FEBRUARY 2017 BREXIT DESTINATION Contents FOREWORD 04 Contents VICTORIA DEAN

AN OPEN, INNOVATIVE AND SUCCESSFUL NATION 08

RT HON MICHAEL GOVE MP

WHAT WILL BRUSSELS WEAR? 16

RADEK SIKORSKI

THE BREXIT AND TRADE CONUNDRUM 24

SIR ANDREW CAHN

SAFE FROM THE NEXT EU CRISIS 32

RT HON MICHAEL PORTILLO

THE EU WITHOUT THE UK 40

SIR STEPHEN WALL

THE DREAM DEAL 48

RT HON GISELA STUART MP

ABOUT PORTLAND 54 04 | DESTINATION BREXIT representation inBrussels. of Communications for theUK’s also includeSpokesperson andHead preparations. Priorrolesin government summer ontheGovernment’s Brexit European directorate, Deanspentthe Head of theForeignOffice’s of Portland’sBrexit Unit.Previously Victoria DeanisPartnerandHead By VICTORIA DEAN Conservative Party.Conservative was down, and what itallmeantfor of the leadership the of the effectiveness of thecampaigns, who was upand who In the heatof the referendum, there was endlessanalysis agreement and areas of particular tension will emerge. and areasofparticular agreement The UKandEU will reveal their hands. Redlines, points ofswift triggered. ticking on The clock the twowill start year time limitforadeal. All that changesin2017– the year Brexitgetsreal. 50 will soonbe Article UK’sreact tothe demands. before. Negotiationshave notstarted. We don’t yet know how the EU will UK isstillamemberof the EU. We are as trading onexactly the same terms There have fewrealdevelopments been very in the Brexitprocessitself. The over campaigners that Brexitshould take. the form to leave means, RemainandLeave andcontinuedclashesbetween former been ahugeamountofspeculation, of interpretations what varied the vote Eight monthson, we you bring DestinationBrexit.Since the vote, has there exactly that. all sidesin the debate and to putaside think about the campaignrhetoric In this vacuum, ofleadingfiguresfrom Portland brought together aseries to aLeave vote on24Juneandhow the Brexitprocess would unfold. Scant attention was paid to what would actuallyhappenif the UK woke up happens next? Last yearvotesleave: Portland blazeda trail with ourpublicationBritain what for Brexit. events which areimpossible to predictandhave unknowable consequences interference in Theresa May’s plans 50;to trigger Article andrandom elections inFrance, and Germany theNetherlands; potential parliamentary This processcan, and developmentswill, – byexternal bedisrupted Foreword

PORTLAND | 05 06 | DESTINATION BREXIT emerge.” particular tension will agreement andareasof lines, pointsof swift reveal theirhands.Red “The UKandEUwill domestic agendain the UK. Brexit will alsobleedinto the trading relationship with the EU. the agree possible’seek to ‘best position, Minister the Prime will non-EU countries. From that Zealand, Australia andother trade deals with the US, New for International Trade to reach enabling the newDepartment to leave the customsunion, indicated the UKisprepared ofJustice.Court Shealso of the European jurisdiction ending freemovement and the a memberof the singlemarket, clear the UK will nolongerbe on 17January. She hasmade following Theresa May’s speech on the UK’s negotiatingposition We donow have clarity greater to these issues.to these collective brainpowerformidable apply their of contributors Our distinguishedarray their price, remains to beseen. reality, as the EUmakesclear which the UK’s in goalssurvive considerations.extent to So the ahead ofpurelyeconomic ofitspoliticalproject survival that itisprepared to put the The EUhasshown in the past and show itisnotsimply rhetoric. that works‘a country foreveryone’ to fulfil theirpromise to build change athome. They will need fundamental andfar-reaching end initself,but acatalystfor they donotseeBrexitasan Number 10have suggested

Suffice tosay, thereismuch toplayforin2017. Brexit priorities. betweenare,not discriminate EU andnon-EUmigrants sheargues, post- freedom ofmovement system that does andintroducinganimmigration Government to geton with leaving the EUand the singlemarket. Ending hasfound howthat herneworganisationChangeBritain voters want the Finally, Chairof LabourMPandformer Vote Leave, GiselaStuart, explains EU economiescouldhave major consequencesforBrexit, hesays. advocate for freeandopenmarkets. ofelectionsnext yearA series inmajor and influence over areas, keypolicy while theEUhaslostitsmostpassionate diminished byBrexit. Heargues that the UKhaslostits voice at the table Ambassador to the EU, makes the case that both the UKandEUhave been Sir Stephen Wall, Portland’s Chief Adviser onEuropeand the UK’s former resolved through apoliticaldealat the lastminute. negotiationsbetween UKandEUofficialsof fruitless willproceed, only tobe referendum outcome. Hepredicts that once 50is triggered, Article two years to vote to leave, state the British was woefully unprepared to deal with the Michael Portillo, then setsouthisbelief that, although the UK was right Former CabinetMinisterandmemberofPortland’s Council,Advisory emotion onbothsides.fears will cloud the judgmentofnegotiators highest priority. Hebelieves isinevitable, a transitional arrangement but also to seek trade deals, sonegotiatingadeal with the EUshouldbe the UK’s protectionismandanti-globalisationsentimentmakeita bad growing time Andrew Cahn, CEOofUK former Trade andInvestment. Heargues that contextfornegotiating trade dealsisoutlinedbySir The international they receive. conflicting interests. maybeshockedby thereaction Hesuggestsministers they andengage will soonneed to understand with the EU’s multipleand outcome–but debateabout havetheir preferred engagedinaninternal about the EUifnegotiationsare to besuccessful. Sofar, UKministers Portland’s Council, Advisory believes the UK will have to think differently Next, RadekSikorski, Poland’s Foreign former Ministerandmemberof that itbrings. embrace the opportunities delivered. Inhis vision, the UKshouldgoforaclean, quickBrexitand ofJusticemustallbe of and ending the EuropeanCourt the jurisdiction forward. Controlofborders, leaving the singlemarketandcustomsunion, Michael Gove, outlineshow the Government should take Brexitnegotiations andCo-Convener JusticeSecretary of First,the former Vote Leave campaign,

PORTLAND | 07 08 | DESTINATION BREXIT nation and successful innovative An open, By Rt. Hon. MICHAEL GOVE MP nation and successful innovative An open, Convener of thewinningVote Leave campaign. member of David Cameron’sCabinetfrom2010to 2016.Hewas alsoCo- The Rt.HonMichaelGove, MPfor Surrey Heath since 2005,was asenior

PORTLAND | 09 10 | DESTINATION BREXIT It wasn’t It wasn’t about it. shy were we though as Let alonevague.

