VOL. 97 NO. 8 15 APR 2016 Embracing Open Data in Field-Driven Sciences

Climate Change and Food Security

Landslide’s Rocky Secrets

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fallmeeting.agu.org Earth & Space Science News Contents

15 APRIL 2016 PROJECT UPDATE VOLUME 97, ISSUE 8

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Students, Meet Data Lessons that incorporate publicly available data from Earth-observing sensors can expose students to the thrill of scientific discovery.

NEWS

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Forensic Analysis of Landslide Reveals Rocky Secrets Scientists used drones, seismic data, and eyewitness accounts to figure out what unleashed an unthinkably large landslide on a spring day in Colorado.

MEETING REPORT

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COVER

Mexico’s University Network 11 of Atmospheric Observatories Assessing Impacts of Increasing cooperation in Mexico benefits climatologists, Climate Change on Food meteorologists, and science as a whole. Security Worldwide

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 1 Contents

DEPARTMENTS

Editor in Chief Barbara T. Richman: AGU, Washington, D. C., USA; eos_ [email protected] Editors Christina M. S. Cohen Wendy S. Gordon Carol A. Stein California Institute Ecologia Consulting, Department of Earth and of Technology, Pasadena, Austin, Texas, USA; Environmental Sciences, Calif., USA; wendy@ecologiaconsulting​ University of Illinois at [email protected]​ .com Chicago, Chicago, Ill., USA; [email protected] José D. Fuentes David Halpern Department of Meteorology, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pennsylvania State Pasadena, Calif., USA; University, University davidhalpern29@gmail​ Park, Pa., USA; .com [email protected] Editorial Advisory Board M. Lee Allison, Earth and Space John W. Lane, Near-Surface Science Informatics Jian Lin, Tectonophysics 9 Mark G. Flanner, Atmospheric Figen Mekik, Paleoceanography Sciences and Paleoclimatology Nicola J. Fox, Space Jerry L. Miller, Ocean Sciences and Aeronomy Michael A. Mischna, Planetary Sciences 12–13 Opinion Steve Frolking, Biogeosciences Thomas H. Painter, Cryosphere Sciences Edward J. Garnero, Study of the Philip J. Rasch, Global Environmental Embracing Open Data Earth’s Deep Interior Change in Field-Driven Sciences. Michael N. Gooseff, Hydrology Eric M. Riggs, Education Brian C. Gunter, Geodesy Adrian Tuck, Nonlinear Geophysics Kristine C. Harper, History Sergio Vinciguerra, Mineral of Geophysics and Rock Physics 26–29 Research Spotlight Susan E. Hough, Natural Hazards Andrew C. Wilcox, Earth and Planetary How Oceans Could Change If We Emily R. Johnson, Volcanology, Surface Processes Geochemistry, and Petrology Earle Williams, Atmospheric Reverse Anthropogenic Warming; Keith D. Koper, Seismology and Space Electricity Objects That Slam into Ceres Robert E. Kopp, Geomagnetism Mary Lou Zoback, Societal Impacts Remain on Its Surface; Tracking and Paleomagnetism and Policy Sciences Radioactive Cesium Released Staff During Fukushima Disaster; Soil Production and Design: Faith A. Ishii, Production Manager; Melissa A. Tribur, Loses Pyrogenic Carbon by an Senior Production Specialist; Liz Castenson, Editorial and Production Coordinator; 26 Yael Fitzpatrick, Manager, Design and Branding; Valerie Bassett and Travis Frazier, Unexpected Pathway; The High Electronic Graphics Specialists Cost of Switching Power Sources. Editorial: Peter L. Weiss, Manager/Senior News Editor; Mohi Kumar, Scientific 3–9 News What Causes the Strange Pulses Content Editor; Randy Showstack, Senior News Writer; JoAnna Wendel, News Writer in Saturn’s Magnetosphere?; Marketing: Angelo Bouselli, Marketing Program Manager; Jamie R. Liu, Manager, Dirty Water: Unintended Marketing Unknown Tsunami Trigger Hides Consequence of Climate Advertising: Christy Hanson, Manager; Tel: +1-202-777-7536; Email: advertising@ Along a Creeping Aleutian . agu.org Resiliency; Forensic Analysis of Landslide Reveals Rocky Secrets; ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. Material in this issue may 30–31 Positions Available be photocopied by individual scientists for research or classroom use. Permission Faster-Merging Snow Crystals is also granted to use short quotes, figures, and tables for publication in scientific Speed Greenland Ice Sheet Current job openings in the Earth books and journals. For permission for any other uses, contact the AGU Publications Melting; McNutt Breaks Barriers and space sciences. Office. as Incoming Science Academy Eos (ISSN 0096-3941) is published semi-monthly, on the 1st and 15th of the month by the American Geophysical Union, 2000 Florida Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20009, President; USGS Budget Plan to USA. Periodical Class postage paid at Washington, D. C., and at additional mailing Advance Earth Observations, 32 Postcards from the Field offices. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to Member Service Center, 2000 Florida Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20009, USA. Hazards Measures; NOAA’s Two whole-ecosystem warming Member Service Center: 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Eastern time; Tel: +1-202-462-6900; 2017 Budget Would Support enclosures operated in the U.S. Forest Fax: +1-202-328-0566; Tel. orders in U.S.: 1-800-966-2481; Email: [email protected]. Observational Infrastructure. Service’s Marcell Experimental Forest Use AGU’s Geophysical Electronic Manuscript Submissions system to submit a in northern Minnesota. manuscript: http://eos-submit.agu.org. Views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect official positions of the 10–11 Meeting Reports American Geophysical Union unless expressly stated. Planetary Caves’ Role in Astronaut On the Cover Christine W. McEntee, Executive Director/CEO Bases and the Search for Life; Mexico City, Mexico. Credit: Assessing Impacts of Climate © David R. Frazier Photolibrary, Inc. / Change on Food Security Worldwide. Alamy Stock Photo.

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humans but probably also from dogs and Dirty Water: Unintended birds. In a sample of water as it was pumped into a canal, the researchers found 21,000 Consequence of Climate Resiliency ­colony-forming​­ units (CFU) per 100 millili- ters, whereas the acceptable level as deter- mined by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency is 35 CFU per 100 milliliters. This level is extraordinarily high, “about one thousand times higher than the level allowed by water quality criteria for recre- ational water,” said Chris Sinigalliano, direc- tor of the Molecular and Environmental Microbiology laboratory at NOAA AOML. These microbes probably aren’t all coming from the street, Gidley said. Miami Beach is an old community filled with old infrastruc- ture that includes sewage systems that may be leaking, retired septic tanks, and poten- tially unidentified sanitary infrastructure from years past. Furthermore, the commu- nity sits on a bed of porous limestone, so as the tide rises, it doesn’t just overtop canal borders—it soaks up through the soil, picking up bacteria on its way. Although they didn’t test directly for the presence of pathogens, Gidley noted that any- time there is fecal matter, “there is potential for pathogens.”

maxstrz, CC BY 2.0 (http://bit.ly/ccby2-0) 2.0 maxstrz, CC BY Future Flooding Risks Floodwater full of debris inundates an intersection in Miami Beach, Fla. A pilot study last year found harmful bacteria in Gidley and her colleagues’ research is just floodwater there after that city’s climate resiliency system sucked up and pumped the water into an adjoining bay. beginning, she pointed out, but this pilot study will be a good reference for the city as it continues to improve its climate change he city of Miami Beach, Fla., has made Miami Beach officials hit this problem resiliency systems. leaps and bounds in climate change head on. In 2014, the city tested its first Research on sea level rise has found that T resiliency by building an extensive multimillion-dollar­ pumping system to coastal cities in the are particu- pump system to rid its streets of ocean flood- reroute floodwater back into canals, where it larly vulnerable as anthropogenic climate water, but now the community faces a new would flush into Biscayne Bay. The system change alters sea levels around the world (see problem: floodwaters contaminated by human worked well, leaving streets that would nor- http://​bit​.ly/​Drown-Map).​ Other studies have and animal refuse that could one day be a mally be covered in ­ankle-deep​ water high and found that flooding from storm surges and threat to human health. dry. The pumping systems, which are heavy rainfall is also getting worse (http://bit​ “By doing active pumping, they are concen- intended to replace old systems that relied on .ly/​surge​-rain), and newly published research trating some of these contaminants” in the gravity alone to drain floodwaters, suck water shows that sea levels are rising the fastest water the city pumps into the local bay, said up and deposit it into Biscayne Bay at a rate of they have in the past two millennia (see Maribeth Gidley, a research scientist at the 14,000 gallons per minute (equivalent to the http://­bit​.ly/faster​­ -rise).​ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis- contents of a large swimming pool each min- Cities in the U.S. southeast, from Wash- tration’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteo- ute). A vortex system rids the water of large ington, D. C., to Miami, are filled with old rological Laboratory (NOAA AOML) in Miami. refuse and debris, Gidley said, but as of yet infrastructure like that found in Miami Gidley presented the case study at a poster there is no system for chemically treating the Beach, said Sinigalliano, which could even- session on 23 February at the biennial Ocean water or removing potentially harmful tually contribute to future public health Sciences meeting in New Orleans, La. (see microbes, which motivated her to investigate problems. http://bit­ .ly/​ OS​ -​ poster).­ what could be lurking in the recaptured flood- “One of the things that’s hopefully going water. to come out of this is a more extensive King Tide Floods, Microbes Tag Along Gidley and her colleagues took samples of monitoring study to better characterize how Historically, a perfect alignment of the Earth, the water as it was pumped into local canals, representative this is and how frequent and Sun, and Moon—plus the seasonal high tide as it was deposited in the bay via storm how chronic this [contamination] problem colloquially named the king tide—was needed drains, and from the bay itself. Mostly in is” among U.S. coastal cities, Sinigalliano to inundate Miami Beach with salty floodwa- pumped waters, the researchers found sur- said. ters. These days, however, the king tide alone prisingly high levels of a type of live bacteria brings about flooding multiple times per year, called enterococci that indicated the presence Gidley said. of fecal matter, Gidley said, not only from By JoAnna Wendel, Staff Writer

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flow. Sure enough, the researchers found Forensic Analysis of Landslide mini strike-slip faults within the flow, con- firming that its middle kept moving even Reveals Rocky Secrets though the edges stayed stationary. Another debris flow topped off the tumultuous events.

Seismic Analysis Armed with seismic data from the event, the researchers then determined how fast the rockslide moved—between 15 and 36 meters per second (equivalent to 35–80 miles per hour). To calculate this, they worked backward from seismic data to determine the changes in magnitude and direction of the avalanche’s force as it pinballed around kinks and curves in the valley. The seismic waves tell us “what the land- slide was doing, on average, at each moment in time,” said Kate Allstadt, a research geo- physicist at USGS in Golden, Colo., and a coau- thor on the paper. Coe and his colleagues suspect that the mass moved so fast because the underlying moist ground had liquefied, splitting the ava- lanche into two distinct layers.

