STATE OF PLAY: RENEWABLE ENERGY LEADERS AND LOSERS
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU Thank you for supporting the Climate Council.
The Climate Council is an independent, crowd-funded organisation providing quality information on climate change to the Australian public.
Published by the Climate Council of Australia Limited. ISBN: 978-0-6486793-7-0 (print) 978-0-6486793-6-3 (digital) © Climate Council of Australia Ltd 2019 This work is copyright the Climate Council of Australia Ltd. All material contained in this work is copyright the Climate Council of Australia Ltd except where a third party source is indicated. Climate Council of Australia Ltd copyright material is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia License. To view a copy of this license visit http://creativecommons.org.au. You are free to copy, communicate and adapt the Climate Council of Australia Ltd copyright material so long as you attribute the Climate Council of Australia Ltd and the authors in the following manner: State of Play: Renewable Energy Leaders and Losers. Authors: Ella Weisbrot, Tim Baxter, Greg Bourne, Andrew Stock and Fiona Ivits.
— Cover image: Image courtesy of Gullen Range Wind Farm. This report is printed on 100% recycled paper.
facebook.com/climatecouncil [email protected]
twitter.com/climatecouncil climatecouncil.org.au PREFACE iv
Preface
States and territories are leading the transition to renewable energy in Australia, as the Federal Government is not only failing to lead but getting in the way of progress.
Every year the Climate Council tracks the relative progress of Australian states and territories based on their performance across a range of renewable energy metrics: share of electricity from renewable energy; proportion of households with rooftop solar; large-scale wind and solar capacity per capita; and targets or policies in place to support the transition. We outline the progress made by each state and territory government over the last twelve months in the race to a renewable future. This report is the Climate Council’s fifth scorecard evaluating state and territory progress on renewable energy. This report follows on from previous state and territory renewable energy updates in 2014, 2016, 2017, and 2018.
We appreciate the assistance of Huw Jones in the preparation of this report. We would also like to thank the relevant state and territory departments for reviewing and providing feedback on the state and territory profiles.
Authors
Ella Weisbrot Tim Baxter Researcher (Climate Solutions) Senior Researcher (Climate Solutions)
Greg Bourne Andrew Stock Climate Councillor Climate Councillor
Fiona Ivits Cities Power Partnership THE AUSTRALIAN RENEWABLE ENERGY RACE: 201 SCORE CARD SA FRONT ACT RUNNERS TAS
VIC CATCHING UP QLD NSW AT THE WA STARTING BLOC S NT
Wind & solar Renewable capacity per % solar Renewable Net zero State / electricity person (kW) households energy emissions Territory: (2018) (March 2019) (Oct 2019) targets targets Highlights
51.2% 1.25 35.0% Net 100% in Net zero Aiming for 100% renewables in the 2030s. SA the 2030s by 2050 Over 50% wind and solar energy in the grid.
54.1% 1.27 16.1% 100% by 2020 Net zero On track to achieve 100% renewable ACT by 2045 energy from 1 January 2020.
94.6% 0.60 15.1% 100% by 2022 Net zero Aiming to support the National Electricity TAS by 2050 Market as the Battery of the Nation.
17.3% 0.34 17.9% 25% by 2020; Net zero Legislated 50% renewable energy target 40% by 2025; by 2050 by 2030. VIC 50% by 2030 Greatest capacity of wind and solar projects in the pipeline.
8.8% 0.38 35.7% 50% by 2030 Net zero Installed the most large-scale wind and QLD by 2050 solar per capita since last year’s report.
17.3% 0.25 20.4% - Net zero Shortlisting large-scale renewables and NSW by 2050 storage for funding and supporting uptake of rooftop solar and batteries.
8.2% 0.28 28.8% - Net zero Introduced an aspirational target of net WA by 2050 zero emissions by 2050.
4.0% 0.12 18.1% 50% by 2030 (Draft target) Introduced a draft aspirational target of NT Net zero net zero emissions by 2050. by 2050 CLIMATE COUNCIL i
Contents
Preface...... iv
Key Findings...... ii
1. The year in review: Leaders and losers in the renewables race...... 1
2. States and territories step up as the Federal Government deserts the field...... 3
3. State and Territory Renewable Energy Scorecard 2019...... 8 3.1 Percentage renewable electricity 9 3.2 Wind and solar capacity per person 12 3.3 Proportion of households with rooftop solar 14 3.4 Renewable energy and emissions reduction targets and policies 18
4. The leaderboard: State and territory by renewable energy progress...... 21 4.1 Front runners 22 4.2 Catching up 31 4.3 At the starting blocks 37
5. Leadership at the local level: Councils step up in the renewable energy race...... 45
6. Afterword: Moving on without the Federal Government...... 49
References...... 51
Image Credits...... 55 ii STATE OF PLAY: RENEWABLE ENERGY LEADERS AND LOSERS
Key Findings 1 2 South Australia has won this year’s state and Victoria and Queensland are making good territory renewables race, with the ACT and progress on the transition to renewable Tasmania hot on its heels. energy, but will need to work hard to catch the front runners. › South Australia, the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) and Tasmania are way ahead of the other › Victoria wins the ‘Rising Star’ Award for having states and territories across a range of renewable the most substantial capacity of large-scale energy metrics. These include share of renewable wind and solar projects in the pipeline of any energy, wind and solar capacity per capita, and state or territory. policies in place to support the transition to renewable energy. › Queensland wins the ‘Most Improved’ Award for eclipsing the other states and territories in › South Australia is a global leader in transitioning terms of increased large-scale wind and solar to a grid with a high share of wind and solar PV capacity per person from last year’s report. energy. The state now generates over half of its Nearly half of the large-scale renewable energy electricity from wind and solar, and is aiming for projects completed across Australia in 2018 net 100% renewable energy in the 2030s. were in Queensland.
