Open Budget Survey 2017 Partners
Afghanistan Germany Philippines Integrity Watch Afghanistan Open Knowledge Foundation Deutschland De La Salle University, Jesse M. Robredo Institute of Governance Albania Ghana Poland Albanian Socio-Economic Think-Tank – ASET Social Enterprise Development Foundation of West Africa Kraków University of Economics (SEND)-Ghana Algeria Portugal Association Nationale des Finances Publiques Guatemala Institute of Public Policy - Lisbon Asociación Centro Internacional para Investigaciones en Angola Derechos Humanos Qatar Acção para o Desenvolvimento Rural e Ambiente (ADRA) For inquiries, please contact the International Budget Partnership Honduras Argentina Foro Social de Deuda Externa y Desarrollo de Honduras (FOSDEH) Romania Asociación Civil por la Igualdad y la Justicia (ACIJ) Funky Citizens Hungary Australia Költségvetési Felelősségi Intézet Budapest (KFIB) Russia Tax and Transfer Policy Institute (TTPI), Crawford School of Public St.Petersburg Center “Strategy” Policy, Australian National University India Centre for Budget and Governance Accountability (CBGA) Rwanda Azerbaijan Institute of Policy Analysis and Research, IPAR-Rwanda Eurasia Extractive Industries Knowledge Hub Indonesia Forum Indonesia untuk Transparansi Anggaran (FITRA) São Tomé e Príncipe Bangladesh Webeto Centre on Budget and Policy, Department of Development Iraq Studies, University of Dhaka Iraq Institute for Economic Reform Saudi Arabia For inquiries, please contact the International Budget Partnership Benin Italy Social Watch Benin Lunaria/Sbilanciamoci! Senegal Groupe d’Etude, de Recherche et d’Action pour le Bolivia Japan Développement (GERAD) Centro de Estudios para el Desarrollo Laboral y Agrario (CEDLA) Access-info Clearinghouse Japan Serbia Bosnia and Herzegovina Jordan Transparency Serbia Fondacija “Centar za zastupanje građanskih interesa” (Public Partners - Jordan Interest Advocacy Center) Sierra Leone Kazakhstan Budget Advocacy Network (BAN) Botswana Sange Research Center Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis (BIDPA) Slovakia Kenya MESA10 Brazil Institute of Public Finance Kenya (IPF-Kenya) Instituto de Estudos Sócioeconômicos (INESC) Slovenia Kyrgyz Republic CPOEF Bulgaria Public Association Precedent Partner Group Industry Watch Group Somalia Lebanon Somali Disaster Resilience Institute (SDRI) Burkina Faso For inquiries, please contact the International Budget Partnership Centre pour la Gouvernance Démocratique (CGD) South Africa Lesotho Public Service Accountability Monitor Burundi Action Aid Lesotho For inquiries, please contact the International Budget Partnership South Korea Liberia Center on Good Budget Cambodia Actions for Genuine Democratic Alternatives (AGENDA) The NGO Forum on Cambodia South Sudan Macedonia For inquiries, please contact the International Budget Partnership Cameroon Center for Economic Analyses (CEA) Budget Information Center (BIC) Spain Madagascar Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Canada Multi-Sector Information Service (MSIS-Tatao) Institute of Fiscal Studies and Democracy Sri Lanka Malawi Verite Research (Pvt) Ltd Chad Malawi Economic Justice Network (MEJN) Groupe de Recherches Alternatives et de Monirtoring du Projet Sudan Pétrole Tchad-Cameroun (GRAMPTC) Malaysia Nuha Mohamed, Consultant Institute for Democracy and Economic Affairs (IDEAS) Chile Swaziland Fundación Ciudadano Inteligente Mali Coordinating Assembly of NGOs in Swaziland (CANGO) Groupe de recherche en économie appliqué et théorique China (GREAT) Sweden For inquiries, please contact the International Budget Partnership Melander Schnell Consultants Mexico Colombia FUNDAR Tajikistan Foro Nacional por Colombia Uktam Dzhumaev, Consultant Moldova Comoros Independent Think Tank ”Expert – Grup” Tanzania Comores Finance Consulting (Co-fin-co) HakiElimu Mongolia Costa Rica Open Society Forum Thailand Programa Estado de la Nación Ora-orn Poocharoen, Consultant Morocco Côte d’Ivoire Transparency Maroc Timor Leste Initiative pour la Justice Social, La Transparence et la Bonne La ‘o Hamutuk Gouvernance en Côte d’Ivoire (SOCIAL JUSTICE) Mozambique Centro de integridade publica (CIP) Trinidad and Tobago Croatia Sustainable Economic Development Unit (SEDU), Department of Institut za javne financije Myanmar Economics, The University of the West Indies Spectrum – Sustainable Development Knowledge Network Czech Republic Tunisia University of Economics, Prague Namibia Union Générale Tunisienne du Travail (UGTT), Département des Institute for Public Policy Research Etudes Dominican Republic Fundación Solidaridad Nepal Turkey Freedom Forum Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation (TESEV) Democratic Republic of the Congo Reseau Gouvernance Economoque Et Democratie (REGED) New Zealand Uganda Jonathan Dunn, Consultant Uganda Debt Network Ecuador Fundación para el Avance de las Reformas y las Oportunidades- Nicaragua Ukraine Grupo FARO Instituto de Estudios Estratégicos y Políticas Públicas (IEEPP) Centre Eidos Egypt Niger United Kingdom The Egyptian Center For Public Policy Studies (ECPPS) Alternative Espaces Citoyens (AEC) London School of Economics and Political Science — Government Department El Salvador Nigeria Fundación Nacional para el Desarrollo (FUNDE) BudgIT Nigeria United States Robert Keith, Consultant Equatorial Guinea Norway Marcial Abaga Barril, Consultant Scanteam Venezuela Transparencia Venezuela Fiji Pakistan Citizens Constitutional Forum (CCF) Omar Asghar Kahn Development Foundation Vietnam Center for Development and Integration (CDI) France Papua New Guinea Association pour la Fondation Internationale de Finances Institute of National Affairs Yemen Social Research and Development Center (SRDC) Publiques (FONDAFIP) Paraguay Georgia Centro de Analisis y Difusion de la Economia Paraguaya (CADEP) Zambia Jesuit Centre for Theological Reflection (JCTR) Transparency International Georgia Peru Ciudadanos al Día Zimbabwe National Association of Non-Governmental Organisations ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We at the International Budget Partnership (IBP) want to thank our colleagues at the 115 research institutions and civil society organizations around the world whose work is the foundation of the Open Budget Survey (OBS). Their dedication, perseverance, and expertise, as well as their patience with our numerous queries during the lengthy vetting and editorial process, are appreciated tremendously.
The Open Budget Survey is inspired by our partners and their work. We hope that the survey, in turn, contributes to the impact of their initiatives and advances budget transparency, participation, and oversight around the world.
This project is the result of the collective efforts of IBP’s Open Budget Survey team, led by Anjali Garg. She worked closely with IBP colleagues Nusrat Ahmad, Kenan Aslanli, Paolo de Renzio, Michaela Fleischer, Joel Friedman, Suad Hasan, Dan Hiller, Chao-Yuan Lee, Elena Mondo, María José Eva Parada, Vivek Ramkumar, David Robins, Babacar Sarr, and Sally Torbert, all of whom engaged with research partners and peer reviewers around the world to ensure the quality of the data. A special thanks to Emilie Gay and Jonathan Dunn, who also worked closely with the IBP team and research partners to collect and vet the data. We would also like to thank Elena Mondo for her leadership in designing the capacity building activities related to the Open Budget Survey and leading the team’s technology work, with assistance from David Robins and Dan Hiller.
The OBS 2017 report was a collective effort. The report was written by Jason Lakin. Isaac Shapiro drafted Chapter 3 and provided critical insights throughout. Joel Friedman helped to conceptualize the report and interpret the data and made vital contributions throughout the writing process. María José Eva Parada, Claire Schouten, and Sally Torbert authored the country case studies that appear in the report. A special thanks to Brian Wampler for researching and drafting the participation case studies that are also included in the report and Suad Hasan for her careful review and comments on these studies. We would also like to thank Dan Hiller for his skillful management of the database for the report.
IBP’s communication team under Delaine McCullough’s leadership played a critical role in getting this report ready for publication. Debby Friedman managed the editing and design of the report, with editorial and design assistance provided by Jay Colburn and Rebecca Warner. We also thank Marianne Klinker for developing the online presentation of the Open Budget Survey, and Claire Schouten for playing a key role in organizing and coordinating the multi-country release of the research.
Finally, we extend our sincere gratitude to the Ford Foundation, the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Open Society Foundations, UNICEF, the United Kingdom’s Department for International Development (UKAid), and the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, whose financial support made this effort possible.
Warren Krafchik Executive Director January 2018
i TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1: The Bridge: An Overview of the Open Budget Survey 2017 1 Introduction 1 Budgets as Bridges 2 Open Budget Survey 2017: Findings 3 Improving Citizen-State Relations 3 Summary 4
Chapter 2: The State of Budget Transparency 9 The Global State of Budget Documents 9 The Open Budget Index 2017 10 What’s Inside? How Information Availability Varies with Overall Scores 14 Summary 15
Chapter 3: The End of Progress? Increases in Transparency Halted in 2017 19 Developments between 2015 and 2017 19 Changes in the Publication of Documents and Information 20 Taking a Longer View: 2008-2017 20 Failure to Consolidate Gains from Previous Years 21 Case Studies of Changes in Transparency 22 Summary 26
Chapter 4: Assessing Oversight Institutions 29 Legislative Oversight 29 Supreme Audit Institutions 32 Independent Fiscal Institutions 32 Summary 33
Chapter 5: Participation Mechanisms Can Be More Inclusive and Better Structured 35 Participation and Democracy 35 Emerging Principles on Participation in Budgeting 36 Overall Participation Scores 36 Participation Mechanisms: How Common, and What Form Do They Take? 37 Putting It All Together: The Accountability System 40 Summary 42
ii Chapter 6: Concluding Remarks and Recommendations 45 What country executives should do 45 What country oversight institutions should do 46 What civil society should do 46 What donors should do 46
ANNEX A: Open Budget Survey 2017 Methodology 48 Implementing the Open Budget Survey 2017 and Calculating the Open Budget Index and other Scores 48 The Open Budget Questionnaire 48 The Research Process 48 The Open Budget Index 49 Measures for Oversight Institutions and Public Participation 49 Weighting the Relative Importance of Key Budget Documents and Implications on Scores 50 For More Information 50
ANNEX B: An Update to the Open Budget Index for 2017 51
ANNEX C: Open Budget Index Scores Over Time, 2006 to 2017 54
ANNEX D: Open Budget Survey 2017: Transparency, Public Participation, and Oversight Institutions 56
ANNEX E: Open Budget Survey 2017: The Public Availability of Budget Documents 58
Photo Credits 63
iii FIGURES, TABLES, AND BOXES
Between Chapters 1 and 2: Figure 1.0: The Open Budget Index 2017
Chapter 2: Table 2.1: Key budget documents and share of surveyed countries publishing each in OBS 2017 Table 2.2: Distribution of countries by number of key budget documents published in 2017 Figure 2.1: Distribution of countries based on Open Budget Index 2017 score Figure 2.2: A global picture of budget transparency in 2017 Box 2.1: Who’s new? Table 2.3.A: Characteristics of budget system by category of performance on the OBI 2017 Table 2.3.B: Social, political, and economic indicators by category of performance on the OBI 2017 Table 2.4: Average transparency score for six types of information found in Executive’s Budget Proposals, by OBI 2017 category Box 2.2: What do people really want to know about the budget...and what does the Open Budget Survey have to say about it? Box 2.2-Table 1: Countries publishing key information to answer “How much does my government spend on health?” Box 2.2-Table 2: Countries publishing key information to answer “Is my government implementing the budget as it was approved by the legislature?” Box 2.2-Table 3: Countries publishing key information to answer “What is the government trying to achieve with the money it collects and spends?”