PORTLAND | 11 12 | DESTINATION BREXIT skills, notgeography. basedon policy immigration We arguedforan on the bus.on the that wasand what was campaigned infront of, pledges wethose werethe platform, That wasthe was allocated. £350 milliona week ofit– EU spentonourbehalf–all to decidehow the money the bureaucracy. And we wanted and conflictedEU relying on the cumbersome rather than owndeals trade better offnegotiatingits insisted Britain would be law over domesticlaw. We and EU European courts of supremacy end tothe an Parliament. Wewanted be in the handsof the UK like domesticfuel, should remove VAT fromessentials ability to including the Wepolicy,said thattax trade andmoney. of ourborders, taxes, laws, control wantedback totake again andagain, that we to leave meant. We said, clearabout very what a vote was campaign,Leave Vote referendum the During shy aboutit. Letalone vague. It wasn’tthoughweas were

making, Minister, the Prime point wethe weremissed And justincaseanyone Leadsom infrontofmillions. and Gisela Stuart Andrea Johnson,argued forbyBoris speeches,it’sand whatwas it’s what Isaid inmy It’s what was onourleaflets, well, leave. Leave argued that we should, So Votediscriminatory. exploitation andethnically is bothanopendoor to which policy immigration market meanshavingan of the single Membership to peoplefromStKitts. citizens we won’t extend to Slovak privileges granting to Bangladeshidoctors, werights won’t extend plumbers Bulgarian giving NHS if they wish. Itmeans claim benefitsanduse the to comehere,the right all 500millionEUcitizens of movement which give onfreedom by EUrules market meansbeingbound of the single Membership be outside the singlemarket. what terms, then we need to andon comes to ourcountry borders, anddecide who our If wecontrol wantto implement. difficult to aren’t or hard to grasp promises effect tothose give required to policies And the standards to sell to EUcitizens, they can. in the nationalinterest. Ifbusinesses want to adoptEU Outside the singlemarket, we andregulate canlegislate single market but the customs union, because then we cannegotiate Indeed we can trade more with the world if we’re outsidenotjust the with the world, but govern ourselves. torch you canuse inarestaurant, they canignore them. We trade management ofourinland waterways to the type ofcremebrûlée If from they the oneverything want to avoidEUrules ridiculous deserve. pensioners andset taxes needandour our borders at the rateourindustries destiny liesoutside the singlemarket. Only then can we control That is why to makeclear Theresa Mayisabsolutelyright thatour to leave the singlemarket. that votingturn atevery told everyone to leave the EUmeant voting the Chancellor, Peter Mandelsonand the officialRemaincampaign on thebus.” was whatwas front of, that campaigned in pledges we those were the the platform, “That was

PORTLAND | 13 14 | DESTINATION BREXIT broken dreams.” the EUadecaying Empireof anger allcombine to make arrogance andpopular levels of innovation, elite “Catastrophically low as wedepart. Of course we can, andshould, offer theEUagenerousdeal ratesorlowerother countries withhighergrowth unemployment than the EU. Canada, Australia, NewZealand, Singapore, SouthKorea, Japan andall the a vote to leave. To again. becomeasovereign country Justlike America, of theEU.wasn’t ofmembership anattempt to secureadifferentsort It was And we don’t need to negotiateany of these things. Because the vote to leave want to, notbecause we have to. We will have taken backcontrol. of–onsciencesay – we likeIsrael do.part canjoin this justascountries If we our money to waste. If there’s anEU-administeredscheme paying to be worth policies, andfisheries common agricultural givewe nolongerneed to theEU And outside the singlemarketand the customsunion, not to mention the back. It’sand holdsourexporters the oppositeof taking backcontrol. customs union ties ourhands, preventsnewdeals ussecuring with oldfriends concluded muchmorequickly than negotiationsinvolving blocs. Stayingin the our own trade deals. Trade betweenare agreements individualcountries outside figuresthe EU then net migration willbelow indeed. Butsomehow the numbers? Well, if,as the EU’s predict, leaders we’re destinedfordisaster Let asmany of them remainforaslong they wish. Am Iabout worried We ofall should guaranteethoseEUcitizens the rights who want to stayhere.

nations, the supply but reforming favoured productsinnearby for by negotiatingspecial terms of the eighties was fuelled, not Similarly, the economicrevival andgrowth. progress we setanexample which drove trade andfiscalresponsibility and partners. Byembracingfree sweetheart deals with neighbours Parliament –notnegotiating making decisionsinasovereign nineteenth century, itdidsoby in the economic leadership itself to apositionofglobal catapulted When Britain are emphaticallyinours. with devisingnewpolicies which their own interests, we cangeton policies which arepalpablyin EUnations to pursue persuade vast amountof time seeking to And insteadofspendinga loss.be their them, that’s apity. But that would accessbetween tariff-free usand the EUdoesn’t want to maintain should enhanceproductivity. If encourages competitiveness and possible trade freest because the advantage exploiting this I’m happy to let them continue goods with Europeancountries. that we have a trade deficitin a generousofferindeed,given markets for their goods. This is accessthe EUtoour tariff-free And we shouldcontinue to offer oforigin. country to live and work – whatever their more attractive placeforpeople I think that Britain will beaneven waiting for? are weWhat and successfulnation. anopen,fashioning innovative exit, the faster we cangeton with and quicker we canmakeour of brokendreams. The cleaner make the EUadecayingempire popular angerallcombine to innovation, and elitearrogance catastrophically low levels of levels of youth unemployment, Schengen, high stubbornly crisis, of migrant the failure the Eurocrisis, reform. The unlessitchooses to misery more ofincreasing years to face The EuropeanUnionisdestined free trade maynotbe. of of the virtues French farmers now within ourpower. Persuading innovation. are of thesethings All which fosterandsupport and building newinstitutions markets to enhanceproductivity, governance andcapital corporate to maximisegrowth, reforming altogether, setting taxes atalevel andinnumeracy illiteracy andeliminate talented further most stretch the education to more ambitious, reforming science policy which ismuch best the talent,very shapinga policy which attracts migration reducing regulation, designinga Whitehall, re-engineering towards shouldbedirected public service our bestpeopleinpoliticsand of The intellectualenergies capital markets. our markets andmodernising side, freeingupourlabour

PORTLAND | 15 16 | DESTINATION BREXIT cliques EU Navigating the wear? Brussels What will By RADEK SIKORSKI member of Portland’s Advisory Council. a seniorfellow attheCenter University of EuropeanStudies atHarvard anda previously Defence Minister andSpeaker of Parliament,Sikorski iscurrently Radek Sikorski was Poland’sForeignMinister between 2007and2014.Also

