THE PLANETARIAN Journal of the International Planetarium Society Vol. 20, No .. 2, June 1991
Articles
09 Review of Astrology With Recommendations ...... Jeanne Bishop 19 Hooked on Horoscopes ...... Adrian Furnham 24 Moons of the Solar System ...... Lee T. Shapiro 26 Eclipses and Transits in the Solar System ...... Stephen A. Cooperman 29 Should Planetariums Continue to Exist? ...... Philip Groce
Features
32 Mobile News Network ...... Sue Reynolds 34 Planetechnica: Corrosion Factor ...... Richard McColman 36 Computer Corner ...... Charles J. Hemann 41 Forum: Knott's Focal Point ...... Lonny Baker 49 Secretary's Notepad ...... Katherine Becker 50 Book Reviews ...... Laura L. Kyro 55 Opening the Dome: Telescope Loan Program ...... Jon U. Bell 59 Script Section: Vision Translated into Words ...... Alan Davenport 63 President's Message ...... John Pogue 65 Regional Roundup ...... Steven Mitch 68 Gibbous Gazette ...... Donna Pierce 69 What's New ...... Jim Manning 74 Jane's Corner ...... Jane G. Hastings Lucerne Switzerland london Great Britain Mannheim W. Germany los Angeles. CA USA Owingeloo Netherlands Guayaquil Ecuador ZEI~~ ForI lauderdale, Fl USA Hamburg W. Germany Carl Zeiss, building planetariums for 60 years-
Hong Kong Pittsburgh. PA USA Johannesburg Sooth Africa Riyadh Saudi Arabia Kassel W. Germany Rochester, NY USA Germany Kuching Malaysia Rosario Argentina laupheim W. Germany Sao Paulo Brazil Dedicated to displaying the stars with the reality of a clear dark night in the wilderness. Esteemed by professionals and the public the world over.
Caracas Venezuela Bochum W. Germany Bangkok Thailand Caslell6n Spain Boston, MA USA Baton Rouge. LA USA Champaign . IL USA Boulder, CO USA Berlin W. Germany Chapel Hilt, NC USA Buenos Aires Argentina Pamplona Spain Athens Greece Santiago Chile Amsterdam Netherlands Atlanta, GA USA Stuttgart w. Germany Augsburg W. Germany Imagine how many people we bring nearer to the stars every day!
Munster W. Germany Morelia Mex ico Washington, DC USA Nagoya Japan Munich W. Germany Winnipeg Canada New York, NY USA Montreal Canada Yonkers, NY USA Mexico City Mexico Osaka Japan Nurnberg W. Germany Milan Italy Philadelphia, PA USA Chicago. IL USA Copenhagen Denmark Vienna Austria Planetarium Dept. Planetarium Dept. Tokyo Japan Carl Zeiss, Inc. Carl Zeiss Ta ipei Taiwan One Zeiss Drive D-7082 Oberkochen Thornwood. NY 10594 USA Germany (91 4) 747-1800 The Planetarian (lSN 0090-3213) is quarterly Society. ©1991, International Planetarium Society, Inc., expressed by authors are personal opinions and are not nec:essiarily International Planetarium Society, its officers, or No.2 announcements, or other material does not imply enClOn;em.ent 1991 tarium Society, its officers, or agents. The Editor welcomes items consideration lication. The Editor reserves the right to edit any solicited or unsolicited U' .....HU.." .... AA+' ..J this publication's needs.
TREASURER and MEMBERSHIP CHAIRMAN Keith Johnson John Mosley Fleischmann Planetarium University of Nevada "-' ...... JL ...... A .. Observatory 2800 E. Observatory Rd. Reno, Nevada 89557-0010 702-784-4812 Los Angeles, Calif. 90027 213-664-1181 office phone 213-663-4323 office fax CompuServe 74156,473 ADVERTISING COORDINATOR Suzanne Gurton 122 Hoyt Street #4A Associate Editors Stamford, Connecticut 06905 Lonny Baker Forum MEMBERSHIP CATEGORIES John U. Bell Individual Membership: Opening the Dome U.S. (3rd class bulk $39/1 year; Chris Centi Other North America class): $5 I-''U',> ...... I'~'- Sllp]:,lerneIlt Focus on Education Overseas Atlantic Ost class): $5 postage SUt,pl~em~ent Overseas Pacific Ost class): $8 postage SUi)pllement Alan Davenport Institutional Membership: Script Section $150 first year; $50 annual renewal Library Subscriptions: Andrew Fraknoi $24 with same postal supplement as above Universe at Fingertips Jane G. Hastings Jane's Corner I. P. S. INFORMATION SERVICE
Charles J. Hemann Computer Corner Director :::,trasent)'ur2~n Planetarium Laura Kyro P.O. Box 1480 Book Reviews """..,h,,..,.cf-,,,,.. New York 14603 Richard McColman Planetechnica BACK ISSUES OF THE PIANETARIAN Jim Manning Beginning with Vol. 14, No.4, individual What's New All previous issues are $1.00 Steve Mitch Charlene Dukes, IPS Back P .. ~... h".."f-H"'''''''' "''"'-I,/VJA~VA Regional Roundup Planetarium P.O. Box 1480 Georgia N eft Rochester, New York 14603 Kodalith Corner Donna Pierce Gibbous Gazette The Planetarian is designed at the Griffith Sue Reynolds Printing by Victory Printing and Graphics, Van Nuys, Mobile News Network President Treasurer & Membership Chairman John Pogue Keith Johnson 1410 Paris Drive Fleischmann Planetarium Grand Prairie, Texas 75050 University of Nevada 214-264-4731 Reno, Nevada 89557-0010 702-784-4812 Presiden i-Elect Gerald L. Mallon, Ed.D. 1992 Conference Chairman 204 Haws Avenue Von Del Chamberlain Norristown, Pennsylvania 19401 Hansen Planetarium 215-277-8767 home & fax 15 South State Street 1300 S. Lake Shore Drive
215-631-9403 office Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 USA 'l..AU",-QhV, Illinois 60605 USA 801-538-2104 Past-President Terence Murtagh 1994 Conference Chairman IPS Pennanent /\/1111111/1"(1" Address: 500 Chesham House Michael Hutton 150 Regent Street B.CC Planetarium London W1 R2, England Brevard Community College U.~'lU"'U'Jl";'U Planetarium 1519 Oearlake Road Hansen Planetarium Executive Secretary Cocoa, Florida 32926 USA Katherine Becker 15 South State Street 5103 Burt Street Historian/Photo-Archivist Salt Lake Utah 84111 Omaha, Nebraska 68132 John Hare 402-556-0082 Bishop Planetarium 402-280-2140 fax 201 10th Street West Bradenton, Florida 33505 USA 813-746-4132
I .. AFFILIATE
