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5-31-2011 Security Force Post 2012 / [presentation given on May 17, 2011] Sinan Geci

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Recommended Citation Geci, Sinan, "Kosovo Security Force Post 2012 / [presentation given on May 17, 2011]" (2011). Thesis. Rochester Institute of Technology. Accessed from

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Rochester Institute of Technology

Kosovo Security Force Post 2012

Sinan Geci 17 May, 2011

Email: [email protected] WHAT WILL KOSOVO SECURITY FORCE LOOK LIKE IN POST 2012? WHAT WILL KOSOVO SECURITY FORCE LOOK LIKE IN POST 2012?

photobucket.com WHAT WILL KOSOVO SECURITY FORCE LOOK LIKE IN POST 2012?

photobucket.com STRATEGIC REGIONAL COMPATIBILITY: EUROATLANTIC INTEGRATION

Source:International Institute for Strategic Studies KFOR PERSONNEL REDUCTION 1999 - 2010

Source: KFOR SECURITY VACUUM IN KOSOVO

Source: Personnel Dep. MKSF METHODOLOGY

• Historical approach • Chronological approach of events in Kosovo- including KFOR • Personal communication- Personnel Dep, Finance Dep, Procurement Dep, military officers • Questionnaire • Recommendations to the KSF LIMITED MISSION

• The KSF mission is to conduct crisis response operations in Kosovo and abroad

• Civil protection operations within Kosovo

• To assist the civil authorities in responding to natural disasters and other emergencies.

• operations

• Explosive ordnance disposal, the control and clearance of hazardous materials, fire-fighting - and other humanitarian assistance tasks

Source: MKSF “Mission” SECURITY & DEMOCRATIC PRINCIPLES Q 1. Is the Security Sector in Kosovo consistent with the democratic principles? Answer with Yes or No? a. Is state security and defense fully consistent with principles and norms of democracy? Yes No b. Is KSF under democratic and civilian control? Yes No c. Is KSF as apolitical as possible? Yes No a b c

MA

MKSF KSF, REFORM OR TRANSFORMATION

• Q 4. Will KSF need to go through another reform or transformation after 2012? Circle the two most important suggestions? a. Keep KSF as it is? b. Restructure of the KSF? c. Go through a suitable vetting process of the existing KSF members? KSF & MEMBERS POST 2012

• Q 8. Assuming that the law on KSF changes after 2012, will the number of the uniformed KSF personnel increase? Circle the number you think is most appropriate ? a. 2500 b. 3500 c. 4500 d. 6500 KOSOVO SECURITY FORCE OR KOSOVO DEFENSE FORCE?

• Current KSF mission does not include: - protection and defense of Kosovo’s territory, its air space, critical national infrastructure, and national interests - the capability to safeguard its borders against illegal and clandestine entry or exit of persons and goods - to protect and secure physical safety and the property of all its citizens and inhabitants - to protect the country against organised crime or any group that intends to overthrow the government through violent means or to disturb the constitutional order in the country

Source: DCAF RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE GOVERNMENT OF KOSOVO

1. To accelerate strategic regional compatibility: euroatlantic integration initiatives starting from membership into Adriatic Charter

2. KSF has to reach full operational capabilities (FOC) as soon as possible

3. Implement constitutional review Kosovo’s Future Defense Force

4. Consider the defense budget scenarios 2012 – 2017 REACH FULL OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY (FOC)

• To be a force that meets all the required standards set out by NATO

• KSF, to reach the required number of 2500 active members and 800 reserves

• It aims to reach the goal of minimum 10% minority and 15% females

• A self-sustainable recruitment, screening and selection process. IMPLEMENT CONSTITUTIONAL REVIEW Kosovo’s Future Defense Force

• Rapid withdrawal of KFOR and the security needs of Kosovo as a sovereign state, thus KDF

• Capability and capacity to defend itself

• Mission change to include: protection and defense of Kosovo’s territory, its air space, critical national infrastructure, and national interests. DEFENSE BUDGET SCENARIOS 2012 – 2017 KSF Budget 2009 – 2011 (Million Euros) MILITARY EXPENDITURE IN WBS IN TERMS OF GDP % BUDGET SCENARIOS for KSF/KDF 2012 – 2017

• Assumption of Annual GDP Growth and Annual Budget Increase for KSF/Kosovo Defense Force 2011 – 2017 MILITARY PERSONNEL IN WBS MILITARY PERSONNEL IN WBS Conclusion: KOSOVO DEFENSE FORCE

• Rapid withdrawal of KFOR and slow build up of KSF equals to insecurity

• Mission change to reflect the security situation

• New Organisation to reflect the security needs QUESTIONS