Jeffrey Coe Future of Landslides On 25 May 2014, a huge rock avalanche cascaded down West Salt Creek valley and killed three people. The researchers hope that by studying this particular rock avalanche in detail, they can provide useful insights into landslides, which arly in the morning on 25 May 2014, Coe and his team found that the West Salt kill between 25 and 50 people each year in the Melvin “Slug” Hawkins heard a strange Creek rock avalanche collapsed in a series of United States. For instance, the precursor E hissing noise coming from outside his distinct events. The hissing noise that Slug flow that occurred early in the morning was home in Grand Mesa in western Colorado. Hawkins heard came from a smaller precur- picked up by seismometers over 100 kilome- Later that day, his son and two other men set sor debris flow that occurred several hours ters away—Coe wonders if more seismome- out to figure out why water had stopped flow- before the side of the valley came crashing ters and more sensitive seismometers could ing into an irrigation ditch. By that evening, down. help scientists tease apart how and if smaller Hawkins’s son and his two companions were Using drones to build a detailed map of the landslides precede larger ones. dead—victims­ of a massive rockslide that aftermath, seismic data to study the rock- Although scientists can characterize land- careened without warning down the nearby slide’s movement, and eyewitness accounts slides using seismic data, “we would not West Salt Creek valley. to corroborate the events, the researchers know for sure if a small landslide event was The West Salt Creek rock avalanche moved cobbled together a picture of the 3.5-minute­ the main event or a precursor to a larger 54 million cubic meters of rock over a distance slide. event until the larger event occurred—or of 4 kilometers in less than 4 minutes. Its size Rain falling on snow was the definite trig- didn’t occur,” Allstadt said. and speed, as well as its tragic aftermath and ger, Coe said. This kind of rock avalanche can The hazard at this particular slope isn’t over remaining hazard, piqued the interest of sci- be triggered by snowmelt alone, but when it yet—at the top of the creek, a depression entists at the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), rained, the snow melted faster. Water then formed following the avalanche that at its who published a paper on 29 February in Geo- mixed with more friable bits of rock and fullest holds 500,000 cubic meters of water. sphere detailing their forensic analysis of the debris, which cascaded down the slope. Seis- This “sag pond” could weaken the slope and deadly flow (see http://bit​ .ly/​ Slide​ -​ paper).­ mometers more than 100 kilometers away cause another rock avalanche, or rock from “There’s this ongoing hazard that makes it picked up the early morning debris flow, the steep slope above it could fall, generating a important to understand what happened in which the researchers call phase 1. Phase 2 small-scale tsunami that pushes water onto the first event,” said Jeffrey Coe, a research occurred hours later, when a solid mass of the unstable slope below, Coe said. geologist at USGS in Denver, Colo., and lead rock slid suddenly, activating phase 3, the Even though a natural drainage pipe now author on the paper. huge avalanche composed of loose pieces of helps to drain the pond, “there’s this concern rock and other debris that cascaded down 600 about what will happen during the spring Cascade of Events meters over a distance of about 4 kilometers snowmelt season,” Coe said, so he and his If you had been standing in the creek, Coe into the valley below—stopping short of colleagues are keeping an eye on the area for said, you would have seen a ­40-meter-high​ ranches and gas wells. now. wall of rock rushing at you from above. After this mass settled, eyewitnesses Many people might imagine a rockslide as searching for the missing men say that its a single massive flow of rock and debris, but core along the valley bottom continued to By JoAnna Wendel, Staff Writer

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land’s surface, gathered from 1981 through Faster-­Merging Snow Crystals 2012 by a NASA sensor called the Moder- ate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Speed Greenland Ice Sheet Melting (­MODIS) and a National Oceanic and At- mospheric Administration advanced very high resolution radiometer. The researchers found that in Greenland between 1996 and recent study has found that the warm- recent decades after peaking in about 1910, 2012, the summertime reflectivity, or albe- ing of Greenland is speeding changes according to a 2007 paper published in Science do, of the ice sheet surface decreased at the to the crystalline structure of the (http://​bit​.ly/​Blk​-­Carbon). rate of about 2% per decade. A Simulating the variation of the ice sheet’s fallen snow there in such a way that the snow- Declines in black carbon reaching Green- pack more readily absorbs solar energy. This land do not mean that particulates don’t play albedo using a regional climate model in- transformation, in turn, contributes to more a role, the researchers noted. As the top layer dicated that increasing temperatures and warming of Greenland’s vast ice sheet, the of snow melts, it leaves behind a deposit of melting accompanied by snow grain growth researchers report, further propelling the tiny particles that were trapped inside it. This and greater bare ice exposure account for transformation to more-heat-­ absorbent­ dark debris in the snow further reduces the about half the decline, the scientists report. snow. reflectivity of the ice, increases warming, and The rest of the decrease likely results from This vicious cycle is playing a major role causes more melting. Every layer that melts light-­absorbing impurities in the snow and in the growing losses of snow and ice from adds more particulates to the layer below it, ice surface, which the model doesn’t simu- the region, said coauthor Sarah Doherty, an compounding the issue. late, they noted. atmospheric scientist at the University of Melting snow also exposes more dirt. That “This [study] really improves our un- Washington in Seattle. She and her colleagues dirt can get picked up by the wind and depos- derstanding of how ice melt happens in published their results in The Cryosphere on ited onto the ice, which also makes it melt Greenland and potentially has implications 3 March (see http://​bit​.ly/​Cryo​-­Dark). faster, Doherty said. for other glaciers as well,” said Alexander Although snow falls as the spiky ice crystals As the snow gets dirtier, its reflectivity Gershenson, a climate scientist at San José we call snowflakes, those tiny grains of ice decreases and it melts faster, which causes a State University in San José, Calif., who is tend to become rounded and merge together positive feedback loop, said the study’s lead not affiliated with the research. to form bigger grains once they’ve landed. As author, Marco Tedesco, a glaciologist at Co- Greenland’s climate warms, merging of grains lumbia University’s Lamont-­Doherty Earth happens quicker, Doherty explained. Because Observatory in Palisades, N.Y. By Mollie Bloudoff-­Indelicato, Freelance Sci- larger grains don’t have as many crystal Another cause of reflectivity reduction is ence, Health, and Environmental Journalist; email: boundaries or as rough textures, they bounce the exposure of bare ice once the snow melts. [email protected]; Twitter: @mbloudoff sunlight back into space less effectively than Snow’s surface roughness, which scatters in- finer-­grained snow would, especially sunlight coming light, gives it higher reflectivity than Editor’s note: Marco Tedesco, Sarah Doherty, and in invisible, near-­infrared wavelengths (700 smooth ice. other coauthors of the work described above urged to 2500 nanometers) that make up half the the scientific community in a recent opinion piece solar energy Earth receives. Instead, the light Satellite Data Reveal Ice Sheet Darkening on Eos.org (see http://bit​ .ly/​ darken​ -​ op)­ to quan- gets absorbed as heat, melting the ice. Tedesco and his team analyzed satellite tify multiple factors in the darkening of the Green- “You have a self-­reinforcing mechanism,” measurements of light reflecting off Green- land ice sheet’s surface. said Doherty. “When you have larger snow grains, you end up with a darker snowpack—it is actually absorbing more sunlight, which accelerates melting.” Melting of the Greenland ice sheet could threaten many of the world’s major coastal cities because of the sea level rise it would cause globally. The deluge of fresh meltwa- ter entering the sea could also disrupt ocean circulation patterns and harm marine organ- isms, members of this study’s team added.

Black Carbon Decline Scientists previously thought that much of recent high melting rates on Greenland’s ice sheet stemmed from black carbon settling on the snow, blown in from countries farther south. This carbon—aerosolized pollution and

soot from wildfires—would also limit snow’s Sarah Doherty ability to reflect sunlight, causing melting. As seen from an aircraft in 2010, a dusting of light-­absorbing dirt, pollution, and algae and also a melt pool appear But, in fact, the amount of black carbon in the on the ice sheet’s surface in a rapidly darkening region of southwest Greenland. New research indicates that larger air—which is monitored by stations through- snow grains resulting from warmer temperatures also contribute to increasing absorption of solar heat by Green- out the Arctic—has been slowly declining in land’s ice, accelerating its melting.

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in history when we could say that science isn’t McNutt Breaks Barriers as Incoming more needed to inform decisions,” she explained. Science Academy President McNutt said that she wants to promote good science and keep politics out of it. “My role is, first of all, to make sure that the academy continues to make it all about the science and not about the politics or not about anyone’s interpretation of what one should therefore do with the science,” she said. “What we don’t want to do is give any excuse for politicizing the science.” In Congress, though, climate science is often a political football. For instance, at an 8 December hearing on climate change, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), who is running for presi- dent, said that some scientists are “global warming alarmists” (see http://bit​ .ly/​ Climate​­ ​ -Hearing).­ McNutt said the purpose of that and similar hearings is “carefully controlled theater” for members of Congress to go on record for their supporters. She said that no amount of letters or complaints from the academy could do much in those situations. “What we really have to do is start with, I believe, the Ameri- can public because these members of Congress are responsive to their electorate.”

Peter Cutts for the National Science Foundation Peter Woman at the Top Marcia McNutt, who was recently elected president of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, spoke at an event in As the first woman to lead the academy, Washington, D. C., in 2012, when she was director of the U.S. Geological Survey. McNutt said that she feels a responsibility to be an advocate for women in science. “There are a number of women in the academy, arine geophysicist Marcia McNutt and Ebola and other pandemics,” said McNutt, including myself, who do feel an intense will take office on 1 July as the first who is editor in chief of the Science family of responsibility for this,” she said. Being an M woman president of the U.S. journals and previously served as director of advocate can include helping to elect more National Academy of Sciences (NAS) since the U.S. Geological Survey. “As tragic as those women to the academy itself and bringing the academy’s founding in 1863. McNutt’s are to the afflicted populations, they probably more women into the science workforce, she upcoming ­6-year term will also break from don’t bear the same potential for global dis- said. the academy’s normal selection of its presi- ruption as do some of the issues that we are dent by placing a geoscientist for the second facing in water security, in food security, in Setting the Tone time in a row in a position that, according to climate change destabilization.” McNutt noted that her first priorities include McNutt, traditionally alternates between the getting to better know the organization and life sciences and the physical sciences. its efforts, including the many reports it McNutt succeeds Ralph Cicerone, an “What we don’t want to do issues on a range of topics. “How can we do atmospheric scientist, who will step down is give any excuse for the best job possible in terms of being after nearly two terms heading the academy. responsive to the federal agencies by being Both McNutt and Cicerone previously served politicizing the science.” ­cost-​­effective and timely without sacrificing as president of AGU. The academy nomi- the quality and the authoritative nature of nated McNutt in July 2015 (see http://​bit​.ly/​ those reports? That’s going to be a very high ­McNutt​-­Nominated) and elected her on priority for me,” she said. 16 February 2016. An Auspicious Time Another priority McNutt mentioned was In an interview with Eos, McNutt called the NAS dates from the Civil War when an act of setting the tone, saying that she wants to break from tradition by electing another Congress established the private nonprofit establish a sense of the academy president as geoscientist significant as a signal that “we organization to advise the nation on science “an approachable human who loves to dis- have to confront globally” such issues in the and technology issues. McNutt called the cuss science” and who is “accessible to any- geosciences as climate change, sustainabil- academy “the only distinguished body of sci- one who has a true interest in wanting to ity, energy, raw materials, and natural haz- entists that has the charter to provide advice understand science.” ards. to governments.” She told Eos that now is an “That’s not to downplay the critical nature “auspicious time” to serve as president of of other things that are in the news like Zika NAS. “It’s hard to argue that there is any time By Randy Showstack, Staff Writer

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Agency’s ­Sentinel-2 satellites and $2.99 USGS Budget Plan to Advance Earth million in new funds to develop computing and online storage resources to produce and Observations, Hazards Measures disseminate ­Landsat-​based information products.

