Installment Loans, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 250
200
150
100
50 AVG. AVG. BALANCE IN INR '000
0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates
Unit Delinquency Rates on All Unscured Installment Loan Accounts 30+ DPD 90+ DPD 3.5%
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
% OF ACCOUNTS PAST % OF ACCOUNTS PAST DUE 0.5%
0.0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates
Rupee Delinquency Rates on All Unsecured Installment Loan Accounts 30+ DPD 90+ DPD 3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0% % OF RUPEES PAST % OF RUPEES PAST DUE
0.5%
0.0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Total Reported New Account Originations
Total Number of New Unsecured Installment Loans 2.00 1.90
1.80 1.70 1.60
1.50 COUNTS (MILLIONS) 1.40 1.30
1.20
1.10 NUMBER OF AC 1.00 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Reported New Account Balances
Total Balances of All New Unsecured Installment Loans 550
500
450
400
350
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 300
250 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Average Reported New Account Balance
Average Balance of All New Unsecured Installment Loans 300
295
290
285
280
275
270 ALANCES ALANCES IN INR '000 265
AVG. AVG. B 260
255
250 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Auto Loan
Auto Loan ...... 41 Total Account Volumes ...... 42 Total Account Balances ...... 43 Average Account Balance ...... 44 Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 45 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates ...... 46 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 47 Total Reported New Account Balances ...... 48 Average Reported New Account Balance ...... 49
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Account Volumes
Total Volume of All Active Auto Loans 10.0
9.5
9.0
8.5
8.0 R OF ACCOUNTS R OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS)
7.5 NUMBE 7.0 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Auto Loans, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 3.5 NS) 3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5 NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIO 0.0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Account Balances
Total Balances of All Active Auto Loans 3,600
3,400
3,200
3,000
2,800
2,600
2,400
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 2,200
2,000 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Auto Loan Balances, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1,400
1,200 NS
1,000
800
600
400
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIO 200
0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Average Account Balance
Average Balance of All Active Auto Loans 380 370 360 350 340 330 320 310 300 AVG. AVG. BALANCES IN INR '000 290 280 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Balance of All Active Auto Loan Balances, by Risk Tier
Q2-2017 Q2-2018 450 400
R '000 350 300 250 200 150
AVG. AVG. BALANCE IN 100 50 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates
Unit Delinquency Rates on All Auto Loan Accounts
30+ DPD 90+ DPD 14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4% % OF ACCOUNTS PAST % OF ACCOUNTS PAST DUE
2%
0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates
Rupee Delinquency Rates on All Auto Loan Accounts 30+ DPD 90+ DPD 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5%
4%
3% % OF RUPEES PAST % OF RUPEES PAST DUE 2% 1%
0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Reported New Account Originations
Total Number of New Auto Loans
0.90
0.85
0.80
0.75
0.70
F ACCOUNTS F ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS) 0.65
0.60
NUMBER O 0.55
0.50 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Reported New Account Balances
Total Balances of New Auto Loans
480
460
440
420
400
380
360
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 340
320
300 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Average Reported New Account Balance
Average Balance of New Auto Loan Consumers
580
570
560
550
CES IN INR '000 540
530
AVG. AVG. BALAN 520
510
500 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Mortgage
Mortgage ...... 50 Total Account Volumes ...... 51 Total Account Balances ...... 52 Average Account Balance ...... 53 Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 54 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates ...... 55 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 56 Total Reported New Account Balances ...... 57 Average Reported New Account Balance ...... 58
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–MORTGAGE
Total Account Volumes
Total Volume of All Active Mortgages 12.5
12.0
11.5
11.0
10.5
10.0
ER OF ACCOUNTS ER OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS) 9.5
NUMB 9.0 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Mortgages, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 8
7 IONS)
6
5
4
3
2
1
NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS (MILL 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–MORTGAGE
Total Account Balances
Total Balances of All Active Mortgages 17,000
16,000
15,000
14,000
13,000
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 12,000
11,000 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Mortgage Balances, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 1,000 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–MORTGAGE
Average Account Balance
Average Balance of All Active Mortgages 1,340
1,320
1,300
1,280
1,260
1,240
AVG. AVG. BALANCES IN INR '000 1,220
1,200 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Balance of All Active Mortgages, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1,600
00 1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400 AVG. AVG. BALANCE IN INR '0 200
0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–MORTGAGE
Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates
Unit Delinquency Rates on All Mortgage Accounts 30+ DPD 90+ DPD 9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2% % OF ACCOUNTS PAST % OF ACCOUNTS PAST DUE 1%
0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–MORTGAGE
Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates
Rupee Delinquency Rates on All Mortgage Accounts 30+ DPD 90+ DPD 6%
5%
4%
3%
2% % OF RUPEES PAST % OF RUPEES PAST DUE 1%
0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–MORTGAGE
Total Reported New Account Originations
Total Number of New Mortgages
0.70
0.65
0.60
0.55
0.50 ER OF ACCOUNTS ER OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS)
0.45 NUMB
0.40 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
56
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–MORTGAGE
Total Reported New Account Balances
Total Balances of New Mortgages 1,500
1,400
1,300
1,200
1,100
1,000 BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 900
