Infrastructure to Support Advanced Autonomous Aircraft Technologies in Ohio
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Infrastructure to Support Advanced Autonomous Aircraft Technologies in Ohio Prepared by: Dr. Rubén Del Rosario1 Prepared for: The Ohio Department of Transportation, Office of Statewide Planning & Research Project ID Number: 111453 June 2021 Final Report 1 Contributing Authors: Crown: Tom Davis, Dr. Tulinda Larsen, Ben Merran, Basil Yap, Chris Fernando UC: Dr. Kelly Cohen, Bryan Kowalczyk, Dr. Dan Cuppolleti NEXA: Michael Dyment, Phillip Dyment, Chase Leeby Page i Project ID: 111453 Technical Report Documentation Page 1. Report No. 2. Government Accession No. 3. Recipient's Catalog No. FHWA/OH-2021-18 4. Title and Subtitle 5. Report Date Infrastructure to Support Advanced Autonomous Aircraft June 2021 Technologies in Ohio 6. Performing Organization Code Economic Impact Report for Advanced Autonomous Aircraft Technologies in Ohio 7. Author(s) 8. Performing Organization Report No. Dr. Rubén Del Rosario, Tom Davis, Michael Dyment, Dr. Kelly Cohen 9. Performing Organization Name and Address 10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS) Crown Consulting, Inc. 11. Contract or Grant No. 1400 Key Blvd, Suite 1100, Arlington, VA 22209 34689 12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address 13. Type of Report and Period Covered Ohio Department of Transportation Final Report 1980 West Broad Street 14. Sponsoring Agency Code Columbus, Ohio 43223 15. Supplementary Notes The contents of this report reflect the views of the authors who are responsible for the facts and the accuracy of the data presented herein. The contents do not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of the Ohio Department of Transportation or the Federal Highway Administration. This report does not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation. 16. Abstract The State of Ohio faces both opportunities and challenges with regards to future transportation systems. Advanced Air Mobility is a concept of air transportation that moves people and cargo between places not conveniently served by surface transportation or underserved by aviation. Driven by the economic and societal promise of AAM, the Ohio Department of Transportation (ODOT) commissioned this Economic Impact Analysis for Advanced Autonomous Aircraft Technologies in Ohio. This report forecasts the industrial and economic benefits of AAM systems and services through the year 2045. 17. Keywords 18. Distribution Statement No restrictions. This document is available to the public through the National Technical Advanced Air Mobility (AAM), Unmanned Air Systems (UAS) Information Service, Springfield, Virginia 22161 19. Security Classification (of 20. Security Classification this report) (of this page) 21. No. of Pages 22. Price Unclassified Unclassified 89 Form DOT F 1700.7 (8-72) Reproduction of completed pages authorized Page ii Project ID: 111453 Credits and Acknowledgements Prepared in cooperation with the Ohio Department of Transportation and the U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration The contents of this report reflect the views of the authors, who are responsible for the facts and the accuracy of the data presented herein. The contents do not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of the Ohio Department of Transportation or the Federal Highway Administration. This report does not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation. The Crown team acknowledges and is thankful for the input of the many people directly involved and consulted during the performance of this effort. Special gratitude for guidance on this project goes to the Technical Advisory Committee members, including Fred Judson, Rich Fox, Jordan Collins of the Ohio UAS Center, and Tim Sweeney from JobsOhio Page iii Project ID: 111453 About Crown Consulting Inc. Crown Consulting, Inc. is shaping the future of air transportation with concept development, design, and deployment of systems and aircraft. Crown brings more than three decades of experience working with aviation innovators and is a leader for innovation in advanced air mobility and intermodal transportation, air traffic management, and advanced aerospace systems that enable profitable commercial services, cost-effective government services, and communities of the future. Crown provided overall management of this project. Crown brought expertise in regulatory input, technical challenges, and potential implementation barriers of advanced air mobility (AAM), including the development of the use cases developed herein for small-unmanned air systems and AAM. About NEXA Capital Partners, LLC NEXA Capital Partners, LLC, is a specialist investment bank providing corporate and strategic financial advisory services, market intelligence, and capital investment to the aerospace, transportation, logistics and geomatics sectors. For this project, NEXA Subsidiary UAM Geomatics, Inc. provided geospatial mapping and analysis of all relevant geographic features for the State of Ohio. NEXA subsidiary NEXA Advisors provided business case studies for the urban air mobility and advanced air mobility use cases developed herein. NEXA Advisors also performed in-depth economic impact analysis of job creation opportunities for the State of Ohio. About the University of Cincinnati The University of Cincinnati’s (UC) Department of Aerospace Engineering and Engineering Mechanics is intimately involved with the advancement of small unmanned aircraft systems and AAM technologies in the USA The department is leading various efforts for UAS and artificial intelligence for the state. For this project, UC provided Ohio UAS technology insights and subject matter expertise for characterizing the aerospace supply chain for the state. UC supported the outreach to key national and state stakeholders and conducted an assessment of the potential impact of noise for AAM operation. Page iv Project ID: 111453 Table of Contents List of Tables ............................................................................................... vii List of Figures ............................................................................................. viii Executive Summary ........................................................................................ 1 Introduction ................................................................................................. 3 The Transportation Challenge ......................................................................... 3 The Potential of AAM .................................................................................... 3 What Is AAM? ........................................................................................... 3 Issues/Barriers of AAM................................................................................ 5 Ohio and AAM .......................................................................................... 6 Study Goals and Objectives ............................................................................ 6 Methodology ................................................................................................. 8 Overview of the Approach .............................................................................. 8 Interviews with Key Stakeholders ..................................................................... 9 ArcGIS Methodology (Mapping of Existing Infrastructure) ......................................... 11 Business Case Model Methodology .................................................................... 11 AAM Passenger and Emergency Services Methodology .......................................... 11 Key Assumptions and Findings on AAM Ground Infrastructure ................................. 15 Cargo and Freight Delivery Methodology ......................................................... 17 Economic Impact Tool Methodology (Implan Methodology) .................................... 19 Analysis Results ............................................................................................ 21 AAM Passenger and Cargo Carrying Use Cases ...................................................... 21 sUAS Use Cases .......................................................................................... 22 Supply Chains ............................................................................................ 23 ArcGIS Analysis Outputs ................................................................................ 24 Business Case Tool Output............................................................................. 26 Use Case Outputs for Six Major Cities ............................................................. 26 Cargo Along Corridors ............................................................................... 30 Economic Impact Analysis ............................................................................. 31 IMPLAN and Results .................................................................................. 31 Economic Impact: GDP .............................................................................. 33 Economic Impact: Jobs and Occupation .......................................................... 34 Economic Impact: Taxes ............................................................................ 36 sUAS Forecast Analysis ................................................................................. 37 Other Catalytic Impacts ............................................................................... 38 Page v Project ID: 111453 A Tale of Two Economies: Improved Labor Market Efficiencies, and Improved Suburban and Rural Access .........................................................................................