MAINE PEOPLE’S RESOURCE CENTER PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY
September 15-17, 2016 ▪ N=835 Methodology
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A survey of 835 likely Maine voters was conducted by phone and online from September 15th-17th, 2016.
Survey results were mathematically weighted by gender, age and geographic area to ensure an accurate representation of the population being surveyed. The sample was not weighted by party or ideology.
The sample margin of error of this survey is 3.4%, 95 times out of 100. Sub-samples may have a larger margin of error.
Frequencies and percentages may not always add up to the total number of responses or to 100%, due to weighting and rounding.
MPRC is a non-partisan, non-profit organization dedicated to giving Maine people, especially those who are under-represented in civic life, skills and information to participate in the decision-making processes that affect them.
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Two-way Statewide Presidential
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60
40 9.1 10.7 35.9 29.2 20
15.2
0 Clinton (45) Trump (39.9) Undecided If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? (Definitely vs. probably support)
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Four-way statewide Presidential
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60
Clinton 40 37.0 36.7 Trump Johnson Stein
Percentage 20 undecided 11.1 10.5 4.6 0
If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Green Jill Stein and Libertarian Gary Johnson, for whom would you vote?
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Two-way CD1 Presidential
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60
8.4 40 40.6 8.6
20 24.7 17.7
0 Clinton (49) Trump (33.3) Undecided
If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? (Definitely vs. probably support) (N= 440, MoE=±4.7%)
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Four-way CD1 Presidential
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40.5 40 Clinton 29.8 Trump Johnson 20 Stein Percentage 12.1 12.3 undecided
5.2
0
If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Green Jill Stein and Libertarian Gary Johnson, for whom would you vote? (N= 440, MoE=±4.7%)
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Two-way CD2 Presidential
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60
12.9 40 9.8 34.1 30.8 20
12.4 0 Clinton (41.6) Trump (47) Undecided
If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? (Definitely vs. probably support) (N= 396, MoE=±4.9%)
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Four-way CD2 Presidential
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44.3
40
33.2 Clinton
Trump Johnson 20 Stein Percentage undecided 9.9 8.6 4.1
0
If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Green Jill Stein and Libertarian Gary Johnson, for whom would you vote? (N= 396, MoE=±4.9%)
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Paid family and medical leave
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80 22.8 60
52.3 40
20 8.4 8.7 0 7.8 Support (75.1) Oppose (17.1) Undecided Do you support a new statewide policy ensuring all workers can take paid time off to recover from a serious health condition, care for a family member with a serious health condition, or to care for a new child?
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Paid leave by candidate preference
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Clinton 90 6
Trump 56 34
Johnson 79 12
Stein 95
undecided 78 10
0 20 40 60 80 100 Do you support a new statewide policy ensuring all workers can take paid time off to recover from a serious health condition, care for a family member with a serious health condition, or to care for a new child?
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Frequencies
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Age % Ideology % 18-34 16.7 Very liberal 11.9 35-49 21.3 Somewhat liberal 20.9 50-64 32.3 Moderate 27.4 65+ 29.7 Somewhat conservative 21.3
Very conservative 14.3 CD % 1 52.6 2 47.4 Party % Democratic 34.5
Republican 29.8 Gender % Independent/other 35.7 Female 53.0 Male 47.0
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. A Record of Accuracy
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“Uncannily close… Considering the final results, the center receives kudos for its work.” –Portland Press Herald
“MPRC is bringing transparency and accountability to a challenging area of public debate… MPRC is elevating the discourse around what Maine people actually think and want.” –Portland Phoenix
“While there are conflicting numbers from two pollsters, I tend to believe the Maine People's Resource Center, or MPRC, has the more accurate findings. Over the last two years they have polled eight contests and, without fail, their findings among the published public polls have been closest to the actual results.” –Dan Demeritt, Former Communications and Policy Director, Office of the Governor
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.