PORTLAND | 17 18 | DESTINATION BREXIT bother bother didn’t didn’t to do. process, Britainneeds to dowhatsuccessive orderly andfriendly If Brexit isto bean governments apart the phrase ‘what will phrase ‘what the apart Above all, itis time to pick EU Britain. amicable relationship with a non- likely to acceptfor the sakeof an the limitofcompromise they are It’s only the wayunderstand to lines of their negotiating partners. the interests, psychology, andred didn’t bother to do: understand do what successive governments process,friendly needs to Britain If Brexitis to beanorderlyand the Brexitprocess. European Parliament will playin role thatthe the underrate member states, and they means forpoliticiansinmost of what Europeanintegration the psychology ingrasping curve But they arestillbehind the market andacustomsunion. example, between the single nowthe difference, grasped for months andmany of them have overEU affairs the lastfew in undergone acrashcourse Britain’s politicianshave superciliousness. to beovercome byperceived that those politicsareunlikely institutions have politics too, and and those countries that those politicians to discoverBritish It will sooncomeasashock to institutions. EU memberstatesandof able to ignore the politicsofboth councils, Britain was for years Relying onits veto power inEU

PORTLAND | 19 20 | DESTINATION BREXIT no membership of no membership the singlemarket. isnon-negotiable:for Britain nofreedomofmovement oflabour, But existing treaties,without changing issue the mostpertinent ideas onhow to improve the UK’s EUdeal. David Cameronand Theresa Mayinresponse to their bright won’t‘Brussels wear it’ heissupposed to have both warned an issue that cannotbe won. can’t argue with that. the UKisn’t Itisright wasting itsnegotiatingenergyon in oneanother’s memberstateis what itmeans to be anEUcitizen. And you Parliament will take aconstitutional view. And remember, to the right work at the Commission maygetahearing with economicarguments,Britain guardianof European demos – the valuestrue andfreedoms. So whereas shop itisregardedasinLondon, but as the embodimentof the European Secondly, the EuropeanParliament. Itseesitselfnotas the expensive talking membership. it. Perhaps this is why outsinglemarket the UKhasbelatedlyruled The Swisshadareferendumon this too, andhave been told to stuff on unrelatedissues. Any new treaty will behostage to referenda, trading, horse andshenanigans –haveBritain become morejealousof their remainingareasofsovereignty. become almostimpossible to pass. Preciselybecausememberstates–ledby become of treaty changesfor goodreasons weary the that very these have Firstly, EUpoliticians. with Starting Angela Merkel, EUpoliticianshave Parliament, Europe. andCentraleastern with differentinterests. For example: EUpoliticians, theEuropean precisely those players. ‘Brussels’ ismadeupofseveral andcliques groups In fact, Britain’s new deal will be betweenthe outcomeof the interplay in the Europeanparliament,factions the proposalisunlikely to pass. the balanceofopinionamongmemberstates, and the views of the major existing treaties, agendaof taking intoaccount the Commission,the current What the likesofSirIvan mean when they sayitismorelike: in the lightof ‘no’ with aFrenchaccent. buildings unelectedbureaucrat says inoneof a faceless those uglyBrussels proposal,a brilliant diplomat tables amotionin oraBritish and writing, then outrageous: that ademocratically-electedpoliticiangoes with to Brussels To politician, ascepticmindedBritish the phraseimpliessomething representative permanent to the EU, SirIvan Rogers. wear’,Brussels ofBritain’swhich mayhave precipitated the recentdeparture behind the curve.” behind thecurve.” union. Butthey arestill market andacustoms between thesingle difference, for example, have now grasped the and many of them the lastfew months course inEUaffairs over have undergoneacrash “Britain’s politicians budget will bepaid. championed multi-annual EU invoices of the British- until 2023, when the last long aspossible, preferably asto makeitscontributions EU budgets andforBritain Central Europe wants big dramatically diverged. But their interestshave now without exercising aderogation. admitted into the labourforce UK the and whoseworkers championed,the EUBritain tocountries,accession whose much goodwillamong these Europe. retains Britain Lastly CentralandEastern

Low tariffs are the norm, notthe arethe Low tariffs conceivable regime.almost every goods–under in manufactured – access market to the British continentals get what they need position liesin that the fact weakness of Britain’s negotiating for adeal. And the essential and eachoneof them islooking too,There areothergroups of support. sympathyEurope every short Therefore, expectfromCentral dubious propositionsinLondon. on EU’s defenceunion–both residents protected, andiskeen ofatleastitsexisting rights Central Europealso wants the

PORTLAND | 21 exception, whether under World As someone who was involved Trade Organisation (WTO) during the Polish presidency rules or outside them. of the EU in the negotiations of a deep and comprehensive Given the number of free trade area with Ukraine constituencies in Europe, time, – pretty much the same kind in the short term, works in of agreement that would Britain’s favour. The EU 27 suit a post-EU UK – I can will be loathe to renegotiate promise that completing such the current multi-annual an agreement is impossible to budget, which runs till 2020, manage in two or three years. meaning that Britain is likely to get an extension to the If British politicians insist current deadline of March on withdrawing Britain from 2019, if Article 50 is indeed compliance with previous trade triggered soon. agreements without such an agreement, the Commission But beyond that, a trade will impose automatic sanctions agreement will take many, in the relevant areas, just as many years of work. it would on any other non-

‘‘Brussels is made up of several groups and cliques with different interests.’’ DESTINATION BREXIT DESTINATION | 22 the UKand the EUmayheadfora tumultuous collapse. or maybeadecade, the negotiationsand the relationshipbetween emerges that nodeal will bepossibleWhen itfurther within years European Union.” the politicsof the nature, therulesand misunderstood the wesay: sorry, are unlikely to “British Eurosceptics Britain expects to get. Britain politics of the EuropeanParliament, from will beoneshockinglyfar what the positionof the Commission, the will of the memberstates, and the possible It is that very the consensus that emergesfrom the existing treaties, it’s like asanon-member.to benegotiating with Brussels againsther onBritain will. imposing rules Only what then learn will Britain EuroscepticshaveBritish believed ithasbeenallalong: leviathan aheartless member contravening treaties. Only then will the Commissionbecome what rules and the politics of the EuropeanUnion.rules Eurosceptics areunlikely to say: sorry, we the nature, misunderstood the in success, but ofablamegameforfailure. as the beginning British soundsnotlikeaprelude to a The rhetoric tough fight whichmightend to achieve, andhow unlikelysheis to getit. position, of has setout but inklingsof whatBritain as theenormity the first could bereadnotasmanoeuvering for the sakeofstrengtheningone’s As seenfrom the Continent, somerecentpronouncementsfromLondon diverge. to start access to the EUmarketcutoffasitceases andlaws budget contributions Britain’s membership willsimplylapseand the UK will have itsprivileged