Association of French-Speaking Planetar- Great Plains Planetarium Association Planetarium Association of iums (APLF) (GPPA) Ian ...... '-'~"'F.'"'A Agnes Acker Terry Walker Planetarium Strasbourg Tiel Sanford Museum Universite Louis Pasteur 117 E. Willow Street Toronto, Ontario M5S 2C6 Canada Rue de L'Observatoire Cherokee, Iowa 52402 USA 416-586-5736 6700 Strasbourg, France 712-225-3922 88361251 Italian Planetaria's Friends Association Association of Mexican Planetariums (AADP) (AMPAC) Loris Ram poni Ignacio Castro Pinal c/o Civici Musei de Scienze Museo Technologico CF.E. Via Ozanam4 Apartado Postal 18-816 25128 Brescia, Italy Colorado 80840 CP 11870 Mexico City, D.F. Mexico 277-5779 Middle Atlantic Planetarium Society (MAPS) Southeastern Planetarium As:soclatlon British Association of Planetariums (BAP) ThomasStec (SEPA) Undine Concannon Central Bucks East High School Robert Tate London Planetarium Holicong and Anderson Roads Marlybone Road Buckingham, Pennsylvania 18912 USA London, England 215-794-7481 United Kingdom NW15LR Nordic Planetarium Association (NPA) EuropeaniMediterranean Planetarium Lars Broman Southwestern Association Association (EMPA) Broman Planetarium (SWAP) Dennis Simopoulos Fjaderharvsg 87 Donna Pierce Eugenides Planetarium 5-42466 Goteborg-Angered, Sweden r-n(Trl".nn Park Ind. School District Syngrou Avenue-Amfithea +46-3130 2825 (fax) Athens, Greece +46-2310 177 (home phone & fax) Dallas, Texas 75205 USA 94-111-81 214-526-4800 Pacific Planetarium Association (PPA) Great Lakes Planetarium Association Lonny Baker (GLPA) Morrison Planetarium, Calif. Acad. Sciences Gary E. Tomlinson Golden Gate Park 54 Jefferson, S.E. San Francisco, California 94118 USA Grand Rapids, Michigan 49503 415-750-7325 616-456-3985 4 is entitled to at least a few aber- have them. For
on same time. from in the newspapers little was known about the Soviet space effort. We not know which the Russians had up their where their sites were and what their hardware looked like. to me. So I tried to find out. I col bit of information. I went to Mos in the Soviet Union about 45 times to Soviet scientists and cosmonauts. them to tell me the truth. That was
I wrote Russen in de two years later Lutterworth of London as Soviets contained the first more or less '-'\.-'Ulll\.-U. Soyuz the ton booster. It was cosmonaut Alexei Leonov when he sketched "Eta Voskhod Smoldersa" (That's Smolders' Voskhod). Until that Phone moment space artist Leonov was not permitted to draw fax 31-20-6253814 Alternative u ...... "", ... ".""... Notes
In his remarkable IlncR-nY'''T and forward view of plametar:iul1tl, Alan Friedman noted three tec:hnolc~g1E~S that were unforeseen 25 LASE- he meant He went on to that two tecnn01c~gu:!S ...... "" ...' .. u ...... ,",4.".'''' ..... " ...... in most of the he was kinder to laser shows Alan has midwifed a re~,ponse
some cotlalJ'lt in set)ar,ate plzmetariurn show. screens, if film format IMAX or or what- carry the un(:oI1cScic)us
Inthese institutions it does seem that the and win at some level have leamE~a ""'''' ...... '... i-h·' ...... tarium has become to its younger and what they have or lost better nurtured sibling. surprising about themselves within However, most if not all OMNIMAX theaters were beauty of that and what born as such; and born with them was a planetarium, in And that's ...... '''' .. ""h a kind of twinship, if you will. True, OMNI gram to for them. MAX is the "star" (instead of the stars), but it is almost invariably preceded by an equally long planetarium show. Even if patrons come for the advertised OMNI MAX film, they will have the additional experience of what is often a very fine star show-admittedly with poorer stars, but often with powerful visual effects if the star projector is a DIGIST AR. (After seeing the DIG 1- STAR User's demonstration with music at the ...... ,."·U£l.rt to that the Universe Thea- I F dome don't argue that science offers the best chl:ln(:e
New Associate
McColman to the Planetarian. For years Richard has clever and useful articles in the column "Small which appears in Southern Skies, In this Issue the newsletter of the Southeast Planetarium Associa tion. He has agreed to make these articles available to Astrology has been around for far too us, and the first is printed in this issue. He never seems to that it will soon, so we'll to be at a loss for ideas, so I expect that we can look for with Rather than and ward to seeing his column, retitled "Planetechnica," for many years.
Kuwait Planetarium
One of the casualties of the war in Kuwait was the new planetarium at the national museum. According to a tank fired three while troops ::;paC€~Irulst(~r instru
...... "_A'I.,.;AU, astronomical were likewise
uA ....laUJlC cultural arti-
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In the United States and Canada there is widespread books often are filed under the neoamng belief in astrology. The situation is similar in Europe, While although I focus on the U.S. and Canada because I can obtain literature for these countries more easily. Most, although not perceive astrology as a problem in some sense--at best a nuisance and at worst a threat. In this brief review of astrology I have consoli dated information that I hope colleagues will find use ence. The most , ...... ,n.r\ •• t-"' .."t- ful. predictive power as the
There are two basic types of astrology. The first can they are true to the ideals of ':>'-H_J. ''-'-I be called "popular" or "sun-sign" astrology, while the such as blind second astrologers themselves refer to as .IIserious" astrol do not influence ogy. "Serious" refers to use of In tliis Erie! review science embodies other factors than the sun sign ture of Sk(~Ptlcl:sm in preparation of a horo have of scope.1 Most scientists and that I Fiope many planetarians view sun sign astrology as the only usefuL type, while in fact many astrologers also decry exclu- sive use of the sun sign. Also, it is not generally realized by scientists and planetarians that perhaps fifty Del"Ce11t of all astrologers are what believe to be valid, and that are not purposely deceiving people to make rnr\n.o,,,y Unlike unin terrupted and where astrology seems to take still other those found in West- in Western countries has been in century. In 1900, astrology was a mere historical curiosity. By the 1920's it was enjoying a noticeable surge. And in the last fifty years, it has eXIJanlOea and extended into business and A 1975 U.S. Gallup found that 22% of "believe in astrology," with one of every two believers a woman.3 Eleven later another Gallup poll found that 55% of U.S. teenagers, ages 13-18, "believe that astrology works."4 In 1987, psychologist Geoffrey Dean noted that roughly 1 person in 10,000 in Western coun tries practices serious astrology. Dean also found that since 1960, the number of new titles of serious ~,a-rn.lr\O'tT Dr. Jeanne E. books has doubled each decade.s Librarians and Consumer sellers say that frequently they are asked for books former of the about astrology, both sun-sign and serious, while ence textbook and of almost never are they asked for material opposing cation and communication.