Chapter 3: Table 3.1: Regional changes in OBI scores, 2015-2017 Table 3.2: Change in number of countries publishing particular documents between 2015 and 2017 Figure 3.1: Number of countries by category of transparency and year (countries surveyed since 2008) Table 3.3: Number of countries experiencing large changes in OBI score between survey rounds Table 3.4: Documents made available to the public between 2008 and 2015, but not in 2017 Table 3.5: Selected examples of repeated changes in budget document publication, 2008-2017 Box 3.1: Sub-Saharan Africa: Failure to institutionalize past gains
iv Chapter 4: Figure 4.1: Countries grouped by 2017 legislative oversight score Box 4.1: How often do legislatures amend budgets? Figure 4.2: Challenges to legislative oversight during budget approval and implementation Figure 4.3: Countries grouped by 2017 supreme audit institution oversight score
Chapter 5: Table 5.1: Opportunities for public participation in the budget process Box 5.1: How do the GIFT Principles of Public Participation link to the OBS participation questions? Table 5.2: Average country participation scores, by OBI transparency category Figure 5.1: How widespread are the seven mechanisms of participation assessed in OBS 2017? Box 5.2: Miles to go: Including the views of vulnerable groups Box 5.3: Philippines: Budget Partnership Agreements Box 5.4: Brazil: Public Policy Management Councils Box 5.5: South Korea: Website for reporting budget waste Box 5.6: Canada: Legislative hearings before budget approval in the House of Commons Figure 5.2: Performance across the budget accountability system in 2017 Table 5.3: Countries scoring 40 or lower on all three components of the accountability system Box 5.7: More robust participation measures in 2017 lead to lower scores
v
1 The Bridge: An Overview of the Open Budget Survey 2017
institutions. At the same time, survey data from recent years have revealed major misgivings about democracy across the “There is something strange going on world.3 with democracy. Everyone seems to want It would seem, therefore, that the bridge between citizens and it but no one believes in it any longer.” states is in need of repair. What is driving this broad disil- — David van Reybrouck, Against Elections: The Case for Democracy lusionment with government and democracy? In some cases, the problem is the expectation that the collapse of authoritar- ian regimes during the third wave would lead quickly to the Introduction establishment of robust democracies. Instead, many have become “competitive authoritarian” regimes or weak democra- What is the proper relationship between citizens and the cies at best.4 state? This question has been settled and reopened throughout human history. By the end of the 20th century, it seemed that A second and perhaps broader reason for disillusionment is the answer in an increasing number of countries was some that traditional political institutions and the structure of repre- version of representative democracy. From the 1970s through sentative democracy have not met the needs or expectations the beginning of this century, a “third wave” of democratiza- of modern citizens. Recent years have seen significant citizen tion saw democracies emerge at all income levels, across protests against corruption around the world, particularly in Europe as well as in Latin America, Asia, and Africa. middle-income countries. This unrest suggests that abuse of power and lack of accountability for the use of public resources Of course, this unprecedented rise of democracy was not are among the key drivers of discontent. without counter-currents. Between 1974 and 2014, just under a third of democracies in the world reverted to authoritari- Rising inequality in recent decades has also raised questions anism.1 Many countries, such as China and Singapore, have about whether governments are capable of responding to remained proudly undemocratic, and their models of govern- contemporary challenges. The possibility that they are not ment have been highly influential throughout this period. Since and that they are mainly serving the interests of the more the 1970s, concerns have also been raised about the health privileged has fueled some of the populist, anti-establishment of established democracies.2 Nevertheless, it would be fair to revolts of 2016-17. Rather than address these underlying chal- say that representative democracy seemed to be the preferred lenges, many governments have also tightened controls on civil answer of many citizens, states, and multilateral institutions society, further threatening their own legitimacy.5 to the question of the proper bridge between citizens and the state. Contemporary expectations of government go beyond reducing corruption and addressing people’s needs, however. Citizens in Beginning in 2016, however, growing discontent with govern- many countries want to know what governments are doing and ment, including democratic government, has culminated in the want to have a bigger say in the processes by which decisions rise of nationalist politicians with dubious democratic creden- are made and implemented. They are no longer content to sit tials and declining support for traditional political parties and back and watch their leaders make decisions without citizens’
1 Larry Diamond, “Facing Up to the Democratic Recession,” Journal of Democracy (January 2015): 141-55. 2 See for example, Michel Crozier, Samuel Huntington, and Joji Watanuki, The Crisis of Democracy: Report on the Governability of Democracies to the Trilateral Commission (New York: New York University Press, 1975). 3 For survey data from Western Europe and the United States, see Roberto Stefan Foa and Yascha Mounk, “The Democratic Disconnect,” Journal of Democracy 27, no. 3 (July 2016): 5-17. For survey data from Africa, see Robert Mattes and Michael Bratton, “Do Africans Still Want Democracy?” Policy Paper No. 36 (Afrobarometer, November 2016). For survey data that include some additional countries in Asia and Latin America, see edelman.com/global-results/. One surprise in these latter data is the high and increasing trust in government in India in recent years. Finally, data from Asian Barometer suggest declining trust in government in many East Asian countries over the last few iterations of the survey. See asianbarometer.org/survey/key-findings. 4 Steven Levitsky and Lucan Way, “The Myth of Democratic Recession,” Journal of Democracy 26, no. 1 (January 2015): 45; and Mattes and Bratton, “Do Africans Still Want Democracy?” 5 For a review of what is happening to civic space globally in 2017, see CIVICUS, “CIVICUS State of Civil Society Report 2017: Year in Review, New Democratic Crisis and Civic Space,” (CIVICUS: Washington, D.C., 2017). 1 oversight or input. To the extent that governments have management by executives, and adequate oversight practices introduced new mechanisms to address these expectations, by legislature and auditors. Without transparency and public they have often proved unsatisfactory. According to this view, institutions that check one another’s powers, government is it is traditional forms of representative democracy (but not unlikely to be accountable or effective. democracy itself) that have reached their limits.6 The OBS 2017 broadens IBP’s approach to assessing oversight by In other words, the terms of the relationship between citizens including new questions about an increasingly prominent over- and the state are no longer a settled matter. Once again, the old sight institution, independent fiscal institutions (IFIs), for the question of how citizens and state should engage is being asked, first time. IFIs are government-financed technical agencies that and traditional forms of representative democracy are showing engage in independent, objective analysis of the economy and signs of strain. Citizens are not withdrawing from government, budget. Their role is to enhance the credibility of public finances but they are seeking new ways to participate effectively. The chal- either by ensuring that the government’s own forecasts and lenge of our historical moment is to create new bridges in an era analysis are rigorous or by providing an additional, independent that builds on the strengths of representative democracy, but at check on government numbers. The rise in IFIs in a modest the same time addresses its weaknesses. We must find innovative number of countries, like the changing nature of participation, and sustainable ways of encouraging and channeling citizen illustrates how some governments are seeking innovative ways to involvement into decision making that will ensure greater improve public confidence in institutions by moving beyond the representation and accountability from political leaders. traditional institutions of representative democracy.