PORTLAND | 23 24 | DESTINATION BREXIT By SIR ANDREW CAHN Commission, andDeputyHeadof theCabinetOffice’s EuropeanSecretariat. Chief to of Staff NeilKinnock whilsthewas Vice-President of theEuropean years and hasheldawiderange of otherrolesingovernment including Sir Andrew Cahnwas Chief Executive of UKTrade andInvestment for five conundrum conundrum and trade The Brexit

PORTLAND | 25 26 | DESTINATION BREXIT know EU willbe. relationship withthe what ourtrading any dealuntilthey won't want to finalise that potential partners The realblockage is are the more you have to pay. asking forsomething, you have to payforit, and the smaller you But the implacable of trade negotiationsis that if truth you are time pressure. context,international a weak negotiatinghand, andunder ishowThe Brexit trade conundrum to do this with anunhelpful and intellectualproperty, face.they they won’t know barriers the non-tariff subsidies,things likeagricultural foodstandards, environmental regulations, agreement. Moreover, until they know what ourdomesticpoliciesareon out, so they canmeasure the benefits theyaregetting with theirfree trade to know what our WTO commitmentsare, which will take some years to sort access they obtain to the EUmarket through adeal with us. They also want know what our trading relationship with the EU will be, and therefore what won't blockage is that potentialpartners want to finaliseany dealuntil they Legally, we cannotnegotiate trade dealsuntil we leave the EU. But the real citizens. forIndian to Britain ofeasierimmigration expecting aquidproquoin terms Initial contacts with India, forexample, have already shown that they will be types ofdeal. free trade credentialsandour willingness to beimaginative increatingnew We havestrengthsinourattractive great market, the world’s sixthlargest, our known (FTAs). asfree trade agreements So the UKhas to gooutinto the world to dobilateraldeals andaskothers sentiment, Trump andprotectionismhave killed them offfornow. Trade andInvestment arein the deepfreeze. Partnership Anti-globalisation both the mooted Trans and Pacific theUS/EU Partnership Transatlantic No oneexpectsanotherone. trade dealshave Regional replaced them. But The lastmultilateralglobal trade deal was donemore than twenty ago.years andbeready to membership trade using ‘WTO rules’ where we need to. of the World Trade Oranisation(WTO) inorder to revive ourindependent many others. And we mustagree ‘schedules’ with the 163othermembers innovativeto agree bilateral trade deals with China, the USA, Indiaand EU 27andourselves after we leave the EU, likelyinMarch2019. We want We have to agree whatnew trading arrangements will applybetween the order.The UKneeds to complete three different tradenegotiationsinshort of whether we have asuccessfulBrexit. relationships around with the the EU27andcountries world areat the heart This isnotagoodmoment to do trade deals. Yet ourfuture trading

PORTLAND | 27 28 | DESTINATION BREXIT it would hurt the EU 27 a very great dealbutit notasmuch. great the EU27a wouldvery hurt hugely if there isno trade relationship inplace when we leave and This mayallbe true, but itisstillbaloney. It the UK would hurt trading relationship we have with the EU. But the keyissue, on elsedepends,which everything is what could beusedforanegotiation beforeBrexit. treaties require. tell me EUinsiders that there issimplynoprocedure which until we leave the EU. haveThe EUlawyers that this is ruled what the be played out. The EU27aresaying that there can beno trade negotiations So the EU27/UK trade relationship is where the gameofchickenisgoing to aregoodenough? rules They arenot. want bilateraldeals elseofconsequenceif to agree with everyone the WTO Don't believe anyone who says that arefine.WTO rules Afterall, why do we expertise, anddeveloping astrategy, which we don'tseem to have yet. negotiations -both technically, where we have neither the staff nor the for into the the EU/UKnegotiationsandpreparing WTO andbilateral Trade have nothing to do. To the contrary, there isahuge task infeeding This doesnotmean that LiamFox forInternational andhisDepartment more you have to pay. ” the smalleryou arethe have to pay for it,and for something,you is thatifyou areasking of trade negotiations “The implacable truth and soon. quotas, medicines regulation such asaviationrights, fishing where continuityisessential– rangeofpolicy is anenormous transitional dealisdone, there or Even ifsomepartial Impossible. exit. Notunlikelyordifficult. and ratifiedin timeforour to be finalisedtrade agreement but itisimpossibleforafree may well be the bestsolution, Minister hasclearlysetout. This as the Prime trade agreement We abespokefree need to agree up our own? Only the former is up ourown? Only the former European Patent Office, orset use the wecontinue to going to Take forexample patents. Are designed to helpmove everyone are transitional arrangements in principle.like isagreed The mightlook free trade agreement First, abroadoutlineof what a of this.versions out.are sorted Icansee three relationships, patentsand the like is ratifiedandall theother until afree trade agreement cover to period agreement the outcome isa transitional In the end, the onlypractical say allEUlawcontinues. Application ofEULawBill) will it isreally The GreatContinued misnamed,(which isgloriously the EU. The GreatRepeal Bill from again wesomething want term, so sensible in the short yet

PORTLAND | 29 30 | DESTINATION BREXIT to give us face savingcover.to giveusface agreement with some sweeteners a transitional/interim/rolloverof dictate theterms expect to they see the UKpositionas weak. So andhis team Michel Barnier up onprinciples. overplay their handandgethung approach means they are likely to sues forpeaceinearly2019. This outof time and so the UKruns pad out the negotiatingprocess their favour. The strategyis to is weightedin which agreement get on afree trade with agreeing deal with a sunsetclauseand others. a transitional Then agree nastily fora while to discourage things so Arrange the UKhurts aspossible to principles the UK. as fewconcessionsfromEU strategy. The objective is to make objective andnegotiating The EUhasaprettyclear the cliff. say, beourguestsand walk over werefuse theseterms, well they have signedalargecheque. If to negotiateanything until we bill. Iexpect them to decline largeexitto paya agreeing very elementThe first willbeour chicken comesin. This is where the gameof is agreed. something moredefinite a rollover of the statusquountil negotiated. Third, we couldhave is while afree trade agreement provisionsbuysome totime have arrangements, interim towards that. Second, we could EU. in the UKas well as the driven politicsisat work emotion- Except that the past. our cardsas well as we have in andplay some skillednegotiators what that dealshouldbe, use take areasonabledecisionon get agooddealif we eventually reason whyinherent wecannot than 27.country So there isno asone moreagile certainly cards to play, and we are We have someusefulnegotiating the euroandSchengen). the EU, optoutsfrom market, enlargementof budget rebate, the single the decades(think the its way in the EUover successful atgetting has beenremarkably All the same, Britain EU 27may well callherbluff. fewer jobs, lower growth.’ The saidmeans herself ‘less trade, May totrade as which barriers no deal then we will have new she has to play. For if we have bad deal’, exposes the weak hand isbetter than a deal forBritain hand. But to sayasshedid, ‘no good openinggambitfora weak constraints orcosts. This isa customs union, but noneof the access to the singlemarketand maximum with agreement eat it’. She wants afree trade same content: ‘have cakeand Foreign Secretary, but with the more diplomatically than her out herobjectives andstrategy Ministerhasset The Prime Brexit.” negotiation before could beusedfor a no procedure which that thereissimply “EU insiderstell me predict the outcome, itisasfollows. whole process, think aEurozonecollapse. Butif you forceme to There are, which ofcourse, factors couldderail the external sides feel righteous andcross,sides feelrighteous indeedappalled, at the otherside. justnow andboth Our redlinesand apart the EU27'sredlinesare too far outcome. EU law will inpracticebe the lawof the landfor decades whatever the ratified) which willallow us toleave moresubstantially, althoughmuch the substanceofafree trade agreement with the EU(thoughit won’t be In those two years, we outour will sort WTO positionandprobablyfinalise and giveupallinfluence. ButEUlawinpracticestillapplies. for two years will bedone, muchofit the statusquo. We will leave the EU the UK'spositionisindeed weaker than deal the EU's, of interim someform turmoil. After several weeks ofbrinkmanship, in which itbecomesclear that no agreement. Crisis, allnightmeetings, the clockisstopped, marketsin We will get to March2019 butwith muchposturing, no walking outand