'>"' ..... A!r\nr"" and other pSI~u(1m)cH~n(~es. 1-1111~ .. n,"'" popularity of astrology.l1 The quantity of literature is growing, although it remains small compared to the immense of pro-astrology material. The best anti astrological bibliographies can be found in the Skeptical Inquirer and a few good books on the subject. Some ignore one members of the International Planetarium Society have Ophiuchus.)14 prepared their own bibliographies. The Astronomical Anti-astrology literature strikes UI::.(AU <;:H Society of the Pacific, led by Andrew Fraknoi, has been four levels: a leader in preparing literature that opposes astrology. 1) ....,.k ... 7,"',., .... 1
In 1983, the ASP published a Packet Debunking Astrol 2) LJ> "L!(~~.G .... k"., .... ogy; and the Fall, 1988, issue of The Universe in the Class 3) StarlStl(~al room (which is supported in part by the IPS) featured
/I A Focus on Astro!ogy.,,12,lj' Current IPS Planetarian
Preface dence that several reviewers are correct in Last July I shared this report with IPS Council that we concentrate efforts on members and others at the Biennial Conference in and students learn how to BorHinge, Sweden. I invited responses from a num ber of people, including ten in non-North American countries. Those contributions I received are printed following the main article. I wish that there also were some responses from countries other than the United States and Canada. You will notice diversity in the way that plane tar ians regard the astrology issue. Anticipating this diversity, I wrote the article and recommendations alone, with some guidance from the written materi ways science is an Ide:olc~2V als and advice of those whose names follow the Bib history of the OP'Vpll:10rTIP11t liography. I appreciate both this guidance and the Further, I recommend
many thoughtful written responses. (1) a of Scientific ... "...... ,:>IJU'u""-_" Although I chair the Consumer Affairs/ to Committee, this presentation should not to be an IPS "statement." Because sU£:£:lestlOI1S for changes in the report repre philosophies, I decided not to my original except for minimal edit-
may feel that my Recommendation 2 is inci dental compared with the other eight. However, "Christmas-Star" programs are given at many plane- and our professional image is highly influ- enced by these An unfortunate castiga- tion of in the December, 1990, issue of Discover Scrooge," pp. 78- which was even featured on the journal cover. Thus I consider it quite important that planetarians sure." be careful not to espouse the idea that "God
article
marked rise a cussion," with planetariums and observatories find ions about what to include ing it very difficult to oppose. I consider this evi- send them to me. Thank you.
10 The Planetanan, Vol. 1991 ing astrology. Astronomer Gary Mechler observes that person accepts and maintains a belief in astrology. the physical objections, such as those involving gravity, Why do people get hooked on astrology? P"'''7,..,~,,",I/'''_. are those that astronomers are most likely to present but gists Glick and Snyder have conducted are the most difficult for many laypersons to under shows people are most likely to seek out information stand.1S An excellent summary of arguments against that confirms hypotheses, even though the individuals astrology utilizing the first three of the above categories have no stake in seeing the predictions succeed or fail. can be found in Andrew Fraknoi's uYour Astrology Believers and skeptics both use a confirming Defense Kit," in the August, 1989, issue of Sky and Tele when they ~uestioned subjects about the a scope.1 6 horoscope.2 Tyson, still another psychological research er, found that the factors of generality, perceived physicaf o6jections, such as ficity, and favorable personality symptoms were factors in acceptance of astrology.2S tliose invo{ving gravity, are those And psychologist Hyman found that the best "rec ipe" for creating an acceptable stock analysis by a pseu that astronomers are most {ikf,[y to dopsychologist is one that contains about 75% spe'CHlC, present but are the most difficu{t desirable items and 25% general, undesirable items. The undesirable descriptions have the apparent effect of for many faypersons to under- making the analysis credible.26 Dean found that in cases stand. where these factors were removed, the process of tive dissonance was active. (Cognitive dissonance is Arguments which focus on sun-sign astrology, need to justify decisions and reduce conflict between including statistical studies, are waved away brusquely action and thought.)27 by the serious astrologers. As Dean observes, " ... these arguments are all too popular and tend to recur like old . .. the 6est ((recipe II for creating jokes.,,17 Say psychologists Eysenck and Nias, "Much that passes for scientific criticism in the books and arti accepta6{e stocf( ana{ysis 6y a cles we have read is in fact little better than defamation pseudopsycliofogist is one that and prejudice.fl18 Another psychological researcher,
Truzzi, adds, IiAttacking simple. sun-sign astrology is tains a60ut 75% specific, desira6{e largely a waste of time."19 Serious astrologers in the 25% genera~ 0 United States have formed a Media Watch Project items and undesira which opposes criticism of astrology that recognizes 6{e items. only the sun sign.20 Dean has summarized ways in which astrologers can Much tliat passes for scientific convince people that astrology works. He notes that when clients of astrologers are satisfied and believe that criticism in the 6oo/(J and artic{es astrology is true, the astrologers themselves we have read is in fact {itt{e 6etter even more sure about the validity of astrology. "In this way a vicious circle of reinforcement is than defamation and prejUdice. whereby astrologers and their clients are that astrology works.,,28 Dean's "Twenty Ways to Con Studies that should be cited as evidence against vince Clients that Astrology Works" is reprinted on the astrology are those which involve a number of factors in following page. addition to the sun sign. Then the serious astrologers I have observed still another factor, which falls cannot flaunt the argument that the studies do not under the heading of Dean's "Packaging," that invites apply. The studies of Dean and Niehenke, which did belief in astrology. I learned to prepare a horoscope incorporate many astrological aspects, are the type that under the direction of an astrologer. I thought I should should be cited. These researchers found that correct know the process if I were to adequately analyze it and predictions occurred no more often than if by refute it, a course of action recommended by chance.2l )2 Such results are damning evidence against Abell and other opposers. I observed that the over astrology. The Gauquelin studies often are given as evi whelming number of details can be awe-inspiring to a dence against the workability of astrology. 23 However, nonskeptic. Just as a good story-teller obtains credibility the Gauquelins' later work has produced some signifi by including many details, so does the serious astrolo cant correlations, as Tom Clarke indicates in his ger. It is the nature of some people to focus attention on response below. the richness of detail without looking at the larger ques I have concluded that the psychological factors are tion of the truth of the entire procedure. This might be extremely influential in determining whether or not a called "the detail effect."
