District and South Community Safety Partnership Performance Report January 2016 Comparative Performance The Home Office places Community Safety Partnerships in groups considered to have enough similar characteristics to allow comparison of their performance; these are known as the Most Similar Group. Membership of our group was revised in October 2014, with only four of the original fifteen Partnerships remaining in our group: the group average and rankings altered dramatically as a consequence. There are fourteen crime types on the table below, some being composites of the others. The Current Position column tells us whether performance is Inline with, Above or Below the upper and lower control limits from the average for the group. The Distance column gives the difference between our crime rate and that average. Next is our Rank within the group and whether this has changed from the previous month; an improvement is highlighted in green and a drop in red. The next column shows the current Crime Rate, with a drop highlighted in green, an increase in red; as this colour code only indicates the shift from the previous month the final column, Trend, gives a graphic representation of figures over the past five months.

Most Similar Group Crime Rate Crime Type Current Distance Trend Ranking (per 1,000) Position from average All Crime Above 18.3% 13 43.91 Serious Acquisitive Crime Above 41.3% 14 7.08 Domestic Burglary Above 34.8% 14 5.32 Distraction Burglary Inline 12.5% 11 0.04 Robbery Above 94.5% 14 0.32 Vehicle Crime Above 42.6% 14 4.65 Theft from Vehicle Above 45.4% 14 3.88 Theft of Vehicle Inline 29.6% 13 0.77 Violent Crime Inline 14.6% 12 12.38 Serious Sexual Offences Inline 12.3% 12 1.08 Racially Aggravated Offences Inline 32.0% 13 0.23 Theft/Handling Inline 13.2% 11 8.77 Non Domestic Burglary Inline 23.9% 13 4.08 Criminal Damage Inline 10.8% 11 6.07 The headline figure of all crime has reduced because the figure for violent crime has come down: if violent crime is removed from the data the underlying figure has actually increased very slightly since last month and now stands at 31.5 per 1,000.

Daventry District and Community Safety Partnership 1 Performance Report January 2016 In November Violent Crime showed the first reduction since March 2014: the reduction was small but welcome. December is usually the peak month for violent offences, so while figures for December are higher than those for November, they are no higher than those recorded in December 2014. While it is too early to state that numbers have passed their peak these are positive signs. Serious acquisitive crime has shown a five month rise, with theft from vehicle and domestic burglary increasing. Despite the red flags the numbers for domestic burglaries remain low, with 296 this year, 51 of which were attempts. This represents a 21.4% rise from the baseline, which is largely due to a spike in numbers in Daventry during December. However Northamptonshire Police executed a number of warrants before Christmas and it is anticipated that this will have an impact on numbers in the final quarter. For theft from vehicle there have been 504 crimes recorded, which is a 13.3% increase from the baseline. This increase is not equal across the Partnership area, with experiencing a 35.1% increase while South Northamptonshire has recorded a reduction of 8.7%. Commercial vehicles in particular have been recent targets. Theft of vehicle had shown some increases recently but this trend has started to reverse and numbers remain low, with 91 crimes this year. Non-domestic burglary rose steadily last year but numbers have fluctuated this year and currently show a reduction of 4.5% to the end of December. This crime type is no longer above the upper control limit: despite the average for the Group decreasing steadily this year the improvements we have seen have outstripped that fall. Our figures for serious sexual offences have decreased slightly but a rise in the average for the Group has resulted in our performance improving against the average. Theft/handling has now decreased after a five month rise. As noted in previous reports this is our largest category after violent crime, however it contains eleven crime types and for our Partnership most of these return very low figures. There were only five offences of handling stolen goods in the past twelve months and 44 recorded for theft from the person; only shoplifting (453) and other theft (771) return significant numbers. Unsurprisingly shoplifting offences are concentrated in the towns and increases were being seen in all three; however December showed a marked decline on recorded offences in all three towns. Data for other theft is more diffuse both geographically and more significantly in terms of what it represents, covering matters such as theft of garden furniture, tools, building materials and gates to name just a few. iQuanta is intended to provide performance management information. In order to do this effectively timeliness is considered more important than complete accuracy. Performance data based on returns from Police forces is therefore not subject to full checks that would delay its inclusion on iQuanta. Usage information provided to user administrators is likewise not subject to full checks. For these reasons the accuracy of data from IQuanta or about IQuanta usage cannot be guaranteed. Such data should not be used explicitly or implicitly in circumstances in which complete accuracy and certainty are required Most Similar Group: Babergh, East Cambridgeshire, East Hampshire, Hambleton, Harborough, Maldon, New Forest, Richmondshire, , Selby, South Cambridgeshire, Suffolk Coastal, Uttlesford, Wealden.