Budgets as Bridges The OBS 2017 also goes further than assessing the core institutions of representative democracy by assessing novel At the core of the relationship between citizens and the state approaches to formal public participation in budgeting. This are decisions about how public resources are raised and spent. is the first survey to include a robust set of measures of public The budget is where the most important questions about the participation based on an international consensus about what role of government are asked and answered. This makes it the participation in the budget process should look like. While right place to look for an answer to how citizens and the state these measures will continue to evolve, they constitute an should engage. initial step toward improving citizen-state relationships to take us beyond the limitations of current democratic practice. The International Budget Partnership (IBP) has long argued for a different approach to citizen-state engagement around the The survey examines formal participation in the budget budget. Our initial focus was on the need for greater transpar- process at the national level, but we know that participation ency in government finances. This transparency was to lead is happening in other areas. For instance, recent years have to broader debate and greater public influence over budget seen scores of local governments introduce new participatory decision making in service of improved government and more mechanisms, such as participatory budgeting. And numerous pro-poor policy. Over time, we have increasingly emphasized governments are experimenting with participation outside the specific mechanisms by which the public participates of the budget process, using innovative mechanisms such as directly in such decision making. deliberative polling, citizens assemblies, and crowd-sourcing to drive electoral reform (e.g., Canada) or constitutional reform The Open Budget Survey (OBS) is the world’s only comparative (e.g., Iceland).7 and independent assessment of fiscal transparency, oversight, and participation at the national level. The survey is carried out Of course, this year’s emphasis on new forms of oversight and by independent researchers who respond to a set of factual ques- formal budget participation does not eliminate the need for tions in each of the 115 countries assessed. Each country’s results transparency. It is impossible to envision any new mechanism are then reviewed by an anonymous expert, and governments for citizen-state engagement that is not predicated on mean- are also given an opportunity to provide their comments. ingful transparency. IFIs, for instance, rely heavily on access to information to carry out their roles in the public finance The OBS is, first and foremost, an assessment of the core system. And citizens cannot use emerging mechanisms for institutions and practices that make representative democracy participation to deliberate meaningfully without budget function: public access to information, good public financial information either. Budget transparency therefore remains
6 This case is made in, among others, Filemon Peonidis, Democracy as Popular Sovereignty (Lanham, Md.: Rowman & Littlefield, 2013); John Keane,Life and Death of Democracy (New York: Norton, 2009); and Helene Landemore, “Inclusive Constitution-Making: The Icelandic Experiment,” Journal of Political Philosophy 23, no. 2 (June 2015): 166-91. 7 Keane, Life and Death of Democracy; and Landemore, “Inclusive Constitution-Making.” 2 fundamental to the OBS and our hope for improved citizen- during implementation. Legislators could amend the budget state relations. in practice in more than half of the countries surveyed. But in just over half of countries, executives can shift funds between Open Budget Survey 2017: Findings units during the year without legislative approval. This means that some of the important work of legislators, and citizens, to The critical role of transparency in supporting the new mecha- influence budget priorities early in the budget process can be nisms we explore this year makes the survey results from 2017 undone during implementation without adequate oversight. particularly disappointing. The Open Budget Survey 2017 finds IFIs represent an area of public finance management with that, globally, progress toward greater transparency stalled, increasing potential, but only 18 countries have independent, declining modestly for the first time since we began measuring well-resourced agencies. it. An important driver of this year’s deceleration is the reversal of previous gains in Sub-Saharan Africa. Of the 27 countries Most countries have at least one formal mechanism for budget in Sub-Saharan Africa in both the 2015 and 2017 surveys, 22 participation. But overall participation scores are low: no saw their transparency scores fall in the OBS 2017. (This is country in our survey has adequate opportunities for citizen discussed further in Chapter 3.) With the exception of Asia, participation. In addition, the mechanisms that countries are other regions saw slower growth or modest declines in their using are not particularly inclusive or well-structured, and scores on the Open Budget Index (OBI) – the portion of the we found only eight cases where executives specifically reach OBS that assesses transparency – this round compared to last. out to vulnerable groups to encourage their participation. In just under half of countries, legislatures, which should be a While Sub-Saharan Africa showed the largest decline in principal route by which citizens influence the budget, do not transparency in this round, the region drove much of the provide formal opportunities for the public to offer their views improvement in transparency in the 2015 survey. This points on the budget before it is approved. to a broader and deeper concern that we highlighted in 2015: a lack of institutionalization of open government practices. As in Taking our assessments of transparency, participation, and previous rounds of the survey, the OBS 2017 once again showed oversight together, we can make some general observations that most countries are not sufficiently transparent to ensure about the accountability system. Countries with higher that budgets are allocated in accordance with public priorities transparency scores also tend to have higher oversight and or monitored adequately during implementation to deliver on participation scores. Nevertheless, no country has adequate government promises. It is particularly worrying, then, when practices in place in all three areas, largely because participa- governments seem to be regressing from already modest or low tion opportunities are limited and poorly structured. This transparency scores. year’s assessment suggests that formal participation in the budget process is the weakest link in the accountability system. But the picture this year is not all negative. The recent decline In addition, the budget accountability system as a whole is in transparency overall is significantly less than the gains extremely weak in 22 of the 115 countries assessed, as all found in previous rounds of the survey; that is, government three areas show significant shortcomings in these countries. budgets are still considerably more transparent today than This is discouraging: a budget process is only likely to be they were a decade ago. And, as always, the bigger picture fully accountable if all three building blocks – transparency, conceals critical variation. Chapter 3 of this report looks briefly participation, and oversight – are in place. at some of the best performers in the OBS 2017 and explores why their scores rose. A sizable share of the gains in 2017 were The final chapter of this report suggests ways in which govern- concentrated among low-transparency countries. Moreover, for ment actors, civil society, and donors can work to strengthen budget documents that were produced in both 2015 and 2017, these building blocks. This requires the strengthening of indi- the range of information provided increased marginally. vidual institutions and practices, but also coordinated efforts by various stakeholders committed to improved public finances. Our assessment of budget oversight is mixed. Auditors are more likely to have scores indicating adequate oversight Improving Citizen-State Relations practices than legislatures. Overall, legislatures engage in limited oversight practices but are able to provide somewhat The OBS 2017 finds that transparency around the world more extensive oversight during budget formulation than remains limited and that progress has faltered. We do not
3 purport to explain the overall decline in scores in the OBS 2017 Limited transparency in an era of rising polarization and the as a result of the crisis of trust in institutions or in represen- legitimate fear that data are becoming less compelling in an tative democracy. Indeed, there is no overall relationship era of “fake news” is exactly the wrong response. The best way between changes in democracy, as measured by widely used to short-circuit disastrous cycles of mistrust and polarization indices, and changes in OBI scores.8 is for governments to publish more and better budget informa- tion; present more, and more compelling, justifications for Instead, the modest decline in transparency observed in the their decisions; and offer citizens more and better opportuni- OBS 2017 is, along with shrinking civic and media space and ties to engage meaningfully in decision making. In short, we rising inequality, another symptom of the need to repair the must cure the weaknesses of democracy with more and better social contract between states and citizens. When citizens see information and opportunities for citizen participation. governments hiding their finances, ignoring citizen views, and failing to respect the separation of powers, their skepticism Summary of government grows. Improving the budget process must therefore be part of the solution to the decline in confidence in ■■ For the first time since we launched the survey, progress government and representative democracy. If the current chal- toward improved global transparency has stalled, with aver- lenges of inequality and political polarization around the globe age Open Budget Index scores declining modestly. Given are to be overcome, we need to reimagine how state and society that scores on the OBI remain low, it is particularly discour- engage in decision making with regard to public finances. aging to see countries regressing rather than institutional- izing budget transparency. The bridge to more effective and satisfying relationships ■■ Countries must also do more to strengthen oversight and between citizens and government is built through greater ensure that decisions made early in the budget process are sharing of ideas, information, and responsibility. As we report respected during budget implementation. Interest in IFIs is on the OBS 2017 findings, we also touch on specific types of encouraging, as these agencies can also help to restore faith information that we think are most relevant to citizens and in government. However, there are still relatively few of the release of which, we believe, can help increase confidence these institutions in operation worldwide. in government. In our expanded discussion of public partici- ■■ We believe that improving formal participation in budget- pation, we also offer concrete options for how citizens can ing must be part of the solution to declining confidence in meaningfully engage government. government and increasing skepticism about representative democracy in recent years. But countries will have to do In spite of the faltering progress we document in the OBS much more to encourage meaningful public participation 2017, our message remains optimistic. While 2017 has not in budgets going forward, as the survey finds that formal been an encouraging year for democracy or budget transpar- public participation in budgeting is weak around the globe. ency, governments around the world have the tools at hand to ■■ In the final chapter of this report, we offer specific recom- address the challenges we face, should they choose to use them. mendations for executives, oversight institutions, civil In the cases of transparency and participation, governments society, and donors aimed at improving transparency and already do some of what they need to do, and they can build participation. on these foundations to quickly enhance both. For example, all but four governments in our survey publish some budget documents online or have done so in the past. Yet two out of every three countries publish at least one document online but fail to put additional documents they already produce online in a timely fashion. What could be simpler than using existing websites that host other budget documents to expand access?
While budget participation scores are low overall, more than 80 percent of the countries surveyed have some form of partici- patory mechanism already. What these countries need to do is to enhance the inclusiveness of existing mechanisms and implement similar mechanisms in other stages of the budget process. These are not impossible leaps for any government.
8 We can only offer a basic assessment of this issue here, but our analysis shows almost no correlation between changes in democracy scores (using Freedom House or Economist Intelligence Unit data) between 2012 and 2015 or between 2015 and 2017 and changes in OBI scores between 2015 and 2017. Of course, some individual countries may have experienced declines (or increases) in both democracy and transpar- 4 ency. The Open Budget Index 2017 100 89 89 87 85 Extensive (81-100) Substantial (61-80) Limited (41-60) Minimal (21-40) Scant or None (0-20) 82 80 79 77 77 75 74 74 74 Low 73 73 Limited 72 Sufficient 71 69 69 67 66 66 66 64 63 61 61 60 60 60 60 59 59 58 58 57 57 56 56 55 54 54 54 53 52 51 50 50 50 50 50 50 49 49 48 46 46 46 46 45 45 44 44 43 43 43 41 41 41 41 40 40 39 39 39 38 37 36 35 34 34 33 31 30 29 26 25 24 24 23 22 20 20 17 15 13 10 10 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Fiji Iraq Italy Mali Peru India Chile Chad Niger Qatar Brazil Egypt Spain Benin China Nepal Japan Kenya Sudan Ghana Serbia Bolivia Turkey Russia Yemen Poland France Liberia Angola Jordan Algeria Tunisia Nigeria Croatia Mexico Malawi Albania Zambia Canada Norway Uganda Ukraine Georgia Burundi Lesotho Senegal Sweden Somalia Rwanda Vietnam Ecuador Portugal Namibia Bulgaria Hungary Slovakia Moldova Slovenia Pakistan Thailand Lebanon Morocco Australia Romania Tanzania Malaysia Comoros Germany Mongolia Paraguay Colombia Tajikistan Sri Lanka Myanmar Honduras Argentina Indonesia Botswana Cambodia Venezuela Nicaragua Swaziland Cameroon Azerbaijan Zimbabwe Costa Rica Guatemala Philippines Macedonia El Salvador Kazakhstan Bangladesh Afghanistan Timor-Leste South Africa South Korea Madagascar Côte d'Ivoire Saudi Arabia Sierra Leone South Sudan Mozambique Burkina Faso New Zealand United States Czech Republic United Kingdom Kyrgyz Republic Equatorial Guinea Papua New Guinea Papua Dem. Rep. of Congo Rep. Dem. Dominican Republic Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad São Tomé e Príncipe Tomé São Bosnia and Herzegovina
2 The State of Budget Transparency
Whatever form the relationship between citizens and states About three-fourths of the 115 countries in our sample make takes in the 21st century, it must rest on a foundation of free both the Executive’s Budget Proposal and the Enacted Budget exchange of information. Both citizen agency and responsive publicly available, while fewer than half make either Pre- government require the free flow of data about government Budget Statements or Mid-Year Reviews available to the public. programs and the funds that are raised and spent on them. Half the countries in our sample now make Citizens Budgets Citizens cannot organize and make meaningful demands of available to the public. In-Year Reports, Year-End Reports, the state without such information. Government cannot main- and Audit Reports are made publicly available by a majority of tain its credibility or sustain the commitment of citizens to pay countries, but these are not as widely published as the Execu- taxes and provide feedback on policy preferences without the tive’s Budget Proposal. regular release of budget information. Of the 920 documents that the 115 countries surveyed in the This chapter offers a snapshot of the state of budget transpar- OBS 2017 should have published online in a timely manner, ency around the world as of the end of 2016. We look at trans- only 561 were published (see Table 2.2). Of the 359 documents parency from the perspective of the public availability of key (39 percent) that were not published, 156 are not produced at budget documents (“available” is defined as those documents all by country governments. The remaining 203 documents published online on an official government website in a timely are produced, but governments use them for internal purposes manner) and from the perspective of the comprehensiveness only and do not release them to the public; or limit their avail- of the information they contain. As always, our assessment is ability by releasing them in hard copy but not putting them based on international standards endorsed by various global online; or release them too late (undermining their relevance). institutions, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Of the 115 countries included in the 2017 survey, 98 publish (OECD), and the International Organization of Supreme Audit at least one, but not all, of the eight key documents. But these Institutions (INTOSAI), among others. countries also produce 172 documents that they do not publish. If these governments took the simple step of posting these The Global State of Budget Documents additional 172 documents online in a timely manner, it would increase the share of documents published out of the universe A well-functioning budget cycle has four stages: 1) formulation, of potential documents from 61 percent to 80 percent immedi- when the executive branch of the government drafts the budget ately, significantly improve the availability of budget informa- proposal; 2) approval, when the legislative branch debates, tion in these countries, and considerably raise their average amends, and approves the budget proposal; 3) execution, when overall transparency scores. the executive branch implements the policies outlined in the budget; and 4) oversight, when the supreme audit institution and The remaining 17 countries made either none of the eight legislature assess funds spent for compliance and performance. documents available, or all of them. The six countries that made no budget documents publicly available at all in our The Open Budget Survey is anchored on eight key budget 2017 assessment are: Equatorial Guinea, Lesotho, Niger, Qatar, documents that are well recognized internationally as neces- Venezuela, and Yemen. The 11 countries that publish all eight sary to inform each of these four stages. The OBS assesses the key documents are spectacularly diverse, representing all public availability and comprehensiveness of each of these majors regions of the world: Brazil, Bulgaria, Georgia, Indo- documents. For the 2017 survey, we assess only documents that nesia, Italy, Jordan, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, South Africa, should have been published prior to 31 December 2016. These and Sweden. There is clearly nothing regionally or culturally documents are described in Table 2.1, which also reports on determined about budget transparency. their overall availability.