The Planetarian, Vol. 20, No.2, June 1991 11 A large number of astrologers follow what they call "humanistic astrology." This type of astrology is not well understood by most scientists and planetarium professionals. The humanistic astrology effort has been led by composer-poet-painter-astrologer Dane Rudhyar. Rudhyar has written many serious astrology books, and view. In contrast, a SkE:~DtlC his writing incorporates Jungian psychology and East therefore does not feel a need to cornrni t ern mysticism. In review, psychologists Kelly and Krut unverified Dean out that zen conclude, "Rudhyars style of writing is abstract, offers IIan organizing device frequently obscure, and long-winded ... Rudhyar him ageable smorgasbord of human .0"\/''"'\.01''10''''-'0 ,,35 self states that the very nature of his astrology denies any objective evaluation ... the answer he gives is that the issue is not whether the indication is correct but whether the individual sees it as valid.,,29 This type of astrology cannot be confronted with statistics or logic. Counseling is more important than prediction in this Why should astronomers and Dl(:mE~taliuJm form.30 sionals spend time the If the humanistic/ counseling astrologers were only a practice of astrology? small group, their activities would not be such a nui and serious ...... ro.""''''' ... " sance. However, Dean concludes that for every Western astrologers? I see the astrologer who concentrates on prediction, probably 1) Astrology interferes a correct DerCE~Dtlion there are another two who emphasize counseling.31 astronomy and other sciences. In order to Nancy Reagan, in con- sulting astrologer Joan Quigley, admitted to Dean's Twenty Ways to using counseling and friendship for herself as Principle much as for the astrolog ical advice in arranging Cues Cold reading. Let be your the U.s. President's sched ule.32 Disregard for Illusory validity. yes; sound Lester, another psy reality Procrustean effect. client to fit the chart. chologist, concludes that Regression effects. last forever. astrologers often play a Selective memory. the hits. role similar to that of psychotherapists. When Faith Predisposition. Preach to the converted clients receive empathy, Placebo effect. It does us if we think compliments, and advice on coping with life activ Generality Barnum effect. ities, they are induced to believe in the process Situation d.epelt1d.(~n(:e and return for more.33 Glick and Snyder Gratification Client misfortune The power of Closeness is its own reward. found that in the ways Rapport. that people respond to Invention Non-falsifiability. in numbers. astrology, there seem to be two groups of peo Packaging Dr. Fox effect. ple--those who are Psychosocial effects. prone to believe, and Social desirability. skeptics. A typical astrol ogy believer seems to Self-fulfilling Hindsight bias. Once seen, the fit seems have an underlying need prophecies Projection effects. Find none exists. for world events to be Self-attribution. birth predictable. She cannot tolerate conflicting infor Self-justifica tion Charging a fee. The best in life are not mation easily. Astrology Cognitive dissonance. Reduce C011thct--sE~e what you is a ttracti ve to her believe.
12 the value of a science program, need to have a successful in ... "" ..... 71 .... ,.. ••" .... basic understanding of science. hood. Logistical 2) Decisions based on astrology can affect whole adopted are a) the cOlnpletilon nations, since, politicians and businesspersons some and after a program, an Inc:orlSplCtlOtlS l(len.t1tlca- times consult astrologers. (The Reagans in the U.S. and tion number somewhere on the before and after Stanislav Shatalin, current Kremlin Economist in the and b) a reward for pa]~tlClpants U.S.S.R., are two examples.) tickets to another planetarium 3) Psychotherapy by unqualified people can be toward astrology to which ar~;UITlents harmful. Analysis and advice based on astrology may might be targeted is that espoused cause clients to do harm to themselves and others. When asked if he believed in aSlTOJlO2:V Bart Bok was spurred to opposition of astrology pri muddled (here exactly quoted) marily by his conviction that astrology poisons the life by it, but I won't answer the minds of young students, minds that need to be aware because I don't know enough of the truths of science and the scientific method.36,37 something to it or not."41 IPS Past-President Alan Friedman observes, "Some 7) Conduct formal and Int,ornnal science communicators take the popularity of pseudos different arguments cience as a symptom of a more serious problems, an success with different acceptance of soft thinking in general and a lack of men people from different understanding of science specifically. I find these con occupations. cerns compelling.,,38 8) Conduct surveys to determine the So what can planetarium professionals do to con acceptance of astrology in countries where this front astrology? I recommend the following nine yet been Learn the relative ch-t:lI""n-t-l"u:! actions: ferent of astrology in use in different countries. 1) Accept a view that planetariums have an obliga 9) results of and research tion to oppose astrological falsehoods. Some planetari both in The Planetarian such the ums already have written this goal into their institu Skeptical and tional philosophies. in confronting pseudoscience. 2) Do not incorporate into Christmas/holiday pro results beyond grams (or any other presentations) any implication, and strength of even subtle, that God used astrology with "Wisemen" ing astrology will oe(:OIT'l.e or others. (I first saw this recommendation in print by effort of opposition to .... " .... 'U' ...V'$'.. planetarian Mickey Schmidt in 1989.)39 jointed and ineffective. 3) Present science as a method instead of a set of facts. Demonstrate that science tests ideas and compares References predictions with reality. Illustrate that science is a human process in which individuals play crucial roles. 1 "Does Show that curiosity, hunches, and serendipity lead to A Look at the Real discoveries and new questions. (Alan Friedman has also Winter 1986-87, 169. identified this need.40) 2 uDoes 4) Demonstrate in practical and non-mathematical The Answer is ways that there are relationships and patterns in sci 1987 ence. Show how the laws of science give order, meaning 3 The '-' ...... , October 1975. and manageability to the world. When science is pre 6B. sented in this way, it may attract more people. People 4 " Astronomical who are searching for meaning and order and who are ety of the repelled by mathematical terminology and technology 5 Dean, "Does may become comfortable with science and even advo A Look at the Real 6 Corwin, T. and cates for it. from Chaos to Consciousness, Harcourt Brace .nTY"'1n"'_ 5) Be aware if the futility of trying to change astrolo vich, N. Y., 1989, 5-9 gers' minds and the minds of those who are enmeshed 7 MacMahan, Scientific " The Plan- totally in astrological belief. These people do not "hear" etanan, 1987, pp. 18-25. arguments. One just wastes time unless discussion with 8 Culver, and lanna, P.A. As,trC)1012:v: these people has an audience of people only mildly False?, A scientific Evaluation, N. attracted to or committed to astrology. Y.,1988. 6) Use the planetarium situation as an opportunity to 9 Ibid., P xi. conduct informal and formal research to learn which 10 Bok, B., II A arguments and techniques in programs and classes are the Great Lakes Planetarium .c... .:>'':OV'_AUIL.. VJll, 38 11 P~l·~C''''l'''l,..,rCl and Science Science to the 13 "Horoscopes Versus 195. ogy," The Universe in the Classroom, 1988. 14 Mosley, J., "Born Under Ophiuchus and Ignored by the Horoscopes: A Modem Dilemma," Griffith Obseroer, July, 1988, p 15-18. 15 Mechler, G., Unpublished manuscript sent to the