› The ACT is on track to achieve 100% renewable › Despite progress, Queensland is not on track to energy from 1 January 2020. This is a remarkable meet its target of 50% renewable energy by 2030. achievement and makes the ACT just the eighth jurisdiction in the world with a population above › The Queensland Government continues to 100,000 – and the only one outside of Europe – support new fossil fuel developments in the to achieve 100% renewable electricity. state, which is fundamentally at odds with action on climate change. › Tasmania’s Battery of the Nation plan could double Tasmania’s renewable energy capacity and generate local jobs and billions of dollars in investment. KEY FINDINGS iii
3 4 New South Wales and Western Australia are the States and territories are driving the transition only states without a renewable energy target, to a renewable future, in the face of the Federal while the Northern Territory ranks last or near Government’s lack of leadership. the bottom on most other metrics. › Increasing global temperatures – driven primarily › The Northern Territory wins the ‘Wooden Spoon’ by greenhouse gas emissions from burning coal, for finishing last in this year’s renewables race, as oil and gas – are exacerbating extreme weather it has in every scorecard to date. However, recent events in Australia and globally. Australians are signals from the Northern Territory Government enduring bushfire conditions, heatwaves and are encouraging. flooding made worse by climate change.
› The Northern Territory recently announced a › To tackle climate change effectively, we must draft aspirational target for net zero emissions by rapidly reduce our greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, making it the last state or territory to release accelerating the uptake of renewable energy and a net zero target. While this is an important step storage technologies. Emissions have been rising in the right direction, the draft plan supports year-on-year for five years under the Federal expansion of the territory’s gas industry, which is Government. This is why leadership from states incompatible with achieving net zero emissions. and territories is so crucial.
› Like the Northern Territory, Western Australia’s › If the Northern Territory’s draft target for net Government is supporting gas developments, zero emissions is adopted, it will mean that all while the New South Wales Government states and territories will have a target for net zero continues its vocal support for coal. There can emissions by 2050 at the latest. Australia will have be no new coal or gas projects, whether for a de facto target even in the absence of Federal export or domestic use, if Australia is to address Government leadership or policy. intensifying climate change. › The Federal Government is not only failing to lead, it is getting in the way of state and territory leadership on renewable energy. As a result, several states and territories have declared the intention to go it alone on renewable energy policy. It is time for all states and territories to create their own forums for coordination and move on without the Federal Government.
climatecouncil.org.au 1 STATE OF PLAY: RENEWABLE ENERGY LEADERS AND LOSERS
1. The year in review: Leaders and losers in the renewables race
Following the summary on the transition. Section Four profiles progress next page, Section Two outlines the made by each state and territory since broader context underpinning this last year’s report. Section Five highlights report. Section Three dives into the leadership at the local government level. scorecard criteria, including share of Lastly, the Afterword calls for states and renewable energy, large-scale wind territories to create their own forums for and solar capacity per person, share coordination and move on without the of households with rooftop solar, and Federal Government. policies and targets to support the
Figure 1: South Australia is in first place and is a global leader in transitioning to a grid with a high share of wind and solar backed by storage, thanks to projects such as the Hornsdale Wind Farm and Power Reserve. THE YEAR IN REVIEW LEADERS AND LOSERS IN THE RENEWABLES RACE
Each year the Climate Council compares the State and territory governments are leading the way progress of states and territories across a range of in transitioning to renewables, as the Federal renewable energy metrics: share of renewable Government abandons the field on credible climate electricity; share of households with rooftop solar; and energy policy. While all states and territories are large-scale wind and solar capacity per capita; and making progress, some are way ahead in the race government targets or policies in place to support towards a renewable future, while others are still the transition. This report is the Climate Council’s tying their shoes: fifth scorecard.
1ST PLACE: SOUTH AUSTRALIA 2ND PLACE: ACT
In first place, South Australia is now over 50% Winning an ‘Honourable Mention’, the ACT renewable and is aiming for 100% in the 2030s. is on track for 100% renewable energy from The state is a global leader in integrating a high 2020, and announced a new reverse auction share of wind and solar into the grid. The state to ‘future proof’ this achievement. Shifting government has released a Hydrogen Action focus to new sources of emissions, the ACT Plan, one of several states and territories released a strategy for net zero emissions by seeking to seize the opportunities provided by 2045, focusing on emissions from transport renewable hydrogen. and the built environment.
3RD PLACE: TASMANIA TH PLACE: VICTORIA
Tasmania rounds out the front runners in Coming fourth, Victoria wins the ‘Rising third place this year. The state is on track to hit Star’ Award for having the greatest capacity of 100% renewable energy by 2022. Tasmania is large-scale wind and solar in the pipeline. progressing in its ambition to be the ‘Battery The state recently legislated a Victorian of the Nation’, conducting feasibility studies of Renewable Energy Target of 50% by 2030, and three pumped hydro sites that could supply a 4 has committed $1.3 billion to Solar Homes, a massive new interconnector to Victoria over program to increase rooftop solar and storage. the next 10-15 years.