800 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
57
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–MORTGAGE
Average Reported New Account Balance
Average Balance of New Mortgages
2,400
2,300
2,200
2,100
2,000 ALANCES ALANCES IN INR '000
1,900 AVG. AVG. B
1,800
1,700 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
58
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Loans Against Property
Total Account Volumes ...... 60 Total Account Balances ...... 61 Average Account Balance ...... 62 Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates ...... 63 Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates ...... 64 Total Reported New Account Originations ...... 65 Total Reported New Account Balances ...... 66 Average Reported New Account Balance ...... 67
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
59
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Total Account Volumes
Total Volume of All Active Loans Against Property 1.6
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.0 R OF ACCOUNTS R OF ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS)
0.9 NUMBE 0.8 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Loans Against Property, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 0.7
IONS) 0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS (MILL 0.0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
60
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Total Account Balances
Total Balances of All Active Loans Against Property 3,400
3,200
3,000
2,800
2,600
2,400
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 2,200
2,000 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Loans Against Property Balances, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1,400
1,200 NS
1,000
800
600
400
BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIO 200
0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
61
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Average Account Balance
Average Balance of All Active Loans Against Property 2,350
2,300
2,250
2,200
2,150
2,100
2,050
AVG. AVG. BALANCES IN INR '000 2,000
1,950 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Active Loans Against Property Balances, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 2,500
2,400 000
2,300
2,200
2,100
AVG. AVG. BALANCE IN INR ' 2,000
1,900 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
62
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Distribution of Unit Delinquency Rates
Unit Delinquency Rates on All Loans Against Property Accounts
30+ DPD 90+ DPD 9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
% OF ACCOUNTS PAST % OF ACCOUNTS PAST DUE 2%
1%
0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
63
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Distribution of Rupee Delinquency Rates
Rupee Delinquency Rates on All Loans Against Property Accounts 30+ DPD 90+ DPD 8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3% % OF RUPEES PAST % OF RUPEES PAST DUE 2%
1%
0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
64
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ACCOUNT-LEVEL INSIGHTS–UNSECURED INSTALLMENT LOAN
Total Reported New Account Originations
Total Number of New Loans Against Property
0.16
0.15
0.14
0.13
0.12
0.11
0.10 F ACCOUNTS F ACCOUNTS (MILLIONS) 0.09
0.08
NUMBER O 0.07
0.06 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
65
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Total Reported New Account Balances
Total Balances of All New Loans Against Property
450
400
350
300 BALANCES BALANCES IN INR BILLIONS 250
200 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
66
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Average Reported New Account Balance
Average Balance of New Loans Against Property
3,200
3,000
2,800
2,600 ANCES ANCES IN INR '000
2,400 AVG. AVG. BAL 2,200
2,000 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 QUARTER
67
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Bankcard
Total Number of Consumers with Access to an Active Trade 69 Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ...... 70 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance .... 71 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ...... 72 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 73
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
68
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Total Number of Consumers with Access to an Active Trade
Total Number of Consumers With an Active Bankcard
26
24
22
20
18
BER OF CONSUMERS (MILLIONS) 16 NUM 14 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Total Number of Consumers with an active Bankcard, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 10
IONS) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
NUMBER OF CONSUMERS (MILL 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
69
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance
Total Number of Consumers With a Bankcard Balance
17
16
15
14
13
F CONSUMERS (MILLIONS) 12
11
NUMBER O 10 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Total Number of Consumers with a Bankcard Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 7 NS) 6
5
4
3
2
1
NUMBER OF CONSUMERS (MILLIO 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
70
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance
Consumer Delinquency Rates on Bankcards
90+ DPD 1.2%
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4% OF BORROWERS PAST DUE
% 0.2%
0.0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
71
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer
Average Number of Bankcards Per Consumer
1.56 1.55 1.54 1.53 1.52 1.51 1.50
NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS 1.49
AVG. AVG. 1.48 1.47 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Number of Bankcards per Consumer, by Risk Tier
Q2-2017 Q2-2018 2.00 1.80 TS 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40
AVG. AVG. NUMBER OF ACCOUN 0.20 0.00 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
72
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–BANKCARD
Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance
Average Total Bankcard Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance
) 50
48
46
BALANCE BALANCE (INR '000 44
42
40
AVG. AVG. CONSUMER 38 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Total Bankcard Loan Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 80 0)
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0 AVG. AVG. CONSUMER BALANCE (INR '00 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
73
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Unsecured Installment Loan
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ...... 75 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance .... 76 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ...... 77 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 78