1 author, September, 1986. Planetarium and .... "'.A, ...Ar v.... ·r',.. '...,.u'], ...... Af" communicators 16 Fraknoi, A., "Your Astrology Defense " Sky and written materials and advice assisted rne Telescope, August, 1989 preparation of this review: 17 Dean, G., "Does Astrology Need to be True?" Part I: A Look at the Real Thing," op cit, pp 166-7. Bruce Dietrich Andrew Fraknoi 18 Eysenck, H. J., and Nias, D. K. B., Astrology: Science or Alan Friedman Hunt Superstitio, St. Martin's Press, N.Y., p. 10. Sherm Kanagy Mallon
19 Truzzi, M" /I Astrology: A Review Symposium (Pro Mechler logue)/' Zetetic Scholar, Nos. 3-4, pp 71-73. 1'\1I1.r'1r£J.,;r Schmidt 20 Dean, G., "Does Astrology Need to be True?" Part I: A Look at the Real Thing," op cit, p. 167. 21 Niehenke, P. as reported by G. Dean, Appearing ini tially in liThe Validity of Astrological Aspects: An Empirical Inquiry/' Astrophyschological Problems, Dr. Planetarium 1984 2(3), P 10-15. Southern Maine 22 Dean, "Does Astrology Need to be True?" Part II: su(>en;tltIon, the chief on'''.... '''... ' The Answer is No," op cit, pp 257-8. 23 M., "Zodiac and Personality: An Empiri-
II 1982. cal The Skeptical Inquirer, Spring, nary creatures who mana~;e 24 Glick, P. and Snyder, M., Self-fulfilling Prophecy: ingful, if not The Psychology of Belief in Astrology," The Human regard ":"'ILl., ,,,,y ist, May IJune, 1986, pp 20-25 and 50. and a bold Dhllo~;or)h1,:a 25 G. A., "Why People Perceive Horoscopes as True: A Review," Bulletin of the British Psycho- Society, 1982, No. 186-88. 26 "Cold Reading: to Convince
Strangers that You Know All About 1/ The Skeptical 1977. 27 Dean, Need to be True?" Part II: The Answer is 260. 28 263. 29 and R. "Humanistic Astrol- " The Skeptical Inquirer, 1983, pp
30 Ibid. 31 Dean, "Does Astrology Need to be True?" Part I:
A Look at the Real II op p. 168.
32 Reagan, N., Turn: Memoirs of Nancy Reagan, "~~,~~,,,,,,,,,,.YY classes. Chapter 3, N. 1989. "',.,"1-114, ..... a 33 Lester, D., /I Astrologers and Psychics as Therapists," can wi th the informa bon American Journal of Psychotherapy, No. 36, pp 56-66. draw their "own" conclusion about 34 Glick, P., and Snyder, M., op cit, pp 25,50. learn not to confuse the"science" 35 Dean, "Does Astrology Need to be True?" Part I: ation of the at the time of an A Look at the Real Thing," op cit, p. 172. astrology, the 36 Bok, B., op cit. same sky. 37 Bok, B., "Informing the Public, Young and Old." Ignorance should be Paper presented at the Chicago meeting of the Amer with more ignorance, and not with resort to ican Association for the Advancement of Science, authority. December 29, 1970. [In his book, The Dark 14 presents a thesis that the astrology of Eastern countries invalid or them. If knows has survived because astrology meshes well with cycli discussion which accounts for results cal and other Eastern cultural ideas. In contrast, the out conventional I would like to hear of look of science fits well with Christianity, Judaism, and I absolutely agree that Christmas cultural ideas of Western countries.-J. Bishop] be written carefully to avoid the SUjggE~stllon ogy worked or that God used !-In,":ATt:>..:",:',. John E. Mosley we can't avoid is that those who wrote the Griffith Observatory ries believed just that: That the skies could I have two specific comments. First, Jeanne learned events and that God would use the skies to to prepare a horoscope in order to understand astrology we present the Christmas better. This is laudable, but I wonder if it would not be rial in which astrological more useful to learn to do a "cold reading." The horo explain it in the scope is only a front for the real activity, which is the stories reflect an dispensation of advice, and it makes little real differ sky. I don't think we should ence whether the advisor uses a star chart, crystal ball, never had an "n'\'n.n.,~t-Oll"'''' role tea leaves, or goat intestines. Cold reading and other thought. I suggest the second recorrunE~nClatliOn forms of offering advice is the real key to why astrology changed to: "In Y'I1·t:l>ct:>nhno- Christmas prlDgJrarns, ""V'~"""'""A seems to work and why it has such a following. care should be to ensure that Second, I'd like to suggest a variation on Jeanne's erences are in correct historical second recommendation-that we not appear to con that they cannot be ;nt-.O..... ',.01~orl in the current done astrology in our Christmas shows. She is correct, supporting the value of ast:roJLOEY but it would be equally unfortunate to avoid the issue. ogy." (I like this.-J. JUhH.... JIJ We have a "heaven-sent" opportunity to discuss astrol I hope that in light of reaction to the ogy, and I would argue that we are remiss if we don't astrology statement, IPS would direct any statement take advantage of it. The trick is to explain the appeal its own menlbers and their res:pons1J:nll t that astrology had to primitive people without seeming the proper presentation science. A to endorse it. There are many good ways to handle this; telling people what to believe is not it just requires us to be thoughtful about our presenta received. A statement regarding prlDtesslon,al tions. and responsibilities or planetarians in ogy and other pseudosciences may have more Deltletlt Dr. Thomas R. Clarke the long run. This last comes from one McLaughlin Planetarium, Royal Ontario Museum covered last week that his son's six French In terms of confronting astrologers, the issue of was doing sun-sign as an art and ...... h".... i-,'" Ophiuchus seems to me to be irrelevant. No serious exercise, without a clear statement from the teachE~r astrologer would confuse the astrological signs, which to whether the had are a device to measure position along the ecliptic, with that to .oh1rnl'n~1ro constellations. I think that serious astrologers would of h"" .. .n.cr>r.... """'" simply take such argument as indicative of a lack of ter chance to understand what !lIC1'rnIOO-'tT is. knowledge of real astrology. This is somewhat similar to attacking sun-sign astrology. As you acknowledge later in the article, a belief in astrology is not easily shaken by scientific and statistical arguments. I think that this is so because for the believer, astrology is an internally consistent, self-validating system with a very attractive view of the universe. Michael Gauquelins' early studies showed that tradi tional astrological interpretations were not supported. However, later results showing a correlation between