9 Table 2.1: Key budget documents and share of surveyed countries publishing each in OBS 2017
Number of Countries (out of 115) Stage of Budget Cycle Key Budget Documents Percent of Countries Publishing Publishing in OBS 2017
Pre-Budget Statement: This document discloses the broad parameters of fiscal policies in advance of the Executive’s Budget Proposal; it outlines the 50 43% government’s economic forecast, as well as anticipated revenue, expenditures, and debt.
Formulation Executive’s Budget Proposal: This document or set of documents is submitted by the executive to the legislature for approval; it details the 88 77% sources of revenue, the allocations to ministries, proposed policy changes, and other information important for understanding a country’s fiscal situation.
Enacted Budget: This is the budget that Approval 100 87% has been approved by the legislature.
In-Year Reports: These documents include information on actual revenues collected, actual expenditures made, and 80 70% debt incurred; they may be issued on a quarterly or monthly basis.
Mid-Year Review: This document contains a comprehensive update on the implementation of the budget as of Execution 33 29% the middle of the fiscal year, including a review of economic assumptions and an updated forecast of budget outcomes.
Year-End Report: This document shows the government’s accounts at the end of the fiscal year and ideally includes an 76 66% evaluation of the progress made toward achieving the budget’s policy goals.
Audit Report: Issued by the country’s supreme audit institution, this Oversight document examines the soundness and 77 67% completeness of the government’s year- end accounts.
Citizens Budget: This is a simpler and less technical version of the government’s Executive’s Budget Proposal or All Stages Enacted Budget, designed to convey 57 50% key information to the public. Citizens versions of other documents are also desirable.
The Open Budget Index 2017 transparency remains limited, with most countries failing to publish key documents and key information. We measure transparency through the Open Budget Index (OBI). The OBI scores each country from 0 to 100, based on the Overall, as summarized in Figure 2.1, we find: average of the responses to the 109 questions in the question- ■■ 27 countries provide scant or no budget information, with naire that assess the public availability of budget information. A OBI scores of 20 or less; country’s OBI score reflects the timeliness and comprehensive- ■■ 20 countries provide minimal budget information, with ness of publicly available budget information in the eight key OBI scores between 21 and 40; budget documents. Additional survey questions assess oversight ■■ 42 countries provide limited budget information, with OBI and participation and are described later in this report, but these scores between 41 and 60; are not included in the calculation of the OBI score. ■■ 21 countries provide substantial budget information, with OBI scores between 61 and 80; and The average global OBI score for 2017 is 42 out of 100, while the ■■ 5 countries provide extensive budget information, with OBI median score is 45. This suggests that the global state of budget scores between 81 and 100.
10 Table 2.2: Distribution of countries by number of key budget documents published in 2017
Number of key budget Cumulative number of Cumulative number of Number of countries Percent of countries surveyed documents published countries documents published
8 11 10% 11 88
7 29 25% 40 291
6 15 13% 55 381
5 14 12% 69 451
4 14 12% 83 507
3 10 9% 93 537
2 8 7% 101 553
1 8 7% 109 561
0 6 5% 115 561
Total 115 100% ------
In the rest of the report, we typically combine these five groups eight key budget documents available to the public. There are of countries into three basic categories: only two cases where countries in this group maintain docu- ■■ those that provide a low level of budget information (score ments for internal use only. Among countries with sufficient of 0-40); transparency, just nine documents are published late, and none ■■ those that provide limited amounts of budget information are published only in hard copy. (score of 41-60); and ■■ those countries that provide sufficient budget information As in the past, we find that, on average, those countries (score of 61-100), where the public has at least the minimum releasing sufficient budget information are more likely to be information needed to engage in informed budget discus- democratic, have greater media freedom, are less dependent on sions. oil revenue, and have lower perceived corruption than those countries making less budget data available. These countries Only 26 countries have sufficient budget transparency in the also have more adequate legislative and audit oversight and are 2017 survey. more likely to have independent fiscal institutions. They tend to be wealthier and more highly developed than countries that Sufficiently Transparent Countries (Scores of 61 or higher). On make more limited budget information available, although average, the 26 countries in this category make seven of the some middle-income countries, such as Guatemala, Indonesia, and the Philippines, also feature here (see Tables 2.3 A and B.). Figure 2.1: Distribution of countries based on Open Budget Index 2017 score Limited Transparency Countries (Scores of 41 to 60). On average, 60 the 42 countries in this group publish six of the eight key budget documents. Forty-one documents from this group (12 percent) are produced but not published online in a timely manner.
40 Countries with limited transparency scores also fall in 20 between sufficient and low transparency countries on most other attributes. They are less likely to be democratic than top performers on budget transparency but more likely than the 5 Number of Countries lowest budget transparency countries. The same applies to their 20 42 levels of media freedom and perceived corruption. And they 27 21 are also in the middle of the range on the adequacy of oversight by legislatures, auditors, and independent fiscal institutions.
0 Low Limited Sufficient The same medium range performance holds for human devel- Scant (0-20) Minimal (21-40) Limited (41-60) Substantial (61-80) Extensive (81-100) opment, but these countries are slightly less wealthy than low transparency countries. This is because oil-rich countries are
11 Figure 2.2: A global picture of budget transparency in 2017
Extensive (81-100) Sufficient Substantial (61-80) Limited Limited (41-60) Minimal (21-40) Low Scant or None (0-20) Box 2.1: Who’s new? Table 2.3.A: Characteristics of budget system by category of performance on the OBI 2017 Between 2015 and 2017, we added 13 new countries to the Open Score on Open Budget Index Budget Survey. They represent a number of regions and a wide range 0-40 41-60 61-100 of levels of transparency. However, on average, countries entering the Open Budget Survey Indicators survey in 2017 have scores that are substantially lower than the overall average for the survey sample. Number of countries 47 42 26 Average number of eight key budget 3 6 7 Country OBI Score 2017 documents made publicly available online in a Australia 74 timely manner Burundi 7 Average score for publicly available Executive’s 38 57 77 Budget Proposals Canada 71 Percent of eight key budget documents that are: Comoros 8 Publicly available 35% 72% 91% Côte d’Ivoire 24 Not publicly available 65% 28% 9% Japan 60 Not produced 25% 16% 4% Lesotho 0 Produced, but used for internal 24% 6% 1% Madagascar 34 purposes only Moldova 58 Produced, but published too late 10% 5% 4% Paraguay 43 Produced, but published in hard 6% 1% 0% or soft copy only Somalia 8 Average score for: South Sudan 5 Participation 5 13 24 Swaziland 3 Oversight by legislature 37 48 69 Average score of 13 new countries 30 Oversight by supreme audit institution 49 68 81 Average score for all 115 countries 42 Countries with an independent 4% 24% 62% fiscal institution: overrepresented among those in the lowest budget transpar- ency tier. When we remove the most oil-dependent countries, Table 2.4 below groups the types of information that we expect all of which have low transparency, GDP per capita of the to find in the Executive’s Budget Proposal into six categories.9 medium range is higher than that for the low transparency tier These include information about expenditures, revenues, and (Table 2.3.B). debt as well as the macroeconomic assumptions upon which the budget is based. In addition, budgets should include information Low Transparency Countries (Scores of 0-40). On average, the about government’s policy priorities and performance goals and 47 countries providing minimal, scant, or no information publish about three out of the eight key budget documents. A Table 2.3.B: Social, political, and economic indicators by category of remarkable 151 documents from this group (40 percent) are performance on the OBI 2017
produced but not published. This means that these countries Score on Open Budget Index could improve their transparency dramatically with only 0-40 41-60 61-100 modest additional effort. Other Indicators Percentage with full or flawed democracies 2% 26% 46% These countries include the most oil-dependent countries in Average score on Corruption Perceptions Index 31 39 56 our sample, but countries in this tier are also more likely to Average score on World Press Freedom Index 42 33 26 have experienced recent internal conflict. For example, Iraq, Average internal conflict score 2.1 1.8 1.2 Somalia, South Sudan, and Yemen are all in this category. Average score on Human Development Index 0.58 0.70 0.82 Gross Domestic Product Per Capita, PPP $14,800 $14,500 $29,600 Gross Domestic Product Per Capita, PPP $12,800 $14,500 $29,600 What’s Inside? How Information Availability (Excluding oil-dependent countries) Varies with Overall Scores Source: Economist Intelligence Unit (Democracy Index), Transparency International (Corruption Perceptions Index), Reporters Without Borders (World Press Freedom Index), Global Conflict Risk Index, United Nations Development Programme (Human Development Index), International Monetary Fund No one cares about budget documents or transparency scores (Gross Domestic Product). per se. What really matters is the budget information that Note: Data availability for some indicators causes the number of countries included in some averages to differ. A lower score indicates higher levels of media freedom, while a higher conflict score indicates governments make available to citizens for them to analyze, a higher risk of conflict, and a higher corruption score indicates lower perceived corruption. “Full democracy” and “flawed democracy” are the labels assigned to countries demonstrating higher degrees discuss, and use to advocate for change. (For examples, see Box of democratization on the Economist Intelligence Unit’s Democracy Index relative to countries labeled as “authoritarian regime” or “hybrid regime.” Oil dependent countries are those for which oil rents 2.2 on pp. 16-17.) represent at least 20 percent of GDP.