Increases for Hazards, Water Conservation, Mapping To prepare for future hazards, the agency intends to maintain funding for an earth- quake early warning system at the FY 2016 enacted level of $8.2 million. Also, $16.7 million (up $3.63 million) for unconven- tional oil and gas research includes funds to reduce the risk from induced seismicity. About $1.7 million in new funding to improve geomagnetic monitoring would support the administration’s National Space Weather Strategy and assess the risk of geo- magnetic storms to the power grid and elec- tronic systems. Among other priorities, $6.24 million (up $2.11 million) would help with building ­landscape-​­level resilience to coastal hazards. Aiming to better evaluate the effectiveness of water conservation measures, USGS is pro- posing $37.06 million (up $18.36 million) to spend on improved methods for near-real- time assessments of water use during droughts. “There has been a big push to up

USGS our game in understanding water use, moni- High-resolution image of Mount St. Helens in Washington, produced from lidar. The 3D Elevation Program initiative, toring it, and [in] how to estimate what’s which is managed by the U.S. Geological Survey National Geospatial Program, collects high-­ quality​­ lidar and interfero- going on,” said Don Cline, USGS associate metric synthetic aperture radar data over the United States to help with a range of societal uses. director for water. He added that all of the pieces of the water initiative in the budget are aimed at strengthening programs focusing on n its latest budget proposal, the U.S. Geo- mate and land use change, at an 11 February water availability, water use, and water as a logical Survey (USGS) aims for a significant briefing about the agency’s FY 2017 funding hazard. I boost to the nation’s satellite ­Earth-​ proposal, which was released on 9 February. Other significant funding includes $21.89 ­observing capabilities, better protections for Other budgeting related to ­Earth-viewing​­ million (up $2.39 million) for the enhance- communities against the risks of satellites includes $2.2 million in new fund- ment of ­landscape-​scale ­three-dimensional​­ and geomagnetic storms, and major improve- ing to acquire data from the European Space maps that are used for a variety of applica- ments to monitoring water use during droughts. These represent a few highlights of a proposed fiscal year (FY) 2017 budget of Table 1. U.S. Geological Survey FY 2017 Budget Requesta $1.169 billion (see Table 1) that would grow b about 10% over the FY 2016 enacted level if APPROPRIATION CATEGORY FY 2016 FY 2017 CHANGE PERCENTAGE ENACTEDb REQUESTb CHANGEc Congress approves the agency’s request. To enhance Earth observation from space, Ecosystems 160,232 173,938 13,706 8.6 USGS would increase funding for the Landsat 9 Climate and Land Use Change 139,975 171,444 31,469 22.5 ­Earth-observing​­ satellite to $19.7 million, an Energy and Minerals Resources 94,511 99,483 4,972 5.3 increase of $15.4 million, which would help and Environmental Health move up the spacecraft’s launch date to 2021 Natural Hazards 139,013 149,701 10,688 7.7 from 2023. A ­follow-on​­ mission to Landsat 8, Water Resources 210,687 227,992 17,305 8.2 Landsat 9 will provide a direct but improved Core Science Systems 111,550 118,395 6,845 6.1 replacement for the ­still-orbiting​­ Landsat 7 satellite, according to USGS. Science Support 105,611 110,592 4,981 4.7 “We are in lock step in planning with NASA Facilities 100,421 117,258 16,837 16.8 and the Landsat science team to accelerate the Total appropriations 1,062,000 1,168,803 106,803 10.0 launch date and design of the instruments and aSource: U.S. Geological Survey (see http://bit.ly/highlights, p. A-4). delivery of those for launch in 2021,” said Vir- bBudget authority in thousands of current dollars. ginia Burkett, USGS associate director for cli- cCalculated from data.

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 7 NEWS

tions, including aviation safety, precision agriculture, and managing infrastructure and NOAA’s 2017 Budget Would Support construction, and $6.72 million (up $1.5 mil- lion) to accelerate map modernization for Observational Infrastructure Alaska.

Increases Foreseen Across the Agency On the whole, the FY 2017 budget proposal he latest budget proposal for the the usefulness of this array with which NOAA would provide funding hikes for all USGS National Oceanic and Atmospheric meteorologists detect and track severe mission areas. T Administration (NOAA) calls for a 1.3% weather. Refurbishing NEXRAD is “the ­cost-​ The proposed budget “does a good job in increase for fiscal year (FY) 2017 compared to ­efficient thing to do” for a system that is forwarding our mission to protect and FY 2016 enacted funding for the agency. The nearing the end of its life but remains viable enhance the nation’s communities, espe- proposal includes increases for some NOAA and valuable, Sullivan said. So far, there is cially in regard to natural resource issues,” divisions (see Table 1). Among plans that the nothing on hand or on the horizon that could USGS deputy director William Werkheiser budget would support, the agency intends to replace it, she said. said at the briefing. “We have a wide diver- maintain and extend its observational infra- The agency is targeting $7.5 million to sity of science to bring to the table. We’re structure and beef up priority programs such extend the life of the Automated Surface proud of that diversity, and we think this as providing information and services to Observing System (ASOS), a network of budget allows us to continue in that tradi- improve resilience of communities to natural ground-based, automated weather sensors at tion.” hazards and “evolving” the National Weather more than 900 airports nationwide serving Service (NWS). aviation operations and meteorological, The $5.85 billion budget request provides hydrological, and climatological research. The The proposed budget funding increases for key infrastructure, funding for NEXRAD and ASOS will help the including $12.25 million for an Integrated agency continue to improve NWS, a process “does a good job in Water Prediction initiative that promises to that has included reorganizing the weather forwarding our mission to raise from 4000 to 2.7 million the number of service and upgrading its supercomputing locations for measuring and forecasting river capacity, according to NOAA. protect and enhance the and stream properties, such as water flows and levels. The initiative would provide communi- Satellite Programs nation’s communities.” ties with the capability to better manage water Although some space-based infrastructure is resources and prepare for water-­ related​­ haz- slated for an increase, the budget trims other ards such as floods and droughts, according to programs. Within NOAA’s National Environ- NOAA officials. The increased coverage “will be mental Satellite, Data, and Information Ser- Officials said they are optimistic about the almost like throwing a mesh down over the vice (NESDIS), the budget proposal provides budget proposal’s prospects. Predicting country,” NOAA administrator Kathryn Sulli- $752.78 million for the Geostationary Opera- bipartisan appeal for the plan in Congress, van said at a 4 March budget briefing, noting tional Environmental Satellite R-Series,­ down Barbara Wainman, USGS associate director that the improved monitoring network would by a planned reduction of $85.11 million. for the Office of Communications and Pub- be 700 times denser than the current one. Funding for the Joint Polar Satellite System lishing, noted that the agency has “the lux- (JPSS) program would drop to $787.25 million ury of being nonpartisan and providing Preserving Weather Radar (reduced by $21.72 million), which the agency objective science.” Among USGS areas typi- and Sensor Networks says would allow for operating and sustaining cally supported on both sides of the aisle, Additional funding for the Next Generation the Suomi National ­Polar-orbiting​­ Partnership officials mentioned coastal resilience, mag- Weather Radar (NEXRAD; $25.26 million, up satellite, launching and commissioning the netic storms, and natural hazards. $8.54 million) would prolong by about 15 years ­JPSS-1 satellite, and continuing to develop the However, some areas of the budget pro- posal could be tougher sells, including get- Table 1. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) FY 2017 Budget Requesta ting traction on Capitol Hill for requested increases in science support and infrastruc- PROGRAM FY 2016 FY 2017 CHANGEb,c PERCENTAGE b b c ture, said Kevin Gallagher, USGS associate ENACTED REQUEST CHANGE director for core science systems. The National Ocean Service (NOS) 601.85 569.92 (31.93) −5.3

FY 2017 plan includes $2.71 million for oper- National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) 971.70 1015.93 44.23 4.6 ations and maintenance, plus new funding Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) 481.98 519.79 37.81 7.8 of $10.9 million for the agency to continue reducing the footprint of its facilities, National Weather Service (NWS) 1124.15 1119.29 (4.86) −0.43 including consolidating operations and National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information 2349.36 2303.69 (45.67) −1.9 improving space utilization. “I think it’s fair ­Service (NESDIS) to say [that] at times our need for our facili- Mission support 253.93 286.07 32.14 12.7

ties budget, our science support, has been Office of Marine and Aviation Operations 334.19 289.30 (44.89) −13.4 underappreciated,” said Gallagher. Total NOAA discretionary appropriations 5773.52 5850.59 77.07 1.3 aSource: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (see http://bit.ly/noaa-doc). bBudget authority in millions of current dollars. By Randy Showstack, Staff Writer cCalculated from data.

8 // Eos 15 April 2016 NEWS

Fall Meeting Chair Candidate Search

Submission Deadline 13 May

The AGU Meetings Committee seeks an individual to fill the position of chair of the Fall Meeting Program Committee. The Fall Meeting is the premier meeting of the Earth and space sciences community. Candidates must be highly organized and dynamic and

Ross Burgener, ET, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GMD ET, Burgener, Ross have strong leadership abilities. Researchers launch an ozonesonde in 2013. These balloon-borne­ instruments provide information on ozone and The Fall Meeting chair also serves as an meteorological quantities such as pressure, temperature, and humidity. ex officio member of the AGU Meetings Committee. The time commitment is ­JPSS-2 spacecraft and its instruments. The integrates research across NOAA, receives approximately 10–15% of one’s time, budget would increase funding for the Polar $493.41 million in the operations, research, depending on management style. The Follow On satellite mission to $393 million (up and facilities (ORF) part of its funding, a net chair receives an annual honorarium of $23 million). increase of $24.46 million. Within the ORF $2,500 USD, and expenses are paid to “We have to continue investing in sustain- budget, the agency allocates $189.87 million attend relevant meetings. ing a robust array of observations because for climate research (up $30.76 million). The This position is responsible for the 2017, there is no such thing as viable and useful budget provides $22.14 million for innova- 2018, and 2019 AGU Fall Meetings. The environmental intelligence unless you are tive research and technology (up $10 mil- chair will keeping your fingers on the pulse of the planet lion) to create a new Research Transition in a very rich and robust way,” Sullivan said. Acceleration program to identify and fund • Preside over the Union-appointed the transition of promising research into Program Committee Other Budget Highlights operation, applications, and commercializa- • Ensure that excellent scientific sessions The budget proposal also allocates funds to a tion, according to NOAA budget documents. are produced for Union program major agency priority of replacing its aging NOAA also plans some trimming of its OAR Work with section and focus group fleet of ­regional-​class and ­ocean-​class ves- programs, for instance, to weather and air • sels. With $24 million in the FY 2017 budget chemistry and to ocean, coastal, and Great committee members to ensure the and $80.05 million available from 2016, Lakes research. development of both disciplinary and NOAA plans to construct a regional survey As part of the overall budget for the interdisciplinary sessions vessel (RSV) as part of that process. RSVs National Ocean Service (NOS), $528.4 million • Implement existing and new scientific can operate in shallow coastal waters and would support its ORF category, a net program initiatives and have complete help with hydrography, fisheries sampling, increase of $23.2 million. Slated for ocean authority for the arrangement of the and ocean sensing and monitoring. and coastal management and services is scientific program The proposed NOAA budget also calls for $243.4 million, which includes an additional Serve as a member of the $100 million to construct a second RSV. $4 million to respond to extreme events and • Meetings Strategy Taskforce However, that money would come from an additional $5 million for ­ecosystem-​ so-called mandatory funding, unlike the based solutions for coastal resilience to • Attend two face-to-face committee “discretionary” money that makes up the extreme weather, climate hazards, and other meetings bulk of funding for government agencies. threats. However, NOS funding for naviga- For additional information or to be This mandatory funding, which comprises tion, observations, and positioning would considered for this position, please send an unusually large portion of some proposed dip to $197.9 million. The $10 million a curriculum vitae with a letter of interest science agency funding for FY 2017, requires decrease from FY 2016 includes a $2 million to Lauren Parr, Director of Meetings at additional congressional approval that’s cut to discontinue ­single-​year cooperative [email protected]. unlikely to come through in the current par- agreements with academic institutions for tisan political climate, budget analysts have joint ocean and coastal mapping centers, a The AGU Meetings Committee will review said. The Obama administration’s FY 2017 $6 million reduction to end the Regional applications and select candidates to budget requests unveiled in February for Geospatial Modeling Grant program, and a interview for the position. Telephone NASA and the National Science Foundation $2 million decrease to reduce acquisition of interviews will be conducted in June 2016. include mandatory funding of $763 million hydrographic data from contract surveys. and $400 million, respectively. fallmeeting.agu.org/2016/ Under NOAA’s plan, the Office of Oceanic chair-selection/ and Atmospheric Research (OAR), which By Randy Showstack, Staff Writer