PORTLAND | 31 32 | DESTINATION BREXIT he hasdevoted himselfto andbroadcasting. writing of State for Defence.the Cabinet,includingSecretary Since leaving politics, Michael Portillowas aminister for eleven years andheldthreepositions in By Rt. Hon. MICHAEL PORTILLO EU crisis the next Safe from

PORTLAND | 33 34 | DESTINATION BREXIT bravest Europeans. and thatof fellow for our own freedom and itstrikes ablow since World War Two, act of theBritishpeople European Unionisthe The decisionto leave the ideology. It tramples all who getinits way. The creationof the eurohasamplyillustrated the dangerof democracies, itself. itisnotademocracy is that whilstWhat iscertain the Unioniscomposedof of, orhostile to, the Europeanproject. Even the politicians who arguedforRemain were mostlysceptical union’. All that helps to explain why voted Britain to leave. we showed extremereluctance to bedrawn towards ‘ever closerEuropean blocks of the Europeanstate. As eachnewEuropean treaty was drawnup Politicians, andLabour, bothConservative from the vital building heldapart hasneverwith the EU.illustrates beencomfortable that this country which peoplecirculatebetween countries without showing identification) joinedneither the euronor that Britain the Schengenarea(within The fact infavour ofremaining.were disproportionately appalling levels inSpainandItaly. How ironic that in the UK young people and their ruin.youth Greecehas beencrushed unemployment hasreached economy. by the strengthof the German rate largelydetermined Ithasbeen state. Butmostof the economiesofEurope were notready foranexchange was ofasingle createdbecauseitisoneof The singlecurrency the signifiers off thisfundamentalpoint. shrug The EU'sauthors can begoverned incommon, accountable with to the governors the people. there doesnotexistaEuropeanpeople, specificpolitical sharing values, that The democraticdeficitisacknowledged byall, but ithas nosolution, because motives: the avoidance ofanother war inourcontinent. Perhaps. European state. a claim to beoperatingfrom Itsauthors the purestof of project,The EuropeanUnionisanideological dedicated to the creation deflect usfromcelebrating what we have decided todo. and hasfloundered withoutdignityin themonthssince. But thatshouldnot Brexit and won the people'sbacking. state The British was caughtoffguard, referendum. It would have Ministerproposed beenmuchbetterhadaPrime establishment David Cameronand in the British werethe overturned hasstumbledinto this roleafter the plansof It isapity that ourcountry unelected andunaccountable. Europeans needisfreedom, notgovernment bya transnational elite which is that offellow Europeans. Itisfundamentally pro-European, because what people since World War Two, ablow forourown anditstrikes freedomand The decision to leave the EuropeanUnion is the bravest actof the British euro, scarcelyone was willing to make that call again. Even amongstbusiness leaders, who clamouredadecade ago to join the

PORTLAND | 35 36 | DESTINATION BREXIT ourselves. whatthe EUand maybefall we will recover togovern the right It mayindeedbequiteunpleasant. But we will avoid the worst of nations, to crisis. andlurchesfromcrisis The euroisunsustainable. Ithasimpoverished the weaker unemployment and euro crises? unemployment andeurocrises? fundamental to the Europeanproject, the refugee,will itsurvive Although we are told that freemovement ofpeoplesis under enormous pressure from migration across the Mediterranean Sea. across the Mediterranean pressurefrommigration under enormous are Europeancountries asmuchBritain.strain ofimmigration Southern Of course, France, feel the andotherprosperousEUcountries Germany minimum more.wage andisdue to rise that hasrisen created by the eurohasledmoreEUcitizens to move here, attractedbya extra moneyintohousingandpublicservices. The massunemployment by it. As the population hasswelled, governments have British notpoured accommodation, schoolplaces, appointmentsandjobsfeelaffected doctors' is notanissue the that bothers well much. off very But those whoseek A symbolof that will be to controlourborders.the right Immigration of roses. governor of the Bank of England)putit, ourexitisnotgoing to beabed isdoing thing.the right So Britain (former As LordKingofLothbury distance fromeachof those catastrophes. collapses, down the crashmaybring the EU. isbetteroffkeepingits Britain unemployed peoplefrom the poorerones. On the otherhand, if the currency will besustained.human misery RicherEUcountries willhave to absorb euro iskeptalive, economicallyand the euroarea will underperform is that weakerdeutschmark thanthe wouldbe. For all thetimethat benefitfromusingacurrency any exporters ofitsmembers), andGerman The continentalestablishmentis to too frightened wind itup(or to letgo Article 50 negotiations dynamic developmentswill take placeduring on Article the poseexistential threats euro andmigration to the union. Second, that the core,leaveshaken themtothe decision to has the British whilst the partners, Those thoughts suggest two others. First, that from the viewpoint ofourEU frightened to winditup.” establishment istoo crisis. The continental lurches fromcrisisto weaker nations,and impoverished the unsustainable. Ithas “The eurois issue. and Brexit will seem a trivial ofcollapse be on the brink French president, the EU will LePenIf Marine becomes refugee crises emerge. refugee crises new currency, bankingand to win their elections, andas their positions, attempting and Angela Merkeladjust continent, asFrançois Fillon years. isoneof The crisis rates typical of the lastfew euro isback to exchange against thepound and the economy isdoing well, of England. The British the Treasury and the Bank was confidentlypredictedby crisis. Itisnot the one that state tobeinthat appears Still, fornow itis the British Article 50 –resultedina Article on triggering Christmas vote before a parliamentary single boldmove – to force government's noting thatthe to resolve. Butitis worth Neither of those issuesiseasy over the last fifty years. in the EUembedded Britain referendum,the elite that the establishmentrejectedin very the are membership. They committed to continuedEU a strategyareideologically now asked servants to devise not plannedfor, and the civil Brexit.deal with This was machine isill-equipped to government the whole mind, because andpartly nature slow to makeupher because Theresa Mayisby decision-making. Itis partly

