President, Office of The: Presidential Briefing Papers: Records, 1981-1989 Folder Title: 04/29/1983 (Case File: 135529) Box: 29 (2)
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Collection: President, Office of the: Presidential Briefing Papers: Records, 1981-1989 Folder Title: 04/29/1983 (Case File: 135529) Box: 29 (2) To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ WITHDRAWAL SHEET Ronald· Reagan Library Collection Name PRESIDENT, OFFICE OF THE: PRESIDENTIAL BRIEFING Withdrawer PAPERS RBW 1/4/2008 File Folder 04/29/1983 (CASEFILE 135529) [2 OF 2] FOIA S07-0077101 Box Number 172 DOC DocType Document Description No of Doc Date Restrictions NO Pages 1 SCHEDULE OF THE PRESIDENT [PG 1, PARTIAL] 4/23/1983 87(C) 2 DIAGRAM RE MARINE ONE AND ANDREWS AIR 3 4/23/1 983 82 8 7(E) FORCE BASE [PG 1, TAB A-B] 3 SCHEDULE OF THE PRESIDENT [PG l, PARTIAL] 4/22/1983 87(C) 4 DIAGRAM RE WASHINGTON HILTON HOTEL [TAB 1 4/23/1983 8 2 B7(E) A] Freedom of Information Act - (5 U.S.C. 552(b)) B-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] B·2 Release would disclose Internal personnel rules and practices of an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] B-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] B-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] B-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] B-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] B-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(S) of the FOIA) B-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. E THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON April 27, 1983 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: ED ROLLINS \_.,,..,~/ SUBJECT: TEXAS - POLITICAL BRIEFING 1984 Presidential Race • Texas will send 109 delegates and alternates to the 1984 Republican Convent ion. (In 198 O, they sent 8 O delegates.) • President Reagan carried the state by a 56% to 42% margin. He won Harris County (Houston) by 143,000 votes (58%). • Presidential primary date: May 5, 1984 • Democrats: Former Vice President Mondale is reportedly making major inroads within the statewide Democrat party and its leaders. 1984 u.s. Senate Race Republicans: • Four-term Senator John Tower is expected to seek re-election, although he has yet to make a formal announcement. • Senator Tower is expected to be one of the top targets for defeat by National Democrat campaign committees. • Tower was first elected in a special election in 1961 for Lyndon Johnson's vacant seat and was re-elected in 1966 and 1972. MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT Page 2 Democrats: Possible Democrat candidates include the following: Leading possibilities: • Robert Krueger- A moderate, ex-Congressman, narrow loser to Tower in 1978 and former Ambassador to Mexico. Krueger opposed Tower in 1978 and garnered 49 percent of the vote. • Lloyd Doggett - A liberal, Austin State Senator; promotes consumer causes and utility rate reforms. Expected announcement this summer. • Dolph Briscoe - A conservative and former governor. • Kent Hance - A conservative congressman. Other possibilities include: • Jim Hightower - A liberal agricultural commissioner. • Ann Richards - A liberal state treasurer • Buddy Temple - A candidate in 1982 gubernatorial • primary. John Hill - A candidate in 1978 gubernatorial • primary. 1982 Election Results U.S. Senate: Incumbent Democrat Lloyd Bentsen was re-elected to a third term over Congressman James Collins by a 59% to 41% margin. Governor: Democrat Attorney General Mark White defeated incumbent Republican Governor William Clements by a 53% to 46% margin. A post-election survey by Tarrance and Associates indicated the following: • Federal issues dominant in voter turnout: unemployment, economy, and social security. MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT Page 3 • State utility issue was of secondary importance. • 13% of respondents reportedly "sent a message" by specifically turning out for this election. • Straight ticket voting was substantially higher than normal. • Clements vote shortfalls were with ticket splitters and conservative Democrats. • Clements received 28% of the Hispanic vote. • Late vote switching to White came from minority groups, older voters, males and working women without a college education, and overall shifts in Harris and Bexar counties. • An effective combined voter turnout effort by the major Democratic campaigns (Bentsen, White and Hobby). U.S. House: 1982 Summary • Texas gained three seats from reapportionment. • Republicans made no gains while Democrats picked up three seats. Highlights of Key Congressional Races 3rd C.D. - North Dallas - northern suburbs Former Congressman Jim Collins' House seat was won by Republican Dallas City Councilman Steve Bartlett with 77%. 13th C.D. - Amarillo - Wichita Falls Republican Ron Slover lost a second attempt against Congressman Jack Hightower, 64% to 35%. 