Friday, October 30, 2020 5-Day Statewide Weather Outlook No Threat Low Threat Moderate Threat High Threat Damaging Coastal Flash Excessive Day Lightning Rip Currents Winds Flooding Flooding Heat or Gulf Coast Fri South Florida South Florida East Coast East Coast Sat South Florida South Florida Gulf Coast East Coast East Coast & Sun South Florida Panhandle Keys West Coast East Coast East Coast & Mon Panhandle Keys West Coast East Coast & East Coast Tue Keys Gulf Coast

Forecast Fronts & Weather Saturday (left), Sunday (center-left), Monday (center-right), and Tuesday (right)

*Locally Higher Totals Possible in Southeast Florida*

High Temperatures Monday Forecast Rainfall Totals Through Tuesday Night

FDEM Statewide 5-Day Weather Outlook 10.30.20

…Showers, Maybe a Few Storms in South and Northeast Florida This Weekend… Windy and Much Colder Next Week…Monitoring Caribbean for Development, No Immediate Threat to Florida…Dangerous Beach Conditions Along East Coast…

Don’t forget to “fall back” an hour Saturday night! Daylight Saving Time ends this weekend!

Friday - Sunday: A few showers and storms are possible in South Florida and the Keys tonight along a stalled front, with pockets of heavy downpours possible. A couple isolated showers will be possible along the East Coast tonight as well. Lows will be in the 50s in North Florida, 60s in Central Florida, and 70s in South Florida. This weekend, the pattern remains the same with scattered storms in South Florida and the Keys. A couple bands of rain will develop along coastal Northeast Florida on Saturday. It Rain Chances does not appear that the rain will be extremely Saturday heavy, but some moderate rainfall is possible. A strong cold front will sweep through the state on Sunday. No additional rain is expected, but it should put an end to any rain chances by early next week. In the meantime, highs will rebound into the 70s across North Florida with 80s in the Peninsula. Lows Saturday night will be in the upper 50s to middle 60s in North and Central Florida with 70s in South Florida. After the cold front passes on Sunday, lows Sunday night will fall into the middle 40s to lower 50s across North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s in Central Florida, and upper 60s to middle 70s in South Florida.

Monday – Tuesday: The coldest air of the season so far arrives early next week. Windy conditions are expected statewide on Monday, but the strongest winds will be near the East Coast. Sustained winds of 15-25 mph are expected across the state, but gusts, especially near the East Coast, could be 30-40 mph. Wind Advisories may be needed . Winds may subside Low some on Tuesday, but -force winds will Temperatures remain possible across the Florida Keys. Monday Night High temperatures on Monday will be in the lower to middle 60s across North Florida,

FDEM Statewide 5-Day Weather Outlook 10.30.20 upper 60s to middle 70s in Central Florida, and upper 70s to lower 80s in South Florida. Keep in mind, the wind and low humidity will make it feel cooler. Lows Monday night will fall into the lower to middle 40s in North Florida, upper 40s to upper 50s in Central Florida, and 60s in South Florida. Temperatures warm a few degrees on Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Tropics: Invest 96L, located in the eastern Caribbean Sea, is becoming better organized. Development into a tropical depression is likely this weekend or early next week as it moves westward generally toward Honduras and Nicaragua. This system has a 70% (high) chance of development over the next 48 hours and an 80% (high) chance during the next 5 days. The next name on the list is Eta, which would tie the record for most tropical storms in a season (28 set in 2005). No impacts to Florida are expected for at least the next 5 days. For the latest on the tropics, visit the National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov.

Coastal Flooding: The combination of the full moon phase, very strong northeast winds, and building waves could result in some nuisance to minor at high tide along the East Coast and in the Keys Sunday through Tuesday.

Flash Flooding: Scattered storms across South Florida will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall at times. Since grounds remain saturated, heavy rainfall will more readily runoff, possibly causing some urban flooding through Saturday. An isolated flash cannot be ruled out. Otherwise, no concerns are expected.

River Flooding: A River continues for the St. Johns River near Astor until further notice. Current River Levels Minor flooding is ongoing and forecast to continue into early next week as water levels continue to very slowly recede. For more information on specific rivers, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center. Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 16.33 feet, which is 1.30 feet above normal for this time of year. This is about 0.01 feet higher than this time last week. Releases are ongoing

FDEM Statewide 5-Day Weather Outlook 10.30.20 down the Caloosahatchee and St. Lucie Rivers in an attempt to lower the lake level. With most rain remaining south of the lake and recent dry weather, a slow decline in lake levels is expected.

Rip Currents & Marine Hazards: Lingering swells from Zeta will diminish over the next few days, resulting in a moderate rip current risk at Gulf Coast beaches. By Sunday, West Coast beaches will return to a low risk while Panhandle beaches will remain under a moderate risk for rip currents through Monday due to strong northerly winds. Winds should subside somewhat on Tuesday, resulting in a low rip Forecast Wave current risk for all Gulf Coast beaches. Heights East Coast beaches will become quite Monday hazardous over the weekend and especially into next week. Breezy easterly winds and waves of 4-6’ will result in a high rip current risk this weekend. As a cold front blasts through, northeast winds will become strong (20-30 mph) and waves will build (7-10’). This will result in a high rip current risk continuing into early next week. High Surf Advisories may be needed for East Coast beaches next week. Significant beach erosion is possible. Red tide has not been observed at significant levels. For the latest Red Tide concentration reports, please view the Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission map

NWS Mobile Daily Hazards NWS Tallahassee Daily Graphical Hazards NWS Jacksonville Daily Hazards NWS Melbourne Daily Graphical Hazards NWS Tampa Daily Graphical Hazards NWS Miami Daily Graphical Hazards NWS Key West Daily Hazards

For the official forecast, please click on the following cities: Pensacola Panama City Tallahassee Gainesville Jacksonville Daytona Beach Orlando Tampa Fort Myers West Palm Beach Miami Key West Click here for the latest watches, warnings, and advisories from The National Weather Service For coastal and offshore forecasts throughout Florida and Georgia, please click here. ------Have a great weekend! Cameron Young, Assistant State Meteorologist Florida Division of Emergency Management | www.FloridaDisaster.org

FDEM Statewide 5-Day Weather Outlook 10.30.20