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 9 MEETING REPORT

combines data from gravimetry, visible Planetary Caves’ Role in Astronaut imaging, and ­thermal-​­infrared spectra shows considerable promise. Modeling cave Bases and the Search for Life entrance structure and genesis requires multiple images acquired from various view- 2nd International Planetary Caves Conference ing geometries and spectral wavelengths. Flagstaff, Arizona, 20–23 October 2015 Presently, researchers are limited by slightly ­off-nadir​­ imaging and a limited ability to obtain multiple thermal and visible spec- trum images of a given feature. For example, determining if a Martian pit crater wall is simply an overhanging rim or a possible cave entrance requires ­sideways-​­looking imagery with appropriate solar illumination. Engineers reported on advances in cave explorer robotic technologies and prototype development. Any successful planetary cave robotic mission should include ­three-​ ­dimensional computer vision analysis of the entrance passageway and associated surface area to determine the cave access route, a data link from a rover deep within a cave to a surface rover or relay station, and a power supply for ­long-​­duration underground oper- ations. Astrobiologists discussed robotic payload requirements for detecting evidence of life in caves and techniques for detecting biosig- natures, as well as ­Earth-analogue​­ biosigna- tures of ­rock-​­consuming microorganisms. We suggested that such a payload should include mass spectroscopy, ­laser-​­induced

Thomas Prettyman breakdown spectroscopy, energy dispersive During the conference, attendees explored a 1.6-­ kilometer-​­ long​ lava tube cave, northwest of Flagstaff, Ariz. This cave, spectroscopy, and a visible spectrum cam- which is more than 700,000 years old, provided an ideal setting for discussions on formation processes, robotics era. Cellular automation algorithms of visi- requirements, and astrobiological potential within Martian caves. ble spectrum imagery of the cave interior could assist in recognizing potential biosig- natures. lanetary caves are practically every- 40 researchers convened at the Lowell NASA and private space companies have where. Scientists have identified more Observatory (see http://​bit​.ly/​­PlanetCaves2). made recent statements concerning sending P than 200 lunar and more than 2000 Attendees discussed current research and humans to Mars sometime in the 2030s. Martian ­cave-​­related features. They’ve also pathways for future human and robotic mis- However, reaching technical readiness levels found vents and fissures associated with water sions to planetary caves. Scientists and sufficient to support a crewed mission to ice plumes on Saturnian, Jovian, and Neptu- engineers had the opportunity to discuss Mars will require considerable work and sub- nian moons. Recently, primary vents of two how to expand robotic planetary cave explo- stantial funding. The participants of this possible cryovolcanoes were identified on ration capabilities. A local educational out- conference have helped elevate the impor- Pluto. reach component included a primary school tance of caves in this effort and will likely Caves on other planetary bodies and vents “space caves” art contest and a presentation influence the direction we will take toward associated with plumes on icy moons offer from the Coconino High School robotics making robotic exploration and human hab- ­high-​­priority targets for future habitability team. itation of planetary caves a reality. studies and robotic and human missions. Mar- In addition to processes associated with tian and lunar caves are ­ready-made​ sheltered volcanism and tidal forces, we discussed the environments for astronaut habitation or potential for dissolution caves. On Titan, By J. Judson Wynne, Carl Sagan Center, SETI storage facilities. Additionally, Martian caves scientists used radar imaging to identify Institute, Mountain View, Calif., and Department provide access to the subsurface without the regions on the landscape indicative of disso- of Biological Sciences, Northern Arizona Uni- need for Mars landers to bring a costly drilling lution. The study of how caves form on other versity, Flagstaff; ­email: ­jut​.wynne@​nau​.edu; payload. Such access facilitates the search for planetary bodies will likely become an active Timothy Titus, Astrogeology Science Center, evidence of life and could reveal significant area of research as ­higher-​­resolution imag- U.S. Geological Survey, Flagstaff, Ariz.; and water ice deposits for human consumption ery becomes available. Penelope J. Boston, Cave and Karst Studies and fuel. We also discussed new techniques for Program, Department of Earth and Environmen- To advance our understanding of planetary detecting planetary caves. For reliable tal Sciences, New Mexico Institute of Mining and caves, an interdisciplinary group of about remote cave detection, an approach that Technology, Socorro

10 // Eos 15 April 2016 MEETING REPORT

Assessing Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security Worldwide AgMIP Workshop on Coordinated Global and Regional Integrated Assessments of Climate Change and Food Security Aspen, Colorado, 13–18 September 2015

he combination of a warming Earth and Assessments (CGRA) project is to character- include dietary intake and nutrients. These an increasing population will likely ize climate effects on large- and small-scale conclusions will inform the CGRA simula- T strain the world’s food systems in the farming systems (see http://​bit​.ly/​ tions on adaptation, mitigation, food secu- coming decades. Experts involved with the ­AgMIPCGRA). rity, and food policy. Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Three outcomes stemmed from discussions Because CGRA will be based on simulation Improvement Project (AgMIP) focus on quan- among workshop participants. First, work- protocols agreed on by the participating sci- tifying the changes through time. AgMIP, a shop attendees agreed that global agricultural entists, it represents a quantum step forward program begun in 2010, involves about 800 models should be used to address extreme in producing consistent multimodel, multi- climate scientists, economists, nutritionists, events and shocks, such as how to respond to discipline, and multiscale assessments of information technology specialists, and crop simultaneous severe droughts and floods agricultural and food security impacts, and livestock experts. occurring across multiple breadbasket including robust characterizations of uncer- In ­mid-​­September 2015, the Aspen Global regions, as well as other shocks, such as eco- tainty and risk. Simulations will be rooted in Change Institute convened an AgMIP work- nomic crises and conflicts. Second, partici- historical observations and climate projec- shop (see http://​bit​.ly/AgMIPwkshp)​­ to draft pants agreed to expand the scope of AgMIP to tions from the two recent versions of the plans and protocols for assessing ­global- and include near-term forecasts, ranging from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project regional-​scale modeling of crops, livestock, ­within-​­season and interannual timescales to (CMIP5 and CMIP6) and will be driven by sce- economics, and nutrition across major agri- decadal timescales. Finally, participants narios that link to the Representative Con- cultural regions worldwide. The goal of this agreed that nutrition metrics for agricultural centration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Coordinated Global and Regional Integrated production must go beyond calories to Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s assessment reports. Participants discussed how CGRA will be coordinated through the development of detailed new Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs)—a logically consistent set of drivers and outcomes—at both global and regional scales. CGRA results will have direct implications for international climate policy, national adaptation and mitigation planning, and development aid. Meeting participants affirmed that CGRA outputs will be available to inform and improve integrated assessment modeling, nitrogen and carbon cycle simula- tions, and projections of impacts on land use, water resources, ecosystems, and urban food supply. Draft protocols for CGRA will be developed and posted on the AgMIP website (http://​ www​.­agmip​.org) for public comment by the agricultural modeling community. The next CGRA workshop will take place at the 6th AgMIP Global Workshop in Montpellier, France, in June 2016 (see http://​bit​.ly/​ ­AgMIPwkshp6).

By Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, N.Y.; email: ­cynthia​

Shari Lifson .­rosenzweig@​nasa​.gov; John Antle, Oregon State A workshop gathered experts committed to forging links between global and regional assessments of agriculture and University, Corvallis; and Joshua Elliott, University the people impacted by food insecurity. of Chicago, Chicago, Ill.

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 11 OPINION

planet. In short, releasing data benefits Embracing Open Data everyone. Open data can also be an important tool in Field-Driven Sciences for education and outreach. The Science arti- cle mentions the National Science Founda- tion’s Ocean Observatories Initiative, whose unifying cyberinfrastructure acquires, pro- limate change and the other complex ect. The data generated by ­PAGES-​ cesses, and distributes data from more than issues facing our planet require the ­coordinated research projects are available 700 oceanographic instruments, not only to C application of vast amounts of data, in publicly accessible databases, including researchers but also to educators and the information, and knowledge to be fully those of the National Centers of Environ- public. Anyone can plot or download the understood. No single scientist or organiza- mental Information (formerly the National data. Such publicly available resources can tion has all of the data, tools, or capabilities Geophysical Data Center), which is operated encourage citizen science and public to do this work; only by bringing diverse by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric involvement in science. research communities together around Administration (NOAA). shared data and information will these prob- Through PAGES, members of the interna- Overcoming Data Hoarding lems be addressed. tional paleoclimate community assembled As the authors of the Science article However, ecology, , and the other existing climate records, such as tree rings, acknowledge, sharing field sciences data sciences that depend on field observations fossil pollen, and other proxy data, of the and samples can be ­time-​­consuming and pose special chal- past 2000 years. resource intensive. The cultural, financial, lenges for data and These data will and technical barriers to making data open sample sharing. also be open and research reproducible are, indeed, These disciplines access, allowing numerous. often rely on time-­ ​ others to use them ­sensitive, perish- to improve projec- able data and sam- tions of future cli- The cultural, financial, ples that are mate and help and technical barriers to temporally and society prepare for spatially unique: ­climate-​­related making data open and the observations of hazards. Efforts an ash plume like PAGES further research reproducible are evolving, for exam- scientific inquiry numerous. ple, or the samples by enabling dispa- amassed during a rate research research cruise to endeavors to assess the impacts examine deep of an oil spill. pools of data Scientists may guard their data, fearing These challenges already in exis- that sharing their data might allow another have caused ­field-​ iStock.com/ymgerman tence. research group to scoop them and publish ­driven sciences to be Sharing data results first. Productivity in science is tradi- slow in making data accessible and reproduc- and samples also contributes to the health of tionally measured by the number of papers a ible. To keep research on the leading edge of humans and society. This was readily researcher publishes in traditional journals discovery, data and sample sharing in the demonstrated years ago when NOAA with high impact factors. Massive amounts field sciences must evolve to become com- released weather data to the public. Other of time, money, and energy are behind sci- mon practice. groups used these data to generate more entific data—these published papers repre- accurate forecasts, which lowered the costs sent a return on this investment. The Value of Open Field Data of ­weather-​­related damage (see http://​bit​.ly/​ The Science article maintains that ­bottom-​ A recent policy forum article published in ­NOAAWeatherData). In addition, a billion-­ ​ up approaches are more likely to effect Science (see http://​bit​.ly/​­ScienceOpenData) ­dollar weather industry that relies on change than top-down mandates. Research argues that open access to data and samples NOAA’s real-time data emerged; both institutions, funding agencies, and other is fundamental for verifiable progress in the Weather.com and Weather Underground are stakeholders need to develop new ways to field sciences. According to the article, mak- built on open government raw weather and change research incentives to recognize the ing data and samples freely available fosters climate data. value of data sharing to science. In the cur- transparency, enhances the value of data by To further critical research efforts and rent culture, those who create data sets and opening it up to further analysis, and fosters expand the use of its reams of climate, software or share their data often receive lit- integrity in research results and public trust weather, and environmental data resources, tle acknowledgment for doing so. Data jour- in science. NOAA launched the Big Data Project in 2015. nals with citable output are one means of A world with publicly available data and The initiative aims to more effectively and recognizing the contributions of data wran- samples is one where scientists can achieve efficiently distribute these data to scientists, glers and the value of open data to science. greater impact through collaboration while decision makers, and industries and enable Other approaches could involve giving expanding global research. Take, for exam- the development of new products and ser- researchers who put data online an edge, ple, the Past Global Changes (PAGES) proj- vices that will further understanding of our with unique funding opportunities or insti-