planetary position and occupation and a so-called one serious debate among 1-/"'''''''-'6''-' "heredity" effect often are quoted by astrologers sup Popper would i"'01"i'!lIl1nn, 015lae-:ree porting the tenants of astrology. I followed carefully the treatment of the status of ast:rollOQV discussions of the Gauquelins' work in The Skeptical weight that treatment of the status Inquirer and in other contemporary publications. I have probably on the that should be yet to find a convincing case against his methodology or tive power as well. an alternative non-astrological explanation of the ium community 1"'\D'l"n~lnc results. I am not a statistician, but my sense is that the positions held by ~11~nIl~I~r--ln.UI Gauquelin results still stand and that those who have ists, or whatever. 2) In our confrontations with "''-'11'''''''''-'_ challenged him have not made their case. Rather, it gers, we must be careful not to treat them as appears that opposers have simply declared them lithic group-not all astrologers have 1991 precession of the equinoxes, for example. 3) If we are to books? Seems like we've on,('A1U"I_ combat astrology using psychology, which psychologi ~~ ~be~ cal theories are we going to favor? For example, see the times in human We need to be writings of Adolf Grunbaum, which show that the sci approach this. An statement that entific status of psychoanalysis has been in serious against could be seen as coll-_c"'..... r'no- question for years. cially if aimed at beliefs. We all ,hc,,.,r, 1',,::,
My dissertation advisor at the University of .LUAJlLV"", freedom of Dr. Stanley P. Wyatt, was one who refused to sign the a religion for some nellDle--i 1975 anti-astrology statement. I asked him why, to tered such which replied that he felt that such approaches to com If my wants to believe bating astrology, although well-intentioned, were akin his problem. if a official is to book-burning. He went on to comment that the truth mine the fate of a based on or falsity of astrology should be decided by evidence another issue. In these latter cases, we have and not by political pressure. Before about 1960, a vote tion to speak our minds. these cases, by geologists might likewise have condemned Alfred I am asked about I the issue Wegener's continental drift theory to the realm of pseu shouldn't "shoot" into to doscience as well. Condemnation of astrology as a guns." We should save whole may backfire on us. Some claims once put under where we know there is the rubric of "astrology" later have been found to be shot strikes between the eyes. accurate. For example, I recall that Galileo opposed lunar causation of tides on the basis that this was an 1. Sneider occult claim. Holt Lawrence Hall
Thank you for the well u ....J .... I'~ .. '" Dr. Walter E. Mitchell, lr. researched statement on aS1TOJlUgy
Planetarium, Ohio State University institutions which teach astrm10Inv ,nnJLUUl "","lrl1"'OCC Ten years or so ago, I undertook the review of a issue of 'lIct...... nlln.nru book by two of our former Ph.D. students, Roger Culver disagreement. and Phil lanna, The Gemini Syndrome. My review of falsehoods. appeared in The Astronomy Quarterly, Vol. 3, No. 11, 1979-80. I think debunkers should be turning their efforts to some of the "Pearls" I report discovered within the pages of The Gemini Syndrome. For example, take the situation of scores in the "Femininity" compo nent of the California Personality Inventory correlating well with whether one is born in the upper or lower half of the zodiac. In the 1988 copy of Culver and lanna's book, Astrol ogy, Fact or Fiction, I find that most things are the same. I regret that the errors of these debunkers are now even more thoroughly engrained in the literature. I see an analogy between the vast effort expended on UFO studies with the more limited studies of astrology. It seems to me to make about as much sense to say that there is a Fundamental UFO Principle as there is to say there is a Fundamental Astrological Principle. While the FAP is that there celestial bodies influence humankind, I suppose that the FUP is that there are aerial phenom ena which are inadequately covered by existing para digms. It seems that the same scientific scrutiny should be applied to each, but there is neither manpower or interest in doing this. Let's admit to this limitation and work on the more important or interesting cases, ping the blanket debunking.
leffrey L. Hunt, Planetarium Waubonsie Valley High School We have to be careful when attacking personal belief systems, whether they are right or wrong in our eyes. How do we debunk astrology? Burn all astrology 16 recommendation number 5.
is a in the sense of 1"DI1 ..... 'I""\"1'"'I and not Those who believe in astrOJl02V seek per and If tea leaves in these
their ODllens. we is to view that an " ..... rII"... L'.-,., .....,rII I that in order to make an nHlpal:I, ters. A belief in we have to what it is of SKE~Dt:lc15,m--a that we to accomplish. Is it really our desire to have proponents of astrology "see the light," down their charts, and recant the power of the planets? instead, do we take a more realistic approach and astrologers to acknowledge that astrology ogy offers and astronomy are two very different, unrelated fields? decisions for After all, how many of us have actually altered the required. belief of a single astrologer by using the logic of sci I have a bit of a with recommendation ence? ber four. While I agree that lithe laws of ..., ..... A'... A ..... '- order and manageability" to the ]onA. Marshall notion that they also the Planetarium, Strongsville High School me a little nervous. I that science
We planetarians are indebted to you for the synthe tern of the world, but that the 1YY'\O."' ...... " .... ,... sis of what is obviously an extensive amount of litera attaches to it is a web ... H-"V'--" ...... "'e'nrl ture on this continuing problem (really more an irritant to most of us, I think) of astrology/astronomy. I believe that the core of the problem is akin to numerous others, primarily a distressing ignorance of what science is and use occasional how it works, You have struck precisely on this point in against astrology your recommendations 3 and 4. Both of these emphati Abell, both of whom were on cally and dearly state what we should use as a founda of the Pacific Board of tion of operations whenever we are called upon to deal seriousness of lithe new recruit", with any pseudoscience. the world Years Pseudoscientists they are, indeed, since the astrolo- gers go such elaborate gyrations and calcula- tions (just out those fancy charts and numbers? .. ooooh! .. , aaaah!) so have the of scien- tific methodology. But are selective in order to avoid embarrassments when full scientific and replication are If and their fans are willing to sub- ...... f'-n.r''''~·'A ...'C' to standard scientific for shining light into some corners. But if "''' ..... n'''t:'ro ... '''
