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Keck Combined Strong-Motion/Broadband Obs
KECK COMBINED STRONG-MOTION/BROADBAND OBS WHOI Ocean Bottom Seismograph Laboratory W.M. Keck Foundation Award to Understand Earthquake Predictability at East Pacific Rise Transform Faults. • In 2006, the W.M. Keck Foundation awarded funding to Jeff McGuire and John Collins to determine the physical mechanisms responsible for the observed capability to predict, using foreshocks, large (Mw ~6) transform-fault earthquakes at the East Pacific Rise, and to gain greater insight into the fundamentals of earthquake mechanics in general. • Achieving this objective required building 10 OBS of a new and unique type that could record, without saturation, the large ground motions generated by moderate to large earthquakes at distances of less than ~10 km. W.M. Keck OBS: Combined Broadband Seismometer and Strong-Motion Accelerometer • The broadband OBS available from OBSIP carry a broadband seismometer whose performance is optimized to resolve the earth’s background noise, which can be as small as 10-11 g r.m.s. in a bandwidth of width 1/6 decade at periods of about 100 s. Thus, these sensors are ideal for resolving ground motions from large distant earthquakes, necessary for structural seismology studies. • Ground motions from local, moderate to large earthquakes can generate accelerations of up a g or more, which would saturate or clip these sensors. Currently, there are no sensors (or data-loggers) that have a dynamic range to resolve this ~220 dB range of ground motion. • To overcome this limitation, we used Keck Foundation funding to build 10 OBS equipped with both a conventional broadband seismometer and a strong- motion accelerometer with a clip level of 2.5 g. -
New Empirical Relationships Among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Width, Rupture Area, and Surface Displacement
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 84, No. 4, pp. 974-1002, August 1994 New Empirical Relationships among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Width, Rupture Area, and Surface Displacement by Donald L. Wells and Kevin J. Coppersmith Abstract Source parameters for historical earthquakes worldwide are com piled to develop a series of empirical relationships among moment magnitude (M), surface rupture length, subsurface rupture length, downdip rupture width, rupture area, and maximum and average displacement per event. The resulting data base is a significant update of previous compilations and includes the ad ditional source parameters of seismic moment, moment magnitude, subsurface rupture length, downdip rupture width, and average surface displacement. Each source parameter is classified as reliable or unreliable, based on our evaluation of the accuracy of individual values. Only the reliable source parameters are used in the final analyses. In comparing source parameters, we note the fol lowing trends: (1) Generally, the length of rupture at the surface is equal to 75% of the subsurface rupture length; however, the ratio of surface rupture length to subsurface rupture length increases with magnitude; (2) the average surface dis placement per event is about one-half the maximum surface displacement per event; and (3) the average subsurface displacement on the fault plane is less than the maximum surface displacement but more than the average surface dis placement. Thus, for most earthquakes in this data base, slip on the fault plane at seismogenic depths is manifested by similar displacements at the surface. Log-linear regressions between earthquake magnitude and surface rupture length, subsurface rupture length, and rupture area are especially well correlated, show ing standard deviations of 0.25 to 0.35 magnitude units. -
