ddeettaaiilleedd ttaabblleess . Which ONE would you most likely vote for if a provincial election were held tomorrow?

AGE EDUCATION GENDER INCOME Total 18 to 34 35 to 54 55 or older <=HS Post. Sec. Univ. Male Female <$30K $30K to $60K + years years $60K

Base: All respondents 1000 250 456 289 317 341 342 500 500 196 315 427 Weighted 1000 372 349 276 315 341 344 484 516 204 317 422

Ernie Eves [EEVZ] and the Progressive 352 103 140 107 113 128 111 192 161 51 120 167 Conservative Party 35% 28% 40% 39% 36% 38% 32% 40% 31% 25% 38% 40% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 490 202 160 127 149 151 190 230 261 114 155 200 Liberal Party 49% 54% 46% 46% 47% 44% 55% 47% 50% 56% 49% 47% DO NOT READ: Neither 101 38 33 29 30 45 26 45 56 22 33 34 10% 10% 9% 10% 9% 13% 8% 9% 11% 11% 10% 8% (DK/NS) 57 28 16 13 23 17 16 18 39 17 9 21 6% 8% 5% 5% 7% 5% 5% 4% 8% 8% 3% 5%

REGION REGION TYPE AREA CODE Total Ham/Niag South West Eastern Northern Ont (ex. GTA Urban Rural 416 905 GTA)

Base: All respondents 1000 175 175 150 100 600 400 862 138 227 166 Weighted 1000 87 251 200 82 621 379 852 148 215 158

Ernie Eves [EEVZ] and the Progressive 352 33 100 63 26 221 131 293 59 59 68 Conservative Party 35% 38% 40% 31% 31% 36% 35% 34% 40% 27% 43% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 490 41 118 94 48 302 189 427 64 119 66 Liberal Party 49% 47% 47% 47% 59% 49% 50% 50% 43% 55% 42% DO NOT READ: Neither 101 9 27 26 6 68 33 81 20 22 11 10% 10% 11% 13% 7% 11% 9% 10% 13% 10% 7% (DK/NS) 57 5 7 17 2 30 27 50 6 14 13 6% 5% 3% 8% 2% 5% 7% 6% 4% 7% 8%

Ipsos-Reid February 20, 2002 1 ddeettaaiilleedd ttaabblleess Which ONE would you most likely vote for if a provincial election were held tomorrow?

AGE EDUCATION GENDER INCOME Total 18 to 34 35 to 54 55 or older <=HS Post. Sec. Univ. Male Female <$30K $30K to $60K + years years $60K

Base: All respondents 1000 250 456 289 317 341 342 500 500 196 315 427 Weighted 1000 372 349 276 315 341 344 484 516 204 317 422

Elizabeth Witmer [WIT - MER] and the 337 120 125 90 111 110 116 168 169 65 105 153 Progressive Conservative Party 34% 32% 36% 33% 35% 32% 34% 35% 33% 32% 33% 36% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 506 193 169 143 154 174 177 251 255 103 170 213 Liberal Party 51% 52% 48% 52% 49% 51% 52% 52% 49% 50% 53% 51% DO NOT READ: Neither 91 28 33 29 28 32 31 43 48 21 29 29 9% 8% 9% 11% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 7% (DK/NS) 66 31 22 13 21 24 20 22 44 15 14 26 7% 8% 6% 5% 7% 7% 6% 4% 9% 7% 4% 6%

REGION REGION TYPE AREA CODE Total Ham/Niag South West Eastern Northern Ont (ex. GTA Urban Rural 416 905 GTA)

Base: All respondents 1000 175 175 150 100 600 400 862 138 227 166 Weighted 1000 87 251 200 82 621 379 852 148 215 158

Elizabeth Witmer [WIT - MER] and the 337 27 102 71 22 222 116 284 53 53 60 Progressive Conservative Party 34% 31% 40% 35% 27% 36% 30% 33% 36% 25% 38% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 506 46 113 100 52 311 195 435 71 121 70 Liberal Party 51% 52% 45% 50% 63% 50% 51% 51% 48% 56% 44% DO NOT READ: Neither 91 9 22 20 7 58 33 78 13 21 12 9% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 8% (DK/NS) 66 5 15 9 1 30 36 55 11 20 16 7% 6% 6% 4% 2% 5% 9% 6% 7% 9% 10%

Ipsos-Reid February 20, 2002 2 ddeettaaiilleedd ttaabblleess Which ONE would you most likely vote for if a provincial election were held tomorrow?

AGE EDUCATION GENDER INCOME Total 18 to 34 35 to 54 55 or older <=HS Post. Sec. Univ. Male Female <$30K $30K to $60K + years years $60K

Base: All respondents 1000 250 456 289 317 341 342 500 500 196 315 427 Weighted 1000 372 349 276 315 341 344 484 516 204 317 422

Jim Flaherty [FLAIR - IT - TEE] and the 281 94 112 74 93 91 96 148 133 43 95 131 Progressive Conservative Party 28% 25% 32% 27% 30% 27% 28% 31% 26% 21% 30% 31% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 553 220 183 149 173 181 199 269 284 127 176 230 Liberal Party 55% 59% 52% 54% 55% 53% 58% 56% 55% 63% 56% 54% DO NOT READ: Neither 111 40 33 37 29 51 31 50 61 22 36 42 11% 11% 10% 13% 9% 15% 9% 10% 12% 11% 11% 10% (DK/NS) 55 18 20 16 19 18 17 17 38 11 10 19 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% 7% 6% 3% 5%