I-nl"·nrt:.hn,CT science ...... r\nDrhr that we can't to waste on those ...."' .. "'r •.,.,,'" c ...... n'n.£'Y'[T is: cited in recommendation #5. We must 19% a scientific of the stars develop personal sets of scientific tools with 46% the claim that stars influence examine things in the universe--even astrology! 1% Andrew Fraknoi 3% Astronomical Society of the Pacific 31% E) To me the greatest harm that is done by astrology is These results reinforce the points raised by Jeanne that readers know not to trust everything on the comics Bishop. page, but educators know that many students believe Astronomy courses with lab sections have an inter horoscopes. Planetarians need to urge the press to use esting chance to discuss astrology. At the University of the disclaimer proposed by the Committee for Scientific Washington and Colgate University many years ago, Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal we had each student in an astronomy lab calculate a liThe following astrological forecasts should be read for nativity horoscope, including signs and houses of the entertainment value only. Such predictions have no reli sun, moon, and planets. Besides the astronomy able basis in scientific fact." Thirty-three newspapers involved, we wanted to make a point about rational currently use some such disclaimer-and all the rest thinking. To the students who came in as believers, we don't. wanted to show the differences between the modern CSICOP leads the opposition to all pseudoscience, universe and the geocentric model which spawned including UFOlogy, ancient astronauts, Velikovsky, and astrology: what are the assumptions on which astrology the Face on Mars, as well as astrology. CSICOP Fellows is based? To the students who came in as skeptics, we and Consultants include several astronomers, and even wanted to show that astrology should not be dismissed a planetarian (Ed Krupp of Griffith.) Dr. Bishop cites by ridicule, but instead should be refuted by a rational several articles from their excellent quarterly, the Skepti approach. cal Inquirer, which should earn a place in planetarians' regular reading. Planetarians could also ally themselves Norman Sperling with their local CSICOP-cooperating group. For exam HEverything in the Universe" ple, I have enjoyed being active in the Bay Area Skep Daily newspaper horoscopes contribute enormously tics. Can your planetarium support your local skeptics to public support for astrology. They hook youth and with a venue for meetings, a postal address, use of others sufficiently educated to read the paper, but insuf office equipment, or occasional speakers? A list of ficiently educated to read them critically. Editors claim groups appears in each issue of the Skeptical Inquirer. 0
18 The Pianetarian, Vol. 20, No.2, June 1991 Hooked on Horosco s We may not be able to persuade people that astrology and graphology are nonsense. But psychology, with the help of a showman, reveals why they are so Adrian Fumham clo New Scientist King's Reach Tower, Stamford Street London SEt 9LS, England
Why do so many people believe in, consult and act means that distraught and overburdened selectors upon the predictions of astrologers and graphologists? turning elsewhere. Many have turned to gralpnlOl()gy Such predictions are Newspapers such not only irreconcilable the Observer, with scientific rational rr'fie morae Of tfie story . .. is tfiat you pendent and the ism and Christian be impress anyone witfi tfie perspicacity Times have all liefs, they have a highly lished
dubious record when it your psycfiorogica{ insigfits providea tfiat portant, .... u .• ~'- ... U.IAL. comes to validly and presumably reliably describing per you confine yourself to statements people in or~~anlsa·n011S sonality accurately, are vague, re{evant for most peop{e, gen such as predicting behaviour financial houses or foretelling the era{{y favoura6{e, but persona{isea just the services of n-.,..""nhn future. Social scientists ogists and tests have considered seri for you. :Fortune te{{ers fiave been for the selection of ously the possibility e~roiting this fact for fiundreds employees. This is de , that horoscopes and spite literally dozens of handwriting analyses years. scientific studies that have some validity, but challenge the of impartial research has failed to find any replicable, sig graphology to assess or describe an individual's charac nificant evidence. Both graphology and astrology are ter. falsifiable, and both have been falsified, yet people from The more plausible reason for the all backgrounds still believe. The question is: why? graphological and astrological interpretations, realoulgs There are two sorts of answer to this question. One and the like is because, paradoxically, they are true. is related to the fact that in our society we often need to and it is an important but, the reason they are true is assess, describe or measure people. Employers, for that they are vague positive generalisations which are example, often need to make judgments about which true of most people and yet are supposedly derived individuals to employ, perhaps having to make a selec cifically for a named individual. tion from a large number of candidates. Bewildered selectors, increasingly under pressure to use "objective" assessment procedures rather than relying on intuition, rr'fie more pfausi6{e reason tum to any means of assessment that they feel gives pop urari ty grapliofogica{ them "insight" into the more and more sophisticated applicants. astrorogica{ interpretations, Some resort to school grades or leisure pursuits ings ana tfie {i/(g, (always the source of greatest lies on an application form), despite evidence that these are poor predictors of ao?(jca{{y, tliey are success in a job. Indeed, there may even be a reverse correlation between good grades in certain A-level sub This is part of a phenomenon that jects and success at work. refer to as the Barnum effect, whereby people will Other employers consult occupational psycholo accept feedback about their personality, no matter how gists whose carefully constructed psychometric tests trivial or general, because they believe it is based on appear to provide objective scientific measures. How personality assessment procedures. The effect is named ever, a combination of distrust of psychology (espe cially in Britain), a growing number of unqualified con sultants setting up in business and the profusion of overenthusiastic claims and poorly designed tests
20, No.2, June 1991 after Phineas T. a showman and circus owner back has to be America who claimed "There's sucker .-v'o."""cI-,.,." and whose formula for success was for to research on the Barnum believe in astrol- ogy and victim to the fal- tised his services as an of take the pers. He received hundreds of recmc'sts and to each letter with an lri<::>r.l-lf"'C> ~".V'.~~'U~'J, "'~~~'~C'1~r'f'PI More than
ness. In
tions, which of near[y eve- rybody, be specifica[[y true of themse[ves.
Psychologists have been investigating the Barnum effect for about 40 years. During this time, they have isolated SOine of the circumstances that determine whether a person will be fooled by bogus feedback, the characteristics of those that are and are not fooled, and the of that people believe and trust in.
~.u ... u.'-...... study took place in the late 1950s Some when Ross an American psychologist, gave 68 ",,,,,,.cAnn,al managers a well-established personality test. instead of it and giving them the results, he handed each a bogus feedback in the form of 13 statements from horoscopes, graphological and so on. He then asked each to read from the lntc.rr",·ai~c>hrvn was based on the year, how accurate the assess- day of it to be more accurate whether each sentence was: told it was on the year and n10nth. about half and half, and many other show that wrong. More statements
'~rnC>'71n ..... I~T accurate faith increases in the ...... ''''f1£'.rh' per cent thought it was rather How well the has good Table on next page). Almost none believed it from others is no measure of to be very wrong. on the extent to which clients nn,,,:nrc.