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
74
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance
Total Number of Consumers With an Unsecured Installment Loan Balance 14.0 13.5 13.0 12.5 12.0 11.5 11.0 10.5 10.0
MBER OF CONSUMERS (MILLIONS) 9.5
NU 9.0 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Total Number of Consumers with an Unsecured Installment Loan Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 7
6
(MILLIONS) 5
4
3
2
1
NUMBER OF CONSUMERS 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
75
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance
Consumer Delinquency Rates on Unsecured Installment Loan Accounts 90+ DPD 1.6%
1.4%
1.2%
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
OF BORROWERS PAST OF BORROWERS PAST DUE 0.4% % 0.2%
0.0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
76
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer
Average Number of Unsecured Installment Loan Accounts Per Consumer 1.19
1.18
1.17
1.16
1.15
1.14
1.13
VG. NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS 1.12 A 1.11 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Number of Unsecured Installment Loan Accounts per Consumer, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1.30
1.25 OUNTS 1.20
1.15
1.10
1.05 AVG. AVG. NUMBER OF ACC 1.00 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
77
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Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance
Average Total Unsecured Installment Loan Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 260
250
240
230
220
ONSUMER BALANCE ONSUMER BALANCE (INR '000) 210
AVG. AVG. C 200 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Total Unsecured Installment Loan Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance, by Risk Tier
Q2-2017 Q2-2018 300
250
200
150
100
50 . CONSUMER BALANCE (INR '000) AVG 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
78
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Auto Loan
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ...... 80 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance .... 81 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ...... 82 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 83
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
79
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance
Total Number of Consumers With an Auto Loan Balance 13.5
13.0
12.5
12.0
11.5
11.0
10.5
10.0
9.5 UMBER OF CONSUMERS (MILLIONS)
N 9.0 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Total Number of Consumers with an Auto Loan Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 4.5 S) 4.0
3.5
3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5
1.0 0.5
NUMBER OF CONSUMERS (MILLION 0.0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
80
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance
Consumer Delinquency Rates on Auto Loan Accounts 90+ DPD 12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
OF BORROWERS PAST DUE 2% %
0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
81
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer
Average Number of Auto Loan Accounts Per Consumer 1.13
1.12
1.11
1.10
1.09
G. NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS 1.08 AV
1.07 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Number of Auto Loan Accounts per Consumer, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1.25
UNTS 1.20
1.15
1.10
1.05
AVG. AVG. NUMBER OF ACCO 1.00
0.95 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
82
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Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance
Average Total Auto Loan Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 410 00) 400
390
380
370 R BALANCE R BALANCE (INR '0 360
350
340
AVG. AVG. CONSUME 330 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Total Auto Loan Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 450
R '000) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50
AVG. AVG. CONSUMER BALANCE (IN 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
83
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Mortgages
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ...... 85 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance .... 86 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ...... 87 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 88
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
84
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance
Total Number of Consumers With a Mortgage Balance 18
17
16
15
14
13
MBER OF CONSUMERS (MILLIONS) 12 NU 11 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Total Number of Consumers with a Mortgage Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 10 9
MILLIONS) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 NUMBER OF CONSUMERS ( 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
85
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance
Consumer Delinquency Rates on Mortgage Accounts 90+ DPD 4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0% OF BORROWERS PAST DUE % 0.5%
0.0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
86
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer
Average Number of Mortgage Accounts Per Consumer 1.23 1.22 1.21 1.20 1.19 1.18 1.17 1.16 1.15
AVG. AVG. NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS 1.14 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Number of Mortgage Accounts per Consumer, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1.30
1.25
OF ACCOUNTS 1.20
1.15
AVG. AVG. NUMBER 1.10
1.05 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
87
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Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance
Average Total Mortgage Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 1,700 1,690 1,680 1,670 1,660 1,650 1,640 1,630
ONSUMER BALANCE ONSUMER BALANCE (INR '000) 1,620 1,610
AVG. AVG. C 1,600 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Total Mortgage Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 2,000 1,800
NR '000) 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200
AVG. AVG. CONSUMER BALANCE (I 0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
88
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS
Loans Against Property
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance ...... 90 Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance .... 91 Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer ...... 92 Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 93
For a complete description of product definitions, data category definitions and calculations, risk tier definitions and the timing of report generation, please refer to the Report Overview and Definitions section.