Daventry District and South Northamptonshire Community Safety Partnership 2 Performance Report January 2016 Performance Analysis Domestic Violence In 2014/15 there was a 51% increase in recorded offences, with this increase being seen in both districts. As a consequence the Partnership did not achieve the target reduction in that year. Every CSP in Northamptonshire experienced a similar increase. While reports of domestic violence have risen by 16% so far this year, the graph below illustrates that monthly figures have been decreasing since July, with the result that figures for November 2015 were lower than November 2014 and December’s figures were the same as last year.

Domestic violence by month 80 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

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Repeat reports remain very low, with less than 1% of total victims of domestic violence being repeat victims under the current definition. This definition is currently being reviewed and it is likely that we will see a change in the data once the new definition has been implemented. We have seen a reduction in domestic (non-crime) incidents, which have fallen by 18.8% so far this year: the number of incidents is higher than violent offences and this marks a significant reduction. Analysis at Police HQ states that the decrease in incidents across Northamptonshire is due to matters being dealt with more appropriately, with fewer reports resulting in an incident being recorded and more resulting in a crime. Adding the figures for violent offences, other crimes and incidents together we see that the overall total for the twelve months to the end of December has decreased by 8% compared to the baseline. Rural Crime Northamptonshire adopted a new definition of rural crime in 2015: crime types of theft offences, robbery, criminal damage, arson or wildlife crime at a farm or farm building anywhere in Northamptonshire or in one of the defined rural wards. All but six wards in the Partnership area are classified as rural with West, Grange Park and the four wards of Daventry the only exceptions.

Daventry District and South Northamptonshire Community Safety Partnership 3 Performance Report January 2016 The graph below illustrates the performance for the year to the end of November.

Rural Crime Rolling 12 month

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CSP South Northants Daventry District Target Trajectory

The year started well, with a small decrease being seen in both districts during the first quarter; however this has now reversed and overall we are showing an increase of 3.6%. The picture is different in the two Districts: in South Northamptonshire there has been a decrease of 0.7%, while in Daventry District rural crime has increased by 9.1%; crime numbers remain higher in South Northamptonshire however. The Community Partnerships Unit convenes the Rural Forum, which covers both Districts. This continues to be strongly supported and we have now welcomed the Country Landowners Association, who join the Canal & River Trust and the National Farmers Union, Police and Fire and Rescue in making this such a valuable group. The Partnership benefits from having a 4x4 joint response vehicle, which is crewed by a Police Officer and a Fire Officer: while these officers are on the Response strength they also undertake pro-active work with rural businesses, which gives them high visibility in the area. We have recently purchased a camera drone for this team, which will enhance both their response and pro-active capabilities. Public confidence Each month the Institute for Public Safety, Crime and Justice at the University of conducts a survey with residents of the area. One of the questions asked is whether respondents feel that the Police and local council are working together to deal with the issues that matter in their area: South Northamptonshire saw a steady decline in 2014/15, with the figure falling to a low of 50%; there was a similar picture in Daventry District, where the perception fell as low as 47%. South Northamptonshire has shown a steady recovery this year

Daventry District and South Northamptonshire Community Safety Partnership 4 Performance Report January 2016 and a 2.5% increase this month means the figure now stands at 59%. In Daventry District figures also recovered well in the first half of the year but have fallen back slightly in the third quarter to now stand at 52%. The decline last year was experienced across the county and the other Partnerships have not yet shown such a strong recovery, with the average for the other five CSPs being 57.5%. South Northamptonshire is currently returning the second highest figure in the county. The public perception that anti-social behaviour is a problem reduced steadily last year and this has continued into 2015/16, with Daventry District now returning 4.1% and South Northamptonshire 3.1%: these are the two lowest figures in Northamptonshire and compare very favourably with other parts of the county, where the perception of anti-social behaviour as an issue is rising and the average now stands at 8.0%. Anti-social behaviour The Community Partnerships Unit continues to convene the anti-social behaviour action group, which co-ordinates a multi-agency response to problem individuals and the two Joint Action Groups, which address problem locations. Recorded anti-social behaviour has fallen by 7.7% so far this year, from 4,571 offences in 2014/15 to 4,217 for the twelve months to the end of December. This reduction is welcome in itself but particularly so given that we experienced a 5% rise in recorded anti-social behaviour over the course of 2014/15. This was the first increase we had experienced for some time: our records begin at 10,433 for 2006/07, with reductions each year until 2014/15. A secondary measure for anti-social behaviour is criminal damage and figures here have been decreasing, with figures for the12 months to the end of November showing a 3% decrease: however there was a small spike in reports during December and figures are currently at the same level as at the end of 2014/15.

Daventry District and South Northamptonshire Community Safety Partnership 5 Performance Report January 2016