12 // Eos 15 April 2016 OPINION

tutional awards. Ultimately, new approaches Digitizing and Archiving Data requires changes in funding strategies, com- will stand a better chance of success if they Digitizing and integrating data are another munity values, and how science is done. For take into account the traditional culture of challenge for the field sciences community. this shift to happen, everyone must be scientific research, where data are often Data management and storage were not invested in it—funding agencies, research- seen as proprietary and long-term preserva- always factored into research projects—not ers, data repositories, and journals. tion of data is a low priority. to mention that much of the field sciences We need new initiatives and approaches to involves observations that are facilitate data deposition and recognize the not repeatable—thus valuable creators of data sets and software. Critically, historical records are often we need these new initiatives funded. The missing from repositories. barriers to opening field sciences data are Despite the resources required large, but those involved with the field- to formally archive and make the based sciences are adept at solving difficult vast amount of data in existence problems through creativity, collaboration, accessible, it is still more ­cost-​ and development of new technologies. ­effective to preserve these data Embracing open science improves discov- than it is to try to fill gaps in ery, access, integration, use, and value of records through new studies. To field sciences data and samples. There may make this process easier, data always be data hoarders and those who value repositories could help research- opacity over transparency, but the accep- ers properly cite, share, and tance of open data comes at a price only to secure their data by providing those who do not want to confront the

Rebecca Fowler Rebecca training and technical support. changing nature of science. Increasing access to field sciences data and samples, such as those collected during a 2012 research cruise to explore the biological, The Challenge chemical, and physical properties of a Southern Ocean phytoplankton Making data accessible and By Rebecca Fowler, Federation of Earth Sci- bloom, will move science forward by facilitating reproducibility of reproducible calls for a massive ence Information Partners, Boulder, Colo.; email: results and reuse of data. cultural shift in science, one that rebeccafowler­ @​ esipfed­ .org​

2017 Vetlesen Prize Past Vetlesen Laureates

Achievement in the Earth Sciences 2015 Stephen Sparks 2012 Susan Solomon, Jean Jouzel Call for Nominations 2008 Walter Alvarez 2004 W. Richard Peltier, Sir Nicholas J. Shackleton The Vetlesen Prize, established in 1959 by the 2000 W. Jason Morgan, Walter C. Pitman III, Lynn R. Sykes G. Unger Vetlesen Foundation, is awarded for scientific achievement that has resulted in a clearer 1996 Robert E. Dickinson, John Imbrie Nominations should be sent understanding of the Earth, its history, or its 1993 Walter H. Munk prior to 1 August 2016 to: relations to the universe. The prize consists of a medal and a cash award of $250,000. Nominations 1987 Wallace S. Broecker, Harmon Craig are now open for the next prize, which will be 1981 M. King Hubbert awarded in 2017. Sean C. Solomon, Director 1978 J. Tuzo Wilson Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory The prize is awarded to a single individual, who can PO Box 1000 reside and work anywhere in the world. The prize 1974 Chaim L. Pekeris 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY 10964 is administered by Columbia University’s Lamont- 1973 William A. Fowler Tel: 845/365-8729 Doherty Earth Observatory. 1970 Allan V. Cox, Richard R. Doell, S. Keith Runcorn or via electronic submission to: Nomination packages should include at least two 1968 Francis Birch, Sir Edward Bullard [email protected] letters that describe the nominee’s contributions to a fuller understanding of the workings of our planet, 1966 Jan Hendrik Oort along with a one-paragraph biographical sketch and the full curriculum vitae of the candidate. 1964 Pentti E. Eskola, Arthur Holmes 1962 Sir Harold Jeffreys, Felix Andries Vening Meinesz For more information about the Vetlesen Prize: http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/vetlesen-prize 1960 W. Maurice Ewing

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 13 STUDENTS, MEET DATA By Nicholas E. Bader, Dax Soule, Devin Castendyk, Thomas Meixner, Catherine O’Reilly, and Rebekka Darner Gougis Jannett Dinsmore Undergraduate students at the State University of New York at New Paltz work with long-term temperature data in the Project Environmental Data-Driven Inquiry and Exploration (EDDIE) Climate Change module.

14 // Eos 15 April 2016 Lessons that incorporate publicly available data from Earth-observing sensors can expose students to the thrill of scientific discovery.

t is almost too obvious to state: Profi- ciency requires practice. As educators, if we want our students to excel at a task, we must design experiences that allow them to practice. If we want our students to learn to “do science,” then they should prac- tice asking and answering real scientific questions, Iusing real data. Our team developed Project Environmental ­Data-​ ­Driven Inquiry and Exploration (Project EDDIE; see http://​www​.­projecteddie​.org) to provide college educators with adaptable, modular, and pedagogi- cally sound activities that get students working with large data sets. Project EDDIE focuses on ­sensor-based​ data sets—those collected by instru- ments that sense environmental variables such as

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 15 streamflow and soil respiration—because students and ­sensor-based​ records provide an unprecedented opportu- educators can tap into publicly available data sets without nity for students to ask real scientific questions and to needing to conduct their own lengthy observation cam- answer those questions with real data. paigns. Educators have begun to use these data sets in under- The Project EDDIE team includes scientists in the Earth, graduate classrooms to teach both fundamental and environmental, and biological sciences, working together ­cutting-​edge concepts in geology, ecology, and environ- with science education specialists. Together, we have cre- mental sciences. Because the analysis of these data sets ated 10 groups of classroom activities, leveraging different requires only a computer and basic software, students data sources that engage students in the process of enrolled in online or ­distance-​­learning courses could, in answering scientific questions with data. theory, be able to engage with the data too.

Why Sensor-Based Data Sets? Big Data, Big Challenges Educators face significant challenges if they wish to assign Even though data sets may be publicly available, they can ­data-​­driven exercises to students. Gathering real data be challenging to use in the classroom. Simply learning to requires a large investment of time and resources—for manipulate data can be challenging for students who may example, training students in the technical skills needed to have minimal prior experience with spreadsheets or data- gather unbiased data. Although these technical skills are bases. Furthermore, Ledley et al. [2008] note that online valuable, their ­cost–​­benefit calculation may not be favor- data sets are typically compiled by scientists for other sci- able for an educator faced with a large introductory class entists; nonspecialists may have difficulty working with or a limited budget for ­research-grade​ equipment. More- the data or even finding it. over, it can be easy for students to get bogged down in the However, simplifying the data is not necessarily a good methodological details of data collection and lose sight of approach for instructors because providing prepackaged, the big scientific questions that drive data collection in simulated data sets to students can sacrifice some of the the first place. excitement of working with real data and fails to teach the In the past few decades, the Internet has provided any- skills students need to find and process data. Moreover, one interested with a wealth of new data from a variety of the “messiness” of working with real data brings crucial environmental sensors, such as the real-time streamflow statistical concepts of variability and randomness to the data available from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). In forefront, as it does in real scientific studies. fact, the availability of data may be expanding more rap- What educators need, then, is a flexible approach for idly than the preparation of a workforce able to use this getting students working with data as quickly as possible, technology [Benson et al., 2010]. These continuous, in a way that minimizes student frustration while still NOAA U.S. Climate Reference Network weather station, Capitol Reef National Park, Utah.

16 // Eos 15 April 2016 U.S. Geological Survey stream gauge near Augusta, Maine. Nick Stasulis/USGS

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 17 Useful activities promote student-centered learning coupled with scientific discourse, making student tasks closely resemble the work of scientists.

address different research questions, all of the modules are designed with four goals for student learning outcomes: • Students should be able to manipulate large data sets at different scales in order to conduct ­inquiry-​based inves- tigations. • Students should improve their ability to reason about statistical variation. • Students should engage in authentic and productive scientific discourse. • Students should gain insight into the nature of scien- tific inquiry in the natural sciences. To support active learning, the modules use the 5Es learning cycle (engagement, exploration, explanation, extension, and evaluation), which has been shown by Bybee et al. [2006] to increase student interest in science, as well ORNL/FLUXNET AmeriFlux gas flux sensor near Bondville, Ill. as to increase student mastery of sophisticated aspects of scientific reasoning.

exposing them to the real-world challenges of manipulat- Supporting Different Levels of Learning ing ­sensor-based​ data sets. As Langen et al. [2014] suggest, Project EDDIE modules are divided into individual activi- effective activities should be carefully scaffolded to intro- ties so that they can be used in a range of potential teach- duce new challenges one at a time to keep students from ing environments and completed by students at different becoming too frustrated. levels. Single activities can be assigned during a lecture However, activities should not be “cookbook” exercises period in an introductory course, whereas a series of that can be followed step by step. Instead, useful activities activities may require a full laboratory session in an ­upper promote ­student-centered​­ learning coupled with scientific level course. In the Stream Discharge module, for exam- discourse, making student tasks closely resemble the work ple, students might begin by examining discharge pat- of scientists. Of course, developing such activities requires terns in natural streams, using data in the USGS’s Hydro- significant investments of time and energy, which may logic Benchmark Network. Because students have access deter educators from making the attempt. to discharge measurements spanning many decades, they can look for patterns on daily, monthly, and annual time Project EDDIE’s Strategy scales. Students must then grapple with the difficult task of identifying changes in discharge, through time or Project EDDIE emerged from conversations among early-­ ​ across sites, against this background of natural variabil- career­ faculty at meetings of the Global Lake Ecological ity. This part of the activity might be sufficient for an Observatory Network (GLEON); the group later expanded to hour-long class. include additional hydrologists and biogeochemists. Par- Alternatively, students in a ­3-hour lab period might ticipants wanted to develop effective classroom activities complete the first activity and move on to work on peak using authentic, large data sets that are freely available discharge and flood frequency. More advanced students online. These activities would be grouped into independent might skip the first part entirely and go straight to an ­self-contained​­ “modules” that could be used in a class- analysis of urbanization and flood frequency. room with minimal prior student knowledge. The Project EDDIE team has developed and tested mod- During summer meetings in 2014 and 2015, team mem- ules using a variety of other ­sensor-based​ or long-term bers developed 10 different modules, each containing sev- data sets. For instance, students working on the Climate eral classroom activities (Table 1). Although each module Change module use the Mauna Loa carbon dioxide record uses different sensor-­ based​ and long-term data sets to and the Vostok ice core record to address questions about

18 // Eos 15 April 2016 Table 1. Current Project EDDIE Modules and Some of the Data Sets Teachers’ Science Educa- MODULE DATA SET(S)a STATUS tion Resource Center at Carleton College (see Lake Ice-off Phenology NSIDC Global Lake and River Ice Phenology Database Complete http://​serc​.­carleton​.edu). Lake Metabolism Respiration calculated from GLEON lake data Complete We hope that access to Lake Mixing Buoy thermistor data from GLEON Complete these activities will help to

Lake Modeling GLEON In testing 2016 overcome the “activation energy” of introducing stu- Stream Discharge USGS Hydrologic Benchmark Network; USGS Real-Time Water Data Complete dents to sensor-­ based​ data. Water Quality USGS Water Quality Watch Data Finished testing