PORTLAND | 37 38 | DESTINATION BREXIT Brexit. wherevoted amajority for fear Ukipin their constituencies Labour MPs, many of whom count on the votes ofmost Commons Theresa Maycan 50 legislation, in the Houseof comes tothe it When Article have emboldenedit. massive majority, andshould that mightresult in the creation provoke aconstitutionalcrisis of Lordsshouldnot want to be hardat work. The House and Labour whips arelikely to election. ButbothConservative re- independent anddonotface because they aremore The Lordsaremorecomplicated the EU partners want to erect the EUpartners achievable depends on whether Whether these goalsare the table. if there isnogooddealonrules to defaulting of the threat WTO in twoto beagreed years, with EU.with the agreement All this and reachanewfree trade half-leave the customsunion, like to leave the singlemarket, outcome.preferred She would on the government’sclarity House speechprovided some Theresa May’s Lancaster election. does not want anearlygeneral prevail, and the LabourParty of sufficientnew to peers Tory are unattractive.” French labourlaws the world stage,and smallon are very continental markets of London.Butthe moving jobsout institutions talkof “Financial officials, fanatics. whoare officials, whodon't believe inBrexit, andEuropean Commission liesahead:A farce two years ofnegotiationbetween British moment convulsed with newcrises. whether MerkelandFillonareinoffice, andon whether theEUisat that the two-year processapoliticaldeal will bedone. Itsnature will dependon to the CouncilofMinisters, andI would guess that in the finalmomentsof Ofcourse, those talks will notproducearesult. back The EUofficialsreport business incontinentalEurope without the advantage ofEUmembership. laws areunattractive. banksdemonstrate that American you candogood smallon the continentalmarketsare the very world stage, andFrenchlabour Euro). Somefinancialinstitutions talkofmoving jobsoutofLondon. But continent (outraged that that didnothappen stayed outside when Britain the London. Even beforeBrexit they aimed to shiftfinancial business to the toughness against the Cityof andParis maydemandparticular Frankfurt for now –meansbeingmean to the UK. must actin the ‘interests ofEurope’, which according to the French–atleast is Germany the floating voter. to trade, Ithasmuch tolosefrombarriers but the boat. wants A Frenchparty to castigateBritain with terms.the harshest the mostpleasantandsoftBrexitachievable, favours group to avoid rocking There areperhaps two ‘parties’ atpresent within the EU. A Scandinavian deficit especiallyGermany. withourpartners, which wouldthem more than Britain,barriers harm since a wetrade run

PORTLAND | 39 40 | DESTINATION BREXIT the UK without The EU By SIR STEPHEN WALL for 35 years. Minister Tony Blair,hehasbeen atthecentre of Britain’srelationswiththeEU Permanent Representative to theEUinBrusselsandAdviser to Prime Sir Stephen Wall isPortland’sChief Adviser onEurope.Aformer UK

PORTLAND | 41 42 | DESTINATION BREXIT protectionist. Today’s EU completelybut it will notregress will becomemore competition, offree trade andgenerousoverseas aid. championofopenandliberalisedmarkets,the principal offair The EU will, whichwith ourdeparture, lose hasbeen the country Will iteven will alsobediminishedbyour leaving. hasbeen,This isbecauseBritain in the Britain world will bediminishedbyour leaving the EUand the EU within the EUnotrecognised. andliberalisingachievement is the extentofourreforming only inBritain trade,all aboutso-calledfair notfree trade. ofBrexitis that The saddestpart Read the manifestoofM. Fillon, the probablenextPresidentofFrance: itis economy.(EEC) model which admirablysuited the Frenchagricultural that the UK would upset the protectionist EuropeanEconomicCommunity joining the EUbecausehefeared originally President DeGaulleopposedBritain policy, climatechange, foreignpolicy, aidand trade. single market, but EU collaboration, anditsexercise ofinfluenceonenergy issue collectively.which the EUnow determines of the Notjust the rules Leaving the EUautomatically takes away Britain’s seatat the table onevery happen? happen? happen? happen? demagogue hereallyis. ally insteadof the menacing President Putinasapotential Russia’sdisposed totreat be President Trump,will with President ofFrancehe, along If M. Fillonis the next serious military capability. military serious andof activist foreignpolicy and implementerofacoherent, with France, the main advocate will have lostourdecisive say. made andstatementsdrafted, we the room while EUpoliciesare But when we arenolongerin of containment, will remain. to advocate andachieve apolicy to callPutinasheis,leaders and Fillon. The willingness ofBritish exports, says French agricultural Sanctions againstRussia: badfor and generousoverseas aid.” competition, of freetrade liberalised markets, of fair champion of openand which hasbeentheprincipal departure, losethecountry “The EUwill,withour A PresidentLePen wouldto try shattering. ballrisks the crystal at might be,who those leaders And here, as we peeranxiously themselves. negotiation complete the clear directionandultimately heads ofgovernment to give EU on the of the willingness in negotiations will depend Achieving agoodoutcome the majority. people bein will notnecessarily Parliament, however, such Commission and the European the UK. Within the European workablerelationship with asane,preserves amicable, a way whichin negotiations Brexitmanage the hope to Sensible peopleinBrussels

