Maintaining the US’ Green Chemistry Leadership
A View from the Frontlines
Marc Verbruggen
NatureWorks LLC www.natureworksllc.com
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Who we are
• World’s leading bio-polymer player − 150,000 ton PLA plant in Blair, NE − Significant manufacturing know-how and an extensive IP position • Jointly owned by Cargill and PTTGC
• Proprietary portfolio of Ingeo bio- polymers & intermediates
• Ingeo - competitive on a cost and performance basis with traditional plastics (PS, PET)
• Superior environmental characteristics − Lower carbon footprint , low fossil energy − Additional end-of-life options
• Established global market channels − Over 100,000 ton in annual sales volume − Commercial partnerships with global brands
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Three Things Are Essential “The 3 P’s”
Properties Price Preferences
• Broad and Sugars vs oil Lower carbon adjustable physical footprint and energy property set Favorable yields, usage
Economies of scale Renewable feedstock Feedstock hedging capabilities Health Concerns BPA free Cradle to cradle Phthalates free economics Acrylonitrile free Styrene free
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Plastics Consumption (%) Total Addressable Market (Bn lbs.)
100 60 Our End Applications 58Bn lbs/$50Bn 11 LLDPE
Films / Cards Cards Films HDPE 50 14.5 80 17
1 PC 3 Nylon 40 Apparel Home Textiles 4 ABS 5 PS Fibers / 60 14.0 Non-wovens 7 PET
30 Non-Wovens 9 LDPE
40 13.6 Durables PVC 18 20 Durable Goods Folder Cartons
Food 20 5.9 Serviceware PP 10 Food Packaging Serviceware 25 Fresh Food 5.9 Packaging
3.6 Beverage 0 0 Bottles
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4 © 2013 NatureWorks LLC comparative cost stability
$1.60 PET PP PS $1.40
$1.20
$1.00
$0.80
USD/lb $0.60
$0.40
$0.20
Source: IHS 02/14 North America C-M prices $0.00 Jul-14 Jul-13 Jul-12 Jul-11 Jul-10 Jan-14 Jan-13 Jan-12 Jan-11 Jan-10 Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-10 Sep-14 Nov-14 Sep-13 Nov-13 Sep-12 Nov-12 Sep-11 Nov-11 Sep-10 Nov-10 May-14 May-13 May-12 May-11 May-10
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Clarifying Sugar to Polymer Yields
Polymer Technology Overall Kg sugar for Process Yield 1 kg polymer Bio PLA (Ingeo) Sugar to PLA via lactic 80% 1.25 acid and lactides Bio PP Sugar to ethanol to 47% 2.14 propylene to PP Bio PET Bio MEG + Bio PTA from 36% 2.77 sugar Bio PE Sugar to ethanol to 31% 3.22 ethylene to PE
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC We are committed to feedstock diversification: Performance materials made by transforming whatever are the right, abundant, local resources
Investment in innovation and R&D collaboration to grow our Ingeo feedstock portfolio.
GENERATION I: 1st step GENERATION I: 2nd step GENERATION II GENERATION NEXT
Where we are today Where we are going now Next 3-5 years And next?
Dextrose from corn starch Sucrose from locally Lignocellulosics: Sugars CO2 to lactic acid abundant materials such as from bagasse, wood chips, technology? “Bridging Crops” sugar cane switch grass or straw. CH4 to lactic acid technology?
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC PET/PS/Ingeo Feedstock Cost Comparison
$250 PET $200 Above lines, Ingeo wins $150
($/bbl) PS
Oil
$100 of
Material Indifference Curve $50 Cost Below lines, PET/PS wins $0 $0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 Cost of sugar (c/lb)
PET Analysis from McKinsey margin models, CMAI, February 2006
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC PET/PS/Ingeo Feedstock Cost Comparison
$250 For Example • When sugar cost ~$.17/lb, the cost $200 of feedstock per lb of Ingeo is the Above lines, same as the cost of feedstock per Ingeo wins lb of PS when oil is ~$50/barrel $150 • OPEX and CAPEX are similar.
($/bbl) PS • The rest is scale… Oil
$100 of
$50 Cost Below lines, PS wins $0 $0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 Cost of sugar (c/lb) Cellulosic sugars Gen 3 sugars PET Analysis from McKinsey margin models, CMAI, February 2006
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Where Are We Globally?
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Where Are We Nationally? MN led, Ingeo bioplastics & fibers are fueling green jobs & innovation in the national bio-economy
Retail presence (e.g. Walmart, Target) in all 50 states
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Where we are in the Market
Rigids Food Serviceware Films
Nonwovens / Fibers Durables Lactides Bus. Dev.