Nutrient Loading USGS Water Quality Watch Data Finished testing Acknowledgments

Climate Change NASA GISS; NOAA ESRL; NOAA NCDC Finished testing Project EDDIE was made possible by a Transform- Soil Respiration ORNL Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center; AmeriFlux In testing 2016 ing Undergraduate Educa- Seismology IRIS In testing 2016 tion in Science (TUES) grant from the National aESRL, Earth System Research Laboratory; GISS, Goddard Institute for Space Studies; GLEON, Global Lake Ecological Observatory Network; IRIS, Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology; NCDC, National Climatic Data Center; Science Foundation (NSF NOAA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; NSIDC, National Snow and Ice Data Center; ORNL, Oak DEB 1245707). Other Ridge National Laboratory; USGS, U.S. Geological Survey. members of the EDDIE team developed some of rates of change. The Soil Respiration module points stu- the modules discussed in this article, including Cayelan dents to ecosystem carbon dioxide flux data available from Carey (Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Univer- the University of Michigan Biological Station’s Ameriflux sity), Randy Fuller (Colgate University), Cathy Gibson site and the Oak Ridge National Laboratory Carbon Diox- (Waterworks Analytics), Jennifer Klug (Fairfield Univer- ide Information Analysis Center. The Seismology module sity), Lucas Nave (University of Michigan Biological Sta- gives students practice with data from the Incorporated tion), David Richardson (State University of New York at Research Institutions for Seismology. Several limnology New Paltz), and Janet Stomberg (Illinois State Univer- modules use lake data available from the Global Lake Eco- sity). Project EDDIE is a sponsored program of the logical Observatory Network and other sources (Table 1). National Association of Geoscience Teachers and is sup- ported by the Center for Mathematics, Sciences, and Does Project EDDIE Work? Technology at Illinois State University. Assessment of student learning is a critical component of Project EDDIE’s strategy. Careful assessment tells us References Benson, B. J., B. J. Bond, M. P. Hamilton, R. K. Monson, and R. Han (2010), Perspectives whether our students are learning the skills necessary to on next-generation technology for environmental sensor networks, Front. Ecol. Envi- manage and interpret large data sets. Beginning during ron., 8, 193–200. the 2014–2015 academic year, participating students at Bybee, R. W., J. A. Taylor, A. Gardner, P. Van Scotter, J. C. Powell, A. Westbrook, and eight different U.S. colleges completed premodule and N. Landes (2006), The BSCS 5E instructional model: Origins and effectiveness, Biol. Sci. Curric. Study, Colorado Springs, Colo. postmodule surveys to measure how their understanding Carey, C. C., R. Darner Gougis, J. L. Klug, C. M. O’Reilly, and D. C. Richardson of concepts such as data variability, random processes, (2015), A model for using environmental data-driven inquiry and exploration to teach limnology to undergraduates, Limnol. Oceanogr. Bull., 24, 2–5, doi:10.1002/ and data interpretation changed after working on a Proj- lob.10020. ect EDDIE module. Langen, T. A., et al. (2014), Using large public datasets in the undergraduate ecology Although assessment is not yet complete, preliminary classroom, Front. Ecol. Environ., 12, 362–363. Ledley, T. S., C. A. Manduca, and S. Fox (2008), Recommendations for making geo- results indicate that students felt more comfortable deal- science data accessible and usable in education, Eos Trans. AGU, 89, 291–292, ing with large data sets on a computer and more compe- doi:10.1029/2008EO320003. tent at manipulating data in spreadsheets after completing a module. In addition, students were more likely to use Author Information large ­sensor-based​ data sets to solve a scientific problem Nicholas E. Bader, Department of Geology, Whitman College, after engaging in a module, and their intuitive understand- Walla Walla, Wash.; ­email: ­baderne@​­whitman​.edu; Dax Soule, ing of natural variation improved. A pilot study reported by School of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle; Carey et al. [2015] indicates that working on modules Devin Castendyk, Hatch Water and Tailings Management, Lake- improved students’ quantitative literacy and enabled them wood, Colo.; Thomas Meixner, University of Arizona, Tucson; to grapple with difficult concepts such as data visualization and Catherine O’Reilly and Rebekka Darner Gougis, Illinois and how resolution affects our ability to detect environ- State University, Normal mental changes. Project team members continue to test and finalize existing mod- Get Eos highlights in your inbox every Friday ules and develop new ones. We are now beginning to focus on making To sign up for the Eos Buzz newsletter, Project EDDIE modules publicly available by posting modules in an simply go to publications.agu.org, scroll down, and enter your information online repository linked to the in the “SIGN-­UP FOR EOS BUZZ NEWSLETTER” section. National Association of Geoscience

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 19 Mexico’s University Network of Atmospheric Observatories

By O. Peralta, D. Adams, T. Castro, M. Grutter, and A. Varela

Increasing cooperation in Mexico benefi ts climatologists, meteorologists, and science as a whole.

20 // Eos 15 April 2016 Three Red Universitaria de Observatorios Atmosféricos (RUOA) observatories operate in unique natural protected zones in Mexico, including this one, located 4 kilometers above sea level on the

volcanic peak Altzomoni, near Popocatépetl (in the background) in the State of Mexico. Universitaria de Observatorios Atmosféricos Red

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 21 exico is one of the most diverse coun- north. Surprisingly, Mexican academic programs and sci- tries in the world in terms of its climate entific investigation in the atmospheric sciences are not and meteorology. With its great lati- commensurate with this diversity of atmospheric phe- tudinal range and diverse topography, nomena available for study. climates range from Mediterranean in Observational networks—meteorological, hydrological, Baja California in the northwest to the and maritime—do exist; however, they are used primarily tropical rain forest of Chiapas in the southeast. The scorch- for weather and hydrological forecasting and/or hazard Ming aridity of the Sonoran Desert contrasts with the frigid warnings. For instance, the Servicio Meteorológico Nacio- glacial barrens of the volcanic peaks of Popocatépetl (5400 nal (Mexican Weather Service) has numerous automatic meters elevation) and the Pico de Orizaba (5700 meters) as weather stations, radars, and atmospheric soundings prin- well as the thousands of kilometers of tropical beaches. cipally for weather prediction. ­Research-based​ observa- Diversity is not the only defining characteristic of Mex- tional networks for the atmospheric sciences, however, ico’s weather and climate. Hurricanes batter both coasts, have been lacking. Fortunately, in recent years, this has and tornadoes can even wreak havoc in the northeast. begun to change. Anthropogenic influences are also striking: Mexico City’s air quality problems are typical of one of Earth’s most A New Network populous urban clusters. Desertification and conflicts To motivate the expansion of long-term research on clima- over water usage threaten many of the arid regions in the tology, meteorology, air chemistry, and air quality, as well as

22 // Eos 15 April 2016 The University Network of Atmospheric Observatories, including this one at the Mexico City campus, is a project of the National Autonomous Uni- versity of Mexico’s Atmospheric Sciences Center.

RUOA will be an educational and training space for techni- cians and operators from other meteorological and air quality networks in Mexico.

RUOA Observatories At present, RUOA consists of six atmospheric observatories in urban zones: • the UNAM campus site in Mexico City • Juriquilla, Querétaro • Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes • Saltillo, Coahuila • Hermosillo, Sonora • Morelia, Michoacán In addition, three observatories operate in unique nat- ural protected zones: the deciduous forest on the Pacific coast of Jalisco in Chamela; the rain forest of Los Tuxtlas, Veracruz; and the ­high-​­altitude (4 kilometers above sea level) volcanic environment of Altzomoni, State of Mex- ico. The permanent maintenance of the RUOA observato- ries, which includes the calibration, validation, and publi- cation of the data produced, is the responsibility of the participating research groups at UNAM’s Centro de Cien- cias de la Atmósfera (see http://​bit​.ly/Mexico​­ ​_UNAM). Many of these groups have experience developing, ana- lyzing, or correcting data from other meteorological or air quality networks in Mexico. All data will be freely avail- able, a large portion of them in real time at the RUOA website (http://bit​.ly/Mexico​­ ​_Atmos).

Related Projects RUOA is linked to several national and international proj- ects. The Mexico City Air Quality Network has instruments in two RUOA observatories and measures the air quality in

Red Universitaria de Observatorios Atmosféricos Red close collaboration with UNAM. The Mexican Weather Ser- vice has meteorological instruments in two RUOA observa- tories located in natural protected areas. In addition, the Mexican Aerobiology Network shares infrastructure and training students and researchers, the Universidad Nacional information with RUOA so that both networks can identify Autónoma de México (UNAM) has created the University and classify a wide variety of pollen types. Also, carbon Network of Atmospheric Observatories (Red Universitaria dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) monitors installed in de Observatorios Atmosféricos (RUOA)). These observato- RUOA support a funded project named “Temporal and Spa- ries, located in a variety of urban and natural settings, will tial Variability of CO2 and CH4 in Mexico” to evaluate provide ­research-quality​­ data in areas ranging from changes in greenhouse gases. atmospheric chemistry, aerobiology, and greenhouse A plan for a ­high-​­altitude site (Altzomoni) to contribute gases to tropospheric water vapor, cloud physics, and to the World Meteorological Organization’s Global Atmo- electric fields. sphere Watch program is already in progress. The Altzo- These sites also serve as a basis for technological devel- moni Observatory has recently been accepted to be part of opment. For example, a multiaxis differential optical the international Network for the Detection of Atmo- absorption spectrometer (MAX-DOAS) system, which uses spheric Composition Change. scattered solar radiation for gas column measurements, Finally, the recently formed Black Carbon Network was designed and constructed at UNAM. Long-term mea- (RCN) is a system for measuring black carbon nationwide, sures of air quality and greenhouse gas concentrations will and with support from RUOA it covers four cities and a help scientists understand their spatial and temporal vari- pristine background site. RCN and RUOA have been com- ability and inform policy makers in the areas of public paring information in order to evaluate Mexico’s contribu- health, ecological conservation, and climate change. Also, tion to global warming with short-lived climate forcers.

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 23 Five RUOA observatories are also hosts for TlalocNet, a with atmospheric dispersion of pollutants over a large national network of GPS meteorology stations for continu- region. ously measuring water vapor columns. Wind data (speed and direction), temperature, humid- ity, pressure, solar radiation, and precipitation will also Available Instrumentation and Data be measured at the observatories. All of the variables are Each of the RUOA measuring sites observes a diverse array registered in an acquisition system. A field mill monitor of surface and atmospheric variables. Urban observatories detects atmospheric electric field variation and the pres- have sensors that measure the absorption and scattering ence of lightning within a ­50-kilometer radius. Addition- aerosols and black carbon. There are also technologies to ally, disdrometers measure the amount of precipitation measure ion concentrations in real time for particles and provide detailed information on raindrops, discrimi- smaller than 1 micrometer. In addition, observatories have nating between different types of hydrometeors (liquid or ceilometers to detect and range clouds, hydrometeors, or solid). The sensors also indicate the range of visibility of air masses that have a substantial amount of particles. fog events. Moreover, data from GPS receivers at the Those instruments also serve to estimate the height and observatories, together with surface pressure and tem- thickness of clouds and the evolution of the planetary perature measurements, are used to estimate precipitable boundary layer. water vapor for both meteorological research and long- term climate studies. UNAM has designed instruments for determining the The RUOA observatories concentrations of several gases (nitrogen dioxide, formal- dehyde, and sulfur dioxide) by measuring ultraviolet/­ offer new data to fill a need visible light absorption at different elevation angles in an atmospheric column. These MAX-DOAS instruments have for atmospheric information been installed at five sites to assess the distribution of pollution at several altitudes as well as to validate satel- on the Tropic of Cancer, lite data. Furthermore, RUOA observatories have analyzers that which is relatively unstudied continuously measure concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, carbon monoxide, and water in air because con- in America. tinuous measurement of gases that participate in the radiative balance has become increasingly important for understanding their effects on the global climate. Obser- At some stations, samples are regularly collected to vatories in urban zones have standard air quality gas distinguish allergens from other biological particulate (ozone, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, nitrogen diox- matter, to identify volatile organic compounds, and to ide) and particle (PM10 and PM2.5) monitors. They also analyze the chemical composition of wet deposition. The have passive samplers that collect atmospheric aerosols analysis of heavy metals, organic acids, and acid rain pre- used to study organic compounds that persist in the envi- cursors (nitrogen oxides and sulfur), as well as nine inor- ronment. ganic ions, is important in understanding the incorpora- UNAM is the most important university in Mexico, as tion of air pollutants in rainwater and how it is associated well as the largest university in Latin America. Its RUOA observatories offer new data to fill a need for atmospheric information on the Tropic of Cancer, which is relatively unstudied in America. This information is relevant to the scientific and other communities interested in atmo- spheric phenomena related to the diversity of climate, weather, and chemistry of the atmosphere.