PORTLAND | 43 44 | DESTINATION BREXIT differing conditions.” leaders to reconcile inability by theEU’s resulting froman fragmentation piecemeal an incoherent, tiered Europe,or coherent multi- construction of a see theconscious is whetherwe “The bigquestion be the nextPresidentofFrance. Fillon, LePen, notMarine will In France, the oddsare that M. seats.the mostParliamentary spring’s electionas the holderof placed to emergefromnext Netherlands, though heis well Ministerof the the nextPrime Geert right Wilders will notbe The likelihoodis that the far- the endof the EU. she succeeded, that couldspell take Franceoutof the euro. If and grudgingly. will have beengiven unwillingly forhimfrom the left that support EU will beimpairedby the fact bothofFranceand the reforms through hisadvertised to carry Chirac in2002, Fillon’s ability the Presidentialelection. As with Fillon) in the secondroundof second candidate(along with keeping LePen frombeing the a singlechampioncapableof left isincapableofunitinground French malaise thatthe French But itisadamningsymptomof demagogue hereallyis.” instead of themenacing Putin asapotential ally to treatRussia’sPresident Trump, willbedisposed along withPresident President of France he, “If M.Fillonisthenext incapable ofachievement. which was always of the project andalways, at the heart sofar, massive politicalconvergence (and togothe fiscalpolicy withit) in practicedomore than holdfractiously together without the A bigquestionmarkremainsover whether the Eurozone will course to aEuropean course Treasury. covering company taxation, VAT ratesandcapitalgains, leadingindue He aprocessofeconomic,would aim social andfiscalconvergenceto start be made. MFillon wants to putmorepower in the handsofgovernments. (in Italy)arenot, will EUreform then anundoubtedattemptatserious Merkel areinpower, LePen, andMarine Geert andSignorGrillo Wilders If, ina year’s time, MarkRutte(orsimilarin the Netherlands), Fillonand again, Merkel Mrs would beplungedintocrisis. of Turkey weredecide,once to refugee tap meantime,on the in the toturn diminished byherhandlingof the refugeecrisis. And ifPresident Erdogan General Electionin the autumnof2017, but shehasbeen weakened and In Germany, Merkel’sto isfavourite Mrs win the mostseatsin the party require changes in the EU treaties, which in wouldturn require the consent So, Fillon mightnotsucceed. Someof what he wants would anyway probably

PORTLAND | 45 46 | DESTINATION BREXIT over the lastdecadescanany longerbe taken forgranted. assumptions underlying the political andeconomicorder western conditions andobjectives.to reconcilediffering Noneof the fragmentation resulting fromaninabilityby the EU’s leaders of acoherentmulti-tiered Europe, or anincoherent, piecemeal The bigquestionis whether we see the consciousconstruction not bein the UKinterest. of policy. areconcerned, Where competitionandstateaidpolicy this would the continuederosionof the Commission’s than byacoherentact authority reduction in the power of the Commissionhappens, itismorelikely to beby be negotiatedaway, since27governments would have to agree. So, if that item since the 1960s). Idoubt whether the powers of the Commissioncould power ofgovernments versus the EuropeanCommission(aFrenchagenda Fillon’s ofEUinstitutionsaremostlyaboutincreasing the proposedreforms interests and trading conditions. any say, though the results, however achieved, would massively affectBritish would areferendum. notdarerisk Innoneof this would have Brexit Britain to any governments couldnotagree more Irish treaty changessince they only begiven ifapproved byreferendum. As things stand, the Dutchand of all27EUgovernments. In the NetherlandsandIreland that consentcould granted.” be taken for can any longer last decades order over the and economic western political underlying the assumptions “None of the be boldandbrave ‒qualitiesas yet unproven. heralong way. making policy will carry Butshe will alsoneed to Theresa May’s reputationforcareful, considered, evidence-based political as well aseconomic, will beincreasinglyasserted. and and to intimidateitsneighbours where the globalpower ofChina, leader of the West, where Russia ourdemocracies will conspire to undermine Trump will notautomatically beacceptedinEuropeas the authoritative which recognisesacontinuingEuropeansharedinterestin world where Kingdom. We have to rebuild relationshiponanewbasis to the try trilateral inEuroperemainGermany, bigplayers The principal Franceand the United the outcome. by laternext year and, ofcourse, on what then happensdependscritically That electionsareoverwill nothappenuntil the FrenchandGerman may yet establishacloseeconomicpartnership. and combatingcrime, policy intelligence sharing, we andforeignsecurity infieldssuchas save alotof the existingcooperation with ourpartners far-sightedly, andnotasif we games, areplayingschoolplayground we can We areprobablyleaving the EU. British If we and negotiateseriously condition. the aggravates it in1966.to the brink Brexitisasymptom, rather than acause, but it The stateof than atanythe EUismoreperilous time sinceDeGaulle took

PORTLAND | 47 48 | DESTINATION BREXIT process? and exit dream deal is the What By Rt. Hon. GISELA STUART MP represent theseat.She recently asChairof theVote served Leave campaign. Edgbaston constituency since 1997,whenshebecame thefirst-ever Labour MP to Rt HonGiselaStuart,MPhasbeenaMemberof Parliamentfor theBirmingham

PORTLAND | 49 50 | DESTINATION BREXIT people. British wishes of the delivering onthe premise of start fromthe the EUmust negotiates with Government Any dealthe Change Britain shows Change Britain that 54%ofpeople want the government to trigger accept any attempts to fudge the result. Recentpolling conductedfor Leave orRemain, the publicisfollowing this processcloselyand won’t our findings withreaders. heard bypoliticiansanddecisionmakers. someof I bysharing want to start the Brexitprocess. We believethat peoplefeel that itiscrucial their voice is these communities to findout what theynow want from theirpoliticiansand andlistening to conductingfocusgroups work isgoing around the country that we makeasuccessofexiting the EU. ofChangeBritain’s A keypart campaignIchair iscommitted Change Britain,to ensuring the crossparty that a ‘Leave party’ would have achieved of166seats. amajority Hanrettyshows datafromProfessor Chris referendum resultbyconstituency back controlofborders, laws, moneyand trade. When breakingdown the government the biggest electoralmandateinhistory. A mandate to take On June23over 17millionpeople voted to leave the EU, the giving Brexit presents. excitement at the opportunities sense ofconfidenceand and trade, there isapalpable When itcomes to the economy many as400,000newjobs. as deals couldbring,creating ourown union andstriking trade customs leavingthe benefits that has highlighted the potential stage. research ChangeBritain sovereign nationon the world to competeasanindependent they have inourability faith voters arenotisolationists, compete with the best. Leave can a good thing andBritain response is that competitionis are notdissuaded. The common increased competition, people confronted with the issueof free trade deals.to strike When shouldlook that this country and remain, repeatedly say go global. Voters, bothleave to this isauniqueopportunity and closingitselfoffare wrong, inwards wasturning Britain Those who say the referendum and remain voters reject the idea. ofbothleavea strongmajority the US, Australia andIndia, trade deals like with countries laws andnoability to negotiate movement, the acceptanceofEU union meanscontinuedfree in the singlemarketandcustoms When peoplerealise that staying such adirectionof travel. 20% ofpeople who disagree with result. This compares to amere job ofdelivering the referendum 50andgeton with the Article to doadeal with their biggest market. Itisin the EU’s interests negotiations isaccess to the UK in the upcoming highest priority found thattheir businesseshas ofEU EU andarecentsurvey deficit trade withthe growing a to securesuchadeal. We have should beconfidentinourability market.single access tothe We maintains the bestpossible A deal business where British covering goodsandservices. likely beafree trade agreement Therefore the bestdeal would and decisions. held responsiblefor their actions -are as they -andnotBrussels public British accountable tothe and politicians will bemore control the impactofmigration, invest and moreinlocalservices can becomemorecohesive as we flexible economy, communities will beable to build arobust yet anationalrenewal.to begin We union - will allow the country single marketandcustoms which the UKleaves the EU’s the result. A ‘clean’ Brexit-by uphold to wouldfail therefore single marketorcustomsunion of the continued membership movement ofpeople. To seek have to accept the EU’s free our own trade dealsand we will we won’t beable to negotiate ofEuropeanjudges,the rulings still besubject to EUlawsand won't take backcontrol. We will market or the customsunion we By stayingineither the single and time-frame? deal dream is the What then