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Performance features depend on your application
Nonwovens / Fibers Rigids Durables Food Serviceware Films
Key Properties Key Properties Key Properties Key Properties Key Properties
Range of melting Stiffness Stiffness Stiffness Stiffness points/crystallinity Gloss, transparency Miscibility Compostability High gloss and levels transparency Printability Improved flow High versatility for Tunable hydrolysis injection, extrusion Dead fold / twist Weight reduction (vs. Chemical resistance Hydrophilic / moisture and coating retention PET) wicking processes Grease, oil and aroma Inherent odor barriers resistance Chemical resistance UV resistance High throughput Low bonding temp 13
© 2013 NatureWorks LLC In Food Service, Ingeo provides a tool for organic waste diversion
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC 15
© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Danone’s Stonyfield - in their own words: “IMPACT OF INGEO CONVERSION” • Carbon savings Environmental • 75% reduction in CO2 emissions
• Equivalent to 1,320 MT CO2/year savings • Ingeo out performs polystyrene • Stronger/less breakage Performance • Better lid adherence • Lower temperature filling (less energy use) • Maintained line speed and shelf life • Addresses consumer concerns • Well received by key opinion leaders Consumer • Reduction in human toxicity • Did NOT increase our retail price & Cost
Stonyfield CEO Gary_Hirschberg, Innovation Takes Root Conference Keynote: “Inventing a WIN-WIN-WIN-WIN-WIN FUTURE”, February 21, 2012
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Leadership in Energy & Environmental Design, is transforming the way we think about how our buildings and communities are designed, constructed, maintained and operated across the globe
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Ingeo in Building & Construction LG Hausys, zea® Flooring, “Prestige” line
Structure 9.0(T) x75(W) × 900(L) Ingeo Laminate Water Resistant Plywood
Yellow Soil Adhesive Application Eco-friendly Dent, scratch resistible -. Residential No color change by environmental
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC 3D Printing
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC What we’ve achieved in our time together
2005 – 2013 Our collective Footprint in the market
6 X
1 Billion lb Milestone
aggregate volume in the market as of 2013
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC WhereWhat we’ve we are achieved in the bigger in our picture time together
2005 – 2013 Our collective Footprint inToday the market
Poised for 6 X Strong Operations Growth Startup & Established 1 Billion lbMarket Seeding Technology & MilestoneIntellectual Property Established aggregate volume in the market 1990-2001 2002-2005 2006-2013as of 2013 2014 - forward 4k -8k mt 2002 -140k mt 2006 - 24/7 Blair Expanding pilot plant facility @ Blair. operations at Blair customer & 2003 -largest 2013 – 150k ton product base. lactic acid plant expansion Plant 2
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Maintaining the US’ Green Chemistry Leadership
• The US bio-plastic industry is ready for rapid expansion but: – Our industry is (very) capital-intensive (+/- $1MM per mm lb capacity) – Financial markets (debt and equity) are “reluctant” investors in our sector (technology risk, scale-up risk, market risk) • The bio-plastic industry is “sexy” and US will have to compete globally for investments (jobs, jobs, jobs) • In order to lower investment risk and in order to be competitive against foreign programs, we could use an “incentive basket”
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Benchmarking what the ‘competition’ is doing
Incentive Schemes Around the World
Supply Incentives Demand Incentives • Tax Credits • Tax Breaks – Production – Carbon tax – Investment • Exemptions • Tax Holidays – Recycle fees • Loan Guarantees • Quotas • Preferred Loan Rates – Taiwan/Korea retail legislation • Bans (PE bags, PS foam)
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Global Industrial Incentive Schemes – A Sampler
Country Supply Incentives Demand Incentives Taiwan Korea • 8-10 years tax holiday Japan • loan guarantees Phillipines • guaranteed rate Australia European Union USA Thailand Brazil Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Canada
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Putting It All Together - Thailand As An Example
PTT Eco Industrial Estate
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC NatureWorks’ Journey: Back to the US & Minnesota thru disruptive technology development and commercialization ? … GHG feedstock US/State Policy 1st gen Ag feedstock US/State Policy ??
1st gen Ag feedstock
Plant 3: US? 2017: Plant 2 Next 5-8 years Thailand Methane ? Today: Plant 1 New technology ? Blair, NE NextGen technology 150 jobs innovation technology innovation 27
© 2013 NatureWorks LLC Questions … ?
Marc Verbruggen
NatureWorks LLC www.natureworksllc.com
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© 2013 NatureWorks LLC