REGION REGION TYPE AREA CODE Total Ham/Niag South West Eastern Northern Ont (ex. GTA Urban Rural 416 905 GTA)

Base: All respondents 1000 175 175 150 100 600 400 862 138 227 166 Weighted 1000 87 251 200 82 621 379 852 148 215 158

Jim Flaherty [FLAIR - IT - TEE] and the 281 26 81 47 21 175 106 239 42 53 50 Progressive Conservative Party 28% 30% 32% 24% 26% 28% 28% 28% 28% 25% 32% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 553 48 134 111 53 346 207 473 80 124 79 Liberal Party 55% 55% 53% 55% 65% 56% 55% 56% 54% 58% 50% DO NOT READ: Neither 111 8 30 29 5 72 39 92 19 27 13 11% 9% 12% 15% 6% 12% 10% 11% 13% 12% 8% (DK/NS) 55 5 7 13 2 28 27 48 7 11 16 5% 6% 3% 7% 3% 4% 7% 6% 5% 5% 10%

Ipsos-Reid February 20, 2002 3 ddeettaaiilleedd ttaabblleess

Which ONE would you most likely vote for if a provincial election were held tomorrow?

AGE EDUCATION GENDER INCOME Total 18 to 34 35 to 54 55 or older <=HS Post. Sec. Univ. Male Female <$30K $30K to $60K + years years $60K

Base: All respondents 1000 250 456 289 317 341 342 500 500 196 315 427 Weighted 1000 372 349 276 315 341 344 484 516 204 317 422

Tony Clement [CLE - MENT] and the 282 94 106 82 90 99 93 153 129 37 96 138 Progressive Conservative Party 28% 25% 30% 30% 29% 29% 27% 32% 25% 18% 30% 33% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 539 211 182 144 168 176 195 261 278 125 174 219 Liberal Party 54% 57% 52% 52% 53% 51% 57% 54% 54% 61% 55% 52% DO NOT READ: Neither 111 40 37 34 34 39 38 50 62 22 37 39 11% 11% 11% 12% 11% 12% 11% 10% 12% 11% 12% 9% (DK/NS) 68 27 23 17 23 28 18 20 48 20 10 25 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 8% 5% 4% 9% 10% 3% 6%

REGION REGION TYPE AREA CODE Total Ham/Niag South West Eastern Northern Ont (ex. GTA Urban Rural 416 905 GTA)

Base: All respondents 1000 175 175 150 100 600 400 862 138 227 166 Weighted 1000 87 251 200 82 621 379 852 148 215 158

Tony Clement [CLE - MENT] and the 282 22 79 53 21 175 107 235 47 46 60 Progressive Conservative Party 28% 25% 32% 26% 26% 28% 28% 28% 32% 21% 38% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 539 51 132 102 51 335 203 468 71 128 70 Liberal Party 54% 58% 53% 51% 62% 54% 54% 55% 48% 60% 44% DO NOT READ: Neither 111 10 28 25 7 70 41 96 15 27 14 11% 12% 11% 12% 8% 11% 11% 11% 10% 13% 9% (DK/NS) 68 5 12 21 3 41 28 53 15 14 13 7% 5% 5% 10% 4% 7% 7% 6% 10% 7% 9%

Ipsos-Reid February 20, 2002 4 ddeettaaiilleedd ttaabblleess

Which ONE would you most likely vote for if a provincial election were held tomorrow?

AGE EDUCATION GENDER INCOME Total 18 to 34 35 to 54 55 or older <=HS Post. Sec. Univ. Male Female <$30K $30K to $60K + years years $60K

Base: All respondents 1000 250 456 289 317 341 342 500 500 196 315 427 Weighted 1000 372 349 276 315 341 344 484 516 204 317 422

Chris Stockwell and the Progressive 268 98 94 74 72 103 93 153 115 34 88 135 Conservative Party 27% 26% 27% 27% 23% 30% 27% 32% 22% 16% 28% 32% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 543 211 184 147 177 176 191 249 294 126 178 218 Liberal Party 54% 57% 53% 53% 56% 51% 55% 51% 57% 62% 56% 52% DO NOT READ: Neither 125 34 50 40 45 41 39 57 67 30 41 45 12% 9% 14% 14% 14% 12% 11% 12% 13% 15% 13% 11% (DK/NS) 64 28 21 15 22 22 21 24 40 14 11 24 6% 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 5% 8% 7% 3% 6%

REGION REGION TYPE AREA CODE Total Ham/Niag South West Eastern Northern Ont (ex. GTA Urban Rural 416 905 GTA)

Base: All respondents 1000 175 175 150 100 600 400 862 138 227 166 Weighted 1000 87 251 200 82 621 379 852 148 215 158

Chris Stockwell and the Progressive 268 27 70 58 18 173 95 228 41 41 52 Conservative Party 27% 31% 28% 29% 22% 28% 25% 27% 27% 19% 33% Dalton McGuinty [MI - GINTY] and the 543 46 133 95 51 326 217 471 72 133 80 Liberal Party 54% 53% 53% 48% 62% 53% 57% 55% 48% 62% 51% DO NOT READ: Neither 125 8 35 32 9 84 41 103 22 30 11 12% 9% 14% 16% 11% 14% 11% 12% 15% 14% 7% (DK/NS) 64 6 13 15 3 38 26 50 14 11 15 6% 7% 5% 8% 4% 6% 7% 6% 9% 5% 9%

Ipsos-Reid February 20, 2002 5