9 The six categories are: “Expenditure,” which includes OBS questions 1-8 and 19-24; “Revenue,” which includes 9-12 and 25-30; “Debt,” which includes 13-14 and 31-32; “Macroeconomic,” which includes 15-16; “Policy & Performance,” which includes 17-18, 36, and 47-52; and “Fiscal Risk,” which includes 33-35 and 37-46. 14 Table 2.4: Average transparency score for six types of information found in Executive’s Budget Proposals, by OBI 2017 category
Policy & OBI Category Expenditure Revenue Debt Macroeconomic Fiscal Risk Performance Sufficient (61-100) 83 93 85 76 70 56 Limited (41-60) 69 81 68 33 41 35 Low (0-40) 49 54 42 25 26 20 All countries publishing an EBP 69 79 67 44 46 38
Note: Only the 88 countries that made an Executive’s Budget Proposal publicly available are included in these calculations. shed light on some of the fiscal risks the country may face in the future based on the commitments it has made. The compre- hensiveness of information provided increases for each of these groups as we move from low- to high-scoring country tiers.
As an example of the specific kinds of information that more transparent countries make available, sufficient transparency countries (OBI scores above 60) are roughly three times as likely as low transparency countries (OBI scores of 40 and below) to provide information on tax expenditures. Generally, sufficient transparency countries publish more backward- and forward-looking information, such as multi-year projections for revenue and spending, as well as more details about debt, and assets and liabilities. But even these higher-scoring coun- tries tend to provide insufficient information, on average, about their fiscal risks (such as contingent liabilities). Summary
■■ Budget transparency remains limited around the world, with many governments failing to publish key documents. Where such documents are published, they often lack essential information. Fewer than one in four surveyed countries provide sufficient budget information. ■■ The vast majority of countries in the survey could quickly improve transparency by making documents they already produce publicly available. Most countries that produce budget documents they do not publish online already publish other budget documents online and could easily do so for all documents. ■■ While the countries performing the best on the OBI tend to be wealthier, there are countries from all regions of the world and different income levels that release key budget documents and budget information. ■■ Even where documents are available, basic information that many citizens would likely wish to have on sector spending, budget implementation, and the goals and outcomes of spending are missing in most national budgets.
15 Box 2.2: What do people really want to know about the budget...and what does the Open Budget Survey have to say about it?
Here we focus on three examples of questions that people might ask about the budget, on the parts of the OBS that address those questions, and on what the survey tells us about how widely such information is available across the world.A
Question 1: How much does my government propose to spend on health care?
Citizens often want to know how much their government spends on a country would need to present its functional classification according to particular service and how that spending is changing over time. People international standards. (OBS Question 3) would also like to be able to compare what their country spends with what ■■ To assess health spending over time, you would need to have functional other countries are doing. Understanding how the government’s health spending from several years, both projections of future spending (OBS budget is changing is also one way of assessing whether it is making prog- Question 7) as well as historical data. (OBS Question 22) ress toward fulfilling national and international agreements, such as the ■■ If there are state corporations that support health services (such as Sustainable Development Goal on universal health coverage. We consider public insurers or suppliers), you will need information on spending that health care as an example here, but we could have asked the same question flows to these agencies. (OBS Question 37) of education or other services. ■■ Finally, if the health system is decentralized, funds to lower levels of government might not be captured under the central Ministry of Health Answering this question is not as simple as it sounds. People who try to budget or the functional classification of national spending. You would do so generally look only at the budget for the Ministry of Health. But this need quantitative and narrative information about such transfers. (OBS approach is likely incomplete, because not all health spending is necessarily Question 35) allocated to that ministry. To obtain a comprehensive picture of how much your government spends on health, you likely need at least the following The table below provides a summary of the level of availability of these information: types of information. While two-thirds of countries surveyed have a basic functional classification, less than half provide any of the other types of ■■ The budget needs a “functional classification” that organizes spend- information described above. So, certain simple questions, such as “how ing by functions or purposes, like health or education, and not just by much is the government spending on health this year compared to last ministries. This would ensure that health spending in different parts of year?”, cannot be answered easily in most countries (in 2017 only 31 coun- government is grouped together. (OBS Question 2) tries provide a functional classification from the previous year to compare ■■ To compare this to what other countries are spending on health, your with the current year allocations).
Table 1: Countries publishing key information to answer “How much does my government spend on health?”*
OBS Question OBS Question Percent of 115 Countries Surveyed Number
2 Functional classification? 67%
3 Functional classification using international standards? 44%
7 Functional classification for future years? 29%
22 Functional classification for past years? 27%
37 Transfers to state corporations? 32%
35 Transfers to other levels of government? 40%
* These figures are for countries with an “a” response (highest score). For Questions 7 and 22, which ask about the number (but not the type) of classifications in the budget, we confirmed the number that have functional classifications.
Question 2: Is my government implementing the budget as it was approved by the legislature?
We all know that government does not always spend the budget exactly ■■ The final approved – or enacted – budget (OBS Question EB-2) as planned. There are sometimes good reasons for this discrepancy. But if a ■■ Reports released throughout the year that show comparisons between country goes through a process of debating a budget and then agrees to it, the enacted budget and actual spending, as well as the reasons for its citizens should know whether the government is actually sticking to that these changes (OBS Questions 70 and 77) agreement. And if not, why not? ■■ A report at the end of the year that shows final spending against the original budget, with explanations for deviations (OBS Question 84) To assess government’s spending against the approved budget, you would ■■ For spending in a specific sector, like health, then the report at the end need the following information: of the year should also provide spending using the functional classifica- tion discussed above (OBS Question 85)
A. For a detailed survey of what civil society users are looking for in the budget, see Paolo de Renzio and Massimo Mastruzzi, “How Does Civil Society Use Budget Information? Mapping Fiscal Transparency Gaps and Needs in Developing Countries,” (Washington, D.C.: International Budget Partnership, December 2016) available at: https://www.internationalbudget.org/pblications/how-civil-society-uses-budget-information/ 16 Box 2.2: What do people really want to know about the budget...and what does the Open Budget Survey have to say about it?
The table below makes clear that enacted budgets are widely (though not budget available. Because less than half of countries use a functional clas- universally) available, but the other required information is not. Some 59 sification in their final reports, it is typically not possible to track the kind of percent of countries make data available on actual spending against budget spending by sector that many citizens are interested in. during implementation, but only 45 percent make final spending against
Table 2: Countries publishing key information to answer “Is my government implementing the budget as it was approved by the legislature?”*
OBS Question OBS Question Percent of 115 Countries Surveyed Number
EB-2 Approved (enacted) budget available? 87%
70 Comparisons between planned and actual spending during implementation? 59%
77 Updated budget by mid-year? 15%
84 Comparison of final spending to original budget? 45%
85 Actuals by functional classification? 46%
* These figures are for countries with an ”a” response (highest score) only in all cases. For Question 85, which asks about the number (but not the type) of classifications in the budget, we confirmed the number that have functional classifications.
Question 3: What is the government trying to achieve with the money it collects and spends?
Budgets are mainly descriptions of where money is going, rather than what ■■ Information about the purposes (and costs) of new policy proposals it will deliver. But many budgets now contain some information on the (OBS Question 17) intended uses and desired results of proposed spending. This information ■■ Information about the link between existing and new policies and the allows you to assess in more detail what the government is proposing to budget (OBS Question 47) do with your money. For example, a health department may use part of its ■■ Information about targets for the results government hopes to achieve budget to vaccinate children. The budget could indicate how many vaccines (OBS Question 51) it will purchase and how many children it hopes to vaccinate. These targets ■■ Information about performance against targets at the end of the year, could then be assessed against actual performance during the year. such as the number of vaccinations delivered against the original target To analyze these proposals, you would need the following information: (OBS Question 93)
Table 3: Countries publishing key information to answer “What is the government trying to achieve with the money it collects and spends?”*
OBS Question OBS Question Percent of 115 Countries Surveyed Number
17 Purposes and costs of new policy proposals? 27%
47 Link between existing and new policies and the budget? 33%
51 Targets for policy goals? 26%
93 Nonfinancial outputs versus targets? 12%
* These figures are for countries with an “a” response (highest score) on each question.
None of the indicators we consider above are available in more than a third of the countries surveyed in 2017. A third or less of the countries surveyed explain the costs or purposes of new policies or clarify how they link to the budget. Just over a quarter of the countries surveyed provide targets for the results they hope to achieve with the budget. Only 14 countries report back comprehensively at the end of the year on whether they achieved performance targets or not.
17
3 The End of Progress? Increases in Transparency Halted in 2017
The OBS 2017 uncovers an unfortunate development with have to be posted online in a timely manner to be considered regard to budget transparency. Our previous surveys all found publicly available. In previous surveys, budget documents that the overall OBI score increased from one round to the published only in hard copy (or in digital forms unavailable next, with the progress both steady and significant. But the online) were considered publicly available. This change was OBS 2017 indicates that budget transparency overall declined made to reflect the current ease of posting documents to the modestly over the past two years, with this regression primar- internet, as well as what constitutes good practice: online ily driven by countries in Sub-Saharan Africa providing less documents are far more accessible to the public than hard-copy budget information to the public than in 2015. documents, even where internet penetration is modest. We discuss this change further in Annex B.10 The modest decline in budget transparency from 2015 to 2017 was far from universal and has not erased the gains in There is an important regional dimension to this change in transparency achieved in previous survey rounds. In addition, transparency trends (see Table 3.1). The average OBI score for progress over the longer term has been most robust among the the countries of Sub-Saharan Africa fell from 2015 to 2017, group of countries that were least transparent to begin with. declining from 39 to 29 among the 27 countries for which data This progress, however, is of modest comfort considering that, from both surveys are available. In contrast, over the 2008 to as we saw in the previous chapter, a significant majority of 2015 period, budget transparency gains in Sub-Saharan Africa countries still fail to provide sufficient budget information. It substantially exceeded those in the rest of the world, as the remains to be seen if the recent negative trend will continue in region made positive gains in every survey. So, while Sub- future rounds or if the positive trends found prior to 2015 will Saharan Africa has still improved relative to 2008, it has gone reassert themselves. from the region in which the provision of budget information was growing most rapidly to the region in which the provision Previous rounds of the OBS were completed in 2006, 2008, of budget information declined the most. 2010, 2012, and 2015. After conducting the survey for more than a decade, IBP has amassed a wealth of data on how budget Meanwhile, the amount of budget information provided in other transparency has evolved over time and across countries. This countries rose modestly from 2015 to 2017. The average OBI chapter examines in detail the changes in budget transparency score inched up from 48 to 49 among the 75 countries outside of for the 102 countries surveyed in both 2015 and 2017, as well Sub-Saharan Africa for which there are comparable data. as the longer-term trend for the 77 countries surveyed consis- tently since 2008. We also consider some individual cases of There was, however, considerable variation among other countries that have made consistent progress over time, and regions. The countries within the South Asia region increased look in greater detail at what has happened in Sub-Saharan their budget transparency the most, although these gains only Africa in this round. made up for a portion of the significant drop in transparency they experienced from 2012 to 2015. The countries of East Asia Developments between 2015 and 2017 and the Pacific also increased the amount of budget informa- tion provided, while the Middle East and North Africa (from Among the 102 countries surveyed in both 2015 and 2017, an already low base) and Western Europe and the United States budget transparency has diminished in 2017. The average OBI (from a high base) showed modest declines in transparency. score in these countries fell from 45 in 2015 to 43 in 2017. Also of note, progress was particularly significant for the coun- tries outside of Sub-Saharan Africa that were least transparent A portion of this decline reflects a change in how we measure in 2015 (those with OBI scores of 40 or less in 2015). Their public availability. In 2017, for the first time, budget documents scores increased by three points, on average.