Earthquake Rupture on Multiple Splay Faults and Its Effect on Tsunamis
manuscript submitted to Geophysical Research Letters 1 Earthquake rupture on multiple splay faults and its 2 effect on tsunamis 1;2 3 4 1;5 3 I. van Zelst , L. Rannabauer , A.-A. Gabriel , Y. van Dinther 1 4 Seismology and Wave Physics, Institute of Geophysics, Department of Earth Sciences, ETH Z¨urich, 5 Z¨urich, Switzerland 2 6 Institute of Geophysics and Tectonics, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 7 9JT, United Kingdom 3 8 Department of Informatics, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany 4 9 Geophysics, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany 5 10 Department of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands 11 Key Points: 12 • Multiple splay faults can be activated during an earthquake by slip on the megath- 13 rust, dynamic stress transfer, or stress changes from waves 14 • Splay fault activation is partially facilitated by their alignment with the local stress 15 field and closeness to failure 16 • The tsunami has a high crest due to slip on the longest splay fault and a second 17 broad wave packet due to slip on multiple smaller faults Corresponding author: Iris van Zelst, [email protected] / [email protected] {1{ manuscript submitted to Geophysical Research Letters 18 Abstract 19 Detailed imaging of accretionary wedges reveal complex splay fault networks which 20 could pose a significant tsunami hazard. However, the dynamics of multiple splay fault 21 activation and interaction during megathrust events and consequent effects on tsunami 22 generation are not well understood. We use a 2D dynamic rupture model with six com- 23 plex splay fault geometries consistent with initial stress and strength conditions constrained 24 by a geodynamic seismic cycle model. -
STRUCTURE of EARTH S-Wave Shadow P-Wave Shadow P-Wave
STRUCTURE OF EARTH Earthquake Focus P-wave P-wave shadow shadow S-wave shadow P waves = Primary waves = Pressure waves S waves = Secondary waves = Shear waves (Don't penetrate liquids) CRUST < 50-70 km thick MANTLE = 2900 km thick OUTER CORE (Liquid) = 3200 km thick INNER CORE (Solid) = 1300 km radius. STRUCTURE OF EARTH Low Velocity Crust Zone Whole Mantle Convection Lithosphere Upper Mantle Transition Zone Layered Mantle Convection Lower Mantle S-wave P-wave CRUST : Conrad discontinuity = upper / lower crust boundary Mohorovicic discontinuity = base of Continental Crust (35-50 km continents; 6-8 km oceans) MANTLE: Lithosphere = Rigid Mantle < 100 km depth Asthenosphere = Plastic Mantle > 150 km depth Low Velocity Zone = Partially Melted, 100-150 km depth Upper Mantle < 410 km Transition Zone = 400-600 km --> Velocity increases rapidly Lower Mantle = 600 - 2900 km Outer Core (Liquid) 2900-5100 km Inner Core (Solid) 5100-6400 km Center = 6400 km UPPER MANTLE AND MAGMA GENERATION A. Composition of Earth Density of the Bulk Earth (Uncompressed) = 5.45 gm/cm3 Densities of Common Rocks: Granite = 2.55 gm/cm3 Peridotite, Eclogite = 3.2 to 3.4 gm/cm3 Basalt = 2.85 gm/cm3 Density of the CORE (estimated) = 7.2 gm/cm3 Fe-metal = 8.0 gm/cm3, Ni-metal = 8.5 gm/cm3 EARTH must contain a mix of Rock and Metal . Stony meteorites Remains of broken planets Planetary Interior Rock=Stony Meteorites ÒChondritesÓ = Olivine, Pyroxene, Metal (Fe-Ni) Metal = Fe-Ni Meteorites Core density = 7.2 gm/cm3 -- Too Light for Pure Fe-Ni Light elements = O2 (FeO) or S (FeS) B. -
The Growing Wealth of Aseismic Deformation Data: What's a Modeler to Model?