14th C.D. - South Central, Gulf Coast - Victoria Former Democrat Congressman Joe Wyatt ran as the Republican candidate and lost to incumbent Democrat Bill Patman, 61% to 39%. 16th C.D. - West - El Paso El Paso Republican Alderman Pat Haggerty lost an open seat to Democrat state Representative Ronald Coleman, 54% to 44%. MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT Page 4 23rd C.D. - San Antonio - Southwest Democrat incumbent Abraham Kazen defeated former Republican Bexar County Commissioner Jeff Wentworth, 55% to 44%. 24th C.D. - South Dallas and western suburbs Democrat incumbent Martin Frost defeated black Republican City Councilwoman Lucy Patterson, 59% to 40%. 25th C.D. - South Houston - southeast suburbs Republican Mike Faubion lost to Democrat Mike Andrews, 60% to 38%. 26th C.D. - Fort Worth suburbs Former Arlington Mayor Democrat Tom Vandergriff defeated former Fort Worth Mayor pro tempore Republican Jim Bradshaw by less than 400 votes. 1983 Special Con9ressional Election • Democrat-turned-Republican Phil Gramm defeated Democrat Dan Kubiak (and others) by a 55% to 39% margin. • Possible 1984 challengers to Gramm include: State Senators Dan Kubiak, Chet Edwards, Kent Caperton and former Dallas County Comm1ss1oner Roy Orr. 1983 Congressional Redistricting • A 1982 court ruling insisted that the Dallas area congressional districts be reapportioned in 1983 to conform to the Voting Rights Act. Legislative hearings are currently being held. • Democrat legislators will propose shifting more Arlington County voters into freshman Representative Tom Vandergriff's district thereby strengthening his Democrat base. MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT Page 5 1982 State Legislative Election • Republicans gained two seats in the state Senate and remained unchanged Trlthe state House. • The state Senate redistricting plan is facing legal challenges based on its lack of conformity to the Voting Rights Act. 1983 Houston Mayoral Election: • Mayor Kathy Whitmire faces a tough challenge in the November election from Bill Wright, a Houston oil executive and former Democrat party treasurer. Republican State Party: Status • Republican State Chairman Chet Upham recently resigned due to internal party dissension caused by the Clements loss and a large party debt from the 1982 elections. • Many observers feel the real reason for dissension is party splits created by delegate fights between conservative and moderates among the Texas convention delegates in 1976 and 1980. • Former secretary of state and candidate for lieutenant governor, George Strake should be elected state chairman and is expected to unite the disparate party factions. • Strake was an alternate Reagan delegate in 1976, has worked in all but the first of Towers four campaigns for U.S. Senate, and directed the 1978 election of Bill Clements for governor. MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT Page 6 ELECTED OFFICIALS GOVERNOR - Mark White - Democrat - Elected 1982. SENATORS - John Tower - Republican - Re-elected in 1978. Lloyd Bentsen - Democrat - Re-elected in 1982. U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES - 6 Republicans 21 Democrats REPUBLICAN MEMBERS Steve Bartlett 3rd District Phil Gramm 6th District Bill Archer 7th District Jack Fields 8th District Tom Loeffler 21st District Ron Paul 22nd District THE STATE LEGISLATURE State Senate 5 Republicans 26 Democrats House of Representatives 36 Republicans 114 Democrats REPUBLICAN STATE PARTY OFFICIALS STATE CHAIRMAN George Strake is expected to be elected this weekend. NATIONAL COMMITTEEMAN Ernest Angelo, Jr. Chairman, Republican National Convention NATIONAL COMMITTEEWOMAN Fran Chiles REAGAN BUSH STATE CHAIRMAN Ernest Angelo, Jr. / SENATOR HOWARD BAKER (R-Tennessee) Causal and pragmatic in sty le, Senator Howard Baker has proved to be one of the most effective and well respected Majority Leaders in the history of the Senate. He has been a strong and effective supporter of your Administration's programs. Senator Baker's skill at personal persuasion has often made the difference on close votes in the Senate, and he is always available and sensitive to his colleagues' needs. Although most of Baker's time is consumed in leadership respon sibilities, he is also an effective member of the Environment and Public Works Committee, the Foreign Relations Committee, and the Senate Rules Committee. Senator Baker comes from a political family; his father served seven terms as a member of the House from Tennessee, and he is married to the former Joy Dirksen. In 1982, his daughter, Cissy, ran an unsuccessful campaign for the House. Baker was first elected to the Senate in 1966, and has announced that he will not seek re-election when his current term expires in 1984. He has indicated a likelihood that he will consider running for President at some future time. Baker is a lawyer by profession, and served three years in the Navy. In addition to his daughter, Baker and his wife, Joy, also have a son, Derek, and one grandchild.