10 For comparison of the OBS 2017 results with the results from previous rounds, we use questions and definitions associated with each survey round. In other words, documents available only in hard copy are considered available to the public in 2015 and previous years, but not available to the public in OBS 2017. 19 Table 3.1: Regional changes in OBI scores, 2015-2017 Table 3.2: Change in number of countries publishing particular documents
Regional Average OBI between 2015 and 2017 Region 2015 2017 Change* Key budget document 2015 2017 Change East Asia & Pacific 41 44 3 Pre-Budget Statement 55 47 -8 Eastern Europe & Central Asia 54 55 1 Executive’s Budget Proposal 86 81 -5 Latin America & Caribbean 50 50 1 Enacted Budget 97 89 -8 Middle East & North Africa 21 20 -1 Citizens Budget 54 54 0 South Asia 42 46 5 In-Year Reports 82 73 -9 Sub-Saharan Africa 39 29 -11 Mid-Year Review 35 31 -4 Western Europe & the United States 74 73 -1 Year-End Report 73 68 -5 All countries 45 43 -2 Audit Report 67 69 2
Compares the 102 countries that were evaluated in both the 2015 and 2017 Open Budget Surveys. Total 549 512 -37 *Changes in Table 3.1 may not tally due to rounding. Compares the 102 countries that were evaluated in both the 2015 and 2017 Open Budget Surveys.
Global and regional averages also mask variation among coun- The decline in document publication is the main driver of the tries. Nineteen countries improved their OBI scores by more decrease in the global average OBI score, as opposed to less than five points from 2015 to 2017, including a dozen countries information being provided in those documents that were (Albania, Cambodia, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Fiji, Georgia, published. The comprehensiveness of available budget docu- Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nepal, Thailand, and Turkey) ments published in both 2015 and 2017 increased slightly, from that had double-digit gains. On the other hand, OBI scores a weighted average of 61 in 2015 to 62 in 2017. fell by more than five points over this period in 28 countries, including 15 countries with double-digit declines (Algeria, With regard to specific types of information, information on Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, debt, revenue policies, and multi-year spending in Pre-Budget Democratic Republic of Congo, Malawi, Niger, Rwanda, Sierra Statements was more likely to be available in 2017 than in 2015. Leone, Tanzania, Yemen, Zambia, and Zimbabwe). More information has also been made available in Executive’s Budget Proposals in 2017 in key categories such as transfers to Changes in the Publication of Documents state corporations and expenditures for the poor. On the other and Information hand, fewer countries in 2017 used an economic classification consistent with international standards in their budgets, and Among the 102 countries assessed in both 2015 and 2017, the fewer reported government finances on a consolidated basis, net number of budget documents published declined by 37 among other areas of declining transparency. (see Table 3.2). This is the first time since we began the survey that there has been a decrease in the number of documents Taking a Longer View: 2008-2017 published. This decrease was concentrated among the countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. The net number of budget documents The discouraging trend in overall budget transparency from in this region declined by 27, making up a significant majority 2015 to 2017 has not offset the overall progress that occurred in of the net decline in budget documents throughout the world. prior years. As measured by the OBI, countries still provided more budget information in 2017 than they did in 2012. And Considering the documents individually, there was a net every other round of the survey prior to 2012 also found overall negative change globally in the publication status of six of growth in the amount of information provided. them; the two exceptions are Citizens Budgets, which showed no net change in the number published in 2015 and 2017, and We first surveyed countries in 2006, but the number of coun- Audit Reports, which showed a net gain of two. The number of tries initially covered was relatively small. Taking 2008 as a Pre-Budget Statements, Enacted Budgets, and In-Year Reports starting point, there are 77 countries for which we have scores declined by sizable numbers over the past two years, dropping for every survey between that year and the current survey. by between eight and nine documents. The number of Execu- Overall, the average OBI score for these 77 countries rose by tive’s Budget Proposals – arguably the most essential budget six points during that period, despite the modest decline in document – fell by five. transparency between 2015 and 2017.
20 As the long-term comparisons in previous reports have shown, Consistent with the trend toward increased budget information progress has been most pronounced by far among those prior to 2015, there was also a substantial increase in the number countries that were least transparent to begin with. Moreover, of key budget documents that were made available to the public the trend among countries in the middle of the transparency in a timely fashion in that period. On balance, the long-term spectrum has been more positive than among those that document trend remains positive: the gains in document publi- already provided sufficient information. The countries that had cation prior to 2015 exceed the losses experienced since then, OBI scores of 20 or less in 2008 increased their scores by an especially when it comes to the number of Citizens Budgets. average of 19 points by 2017, the only category of countries for which progress should be considered robust (though most of Failure to Consolidate Gains these countries that improved still fall well short of providing from Previous Years sufficient budget information). Among those with OBI scores between 41 and 60 in 2008, the average increase through 2017 One driver of the modest decline in overall transparency iden- was five points. For the other score ranges, average scores tified in the OBS 2017 is that in some countries, particularly decreased modestly. in Sub-Saharan Africa, scores that rose significantly in 2015 have fallen back in 2017. This is the first survey round since Another way to assess changes over time is by examining the 2008 that exhibits more countries with major losses (greater number of countries falling into each of the three categories of than five points) than major gains, with 28 countries declining transparency we use in this report: low, limited, or sufficient versus 19 gaining (see Table 3.3). For the 32 countries whose transparency (see Figure 3.1). We find that the number of low- scores increased by more than five points between 2012 and transparency countries has fallen over time and the number of 2015, average scores went down by seven points in 2017. countries providing limited or sufficient information has risen. Among the 77 countries for which comparisons over a decade Table 3.3: Number of countries experiencing large changes in OBI score are possible, 36 had OBI scores of 40 or less in 2008, dropping between survey rounds to 24 countries with scores this low in 2017. Meanwhile, the Number of countries 2008 2010 2012 2015 number of countries with scores of 41-60 rose from 23 in 2008 whose OBI score: to 2010 to 2012 to 2015 to 2017 to 31 in 2017, and the number providing sufficient information Increased by more than five points 18 26 32 19 (a score of 61 or more) rose by four. Declined by more than five points 3 15 23 28 Total number of countries in both 77 93 100 102 survey rounds
Figure 3.1: Number of countries by category of transparency and year (countries This type of reversal is new. This is the first survey round when surveyed since 2008) average scores for countries that have made major gains in a previous round of the survey (posting increases of more than five points) actually fell back. For example, if we look at the 18
18 18 19 countries that increased their scores by more than five points 22 22 between 2008 and 2010, their average scores continued to increase in each survey round until 2017, when they declined by seven points from 2015. Similarly, if we follow the 26 coun-
23 28 tries that increased scores by more than five points between 30 30 31 2010 and 2012, the average score increased again in 2015, but their scores then stagnated in 2017. Number of Countries Some countries that had consistently published key budget
36 documents in a timely manner also stopped doing so in 2017. 31 28 25 24 This list includes a diverse set of countries from all regions of the world (see Table 3.4).
2008 2010 2012 2015 2017 Regression among countries that have previously led reform Low Limited Sufficient is worrying. Will this turn out to be a minor setback, or will this trend continue beyond 2017? Given that, across a number
21 Table 3.4: Documents made available to the public between 2008 and 2015, but Table 3.5: Selected examples of repeated changes in budget document not in 2017 publication, 2008-2017
Status in Open Document Status, by OBS Round Country Document Budget Survey 2017 Country Document 2008 2010 2012 2015 2017 Afghanistan In-Year Reports Published late Colombia Citizens Budget Bangladesh In-Year Reports Published late Pre-Budget Fiji Bolivia In-Year Reports Published late Statement Bosnia and Herzegovina In-Year Reports Published late Ghana In-Year Reports Croatia Pre-Budget Statement Published late Guatemala Citizens Budget Germany Mid-Year Review Not produced Pakistan Year-End Report Mongolia Pre-Budget Statement Published late Namibia Audit Report Not produced Philippines Mid-Year Review São Tomé e Papua New Guinea Pre-Budget Statement Published late In-Year Reports Príncipe Russia Pre-Budget Statement Published late Pre-Budget Produced for Slovenia Serbia Year-End Report Statement internal use only Thailand Audit Report Venezuela Enacted Budget Published late Executive’s Enacted Budget and Yemen Yemen Not produced Budget Proposal In-Year Reports
Available to the Public Not Produced • • • Published Late, or Not Published Online, or Produced for Internal Use Only of countries, documents are frequently published, then not published, then published again (see examples in Table 3.5), it of new budget documents: an extensive Mid-Year Review, and is hazardous to predict what 2019 will bring.11 six additional supporting documents to the Executive’s Budget Proposal, including a report on state debt. Case Studies of Changes in Transparency The United National Movement Party, which came into In this section, we consider in more detail specific cases of power as a result of protests against election manipulation, change over time in performance on the OBI. We look first at subsequently drafted the Strategic Vision for Public Financial cases where scores have been rising over successive rounds of Management. This vision guided a number of reforms, includ- the survey, such as Georgia, Jordan, Mexico, and Senegal. We ing program and performance budgeting starting in 2006, also consider Fiji, which performed well in 2017 but in which budget classification systems meeting international standards we find evidence of both increasing and decreasing transpar- in 2009, an E-Treasury system in 2010, and a central govern- ency and oversight. We then consider the Sub-Saharan Africa ment balance sheet in 2012.13 Key PFM legislation was passed region, which was an important driver of the overall decline in 2008-09, which consolidated central finance functions in scores in 2017. These case studies are based on conversa- within the Ministry of Finance.14 Reforms to the revenue tions between IBP, partners, country experts, and government administration system have also improved Georgia’s perfor- officials who have closely followed these developments. mance on the World Bank’s Doing Business report.15
Georgia: A flowering of transparency after Rose Revolution. Georgia received significant international support for PFM Georgia’s OBI score has risen from 34 in 2006 to 82 in 2017. reforms from the World Bank and the European Neighbour- These transparency improvements are linked to wider public hood and Partnership Instrument, among other donors. These financial management (PFM) reforms that have expanded reform programs included specific indicators on the timeliness and consolidated the availability of budget information. These and transparency of public finance information.16 Through reforms began with the Rose Revolution in 2003 – a peace- these programs, Georgia holds quarterly and annual review ful change of power supported by a coalition of opposition meetings to assess progress on its PFM strategy. parties, nongovernmental organizations, and media aligned with reform-minded politicians against corruption.12 For the Georgia had additional incentives to improve its public 2017 budget cycle, Georgia produced and published a number finances due to its goals of EU Association and participating in
11 For a more detailed assessment of these kinds of changes in budget document publication over time, see Paolo de Renzio, Daniel Hiller, and Suad Hasan, “Taking Stock of the Volatility of Budget Transparency,” Budget Brief (Washington, D.C.: International Budget Partnership, August 2017). 12 See Giorgi Kandelaki, “Georgia’s Rose Revolution: A Participant’s Perspective, Special Report” (Washington, D.C.: United States Institute of Peace, 2006). 13 Georgia Public Expenditure Review: Building a Sustainable Future (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, June 2017). 14 Verena Fritz, Marijn Verhoeven, and Ambra Avenia, Political Economy of Public Financial Management Reforms: Experiences and Implications for Dialogue and Operational Engagement (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 2017). 15 Doing Business 2018: Reforming to Create Jobs (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, October 2017). 22 16 “Georgia - Public Sector Financial Management Reform Support Project,” Implementation Completion and Results Report, no. ICR2445 (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, November 2012). the Open Government Partnership (OGP) in 2011. Thus, even 10 most transparent countries in the survey. The improvement when Georgia underwent a political transition to the opposi- in Mexico’s OBI 2017 score is largely attributable to improved tion party, Georgian Dream, in 2012, PFM reforms continued comprehensiveness in its Mid-Year Review (considered as such and were consolidated. Open Government Partnership for the first time in this round) and in the Executive’s Budget commitments on PFM reforms and a more transparent budget Proposal. Information captured in the OBI 2017 that was not process were completed in 2015, resulting in a revised Citizens available before includes details on individual tax revenue Budget. New commitments on citizen participation in the audit sources and an economic classification consistent with interna- process were added in 2016.17 tional standards.