The Growing Wealth of Aseismic Deformation Data: What's a Modeler to Model? Evelyn Roeloffs U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Team Vancouver, WA Topics • Pre-earthquake deformation-rate changes – Some credible examples • High-resolution crustal deformation observations – borehole strain – fluid pressure data • Aseismic processes linking mainshocks to aftershocks • Observations possibly related to dynamic triggering The Scientific Method • The “hypothesis-testing” stage is a bottleneck for earthquake research because data are hard to obtain • Modeling has a role in the hypothesis-building stage http://www.indiana.edu/~geol116/ Modeling needs to lead data collection • Compared to acquiring high resolution deformation data in the near field of large earthquakes, modeling is fast and inexpensive • So modeling should perhaps get ahead of reproducing observations • Or modeling could look harder at observations that are significant but controversial, and could explore a wider range of hypotheses Earthquakes can happen without detectable pre- earthquake changes e.g.Parkfield M6 2004 Deformation-Rate Changes before the Mw 6.6 Chuetsu earthquake, 23 October 2004 Ogata, JGR 2007 • Intraplate thrust earthquake, depth 11 km • GPS-detected rate changes about 3 years earlier – Moment of pre-slip approximately Mw 6.0 (1 div=1 cm) – deviations mostly in direction of coseismic displacement – not all consistent with pre-slip on the rupture plane Great Subduction Earthquakes with Evidence for Pre-Earthquake Aseismic Deformation-Rate Changes • Chile 1960, Mw9.2 – 20-30 m of slow interplate slip over a rupture zone 920+/-100 km long, starting 20 minutes prior to mainshock [Kanamori & Cipar (1974); Kanamori & Anderson (1975); Cifuentes & Silver (1989) ] – 33-hour foreshock sequence north of the mainshock, propagating toward the mainshock hypocenter at 86 km day-1 (Cifuentes, 1989) • Alaska 1964, Mw9.2 • Cascadia 1700, M9 Microfossils => Sea level rise before1964 Alaska M9.2 • 0.12± 0.13 m sea level rise at 4 sites between 1952 and 1964 Hamilton et al. -
The 2018 Mw 7.5 Palu Earthquake: a Supershear Rupture Event Constrained by Insar and Broadband Regional Seismograms
remote sensing Article The 2018 Mw 7.5 Palu Earthquake: A Supershear Rupture Event Constrained by InSAR and Broadband Regional Seismograms Jin Fang 1, Caijun Xu 1,2,3,* , Yangmao Wen 1,2,3 , Shuai Wang 1, Guangyu Xu 1, Yingwen Zhao 1 and Lei Yi 4,5 1 School of Geodesy and Geomatics, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China; [email protected] (J.F.); [email protected] (Y.W.); [email protected] (S.W.); [email protected] (G.X.); [email protected] (Y.Z.) 2 Key Laboratory of Geospace Environment and Geodesy, Ministry of Education, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China 3 Collaborative Innovation Center of Geospatial Technology, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China 4 Key Laboratory of Comprehensive and Highly Efficient Utilization of Salt Lake Resources, Qinghai Institute of Salt Lakes, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xining 810008, China; [email protected] 5 Qinghai Provincial Key Laboratory of Geology and Environment of Salt Lakes, Qinghai Institute of Salt Lakes, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xining 810008, China * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +86-27-6877-8805 Received: 4 April 2019; Accepted: 29 May 2019; Published: 3 June 2019 Abstract: The 28 September 2018 Mw 7.5 Palu earthquake occurred at a triple junction zone where the Philippine Sea, Australian, and Sunda plates are convergent. Here, we utilized Advanced Land Observing Satellite-2 (ALOS-2) interferometry synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) data together with broadband regional seismograms to investigate the source geometry and rupture kinematics of this earthquake. Results showed that the 2018 Palu earthquake ruptured a fault plane with a relatively steep dip angle of ~85◦. -
Foreshock Sequences and Short-Term Earthquake Predictability on East Pacific Rise Transform Faults
NATURE 3377—9/3/2005—VBICKNELL—137936 articles Foreshock sequences and short-term earthquake predictability on East Pacific Rise transform faults Jeffrey J. McGuire1, Margaret S. Boettcher2 & Thomas H. Jordan3 1Department of Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, and 2MIT-Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Joint Program, Woods Hole, Massachusetts 02543-1541, USA 3Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California 90089-7042, USA ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................... East Pacific Rise transform faults are characterized by high slip rates (more than ten centimetres a year), predominately aseismic slip and maximum earthquake magnitudes of about 6.5. Using recordings from a hydroacoustic array deployed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, we show here that East Pacific Rise transform faults also have