The response of the personnel managers to the indi V'...,,_'-AAn.. to them. vidual statements also reveals one of the reasons why the Barnum effect occurs. The two statements the man agers considered most accurate were: "You prefer a cer tain amount of change and variety and become dissatis fied when hemmed in by restrictions and limitations"
(91 per cent marked it as IIrather good" or "amazingly accurate") and "While you have some personality weaknesses, you are generally able to compensate for A second crucial component of the Barnum effect is them" (89 per cent). In comparison, the two statements that humans tend to be hungry for ..... VA"IJH.' rated as least accurate were "Your sexual adjustment sceptical of criticism. Feedback must be has presented problems for you" and "Some of your need not be entirely positive, but if it is by and aspirations tend to be pretty unrealistic." General feed- favourable with the occasional mildly com-
Vol. 20, No.2, June 1991 ment (that itself may be seen as a compliment) people This confirms another principle in will believe it. This can easily be demonstrated by using measurement, the "Pollyanna principle", sug Stagner's 13 statements with the opposite, primarily gests that there is a universal human tendency to use or negative, meaning; for example, "You do not pride accept as true positive words or feedback more than yourself as an independent thinker and accept others' negative words and feedback. In one statements without satisfactory truth." Snyder and his colleagues showed that there were five times as many favourable as unfavourable statements in feedback that subjects found highly acceptable. The . .. hutnans tend to be hungry for rarely accepted interpretations, by comparison, con comp[iments but sceptica[ of tained twice as many unfavourable as favourable state ments. criticism. In the light of the Barnum effect, therefore, it is not
How personnel managers rated their "personality analysis"
Iudgment as to accurac~ of item {l2er cent choosing} Stagner's 13 Statements Amazingly Rather About More Almost accurate good half & wrong than entirely half right wrong You have a great need for other people to like and admire you 39 46 13 1 1
You have a tendency to be critical of yourself 46 36 15 3 0
You have a great deal of unused capacity which you have not turned to your advantage 37 36 18 1 4
While you have some personality weaknesses, you are generally able to compensate for them 34 55 9 0 0
Your sexual adjustment has presented problems for you 15 16 16 33 19
Disciplined and self-controlled outside, you tend to be worrisome and insecure inside 40 21 22 10 4
At times you have serious doubts as to whether you have made the right decision or done the right thing 27 31 19 18 4
You prefer a certain amount of change and variety and become dissatisfied when hemmed in by restrictions and limitations 63 28 7 1 1
You pride yourself as an independent thinker and do not accept others' statements without satisfactory proof 49 31 12 4 4
You have found it unwise to be too frank in revealing yourself to others 31 37 22 6 4
At times you are extroverted, affable, sociable, while at other times you are introverted, wary, reserved 43 25 18 9 5
Some of your aspirations tend to be pretty unrealistic 12 16 22 43 7
Security is one of your major goals in life 40 31 15 9 5
Not all percentages add up to 100 per cent because of omissions by an occasional subject.
The Planetarian, Vol. 20, No.2, June 1991 21 difficult to explain the popularity of astrology and ~apholo.gy. ~e lengthy feedback is based on specific Info~ahon-~I~e and place of birth for astrology; slant ~nd SIze of ~nhng, how the letters are joined, dotting of 1 s and crossIng of t's, use of loops and so on in graphol ogy. It is nearly always favourable. Take, for example, an analysis of Nigel Lawson's writing published in the Astrological and graphological have Observer on 3 November 1989. "Optimistic, forward attractions, particularly for people who are anxious looking. Extrovert. Intelligent. Appreciative of the arts. insecure. The readings not
Cultured. Decisive. Signs of stubbornness. Quick mind, ing" information about VA ..._""'-J,A, but not good with trivia; needs people to whom he can dict the future so reducing anxieties delegate." A typical example of general positive state about what will happen. Also, unlike other ments that are applicable to between five and ten mil therapy that require effort often lion other people who live in Britain. And note the of recognising one's problems praising with faint damns: "Signs of stubbornness", for behaviour to obtain benefit, one "...,.,.", ... ",," instance, and "not good with trivia." Not so many peo the graphologist with a of ple would be happy to hear of themselves "signs of astrologist with the time intelligence" or uslow mind, but good with trivia." much to gain and little to lose. Another factor is that it is often the troubled (wor fortable collaborative illusion ried, depressed, insecure) who visit astrologers, emerges from the buyer and seller of the '"'ct.... n.iin"'... "''' graphologists and fortune tellers. They are particularly reading or handwriting sensitive to the supposedly objective positive informa tion about themselves and their future. Therefore, the very type of feedback and the predisposition of the peo ple who seek it makes the acceptance highly probable. 'Therefore, the very type of feed bact( and the predisposition of the peopfe who see/( it makf-s the Finally, there is one other reason date graphology and acceptance highfy proba6fe. prophecy. The statement, for eXclmlJle,
The Barnum effect also accounts for the popularity of astrological books and stars columns in newspapers and magazines. offer a fairly long description for each Sun sign in positive general terms, but with the caveat that it is an approximation and that an accurate horoscope needs to be cast specifically for an individ ual. But if the general description seems true (and it probably is), people frequently conclude that it must be even more accurate when more specific information is used. Furthermore, this process is enhanced over time for two reasons. The first is a human characteristic that psy chologists have been aware of since Freud pointed it out. This is that people selectively remember positive statements about themselves rather than negative. So people are more likely to remember feedback that coin cides with their own view of themselves than informa tion that is less relevant or contradicted it. Secondly, people have to for the services of an astrologer or graphologist. If you have paid for something, you are less likely to admit that you have wasted your money on inferior items. The more one pays the better. Perhaps one needs a wealth warning in every astrological This first appeared in New Scientist ma;f(az:me, statement. weekly review of science and tecjf,.mcIlo(;rJJ and is reprinted with permission.
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Quite often a planetarium show depicts what it might be like if you were on another planet. It is impor tant to make that depiction as accurate and informative as possible. The accompanying table indicates the apparent size of a planet's natural satellites as seen from the "surface" of that planet. By surface, I mean the listed radius of the planet, ignoring such problems as a planet's atmosphere or that a planet may not really have a surface as we know it. The table below shows the angular radii and appar ent magnitudes of the known moons of the solar as they would appear from their parent planets. This is a revi sion of a table I did in 1978 in Vol. 7, No.3 of The Plane tarian. The apparent angular sizes, both maximum and minimum, for each satellite are obtained from the fol lowing formula: s = arc tan [ rs / ( a ( 1 ± e ) - rp )] where s is the apparent angular radius of the satellite, rs is the radius of the satellite, a is the semimajor axis of the satellite's orbit, e is the satellite's orbital eccentricity, and rp is the radius of the planet. In addition, the table also Indicates the maximum and minimum apparent angular sizes of the sun as seen from each planet. This information combined with the satellite's apparent size