89
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Total Number of Consumers with a Balance
Total Number of Consumers With a Loan Against Property Balance 2.7
2.5
2.3
2.1
1.9
1.7
BER OF CONSUMERS (MILLIONS) 1.5
NUM 1.3 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Total Number of Consumers with a Loan Against Property Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1.2 IONS) 1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
NUMBER OF CONSUMERS (MILL 0.0 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
90
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Percentage of Borrowers with a Delinquent Balance
Consumer Delinquency Rates on Loan Against Property Accounts 90+ DPD 3.4%
3.2%
3.0%
2.8%
2.6%
2.4% OF BORROWERS PAST OF BORROWERS PAST DUE % 2.2%
2.0% Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
91
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Average Number of Accounts Per Consumer
Average Number of Loan Against Property Accounts Per Consumer 1.21
1.20
1.19
1.18
1.17
1.16
AVG. AVG. NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS 1.15
1.14 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Number of Loan Against Property Accounts per Consumer, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 1.24
1.22 OUNTS
1.20
1.18
1.16
1.14 AVG. AVG. NUMBER OF ACC 1.12
1.10 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
92
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CONSUMER-LEVEL INSIGHTS–AUTO LOAN
Average Total Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance
Average Total Loan Against Property Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance 4,200 0) 4,100
4,000
3,900
3,800
3,700
3,600
3,500
3,400
AVG. AVG. CONSUMER BALANCE (INR '00 3,300 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 QUARTER
Average Total Loan Against Property Balance Per Consumer, of Consumers Carrying a Balance, by Risk Tier Q2-2017 Q2-2018 4,400 000) 4,200
4,000
3,800
3,600
3,400
AVG. AVG. CONSUMER BALANCE (INR ' 3,200 Subprime Near prime Prime Prime plus
BORROWER TU-CIBIL V1 TIER
93
Disclaimer The TransUnion CIBIL Industry Insights Report is prepared by TransUnion CIBIL Limited (TU CIBIL). By accessing and using the Report the user acknowledges and accepts such use is subject to this disclaimer. This Presentation is based on collation of information, substantially, provided by credit institutions who are members with TU CIBIL. While TU CIBIL takes reasonable care in preparing the Presentation , TU CIBIL shall not be responsible for errors and/or omissions caused by inaccurate or inadequate information submitted to it by credit institutions. Further, TU CIBIL does not guarantee the adequacy or completeness of the information in the Presentation and/or its suitability for any specific purpose nor is TU CIBIL responsible for any access or reliance on the Presentation and that TU CIBIL expressly disclaims all such liability. This Presentation is not a recommendation for rejection / denial or acceptance of any application nor any recommendation by TU CIBIL to (i) lend or not to lend; (ii) enter into or not to enter into any financial transaction with the concerned individual/entity. The Information contained in the Presentation does not constitute advice and the user should carry out all the necessary analysis that is prudent in its opinion before making any decisions based on the Information contained in this Presentation. The use of the Presentation is governed by the provisions of the Credit Information Companies (Regulation) Act, 2005, the Credit Information Companies Regulations, 2006, Credit Information Companies Rules, 2006. No part of the report should be copied, circulated, published without prior approvals.
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