a low number of aftershocks and high foreshock rates compared to continental strike-slip faults. The high ratio of foreshocks to aftershocks implies that such transform-fault seismicity cannot be explained by seismic triggering models in which there is no fundamental distinction between foreshocks, mainshocks and aftershocks. The foreshock sequences on East Pacific Rise transform faults can be used to predict (retrospectively) earthquakes of magnitude 5.4 or greater, in narrow spatial and temporal windows and with a high probability gain. The predictability of such transform earthquakes is consistent with a model in which slow slip transients trigger earthquakes, enrich their low-frequency radiation and accommodate much of the aseismic plate motion. On average, before large earthquakes occur, local seismicity rates support the inference of slow slip transients, but the subject remains show a significant increase1. In continental regions, where dense controversial23. -
Seismic Wavefield Imaging of Earth's Interior Across Scales
TECHNICAL REVIEWS Seismic wavefield imaging of Earth’s interior across scales Jeroen Tromp Abstract | Seismic full- waveform inversion (FWI) for imaging Earth’s interior was introduced in the late 1970s. Its ultimate goal is to use all of the information in a seismogram to understand the structure and dynamics of Earth, such as hydrocarbon reservoirs, the nature of hotspots and the forces behind plate motions and earthquakes. Thanks to developments in high- performance computing and advances in modern numerical methods in the past 10 years, 3D FWI has become feasible for a wide range of applications and is currently used across nine orders of magnitude in frequency and wavelength. A typical FWI workflow includes selecting seismic sources and a starting model, conducting forward simulations, calculating and evaluating the misfit, and optimizing the simulated model until the observed and modelled seismograms converge on a single model. This method has revealed Pleistocene ice scrapes beneath a gas cloud in the Valhall oil field, overthrusted Iberian crust in the western Pyrenees mountains, deep slabs in subduction zones throughout the world and the shape of the African superplume. The increased use of multi- parameter inversions, improved computational and algorithmic efficiency , and the inclusion of Bayesian statistics in the optimization process all stand to substantially improve FWI, overcoming current computational or data- quality constraints. In this Technical Review, FWI methods and applications in controlled- source and earthquake seismology are discussed, followed by a perspective on the future of FWI, which will ultimately result in increased insight into the physics and chemistry of Earth’s interior. -
Earthquake Measurements
EARTHQUAKE MEASUREMENTS The vibrations produced by earthquakes are detected, recorded, and measured by instruments call seismographs1. The zig-zag line made by a seismograph, called a "seismogram," reflects the changing intensity of the vibrations by responding to the motion of the ground surface beneath the instrument. From the data expressed in seismograms, scientists can determine the time, the epicenter, the focal depth, and the type of faulting of an earthquake and can estimate how much energy was released. Seismograph/Seismometer Earthquake recording instrument, seismograph has a base that sets firmly in the ground, and a heavy weight that hangs free2. When an earthquake causes the ground to shake, the base of the seismograph shakes too, but the hanging weight does not. Instead the spring or string that it is hanging from absorbs all the movement. The difference in position between the shaking part of the seismograph and the motionless part is Seismograph what is recorded. Measuring Size of Earthquakes The size of an earthquake depends on the size of the fault and the amount of slip on the fault, but that’s not something scientists can simply measure with a measuring tape since faults are many kilometers deep beneath the earth’s surface. They use the seismogram recordings made on the seismographs at the surface of the earth to determine how large the earthquake was. A short wiggly line that doesn’t wiggle very much means a small earthquake, and a long wiggly line that wiggles a lot means a large earthquake2. The length of the wiggle depends on the size of the fault, and the size of the wiggle depends on the amount of slip. -
Energy and Magnitude: a Historical Perspective