Georgia’s progress on transparency has been driven by capable The drivers of change in Mexico go back more than two civil servants within the Ministry of Finance, many of whom decades to the democratization of the party system, the joined after the political change in 2004 and remain committed development of a robust civil society engaged in budget issues, to modernizing government. These officials have overcome and a series of legal reforms starting in 2002. Among other internal obstacles to reforming their PFM systems, such as things, these reforms have increased access to information and potential tensions with line ministries on budgeting practices modernized the budget process. More recently, the Program and procedures, by engaging in frequent assessment and learn- for a Modern Government, Close to the People (Programa para ing processes. un Gobierno Cercano y Moderno) was also approved in 2013.20 The program includes a target of an OBI score of 81 by 2018.21 Jordan: Wider democratic reform and key partnerships. This has created incentives for different federal units to adjust Jordan has improved its OBI score significantly since 2006, their practices and standards to ensure the relevant budget when it scored 50. In the OBS 2017, this score increased to 63, information is available as required by international standards. mainly due to the release of a new Mid-Year Review and the enhanced comprehensiveness of its budget documents, includ- The role of the Performance Evaluation Unit within the Minis- ing the addition of macroeconomic forecasts in the Pre-Budget try of Finance has also been critical. The unit is in charge of Statement and expenditure data by functional classification in policy planning and is the primary reviewer of the OBS ques- the Executive’s Budget Proposal. tionnaire. As officials have become more familiar with the OBS over time, they have been better able to understand interna- Jordan’s Ministry of Finance has been pursuing wider public tional standards and the relevance of providing budget infor- financial management reforms with international support from mation in a certain format. The long tenure and professional the EU and USAID, whose support is partly conditional on norms of finance officials in Mexico has ensured commitment transparency improvements.18 These reforms are complemen- across presidential terms. The inclusion of a commitment to tary to broader democratic reforms that have taken place in an open and participatory budget in the Second Action Plan Jordan following the 2011 Arab Spring protests in the region, submitted to the Open Government Partnership may have also including changes to the electoral process and political party contributed to greater budget transparency in Mexico.22 laws and an anti-corruption strategy that includes transpar- ency commitments.19 These steps suggest a government that is Finally, a deeper and ongoing technical dialogue between civil making a sustained commitment to improving fiscal transpar- society (Fundar, IBP) and the Performance Evaluation Unit has ency in the coming years. contributed to an improvement in the quality of information provided in budget documents. This was critical in relation to Mexico: Democratization, professionalization, and opening. the upgrading of the Criterios Generales de Política Económica, In 2009 the Mexican Secretary of Finance and Public Credit which is now considered a Mid-Year Review. began to work more consistently toward the publication of key budget information. This effort contributed to a steady increase Senegal: Regional and global partnerships support domestic in Mexico’s OBI score from 61 points in 2012, to 66 in 2015, reformers. The country increased its OBI score from 3 in 2008 and 79 in the current survey. Mexico now ranks among the top and 2010, to 43 in 2015, and to 51 in 2017. Between 2012 and
17 Lasha Gogidze,“Georgia: 2014-2016 End of Term Report” (Washington, D.C.: Open Government Partnership, 2016), available at https://www.opengovpartnership.org/sites/default/files/Georgia_EOTR_2014-2016_for-public-comment_ENG_0.pdf. 18 Support has also been provided by the World Bank, the IMF, and the aid agencies of Japan, Germany, France, and Korea. See John Wiggins, David Biggs, and Omar Al-Bokairat, “Jordan: PEFA Assessment 2016,” Project No. 2016/375005/1 (Spain: AECOM International Development Europe SL, February 2017). 19 “Jordan: Democracy, Rights & Governance,” USAID, last updated 5 September 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/jordan/democracy-human-rights-and-governance. See also Jordanian Embassy’s announcement on the National Integrity System, available at: http://www.jordanembassyus.org/sites/default/files/resources/national-integrity-system.pdf. 20 See “DECRETO que establece las medidas para el uso eficiente, transparente y eficaz de los recursos públicos, y las acciones de disciplina presupuestaria en el ejercicio del gasto público (Decreto de Austeri- dad), así como para la modernización de la Administración Pública Federal,” 10 December 2012, http://www.normateca.gob.mx/Archivos/92_D_3345_12-12-2012.pdf. 21 See “Programa para un Gobierno Cercano y Moderno 2013 – 2018, Sección III, Indicadores PGCM,” Diario Oficial de la Federación, 30 August 2013, http://www.dof.gob.mx/nota_detalle.php?codigo=5312420&fecha=30/08/2013. 22 See “Alianza para el Gobierno Abierto, Segundo Plan de Acción 2013-2015, México,” http://pa2015.mx/. The most recent plan, 2016-2018, also includes commitments. 23 Box 3.1: Sub-Saharan Africa: Failure to institutionalize past gains
The modest decline in the global OBI score in 2017 is primarily attributable to Sub-Saharan Africa, where the score for the region fell by 11 points between 2015 and 2017. Of the 27 Sub-Saharan African countries surveyed in both years, 15 saw their OBI scores decrease by more than five points. Senegal was the only country in the region that increased its OBI score by more than five points. This is in sharp contrast to previous rounds of the survey, when Sub-Saha- ran African countries made strong gains. For instance, 12 out of the 26 Sub-Saharan African countries included in both the 2012 and 2015 rounds increased their scores by more than five points over the period, and only two countries saw their OBI scores decline by more than five points.
The decline in 2017 is largely due to Sub-Saharan countries publishing fewer documents. Fourteen countries published fewer documents in 2017 than in 2015, while only two published more. In total, there were 27 fewer documents published in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2017 than in 2015. Of the documents that were published in 2015 but not in 2017, six were Executive’s Budget Proposals. Because of the significant weight given to the Executive’s Budget Proposal in the overall OBI score, the failure to publish this key document has a large effect on the overall decline in a country’s score. Of the five Sub-Saharan African countries whose score declined by more than 30 points, four did not publish their Executive’s Budget Proposal online in a timely manner.
Are results for Sub-Saharan Africa driven by the change in how we measure public availability of budget documents? Part of the decline in the number of published documents was due to the change in how we measure public availability. Starting in 2017, we counted only documents published online as publicly available. In prior rounds, documents available only in hard copy were also accepted as publicly available (See Annex B). Had the measure of availability not changed, there would have been only 10 fewer documents in 2017, rather than 27.
There are a number of cases where this matters. There are six countries in Sub-Saharan Africa that produced the same eight documents in hard copy in both 2015 and in 2017, but we considered those documents publicly available only in 2015. In this case, the change in our way of measuring availability affected the country’s score because the country did not change its practice. There are also cases (five in Sub-Saharan Africa) where a country did not make a document publicly available previously, but did make it available in hard copy in 2017. These countries would have scored higher in 2017 if we had not changed the way we measure public availability.
Because the OBI does not assess documents that it does not consider to be publicly available, we do not have scores for the documents published in hard copy in 2017. Thus we cannot estimate precisely the impact of the change in how we measure public availability. We therefore undertook a number of analyses, using different assumptions, to approximate the impact of this change on 2017 scores. These tests are described in Annex B. The results, which depend on several broad assumptions, show that scores for Sub-Saharan Africa would have fallen by between three and six points in 2017 if we had not changed our definition of public availability.
So, while the decline in the scores for Sub-Saharan Africa was exacerbated by the change in how we measure public availability, a portion of that decline would have occurred even without this update to the OBI.
Are results for Sub-Saharan Africa driven by a small set of outliers? There are five countries whose scores fell by more than 30 points in 2017: Botswana, Cameroon, Malawi, Tanzania, and Zambia. When these countries are removed, the overall decline for the region drops from 11 points to five points. This is consistent with the fact that the scores of 10 other countries in the region declined by more than five points and that only one experienced an increase of more than five points. So removing the countries with the largest declines affects the magnitude of the overall change in scores for the region, but it remains negative.
Can we say anything about the countries that performed better or worse in the region in 2017? There does not appear to be any overall trend explaining these differences. While we have not conducted in-depth analyses of the factors driving these changes, a superficial look at simple correlations reveals that changes in OBI scores in Sub-Saharan Africa are not strongly correlated with changes in democracy indices, income, oil dependence, or human development. These preliminary findings require further investigation, however.
The OBS 2017 results suggest that whatever factors contributed to improvements in transparency in the region between 2012 and 2015 were not sufficient to maintain these gains in 2017. Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa that increased their OBI score by more than five points between 2012 and 2015 declined by more on average between 2015 and 2017 than the countries that were not substantial improvers between 2012 and 2015.