Acknowledgments We thank the UNAM staff: Amparo Martínez for the initial administration and management logistic of RUOA and Héctor Soto, Omar López, and Delibes Flores for technical support in the instrumentation and data management of the RUOA observatories. We also thank Enrique Cabral and Luis Tlaz- cani for installation of TlalocNet GPS sites and UNIATMOS for managing the Web page and the geographical information system. External support was provided by Autonomous Uni- versity of Aguascalientes and Antonio Narro University.

Author Information O. Peralta, D. Adams, T. Castro, M. Grutter, and A. Varela, Atmospheric Sciences Center, National Autonomous University of Mexico, Mexico City, Federal District, Mexico; ­email: oscar@​ atmosfera­ ​.­unam.mx

24 // Eos 15 April 2016 Research Is Meant to Be Shared Virtual Poster Showcase Makes It Easy

Students need to take only Virtual Poster Showcase (VPS) these three simple steps to gain is AGU’s new online platform valuable experience presenting for students to present their their research. research without having to travel. 1 Submit an abstract Presentation of results is an Upload a poster and essential career skill to practice 2 accompanying video and develop, in or out of presentation Earth and space sciences, and Judge the posters VPS is a cost-effective way to 3 of peers and receive accomplish this. comments on their poster

Consider incorporating VPS in a course or research experience. Learn more at virtualposter.agu.org RESEARCH SPOTLIGHT

How Oceans Could Change If We Reverse Anthropogenic Warming Gordon T. Taylor, Stony Brook University, NOAA Corps Collection NOAA Brook University, Stony Taylor, Gordon T. Diatoms from McMurdo Sound, as seen through a microscope.

t is well established at this point that mitigated entirely. To examine such a sce- by geographic location, with the most anthropogenic factors are warming the nario and attempt to parse out these “legacy extreme production increases occurring in I planet at an unprecedented rate. Reduc- effects,” scientists simulated a ­95-year the subtropics and the Arctic. ing and eventually eliminating our role in period of warming (2006–2100) followed by a The makeup of these phytoplankton pop- climate change is a lofty and necessary goal, symmetrical period of cooling (2101–2195) ulations, however, was quite different from but the planet’s climate—especially the and looked at how the oceans differed at the contemporary norms. The models predicted oceans—carries an enormous amount of start and end point of the experiment a persistent depletion of silicates in the inertia. Here, using computer models, John period. ocean waters, which allowed larger phyto- et al. investigate how the oceans and the Overall, the team’s results show that net plankton, especially the nondiatoms—which microscopic organisms that inhabit them primary production by phytoplankton in the do not require silicates—to dominate. would respond to a mitigation of anthropo- ocean is likely to rise in such a scenario. This The simulation results show that anthro- genic warming over the course of about 100 increase in productivity is caused by pogenic forcing will continue to influence years. increased mixing between layers of ocean Earth’s climate for a long time, even if it can The properties of Earth’s oceans are the water: As the planet cools, ocean waters near be mitigated within the next hundred years. product of a complex balance of surface tem- the surface respond faster than those deeper Understanding and predicting the future perature, currents, biogeochemical pro- down. This results in a cooler top layer and state of the planet should both prepare us cesses, and numerous other factors. Warm- relatively warmer waters between 400 and for the future and serve as a reminder of the ing and cooling of the climate influence each 800 meters deep. This, in turn, brings the ­long-​­lasting impact our action today may variable in unique ways, with some reacting density of the ocean’s layers closer together have on the planet. Even if we find a way to quite quickly and others experiencing long and allows for easier mixing. As the deep completely stop anthropogenic warming lag times before any measurable response. waters circulate more freely toward the sur- today, the legacy effects of the change we’ve These differences in inertia could lead to face, they carry new supplies of nitrate along already caused would continue to echo many scenarios where the oceans’ properties con- with them, replenishing the vital nutrient years into the future. (Geophysical Research tinue to change for centuries or even millen- that allows the phytoplankton to thrive. The Letters, doi:10.1002/​2015GL066160, 2015) nia, even if anthropogenic warming could be magnitude of this effect varied considerably —­ ­David Shultz, Freelance Writer

26 // Eos 15 April 2016 RESEARCH SPOTLIGHT

Objects That Slam into Ceres Remain on Its Surface

he origin and composition of the dwarf evidence that Ceres’s surface is extensively planet Ceres, the most massive body in contaminated with cosmic debris. Because the T the asteroid belt, have long been the team observed that more of the projectile subject of debate. As wide as the state of remained in and near the crater when it Texas, the nearly spherical body has a density impacted the snowy targets, they concluded less than half that of Earth’s, suggesting that an ice-rich surface will accumulate cos- either that Ceres could host large volumes of mic debris even more efficiently than one ice in its mantle or that it may be composed of composed of porous silicates. very porous silicate minerals. The potential The findings also have implications for presence—or absence—of ice on Ceres, as well understanding the evolution of Ceres’s sur- as on other small planetary bodies, may also face. If high-speed impactors excavate ice, it affect whether the remnants of asteroids and could rapidly sublimate, a process that would other cosmic impactors remain on the surface concentrate impactor material on the body’s or bounce off into space, according to a new surface, according to the researchers. If, how- Daly and Schultz.

study by NASA/JPL-Caltech/UCLA/MPS/DLR/IDA ever, there is minimal ice present, the team Since previous estimates of how much Impact craters on the surface of the dwarf planet Ceres predicts the impact debris will be more evenly impactor material remains on the surface have as seen from the Dawn spacecraft on 2 October 2015 at distributed throughout the depth of the focused on rocky targets denser than Ceres, an altitude of 1470 kilometers. unconsolidated surface layer. High-­ resolution​­ the researchers conducted a series of experi- images scheduled to be taken by the Dawn ments at the NASA Ames Vertical Gun Range spacecraft after it drops into its final orbit to examine the effects of high-speed colli- two possibilities for Ceres’s surface: ice rich or around the dwarf planet later this year should sions on more porous, ­Ceres-like​ targets. porous silicate. provide the first visual evidence that will help Using a ­4-meter-long​ cannon that can launch The results show that regardless of the to determine the extent to which Ceres’s sur- projectiles at speeds of up to 22,000 kilome- angle of impact, the type of impactor, or the face is dominated by exotic or locally derived ters per hour, the scientists simulated impacts composition of the surface, a large proportion material. (Geophysical Research Letters, of both metallic and stony meteorites into fro- of the projectiles remained in and near the doi:10.1002/2015GL065601,​ 2015) —Terri Cook, zen surfaces whose properties represented the impact craters, providing strong experimental Freelance Writer

Tracking Radioactive Cesium Released During Fukushima Disaster

n 11 March 2011, a tsunami struck the At the end of 2012, samples of surface be explained by the distinct water mass for- east coast of Japan, damaging the water taken along the 30°N parallel—which mation or deep wintertime mixing; however, Fukushima nuclear power plant and runs approximately from San Diego to south- it has yet to be clarified. O 134 precipitating the second-largest series of ern Japan—showed Cs had migrated as far Although the full environmental impact of nuclear meltdowns in history. The majority of east as 174.3°W longitude. (For reference, the Fukushima disaster may not be fully the fallout was deposited into the Pacific Hawaii is located at 157.8°W.) Similar mea- understood for years to come, the 134Cs pres- Ocean, and scientists have scrambled to track surements taken in 2013 show that the ent in the oceans won’t stay there for long; its the position of the harmful radioactive atoms cesium appeared to be traveling about 5 cen- half-life is only about 2 years, meaning that ever since. timeters per second: It had migrated to since the 2012 measurements, more than half Between 2012 and 2014, Yoshida et al. ana- 160.6°W—approximately 1580 kilometers of the isotopes have decayed. However, the lyzed the abundance of two cesium (Cs) iso- closer to North America. radioactive 137Cs released from the plant topes—134Cs and 137Cs—at various locations The team also took depth measurements to won’t see a similar 50% reduction until throughout the North Pacific Ocean. These track how deep the cesium was penetrating around the year 2040. radioactive elements were released in rela- the water. Again, no 134Cs was found farther The team says their findings are mostly tively equal abundance during the Fukushima east than 160.6°W, but closer to Japan the consistent with models that aimed to predict disaster, but 137Cs already existed in low levels radioactive isotopes were observed as far the spread of the fallout and that the cesium in the Pacific Ocean as a leftover product of down as 600 meters—a surprising finding might even be advancing slightly slower than nuclear weapons testing over the years. Any that showed the rapid and deep progression predicted. (Geophysical Research Letters, discovery of 134Cs, however, could be directly only 2 years after the accident. Physical pro- doi:10.1002/2015GL065259,​ 2015) —David attributed to the Fukushima disaster. cesses responsible for the deep signal could Shultz, Freelance Writer

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 27 RESEARCH SPOTLIGHT

The High Cost of Switching Power Sources

s global temperatures continue to rise, same aerosols would contribute many countries have turned to nuclear to a worldwide increase in car- A power as an alternative to carbon diopulmonary diseases and lung ­dioxide–​­emitting fuel sources like coal. How- cancer, causing 150,000 prema- ever, many leaders and policy makers ques- ture deaths each year. Two thirds tion whether the benefits of nuclear power of these deaths would occur in offset the risk of radioactive contamination. Europe. Some nations—like Germany—have aban- The researchers recognize that doned nuclear power as an alternative energy the study does not provide a source. Here Mielonen et al. simulated a sce- complete assessment of the fac- nario in which the rest of the world followed tors involved in choosing an suit and reverted to coal power. energy source. They did not The team used a global ­three-dimensional​­ include an analysis of the risks climate model to simulate what would hap- inherent in nuclear energy, like pen if every nuclear power plant on Earth accidents from nuclear waste or were swapped for a coal plant. They assessed the potential for developing the impacts of carbon dioxide emissions and nuclear weapons. The team also

particulate matter on the environment, as acknowledges that the likelihood (http://bit.ly/ccbysa2-0) 2.0 Mario Goebbels, CC BY-SA well as the human health effects of particu- of their worst-case scenario Data from global three-dimensional climate modeling show that a mass late matter smaller than 2.5 micrometers in turning into reality is slim—but switch from nuclear power to coal would increase deaths from exposure diameter. the study still serves a practical to harmful aerosols and accelerate climate change. The results of the team’s all-coal scenario purpose by emphasizing the det- paint a grim picture. Their models reveal that rimental consequences of fossil increased aerosol emissions from coal power fuel reliance. mass burning may not be a good option plants would actually cool the climate at first The study isn’t merely a question of either. Ultimately, further research is neces- because atmospheric aerosols reflect sunlight nuclear versus coal, however; rather, the sary to determine which fuel source will have back into space. However, after 37 years, authors caution that nations abandoning the smallest unfavorable impact on health enough carbon dioxide would accumulate in nuclear power should carefully consider the and/or climate. ( Journal of Geophysical the atmosphere to reverse this cooling effect health and climate effects of energy sources Research: Atmospheres, doi:10.1002/​ and even accelerate global warming. They that might take its place. For example, coal 2015JD024183, 2015) —Shannon Kelleher, Writer estimated that long-term exposure to these has clearly adverse health effects, and bio- Intern