Pure Appl. Geophys. 176 (2019), 3815–3849 Ó 2018 Springer Nature Switzerland AG https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-018-1994-7 Pure and Applied Geophysics Energy and Magnitude: A Historical Perspective 1 EMILE A. OKAL Abstract—We present a detailed historical review of early referred to as ‘‘Gutenberg [and Richter]’s energy– attempts to quantify seismic sources through a measure of the magnitude relation’’ features a slope of 1.5 which is energy radiated into seismic waves, in connection with the parallel development of the concept of magnitude. In particular, we explore not predicted a priori by simple physical arguments. the derivation of the widely quoted ‘‘Gutenberg–Richter energy– We will use Gutenberg and Richter’s (1956a) nota- magnitude relationship’’ tion, Q [their Eq. (16) p. 133], for the slope of log10 E versus magnitude [1.5 in (1)]. log10 E ¼ 1:5Ms þ 11:8 ð1Þ We are motivated by the fact that Eq. (1)istobe (E in ergs), and especially the origin of the value 1.5 for the slope. found nowhere in this exact form in any of the tra- By examining all of the relevant papers by Gutenberg and Richter, we note that estimates of this slope kept decreasing for more than ditional references in its support, which incidentally 20 years before Gutenberg’s sudden death, and that the value 1.5 were most probably copied from one referring pub- was obtained through the complex computation of an estimate of lication to the next. They consist of Gutenberg and the energy flux above the hypocenter, based on a number of assumptions and models lacking robustness in the context of Richter (1954)(Seismicity of the Earth), Gutenberg modern seismological theory. -
Characteristics of Foreshocks and Short Term Deformation in the Source Area of Major Earthquakes
Characteristics of Foreshocks and Short Term Deformation in the Source Area of Major Earthquakes Peter Molnar Massachusetts Institute of Technology 77 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139 USGS CONTRACT NO. 14-08-0001-17759 Supported by the EARTHQUAKE HAZARDS REDUCTION PROGRAM OPEN-FILE NO.81-287 U.S. Geological Survey OPEN FILE REPORT This report was prepared under contract to the U.S. Geological Survey and has not been reviewed for conformity with USGS editorial standards and stratigraphic nomenclature. Opinions and conclusions expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of the USGS. Any use of trade names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the USGS. Appendix A A Study of the Haicheng Foreshock Sequence By Lucile Jones, Wang Biquan and Xu Shaoxie (English Translation of a Paper Published in Di Zhen Xue Bao (Journal of Seismology), 1980.) Abstract We have examined the locations and radiation patterns of the foreshocks to the 4 February 1978 Haicheng earthquake. Using four stations, the foreshocks were located relative to a master event. They occurred very close together, no more than 6 kilo meters apart. Nevertheless, there appear to have been too clusters of foreshock activity. The majority of events seem to have occurred in a cluster to the east of the master event along a NNE-SSW trend. Moreover, all eight foreshocks that we could locate and with a magnitude greater than 3.0 occurred in this group. The're also "appears to be a second cluster of foresfiocks located to the northwest of the first. Thus it seems possible that the majority of foreshocks did not occur on the rupture plane of the mainshock, which trends WNW, but on another plane nearly perpendicualr to the mainshock. -
Chapter 2 the Evolution of Seismic Monitoring Systems at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory
Characteristics of Hawaiian Volcanoes Editors: Michael P. Poland, Taeko Jane Takahashi, and Claire M. Landowski U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1801, 2014 Chapter 2 The Evolution of Seismic Monitoring Systems at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory By Paul G. Okubo1, Jennifer S. Nakata1, and Robert Y. Koyanagi1 Abstract the Island of Hawai‘i. Over the past century, thousands of sci- entific reports and articles have been published in connection In the century since the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory with Hawaiian volcanism, and an extensive bibliography has (HVO) put its first seismographs into operation at the edge of accumulated, including numerous discussions of the history of Kīlauea Volcano’s summit caldera, seismic monitoring at HVO HVO and its seismic monitoring operations, as well as research (now administered by the U.S. Geological Survey [USGS]) has results. From among these references, we point to Klein and evolved considerably. The HVO seismic network extends across Koyanagi (1980), Apple (1987), Eaton (1996), and Klein and the entire Island of Hawai‘i and is complemented by stations Wright (2000) for details of the early growth of HVO’s seismic installed and operated by monitoring partners in both the USGS network. In particular, the work of Klein and Wright stands and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The out because their compilation uses newspaper accounts and seismic data stream that is available to HVO for its monitoring other reports of the effects of historical earthquakes to extend of volcanic and seismic activity in Hawai‘i, therefore, is built Hawai‘i’s detailed seismic history to nearly a century before from hundreds of data channels from a diverse collection of instrumental monitoring began at HVO.