Our assessment indicates that the decline in budget transparency across Sub-Saharan Africa cannot be attributed to any single phenomenon nor to systematic efforts to withhold information. While the regression observed could be reversed in the next round of the OBS, the Sub-Saharan African case highlights the importance of institutionalizing gains over time. Other research by IBP suggests that transparency improvements may require countries to move beyond conventional responses, including public finance laws or capacity building, and that more consistent domestic demand for budget informa- tion may be a necessary complement to these more conventional approaches.A
A. See de Renzio, Hiller, and Hasan, “Taking Stock of the Volatility of Budget Transparency.”
24 2015, the government made the Executive’s Budget Proposal history of publishing key budget documents has been irregular. and Citizens Budget publicly available for the first time. The In 2016 Fiji published the Executive’s Budget Proposal for government also resumed publishing the Enacted Budget the first time. Publishing this key budget document largely after failing to publish it in 2012. Between 2015 and 2017, the explains the increase in Fiji’s score on the Open Budget Index government made the Year-End Report available to the public from 15 in 2015 to 41 in 2017. for the first time and resumed its earlier practice of publishing the Audit Report. The government has stated that publishing the Executive’s Budget Proposal is part of its commitment to transparency and In 2016 the government committed to strengthening the accessibility of budget information. It also publishes additional budget process by ensuring parliamentary oversight of the supporting documents to the Executive’s Budget Proposal on budget, and by enhancing the capacity of its supreme audit new and ongoing programs on the ministry’s website. The institution to comply with international standards. It promised ministry received support from the IMF’s Pacific Financial to adopt measures in line with the High-Level Principles on Technical Assistance Centre in producing these updated docu- Fiscal Transparency enacted by the Global Initiative for Fiscal ments. After the close of the data collection period for the most Transparency (GIFT) and endorsed by the United Nation’s recent round of the Open Budget Survey, the Fijian govern- General Assembly in 2012.23 The government also expressed ment also took the positive step of publishing its Audit Report interest in joining the OGP and stressed the importance of online, including three reports from previous years. disclosing budget information and enabling citizen engage- ment at a 2016 OGP meeting.24 With the improvements in However, the government’s approach to transparency and Senegal’s publication of documents, it has now become eligible sound public financial management appears to be inconsistent. to join OGP. While newly releasing the Executive’s Budget Proposal in 2016, during the same period Fiji failed to publish or even produce Several key factors contributed to the improvements in budget the Year-End Report and the Pre-Budget Statement, both of transparency in Senegal. The government has noted the role of which were produced and made available to the public previ- the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) ously. in driving reforms and the impressive gains in the region on the Open Budget Survey.25 Senegal has implemented WAEMU Gains in transparency have also been partially countered by directives on fiscal transparency that are in line with global reduced oversight from the legislature. Under Standing Order standards by adopting them into national legislation.26 51 in Parliament, which was adopted in December 2014, the legislature has presented, debated, and passed spending bills National and international civil society organizations, the on the same day, drastically reducing legislative review of the media, and development partners such as the European Union, budget. Debates on the annual budget proposal have also been the IMF, UNDP, the French government, USAID and the shortened – while parliament previously had two weeks to World Bank, have also played a role in budget transparency debate the draft budget, the timeline has now been reduced to reforms.27 The government has engaged in technical discus- one week. sions with Senegalese civil society, IBP, the Collaborative Africa Budget Reform Initiative (CABRI), and development While the recent publication of Fiji’s Audit Report was an partners to analyze budget transparency gaps and develop an important transparency advance, the opposition committee action plan. The government continues to work with various chair of the Public Accounts Committee who had pushed stakeholders to follow up on its promised reforms.28 for this change was voted out of his leadership role, and the government changed parliamentary rules to allow a member Fiji: Rising score but mixed signals on transparency. Fiji of the governing party to chair the committee. In addition, represents a complex case of changing transparency practices, the government has placed restrictions on civil society, such where an increased overall OBI score is in tension with declin- as prohibiting organizations that receive donor funding to ing transparency and oversight in specific areas. Since first organize meetings, or carry out awareness or public discussion starting to participate in the Open Budget Survey in 2008, Fiji on elections. This decision shows that even while Fiji’s trans- has made progress in its overall score on the OBI, although its parency score may have increased due to the publication of its
23 Senegal Country Statement, Anti-Corruption Summit – London 2016, accessed 12 May 2016, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/anti-corruption-summit-country-statements. 24 Mr. Mor Diouf, Executive Secretary of Senegal’s Project for the Coordination of Budgetary and Financial Reforms (PCRBF), panel discussion, Open Government Partnership Summit, Paris, France, December 2016. 25 Mr. Mor Diouf, OGP Summit. 26 The Senegalese government adopted the WAEMU Directive of 27 March 2009 on the Code of Transparency in Public Financial Management into its own legislation in December 2012. LOI n° 2012-22 du 27 décembre 2012, Journal Officiel, Republique du Senegal, www.jo.gouv.sn/spip.php?article9605. 27 Budget Transparency: An unprecedented workshop between the State of Senegal, the International Budget Partnership (IBP) and Civil Society,” ONG-3D, 10 June 2016, http://www.forum-srds.com/V1_3D/?p=972. 28 Moustapha Doukoure and Aarti Shah, “Reflections on budget transparency in Francophone Africa,” CABRI, 2 August 2016, http://www.cabri-sbo.org/en/blog/2016/reflections-on-budget-transparency-in-francophone-africa. 25 Executive’s Budget Proposal, the government’s commitment to enhancing transparency and accountability remains weak. Summary
■■ Budget transparency failed to improve between 2015 and 2017, declining modestly. The decline was most pronounced in Sub-Saharan Africa but also affected some other regions to a lesser degree. While part of this decline was caused by the change in how public availability is defined, there was also a genuine decline in the public availability of budget information. ■■ The decline in transparency was driven by the failure to release documents to the public. The overall range of infor- mation provided in those documents that were published actually increased marginally between 2015 and 2017. ■■ Overall, the decline in budget transparency in 2017 did not erase the gains from previous rounds of the survey, so more budget information is available to the public now than was the case a decade ago. This is particularly true for the countries that were least transparent in earlier rounds of the survey.
26
4 Assessing Oversight Institutions
This chapter examines the role of oversight institutions in the survey draw on principles from the IMF and the INTOSAI. the budget process. We focus on legislatures, supreme audit Our changes in the questions mean that the 2017 assessment of institutions (SAIs), and, for the first time, independent fiscal oversight is not directly comparable with the 2015 assessment. institutions (IFIs). Overall, we find that only 28 percent of legislatures have scores Oversight institutions are core to effective democratic indicating adequate oversight practices, while two-thirds government and public financial management. They provide of SAIs have adequate practices. Legislatures practice more “horizontal” accountability, which distinguishes them from adequate oversight during budget formulation and approval the “vertical” accountability relationship that exists between than they do during implementation. While there are now citizens and government, which is discussed in the next chap- IFIs in 28 countries, only 18 of these are both independent and ter. However, horizontal and vertical accountability should not sufficiently resourced to carry out their functions. While we do be viewed simply as parallel checks on the government, but not claim to offer a comprehensive assessment of all types of rather as interrelated mechanisms. oversight institutions, we do believe the survey results provide a reasonable sense of whether country budget systems include Without effective legislatures and auditors, citizen influence effective checks and balances that advance integrity and over budget policy and implementation is constrained. Even the accountability in the use of public resources. most active citizens cannot replace dedicated oversight bodies that have both the mandate and the resources to check the exec- Legislative Oversight utive branch. These institutions also ensure that the government releases information, and, in some cases, such as IFIs, they also Legislatures can play a role in all four stages of the budget help to analyze that information. Their efforts enable citizens to process. They can help set the main contours of the budget and play their own role effectively. At the same time, without active define priorities, and they can monitor budget implementation citizens, oversight institutions are weakened. Active citizens and review audit reports. share information with auditors and legislators about areas where government is not achieving its objectives, and these The OBS 2017 reveals that only 32 country legislatures (28 citizen inputs should help oversight bodies focus on those areas percent) out of 115 surveyed have adequate oversight practices. where they may have the most impact. A plurality of 47 countries (41 percent) have only limited legislative oversight, while 36 countries (31 percent) have weak For this round of the OBS, we reviewed the questions on legislative oversight. oversight institutions; we modified some of them and added others to focus on the key levers for effective monitoring. Our Formulation and approval. We asked one question about the revised measures emphasize the role of legislative committees legislature’s role in budget formulation in 2017. We wanted to in the budget process and the actual powers of both legislatures know whether legislatures debate budget policies before the and SAIs. We also added a section on IFIs — independent, tabling of the budget. Such a debate can help ensure that there nonpartisan institutions, normally attached to the executive is wider public scrutiny of the broad strategic choices in the or legislature, that make fiscal forecasts and estimate the cost budget, rather than lumping discussions of broad priorities of policies. This addition was made to recognize the recent together with the discussion of detailed matters of allocation in emergence of these important actors in the budget system and the budget’s approval stage. to investigate how they operate. The new questions on IFIs are based in part on the OECD principles adopted in February There are currently 29 countries in which the legislature (in 2014 and on work by the IMF.29 Other questions in this part of full or by committee) debates and approves key policy recom-
29 For a discussion of these principles and of IFIs more broadly in the OECD, see Lisa von Trapp, Ian Lienert, and Joachim Wehner, “Principles for Independent Fiscal Institutions and Case Studies,” OECD Journal on Budgeting 15, no. 2 (22 March 2016): 9-24. See also, “The Functions and Impact of Fiscal Councils,” Policy Paper (Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund, 16 July 2013), https://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2013/071613.pdf. 29 mendations prior to the tabling of the budget. This includes an review the budget. In 21 countries, the legislature has less than assortment of countries from different regions of the world, a month to review the budget or does not receive the budget in such as Brazil, Canada, Kenya, Nepal, Russia, South Africa, advance at all. and Spain. In other countries, the legislature either debates but does not approve any recommendations, or does not even Budgets should also be adopted far enough in advance of the debate such policies prior to the presentation of the budget. budget year so that agencies and citizens can prepare for their implementation. But of the 73 countries where the legislature does receive the budget more than two months in advance of the Figure 4.1: Countries grouped by 2017 legislative oversight score budget year, in only 30 of them does the legislature approve the 50 budget more than a month before the start of the budget year. There are 14 countries where the legislature receives the budget 47 more than a month before the start of the budget year but does
40 not approve it until after the beginning of the budget year.
36 When we look at budget approval, a critical question is whether legislatures have the legal power to amend the budget, and if 30 32 so, whether they use such power. Box 4.1 looks at this issue.
Implementation. It is imperative that legislatures provide over- 20