PORTLAND | 51 52 | DESTINATION BREXIT financial services industry.financial services needs of our the regulatory re-evaluate to opportunity This isaonceingeneration the world stage.” sovereign nationon independent compete asan in ourabilityto they have faith not isolationists, “Leave voters are undoubtedly involveundoubtedly tensions The upcomingnegotiations will competitive in the long-term. ‘The City’ remains highly a framework which ensures A newdealshouldlook to build the EUand the CityofLondon. “special” relationshipbetween has said that he wants a that the EU’s chiefnegotiator is why itis highlighting worth is notadefinitive solution. That isuseful,equivalence regime it for passporting. Whilst the EU’s appeared to dropitsdemand to see that TheCityUK has be important. Itisinteresting as afinancialpowerhouse will competitiveness ofLondon the ensuring Of course rattling we have seensofar. trade partner, despite the sabre undermine workers rights. workers undermine that leaving the EU will Some peoplehave suggested on them. ourback andnot turn partners, with ourEuropean partnership We want to build anewstrong andscientificresearch.security of issuesincludingdefence, working together onanumber and neighbour with the EU, continue to beagoodfriend UK stresses thatthewill May that Mrs It isimportant Welcome to Staycampaign. our this with championing issue. hasbeen ChangeBritain on this provides certainty governmentis vital thatthe It in the UKherearliestpriority. alreadyresident EU migrants May shouldmake the futureof negotiations areunderway, Mrs process hasbegunand the friends. Once the 50 Article wishing illonourEuropean we into the cannotfall trap of howeverand disagreements

is discriminatory. A commonlyheld view is that the EU’s freedomofmovement system. to renewourimmigration This isanopportunity talent which benefitsoureconomy. drawbridge. We andcontinue to welcome mustremainanopencountry Vote Leave Johnson colleagueBoris hassaid, the UKisnotpullingup the opposed to immigration. andarenotoutright in numbers As my former key rolein the UK’s decision to leave, peopledon’t simply want areduction obviouslyplayedIt is a saying aboutimmigration that worth whilst concerns to hold the government accountablefor Labour party this. protect but look of to enhance the rights workers. It will be the jobof the underanewdeal In fact we shoulduseournewfoundcontrol to notjust outward lookingandmoreprosperoussociety. we will come to remember Brexit as the catalystforbuilding afairer, more resilience to prosperin the 21stcentury. If we get the negotiations right, the UK across to buildthe country. resilienceincommunitiesright The get the bestpossibledealforBritain. For me, the ‘dream deal’ will enable ensure that comes togetherto wehope this be the year I will everyone that or keep the UKin the EUby the backdoor. However anyto delayBrexit mustnotbeused to transition arrangements try for the upcomingnegotiations. Ministerislookingatallscenarios the Prime has beenmuch talk ofa transitional dealinrecentmonths. that Itisright Brexit process. The government then has two years to negotiateadeal. There a vote inParliament, politiciansshould vote unconditionally the to begin of 50.should benodelayin the triggering Article This meansif there is As to a timeframe -people want the government to geton with it- there UK politicians to decidehow taxpayers’ moneyisspent. which will requiresomefinancialcontributions. However, itshouldbefor NHS. There maybeprojects which we want to cooperateon with the EU we pay -like to the the EUand look to spend that moneyonourpriorities We shouldalsoensure that we take backcontrolof the largesumsofmoney our country. accountable people to the British will befullyresponsiblefor who comesinto -politicians -by services.taking backcontrolofourborders Butcrucially requirements of sectors,various from the creative to financial industries economic needs. The government shouldalsolistencarefully to the the to meetour canbring andfocused on the skillsimmigrants by fairness When we develop systemitshouldbeunderpinned anewimmigration be able to moreeasilycome inBangladesh.to the UK than someoneborn People in question the EU-should why ofbeingborn someone-by virtue

PORTLAND | 53 54 | DESTINATION BREXIT Portland About for governments around the world, andfor three majorUNinitiatives. campaignsonbehalfofsome the international world’s biggestbrands, Over the past15 years, we've worked inover devisingandrunning 70countries that deliverprogrammes arealimpactforclients. communications specialists to createintegrated engagement anddigital together public affairs, communications,teams bring corporate stakeholder We iskey to succeedandourcross-functional integration understand of the highestprofileorganisations, governments andindividualsin the world. bysome trusted communicationsconsultancy Portland isafullyintegrated

PORTLAND | 55 56 | DESTINATION BREXIT What wedo we canhelp you, pleasecontact: If aboutPortland’syou and how information would services likefurther strategy, Europeandbuilding economicarguments. onmessaging, alsoofferclients theirinsightandexpertise Radek Sikorski Our Councilincluding Advisory Alastair Campbell, SirStephen Wall and policymakers. the finaloutcomeas theyengage withgovernment, and EUdecisionmakers influence negotiations, and whataction theyshouldbe taking topreparefor on how Brexitislikely to affect their business, how theycanmosteffectively government andbothsidesof the campaign to provide high qualityadvice fromseniorlevels of together arangeofexperts The BrexitUnitbrings employees,and engaging government andmediaaround the settlement. implicationsofBrexit,regulatory through to developing position, a corporate This from varies top-level insightandadviceon the political, economicand the world.around operatingin theUKand firms businesses andinternational for bothBritish Britain’s exitfrom the EU. We provide counselon the implicationsofBrexit and ensure that strategyforapproaching their organisationhas the right Portland’s BrexitUnit was established to helpclientsanswer these questions, for them? how best to communicate with employees about what these issuesmean What impact will this have? Is there scope to influence thesettlement? And questions. How and when will the UK withdraw from the EuropeanUnion? environment,In this uncertain many difficult organisationsarefacing [email protected] +44 (0)2075541600 andHeadofBrexitUnit Partner Dean Victoria

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