Soil Loses Pyrogenic Carbon by an Unexpected Pathway

yrogenic carbon—also known as black bon is removed from soil at the headwaters of flow more than nonpyrogenic carbon—sug- carbon—is charred carbon deposited by the White Nile watershed of Lake Victoria in gesting that the charred carbon deposited P vegetation and grassland fires. In the East Africa, where forest has been converted by forest fires is no more susceptible to ero- agricultural community, the pyrogenic to farmland. The team expected to identify sion than the organic carbon already stored ­carbon–rich​ biochar is known as a soil erosion as the primary transporter of pyro- in the soil. However, the researchers found enhancer, improving soil fertility and boosting genic carbon and to find pyrogenic carbon that concentrations of pyrogenic carbon the land’s carbon storage. Despite the fact eroding faster than nonpyrogenic carbon—but increased with soil depth. Since the con- that it is a common component of the global their results were a bit of a surprise. centration of pyrogenic carbon in under- biogeochemical carbon cycle, little is known Over the course of a year, the team sampled ground base flow water corresponded to about what happens to pyrogenic carbon after soil and water from different land gradient these higher concentrations below the sur- it is deposited. Relatively low concentrations angles in catchments—natural areas where face, they concluded that the trick to pyro- suggest that it must be disappearing from the water accumulates—at all major tributaries of genic carbon’s vanishing act lies in trans- soil, yet the pathway by which this carbon is the White Nile watershed and measured con- portation processes happening deep in the transported out of the soil has remained centrations of organic carbon and pyrogenic soil, rather than on the surface. (Global Bio- somewhat of a mystery. carbon. geochemical Cycles, doi:10.1002/​ In a recent study, Güereña et al. sought to They found that pyrogenic carbon was not 2015GB005095, 2015) —Shannon Kelleher, Writer uncover the pathways by which pyrogenic car- transported by erosion and surface water Intern

28 // Eos 15 April 2016 RESEARCH SPOTLIGHT

What Causes the Strange Pulses in Saturn’s Magnetosphere?

n addition to its signature rings and many been previously explored by several scien- ral travels outward from the planet and moons, Saturn is surrounded by its own tists: a rotating spiral wave of increased par- rotates counterclockwise. It appears stiff near Imagnetosphere—the bubble of space ticle density that travels outward from the the planet where the wave speed is high, like influenced by the planet’s magnetic field. planet. As the spiral turns, regions of higher the spokes of a wheel. However, the spiral The behaviors of various phenomena within plasma density and magnetic field strength takes shape as the wave speed slows toward the magnetosphere, including charged parti- periodically sweep through Saturn’s magne- the outer magnetosphere. cles, magnetic fields, the aurora, radio emis- tosphere, giving rise to the observed cyclical Carbary tested the new model’s predic- sions, and even the rings themselves, behavior. tions against other Cassini observations undergo periodic cycles that last about To construct the new model, Carbary used from 2010. The model accurately predicted 10.7 hours. observations made by NASA’s Cassini space- the ­10.7-hour periodic signature. However, For the past decade, scientists have puzzled craft during the first 200 days of 2010. As it it also predicted smaller secondary signals over what could cause these pulses. The peri- swung around Saturn—well within the mag- approximately 20 minutes before and after odic cycles of the magnetospheres of Earth netosphere—Cassini measured magnetic the main signal, which were not observed by and Jupiter are caused by the misalignment of field strength and plasma density. Carbary Cassini. Future studies are needed to refine each planet’s spin axis and magnetic field used these data to calculate the wave speed of the model and identify the underlying mech- axis. However, Saturn has no such mismatch. the hypothetical spiral. anism that drives the spiral. (Geophysical A new model by Carbary provides new evi- An observer looking down at the north pole Research Letters, doi:10.1002/​2015GL067292, dence for a potential mechanism that has of Saturn from above would see that the spi- 2016) —Sarah Stanley, Freelance Writer

Unknown Tsunami Trigger Hides Along a Creeping Aleutian Fault

hen we think about what causes an dating was first used). The third through sixth , the first thing that usu- sand layers came from tsunamis that occurred Wally comes to mind is a fault that from 660 to 560, 1170 to 1010, 1380 to 1280, slips suddenly—the kind of sudden quakes and 1680 to 1510 years B.P., respectively. On that can generate tsunamis. But a fault line average, a tsunami hit Sedanka Island every that creeps—when two tectonic plates slide 300–340 years. against each other smoothly—probably The causes of these tsunamis remain wouldn’t be considered a major suspect for somewhat unclear, as the nearby fault pres- ­tsunami-causing​­ earthquakes. Far north off ently creeps and appears not to be storing the Aleutian Islands, however, a creeping sec- energy to release in a big seismic event. The tion of the Aleutian Subduction Zone might be researchers simulated the 1957 tsunami and the source of past and future tsunamis that found that the Aleutian Subduction Zone could impact coastal areas around the Pacific fault would need to have slipped by at least Robert Witter Robert Ocean. Geologists examine drift logs stranded up to 18.5 meters 10 meters in order to generate waves large Witter et al. explored the coastal geology at above sea level and 900 meters from the shoreline of enough to leave the evidence for inundation Stardust Bay on Sedanka Island, Alaska, above Stardust Bay on the remote Pacific coast of Sedanka that they found in Stardust Bay. Because the a creeping part of the Aleutian Subduction Island, Alaska. The logs were carried inland and depos- subduction fault isn’t currently locked, the Zone and identified six tsunami events ited in 1957 by a large tsunami generated by the magni- team also considered alternative sources for recorded in distinct marine sand layers. Drift tude 8.6 Andreanof Islands earthquake. The elevations the tsunami—but each potential source logs and other landforms near the beach also of the drift logs provide estimates of the minimum run-up relies on rupture of some kind of fault off- provide clues that tsunamis historically hit the of tsunami waves. shore. They even investigated whether an shores of Sedanka Island. These included shal- underwater landslide triggered the tsunami low ponds, a swale just behind the current but couldn’t find any conclusive evidence for beach berm, an apparent tsunami terrace, and They used carbon-14­ dating for the second or against such an event. These findings unusual stream channels most likely caused by through sixth sand layers and found that that suggest that an unknown tsunami source post-tsunami backflow. second sand bed was laid down by a tsunami still lurks within this creeping part of the The researchers used radioactive cesium to that inundated Stardust Bay between 300 and Aleutian Subduction Zone. (Geophysical date the first layer of sand, which most likely 175 years B.P. (before present, measured from Research Letters, doi:10.1002/​​2015GL066083, was deposited by the 1957 Aleutian tsunami. 1 January 1950 to reflect when radiocarbon 2016) —Cody Sullivan, Writer Intern

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 29 POSITIONS AVAILABLE

STUDENT OPPORTUNITY AGU’s Career Center is the main resource for recruitment advertising. URBINO SUMMER SCHOOL U.S. Graduate Student Scholarships All Positions Available and additional job postings can be viewed at for the 2016 Urbino Summer School in Paleoclimatology (USSP) Eos.org at https://eos.org/jobs-support. The 13th Urbino Summer School in Paleoclimatology (13-29 July; http:// AGU offers printed recruitment advertising in Eos to reinforce your online job www.urbinossp.it/) will provide grad- uate students with an intensive pro- visibility and your brand. gram on reconstructing the history and dynamics of paleoclimate through an integrated series of lec- Visit employers.agu.org to view all of the packages available for recruitment tures, investigations, case studies, advertising. and field analyses. To promote U.S. graduate student participation in this international experience, the National Science Foundation is fund- ing ten scholarships to cover U.S. SIMPLE TO RECRUIT carrier airfare, stipend, and course expenses (including lodging). Inter- • online packages to access our Career Center audience ested students in U.S. graduate pro- 30-day and 60-day options available grams should email a pdf file com- • prised of a one-page CV and one-page • prices range $475–$1,215 statement on how the USSP would benefit their professional develop- ment as a researcher and educator to CHALLENGING TO RECRUIT [email protected]. In addition, students should request • online and print packages to access the wider AGU community their primary adviser to email a rec- ommendation letter directly to the • 30 day and 60 day options available above email address. Members of his- • prices range $795–$2,691 torically underrepresented groups are encouraged to apply. Deadline for receipt of application materials, DIFFICULT TO RECRUIT including recommendation letters, is 20 April 2015. • our most powerful packages for maximum multimedia exposure to the AGU community • 30 day and 60 day options available • prices range $2,245–$5,841

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30 // Eos 15 April 2016 POSITIONS AVAILABLE

Faculty Positions in Environmental Science and Engineering Assistant/Associate/Full Professors - Physical and South University of Science and Technology in Shenzhen, Biological Oceanography, Marine China Geophysics/Geology, and Ocean Engineering

The South University of Science and Technology (known as South University of Science and Technology of China SUSTC or SUSTech) (http://www.sustc.edu.cn/en) is a public

university founded in the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone of China. It is The school of oceanography at the South University of Science and intended to be a top-tier international university that excels in interdisciplinary Technology of China (SUSTC) invites applications for several tenure-track (or research, nurturing innovative talents and delivering new knowledge to the tenured) faculty positions at the ranks of Assistant, Associate, and Full world. SUSTC is conducting a global search for talented faculty who are also Professor. Applicants must have earned Doctoral degrees in marine innovators and trailblazers. Founded since 2015, the School of Environmental geophysics/geology, physical oceanography, biological oceanography, Science and Engineering at SUSTC aspires to become a center of excellence for ocean engineering or closely related field. Successful applicants will be cutting-edge and multidisciplinary environmental research. We invite expected to establish a robust, externally funded research program and applications for tenure-track and tenured faculty positions in broadly defined demonstrate a strong commitment to undergraduate and graduate environmental science and engineering. Research areas include but are not teaching, student mentoring, and professional service. These positions will limited to: hydrology and water resource engineering, water pollution and be open until filled. treatment, atmospheric chemistry, air pollution control, solid waste utilization,

ecosystem assessment, environmental remote sensing, and global change. SUSTC is a young university at Shenzhen in southern China since 2010 which Positions are immediately available at all ranks. Highly competitive salaries and is set to become a world-leading research university, to lead the higher start-up packages will be provided. The successful candidates will have great education reform in China, to serve the needs of innovation-oriented opportunities to advance environmental research in China as the country faces national development and the needs of building Shenzhen into a modern, up to enormous challenges in achieving environmental sustainability. international and innovative metropolitan. These positions are created with

a significant development to establish a vigorous research program in Applicants should have a Ph.D. degree in a water, air, or earth system related oceanography at SUSTC to serve the national call for China’s important role discipline. Candidates must have a proven track record of high-quality scientific in deep sea research and resource-oriented exploration in the world oceans. publications and must have excellent communications skills. Those interested

are invited to apply by submitting the following material electronically to To apply submit a cover letter, complete vitae with list of publications, and [email protected]: 1) Curriculum Vitae (with a complete list of publications); 2) three names of references via http://talent.sustc.edu.cn/en/,or to Dr. Y. Statement of research interests; 3) Statement of teaching philosophy; 4) John Chen, Chair Professor at School of Oceanography, South University of Selected reprints of three recent papers; and 5) Names and contact Science and Technology of China, No 1088, Xueyuan Rd., Xili, Nanshan information of five references. Review of applications will begin immediately District, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China 518055. and continue until the positions are filled.

Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 31 Postcards from the Field

Dear AGU,

Here’s an autumn view of two of 10 whole-ecosystem warming enclosures being operated as the Spruce and Peatland Responses Under Climatic and Environmental change (SPRUCE) experiment on the U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service’s Marcell Experimental Forest in northern Min- nesota. We have initiated a decadal study of the effects of warming by ele- vated carbon dioxide effects in a high carbon peatland to study the fate of ancient peatland carbon and greenhouse gas emissions, organism responses, and ecosystem hydrology. Let us know if you would like to par- ticipate. More details are available at http:// mnspruce.ornl .gov.

—Paul J. Hanson, SPRUCE Principal Investigator and Coordinating Inves- tigator, Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn.

View more postcards at http://americangeophysicalunion.tumblr .com/tagged/postcards-from-the-fi eld.

32 // Eos 15 April 2016