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Saldanha Bay Municipality 2017

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Saldanha Bay Municipality 2017 Saldanha Bay Municipality 2017 SALDANHA BAY: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 1 2. EDUCATION 3 3. HEALTH 7 4. POVERTY 12 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 15 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 19 7. THE ECONOMY 24 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 28 SOURCES 34 Saldanha Bay: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 113 239 35 550 2016 2016 Matric Pass Rate 81.3% Gini Coefficient 0.59 Learner-Teacher Ratio 48.4 Human Development Index 0.73 Gr 12 Drop-out Rate 29.5% 2016 8 77.8% 0.1 6.9% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 1.5% -26.7% 21.7% 6.1% -17.2 Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 99.5% 86.5% 86.5% 85.8% 74.8% 2016 2016 Drought 14 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (Grant dependency) 20 17.0% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Agriculture, forestry and Wholesale and retail trade, Finance, insurance, real estate fishing catering and accommodation and business services 31.0% 17.8% 10.8% Community Survey, 2016 1 DEMOGRAPHICS This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in Saldanha Bay itself. A demographic perspective on a municipality allows to observe not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other various developments that influence the social life of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise aspects of society like, e.g. gender, race, migration or life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect in almost every case at least one aspect of Demographics. Therefore, a good understanding of this area is crucial for the government’s work. The overview of key demographic factors given in this chapter comprises of the estimates of population size, the distribution of population within age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance for understanding economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short, but informative overview, the SEP tries to help the municipalities in their budgeting process by delivering precise data as a solid foundation for future decisions. 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Saldanha Bay Municipality POPULATION 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 Bergrivier Cederberg Matzikama Saldanha Bay Swartland 2018 68 751 53 917 72 564 113 239 124 969 2019 69 688 54 462 73 316 115 125 126 448 2020 70 597 54 998 74 046 116 972 127 884 2021 71 502 55 519 74 769 118 776 129 279 2022 72 379 56 029 75 478 120 541 130 629 2023 73 232 56 518 76 174 122 264 131 940 As the chart above shows, the total population of Saldanha Bay is estimated to grow every year (albeit marginally) from 2018 until 2023. In the year 2018 this Municipality will have an estimated population of 113 239, after five years this population is estimated to be 122 264. This equates to an estimated growth rate of 8 per cent for the said period. The estimated population growth rate of Saldanha Bay is therefore 1.8 per cent higher than the estimated population growth of the West Coast which is 6.2 per cent. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 – 14 Years 15 – 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 25 090 68 905 5 198 44.0 2018 28 596 77 137 7 505 46.8 2023 29 598 83 251 9 416 46.9 Above table depicts the population composition regarding age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age population; Age 65+: seniors. The confrontation of the basis year of 2011 and the estimated numbers for 2023 show a growth in the percentage of seniors, a decline in the percentage of children despite a growth in total numbers, and a steady percentage in the working age population. This last fact is an important factor in the calculation of the dependency ratio. In Saldanha Bay, this ratio was 44.0 in 2011 and will only slightly increase to an estimated 46.9 in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (age 15 - 65) and those, who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means a higher pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Saldanha Bay Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Saldanha Bay Municipality LEARNER ENROLMENT 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Bergrivier Matzikama Swartland Saldanha Bay Cederberg 2014 7 981 9 913 16 613 15 530 7 464 2015 8 126 10 004 16 933 16 300 7 546 2016 8 212 10 247 17 356 16 886 7 647 Learner enrolment in Saldanha Bay increased at an annual average growth rate of 8.7 per cent between 2014 and 2016, which is an indication that access to education has improved within the Saldanha Bay municipal area. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO The learner–teacher ratio in Saldanha Bay increased notably from 30.7 in 2014 to 47.66 in 2015 and up to 48.38 in 2016, which could in future affect learner performance within the Saldanha Bay municipal area. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio is the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. GRADE 12 DROP-OUT RATES A total of 29.5 per cent of students that enrolled in Grade 10 in 2014 dropped out of school by the time they reached Grade 12 in 2016. Although this number is alarmingly high, it is a slight improvement from the 2015 drop-out rate of 32.2 per cent. These high levels of drop-outs are influenced by a wide array of economic factors including unemployment, poverty, indigent households, high levels of households with no income or rely on less than R515 a month and teenage pregnancies. 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Saldanha Bay Municipality EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, FET colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could affect academic outcomes positively. 25 20 15 10 5 0 Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 9 22 2015 10 22 2016 10 23 Saldanha Bay had 23 schools in 2016. Given the tough economic climate, schools have been reporting an increase in parents being unable to pay their school fees. However, the proportion of no-fee schools deteriorated from 54.60 per cent in 2014 to 52.17 per cent in 2016, This could in future further increase the drop-out rate. The number of schools equipped with libraries remain unchanged at 10 for the period 2015 to 2016, this potentially could in future affect the matric pass rate within the Saldanha Bay municipal area. 100,0% 90,0% 80,0% 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% Proportion of no-fee schools 2014 54,6% 2015 54,6% 2016 52,2% This chart displays the proportion of no-fee schools within Saldanha Bay municipal area. The proportion of no-fee schools within Saldanha Bay municipal area remained unchanged at 54.6 per cent between 2014 and 2015. However, in 2016 the proportion declined to 52.2 per cent. This decline could result in the exclusion of vulnerable groups to access of education. 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Saldanha Bay Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state is involved in the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the broader market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economy and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section measures the matric pass rate within the Saldanha Bay municipal area. 100,00% 90,00% 80,00% 70,00% 60,00% 50,00% 40,00% 30,00% 20,00% 10,00% 0,00% Bergrivier Matzikama Swartland Saldanha Bay Cederberg 2014 84,10% 93,70% 88,30% 87,90% 88,20% 2015 91,90% 93,80% 86,50% 87,90% 89,00% 2016 92,60% 91,10% 89,40% 81,30% 89,50% Saldanha Bay matric pass rate remained steady at 87.9 per cent between 2014 and 2015. However, the matric pass deteriorated slightly to 81.3 per cent in 2016, which could affect access for learners to higher education to broaden their economic opportunities/disposable incomes. 6 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Saldanha Bay Municipality 3 HEALTH Health is another major factor contributing to the general quality of life in Saldanha Bay. It is therefore for the Municipality important to monitor the public health facilities as well as a variety of factors such as diseases like HIV or TB and general topics that affect the community, like maternal health. This Socio-economic Profile provides the basic statistics concerning those issues. Since this profile focusses on the public health facilities, private facilities do not appear in it. 7 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Saldanha Bay Municipality HEALTHCARE FACILITIES All citizens’ right to access to healthcare services are directly affected by the number and spread of facilities within their geographical reach.
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